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BGSU

Bowling Green 31 at Ohio 13

OHIO
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadBGSU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreBGSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 37 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 114Home team on offense−13.7Score differential−7.1Garbage-time factor−4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.6Pregame prior+1.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:18: Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +1.3 pts (now 48%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 14:54: Josiah Yazdani 37 yd FG GOOD — BGSU win probability +3.3 pts (now 53%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:09: James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +7.1 pts (now 65%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 5:30: Travis Greene run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +11.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 9:26: Tim Edmond run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.1 pts (now 11%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 8 of 11BGSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 12:18OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, down 14
    Close callPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.3%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:11BGSU 4th & 16 at BGSU 5, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.5%−0.8
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:14OHIO 4th & 5 at BGSU 8, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.0%
    90% to make
    Punt
    48.8%−3.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:14BGSU 4th & 5 at OHIO 45, up 11
    Close callPunted · 47.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.3%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    46.8%−0.5
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:54OHIO 4th & 9 at BGSU 20, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 48.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.4%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.8%
    75% to make
    Punt
    46.5%−2.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54BGSU 4th & 5 at BGSU 38, up 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.9%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:42OHIO 4th & 8 at BGSU 21, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%−0.8
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.6%
    74% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−5.7
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:27OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 26, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.4%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:58BGSU 4th & 6 at BGSU 37, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.6%−0.6
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:55OHIO 4th & 11 at midfield, down 15
    Close callWent for it · 32.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.3%−0.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.6%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:48BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 44, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.9
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 18, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  13. Q3 14:28BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 48, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.1%
    average punt
  14. Q3 13:51OHIO 4th & 10 at BGSU 38, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.1%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    29.8%−0.3
    38% to make
    Punt
    29.9%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 8:52OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 13, down 15
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%−2.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 5:30OHIO 4th & 2 at BGSU 43, down 22
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    4.4%−4.4
    28% to make
    Punt
    5.8%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q3 3:36BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 43, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.4%
    average punt
  18. Q3 3:13OHIO 4th & 10 at BGSU 35, down 22
    Close callWent for it · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    6.4%
    45% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−1.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:42BGSU 4th & 10 at BGSU 35, up 22
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.6
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.7%
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:40BGSU 4th & 5 at OHIO 9, up 15
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    89% to make
    Punt
    93.1%−3.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 0 of 1BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 13:37BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 12:18BGSU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 8:09BGSU Touchdown, up 14 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 5:30BGSU Touchdown, up 21 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:26OHIO Touchdown, down 16 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.4%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
BGSUDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:2347% → 47%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
53.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
53.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 36
+5
53.5%
KNAPKE, James sideline pass complete to JACKSON, Heath for 3 yards to the BGSU39 (LAYTON, Brett;SAYLES, Casey), PENALTY OHIO substitution infraction 5 yards to the BGSU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+29
53.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 29 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
53.5%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 27
0
53.5%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis Greene, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+27
53.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 27 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 14 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
53.2%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the Ohio 37 JD Sprague fumbled, forced by Brian Sutton, recovered by BwGrn Charlie WalkerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 3TD
5 plays · 37 yds · 1:0547% → 48%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+17
53.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 17 yds to the Ohio 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
53.0%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+15
53.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 15 yds to the Ohio 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
53.0%
Andre Givens run for no gain to the Ohio 2Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
51.7%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+1
51.9%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd to the Ohio 23Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 9
OWN 23
0
51.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Jude Adjei-BarimahSimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 9
OWN 23
+14
51.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 14 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
52.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 37Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
51.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+6
51.9%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
52.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q1 10:11
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
50.5%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 10:11
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-1
50.5%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 11
OWN 10
-5
50.6%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 5Similar
Q1 10:11
3RD & 16
OWN 5
0
50.6%
James Knapke pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:11
4TH & 16
OWN 5
+12
50.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 34 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 12 yds to the BwGrn 17 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the BwGrn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
6 plays · 29 yds · 1:5951% → 51%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+24
50.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 24 yds to the BwGrn 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
50.7%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+3
50.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 10Similar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+2
50.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 8 OHIO Penalty, illegal procedure ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 5
OPP 8
-5
50.5%
OHIO Penalty, IS (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 13Similar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 5
OPP 8
+25
51.0%
Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
49.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 10
50
+5
49.5%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 7:14
1ST & 5
OPP 45
0
49.5%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 7:14
2ND & 5
OPP 45
0
49.5%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 7:14
3RD & 5
OPP 45
0
49.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ryan BurbrinkSimilar
Q1 7:14
4TH & 5
OPP 45
0
49.9%
Joe Davidson punt for 44 yds, downed at the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8FG
17 plays · 79 yds · 6:1550% → 48%
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
50.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Jude Adjei-BarimahSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+16
50.2%
JD Sprague run for 16 yds to the Ohio 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+23
50.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 23 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
50.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+9
50.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 9 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
51.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
51.1%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+12
50.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-5
51.3%
OHIO Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 15
OPP 42
+7
51.0%
JD Sprague run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+5
51.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 3
OPP 30
+9
51.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-9
51.6%
Brendan Cope run for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 19
OPP 30
0
51.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Jude Adjei-BarimahSimilar
Q1 6:09
2ND & 19
OPP 30
0
51.3%
JD Sprague run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 20 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q1 6:09
3RD & 19
OPP 30
+10
50.8%
JD Sprague run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
47.5%
Josiah Yazdani 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
47.1%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+4
47.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 38
0
46.6%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 38
+18
47.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 62 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 18 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10MISSED FG
14 plays · 61 yds · 5:0147% → 45%
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+3
46.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 21Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 7
OWN 21
+4
46.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 3
OWN 25
+8
46.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-5
46.8%
OHIO Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 15
OWN 28
+17
46.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 17 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
47.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-15
48.3%
SPRAGUE, JD slant pass complete to REID, Jordan for 8 yards to the BGSU43 (SUTTON, Brian), PENALTY OHIO pass interference 15 yards to the OHIO34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 21
OWN 34
+10
46.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 10 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+13
46.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 13 yds to the BwGrn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+20
48.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the BwGrn 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:43
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
49.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 21Similar
Q2 13:43
2ND & 8
OPP 21
0
49.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q2 13:43
3RD & 8
OPP 21
0
48.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 8
OPP 21
+38
44.5%
Josiah Yazdani 38 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:3356% → 65%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+70
44.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 61 yds to the OHIO 18 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, face mask (9 yards) (9 Yards) to the Ohio 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
41.8%
Fred Coppet run for 1 yd to the Ohio 8Similar
Q2 8:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
34.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:4236% → 34%
Q2 8:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
36.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Darrell HunterSimilar
Q2 8:09
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
36.1%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 7:27
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
34.4%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q2 7:27
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
34.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 42 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
33.8%
Roger Lewis run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 13
OWN 30
-3
34.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 16
OWN 27
+10
34.8%
James Knapke run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 6
OWN 37
-3
34.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 46 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 34 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (7 Yards) to the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14DOWNS
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:1232% → 30%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-1
32.4%
Greg Windham run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 11
OWN 6
+22
32.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 22 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
33.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 7 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+2
33.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+3
34.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
34.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 6 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 4
OWN 46
0
34.7%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 4
OWN 46
+5
34.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
35.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q2 5:07
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-11
34.9%
JD Sprague sacked by Jude Adjei-Barimah for a loss of 11 yards to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 5:07
3RD & 21
OWN 40
+10
33.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 10 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 0:55
4TH & 11
50
+9
30.1%
Troy Mangen run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q2 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+3
24.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 3 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q2 0:48
2ND & 7
OWN 44
0
24.4%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 0:48
3RD & 7
OWN 44
0
24.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger Lewis BOWLING GREEN Penalty, ineligible downfield on pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:48
4TH & 7
OWN 44
0
25.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 52 yds, downed at the Ohio 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+9
28.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q2 0:18
2ND & 1
OWN 13
-1
28.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0029% → 28%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
28.7%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 18
0
28.5%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 18
0
27.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 18
0
27.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0075% → 73%
Q3 14:28
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
24.8%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 48Similar
Q3 14:28
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
24.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 14:28
3RD & 7
OWN 48
0
25.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis Greene, broken up by Brett LaytonSimilar
Q3 14:28
4TH & 7
OWN 48
0
26.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
27.6%
Robbie Walker run for 8 yds to the Ohio 16 OHIO Penalty, illegal block (-8 Yards) to the Ohio 8Similar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 8
0
27.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Ohio 8Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OWN 8
+17
27.5%
JD Sprague run for 17 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
28.0%
JD Sprague run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
28.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Ohio 32Similar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+16
28.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 16 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
30.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Robbie Walker for 14 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
30.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 13:51
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
30.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q3 13:51
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
29.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q3 13:51
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-12
28.8%
JD Sprague sacked by James Sanford and Gabe Martin for a loss of 12 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 20INT
5 plays · 25 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
50
+14
18.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 14 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
18.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 1 yd to the Ohio 35Similar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+10
18.3%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:57
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
18.0%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 9:57
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
18.4%
James Knapke pass intercepted Josh Kristoff return for no gain to the Ohio 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0022% → 22%
Q3 8:52
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
22.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q3 8:52
2ND & 10
OWN 12
-2
22.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 10Similar
Q3 8:52
3RD & 12
OWN 10
+3
21.7%
JD Sprague run for 3 yds to the Ohio 13Similar
Q3 8:52
4TH & 9
OWN 13
0
21.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 22TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:5383% → 95%
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+9
17.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+3
16.4%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
16.8%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+5
16.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Ohio 40Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+3
16.4%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 3 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q3 7:23
3RD & 1
OPP 37
+3
16.7%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
16.6%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 4 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 30
0
16.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 6
OPP 30
+30
5.2%
Travis Greene run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23DOWNS
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:007% → 8%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
7.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Darrell HunterSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+8
7.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 8 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 2
OWN 46
+3
7.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 3 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
7.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Darrell HunterSimilar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
7.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+8
7.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q3 5:30
4TH & 2
OPP 43
0
7.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the BwGrn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
4.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
4.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath JacksonSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
4.3%
James Knapke pass incomplete BOWLING GREEN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
4.6%
Joe Davidson punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25DOWNS
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-4
5.5%
JD Sprague sacked by Shannon Smith for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 16Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 14
OWN 16
+5
5.5%
SPRAGUE, JD SCR pass incomplete to COPE, Brendan, PENALTY BGSU offside 5 yards to the OHIO21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+34
5.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 34 yds to the BwGrn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
6.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the BwGrn 45Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
6.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+5
6.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
6.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Darrell HunterSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
6.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete, broken up by Bryan ThomasSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 10
OPP 35
0
6.1%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q3 3:13
4TH & 10
OPP 35
0
5.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4197% → 97%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
3.3%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
3.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Ronnie MooreSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
2.9%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting ( Yards) to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 10
OPP 0
0
2.9%
KNAPKE, James middle pass intercepted by JOHNSON, Jovon at the BGSU44, JOHNSON, Jovon return to the BGSU0, clock 14:42, PENALTY OHIO pass interference off-setting, PENALTY BGSU illegal block off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
3.2%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
3.3%
Joe Davidson punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ohio 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 27TD
19 plays · 77 yds · 5:004% → 11%
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+9
4.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 9 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 1
OWN 32
0
4.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+5
4.3%
Tim Edmond run for 5 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
4.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
4.1%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, delay of game (5 Yards) to the Ohio 42Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 5
OWN 42
-22
4.4%
JD Sprague sacked by Paul Senn for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 35 OHIO Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 20Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 27
OWN 20
+29
4.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Ian Dixon for 14 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST down BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:26
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+4
4.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 6
OPP 47
-10
4.6%
SPRAGUE, JD rush scramble for 16 yards to the BGSU31, out-of-bounds (HUNTER, Darrell), PENALTY OHIO holding 10 yards to the OHIO43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 14:26
2ND & 16
OWN 43
+15
4.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 15 yds to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q4 14:26
3RD & 1
OPP 42
+13
4.9%
Tim Edmond run for 13 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-9
3.4%
JD Sprague sacked by Bryan Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 19
OPP 38
0
3.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan Reid, broken up by Paul SennSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 19
OPP 38
+10
3.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Tim Edmond for 10 yds to the BwGrn 28Similar
Q4 11:27
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+14
3.1%
SPRAGUE, JD sideline pass incomplete to SMITH, Sebastia (JOHNSON, Nick), PENALTY BGSU personal foul 14 yards to the BGSU14, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
3.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 4
OPP 8
0
3.5%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 11:27
3RD & 4
OPP 8
+6
3.4%
SPRAGUE, JD post pass incomplete to REID, Jordan, PENALTY BGSU pass interference 6 yards to the BGSU2, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
10.5%
Tim Edmond run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 28FG
15 plays · 66 yds · 5:4693% → 98%
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
6.6%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
6.7%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the BwGrn 26Similar
Q4 9:26
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+11
7.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 11 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
6.5%
Fred Coppet run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-10
6.3%
COPPET, Fred rush up middle for 54 yards to the OHIO6 (WELLS, Ian), PENALTY BGSU holding 10 yards to the BGSU30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 17
OWN 30
+21
6.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 21 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
6.1%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 8
OPP 0
+18
4.0%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, personal foul (14 Yards) to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-1
4.0%
Fred Coppet run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 15Similar
Q4 5:42
2ND & 11
OPP 15
+5
4.1%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the Ohio 10Similar
Q4 5:42
3RD & 6
OPP 10
+1
4.0%
Travis Greene run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 3:40
4TH & 5
OPP 9
+26
1.8%
Tyler Tate 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 29FUMBLE
8 plays · 56 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
2.0%
Greg Windham pass complete to Chase Cochran for 6 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+6
2.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Chase Cochran for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
50
+12
2.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 12 yds to the BwGrn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+24
2.2%
Greg Windham pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 24 yds to the BwGrn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+6
2.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the BwGrn 8Similar
Q4 3:40
2ND & 4
OPP 8
+4
2.5%
Greg Windham pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 4 yds to the BwGrn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
2.8%
Greg Windham pass complete to Dorian Brown for 3 yds to the BwGrn 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 30END OF GAME
4 plays · 24 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+10
1.1%
Andre Givens run for 10 yds to the BwGrn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
1.1%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 35Similar
Q4 1:22
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
1.1%
Andre Givens run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
1.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the BwGrn 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 5:30
Travis Greene run for 30 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-11.1
TD · Q2 8:09
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 8 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
-7.1
TD · Q4 9:26
Tim Edmond run for 2 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+7.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com