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OHIO

Ohio 10 at Central Michigan 28

CMU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium
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Win probability · CMU
modelCMU aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playCMU scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:55 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 53 yds, downed at the CMich 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+29.5+14.80−14.8−29.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 33Home team on offense+2.9Pregame prior+15.8Score differential+1.0Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:55: Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +4.0 pts (now 74%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 7:34: Thomas Rawls run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +12.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 12:40: Tim Edmond run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +10.3 pts (now 17%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 12:40: Josiah Yazdani kickoff for 58 yds , Martez Walker return for 25 yds to the CMich 32 — CMU win probability +3.2 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 8:44: Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK) — CMU win probability +8.6 pts (now 98%) (top driver: CMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
CMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.5%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 10:21OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:55OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.1%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:51CMU 4th & 7 at OHIO 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    71.2%−0.8
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 12 at OHIO 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−1.7
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:37CMU 4th & 8 at OHIO 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 77.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    77.0%−0.5
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.1%−0.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:26OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 16, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.3%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:58CMU 4th & 11 at CMU 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:23OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−0.6
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:13OHIO 4th & 7 at CMU 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    19.7%
    91% to make
    Punt
    16.4%−3.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:34OHIO 4th & 5 at CMU 17, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.6%−0.5
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%
    80% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−6.7
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:54CMU 4th & 2 at OHIO 36, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 93.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    91.9%−1.3
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 8:44OHIO 4th & 21 at OHIO 48, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.8
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
CMU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:21CMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:55CMU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:34CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 12:40OHIO Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:44CMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0031% → 31%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
68.6%
Robbie Walker run for no gain to the Ohio 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+3
68.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
68.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
68.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 2TD
7 plays · 77 yds · 3:0969% → 70%
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
68.5%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+20
68.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 20 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
68.6%
Thomas Rawls run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 42 Thomas Rawls fumbled, forced by Blair Brown, recovered by CMich N/ASimilar
Q1 13:30
2ND & 11
OWN 42
+53
68.5%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 53 yds to the Ohio 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
68.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q1 13:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
68.7%
Thomas Rawls run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 4Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
69.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 4 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK), (Brian Eavey KICK) (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q1 10:21
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
69.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 10:21
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+1
69.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 10:21
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
69.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 10:21
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
69.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 4TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 3:1970% → 74%
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
69.9%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Mark Chapman for 9 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+3
70.3%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
70.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 4
50
+20
70.4%
Thomas Rawls run for 20 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:14
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
70.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:14
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+3
70.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Ben McCord for 3 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q1 9:14
3RD & 7
OPP 27
-5
70.3%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 12
OPP 32
+32
74.3%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 32 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
73.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 1 yd to the Ohio 26Similar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+15
73.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
72.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
73.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:55
3RD & 10
OWN 41
0
73.1%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 10
OWN 41
+5
73.3%
BONNSTETTER, Mi punt 30 yards to the CMU29, fair catch by LAVALLII, S., PENALTY CMU offside 5 yards to the OHIO46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:55
4TH & 5
OWN 46
0
73.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 53 yds, downed at the CMich 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 6PUNT
9 plays · 53 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
74.5%
Thomas Rawls run for 4 yds to the CMich 5Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 6
OWN 5
+30
74.4%
Thomas Rawls run for 30 yds to the CMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
74.7%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Anthony Rice for 6 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+10
75.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 10 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:51
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
75.2%
Martez Walker run for 3 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 7
OPP 46
-5
75.2%
CENTRAL MICH Penalty, false start (N/A) to the CMich 49Similar
Q1 4:51
2ND & 12
OWN 49
-8
75.0%
Cooper Rush sacked by Jovon Johnson for a loss of 8 yards to the CMich 41 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by CMich Martez Walker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 4:51
3RD & 20
OWN 41
+13
74.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Saylor Lavallii for 13 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 4:51
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
74.5%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
75.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+6
75.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
75.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
-5
75.2%
OHIO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 31
0
75.5%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 31
0
75.7%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 31
0
75.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Saylor Lavallii at the CMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 40 yds · 4:3678% → 81%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
77.6%
Thomas Rawls run for 4 yds to the CMich 25Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+5
77.6%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 5 yds to the CMich 30Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+4
77.4%
Thomas Rawls run for 4 yds to the CMich 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+9
77.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 9 yds to the CMich 43Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 1
OWN 43
0
78.3%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Anthony RiceSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 43
+3
77.9%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the CMich 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
78.4%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 13 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
78.4%
Martez Walker run for 2 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 13:13
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
78.4%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
78.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Mark ChapmanSimilar
Q2 8:37
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
80.6%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 20 yds, downed at the Ohio 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-10
79.6%
JD Sprague sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 9Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 20
OWN 9
0
80.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 20
OWN 9
+7
80.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 13
OWN 16
-2
80.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 44 yds , Saylor Lavallii returns for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 80%
Q2 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
81.4%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the CMich 38Similar
Q2 6:58
2ND & 10
OWN 38
-1
81.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Joe Bacci for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 37Similar
Q2 6:58
3RD & 11
OWN 37
0
80.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 6:58
4TH & 11
OWN 37
+34
80.1%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the CENTMICH 24 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 5:23
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
80.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Aaron Bradley for 2 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q2 5:23
2ND & 8
OWN 31
-5
80.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 5:23
3RD & 13
OWN 26
+7
81.2%
Robbie Walker run for 7 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 5:23
4TH & 6
OWN 33
+3
81.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 49 yds , Saylor Lavallii returns for 3 yds to the CMich 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 12FUMBLE
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
82.6%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the CMich 26Similar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
82.6%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the CMich 29Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+3
82.2%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the CMich 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
82.6%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus DavisSimilar
Q2 3:37
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+9
82.6%
Thomas Rawls run for 9 yds to the CMich 41Similar
Q2 3:37
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
82.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
83.2%
Cooper Rush sacked by Tarell Basham for a loss of 18 yards to the CMich 5 Cooper Rush fumbled, recovered by Ohio Kylan Nelson , return for 0 yards , return for 14 yds to the CENTMICH 43 CENTRAL MICH Penalty, sideline interference (-6 Yards) to the CMich 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13FG
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:2019% → 20%
Q2 0:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
-2
81.2%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 2 yards to the CMich 7Similar
Q2 0:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q2 0:26
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
0
81.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
79.9%
Josiah Yazdani 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 14END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
81.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the CMich 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 15TD
16 plays · 75 yds · 7:2680% → 94%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.0%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Thomas Rawls, broken up by Blair BrownSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
79.9%
Thomas Rawls run for 8 yds to the CMich 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+6
79.7%
Thomas Rawls run for 6 yds to the CMich 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
80.8%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the CMich 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 42
+5
81.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the CMich 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+8
80.2%
Thomas Rawls run for 8 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
81.1%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
81.1%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 45
+16
80.2%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Thomas Rawls for 16 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
81.2%
Martez Walker run for no gain to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+7
81.1%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 7 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 22
+7
80.5%
Thomas Rawls run for 7 yds to the Ohio 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
81.2%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
81.2%
Cooper Rush pass incomplete to Titus Davis, broken up by Devin BassSimilar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 10
OPP 15
+15
93.5%
Thomas Rawls run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 54 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+49
91.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 49 yds to the CMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
89.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the CMich 22Similar
Q3 7:34
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
90.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the CMich 17Similar
Q3 7:34
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
90.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 7:34
4TH & 5
OPP 17
0
90.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 47 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+27
93.6%
Thomas Rawls run for 27 yds to the CMich 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
94.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 46Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
94.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 48Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+8
93.8%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 8 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:54
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
94.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 3 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 5:54
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
94.0%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 5:54
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+5
93.9%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q3 5:54
4TH & 2
OPP 36
0
93.4%
Ron Coluzzi punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 3:286% → 17%
Q3 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
94.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 1:08
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+2
94.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 16Similar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 8
OWN 16
+13
94.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 13 yds to the Ohio 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+46
94.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 46 yds to the CMich 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+24
93.6%
JD Sprague run for 24 yds to the CMich 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.7%
JD Sprague run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
93.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the CMich 1Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
83.4%
Tim Edmond run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 19TD
9 plays · 68 yds · 3:5688% → 98%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
88.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 34 Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 34Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+29
88.0%
Cooper Rush pass complete to Titus Davis for 29 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
89.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & 6
OPP 33
+13
89.0%
RUSH, Cooper pass incomplete to DAVIS, Titus, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BASS, Devin) 13 yards to the OHIO20, 1ST DOWN CMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
89.0%
Thomas Rawls run for 12 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
88.9%
Thomas Rawls run for 7 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 12:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
88.9%
Thomas Rawls run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
97.5%
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 23 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
96.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Robbie Walker for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
96.6%
Robbie Walker run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 7
OWN 45
0
96.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 7
OWN 45
+14
96.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 14 yds to the CMich 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:44
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
96.5%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd to the CMich 40Similar
Q4 8:44
2ND & 9
OPP 40
-4
96.5%
JD Sprague sacked by Chris Kantzavelos for a loss of 4 yards to the CMich 44Similar
Q4 8:44
3RD & 13
OPP 44
-8
96.7%
JD Sprague sacked by Blake Serpa for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 8:44
4TH & 21
OWN 48
0
96.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Saylor Lavallii at the CMich 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
CMUDrive 21END OF GAME
8 plays · 40 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
98.1%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 15Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 15
+5
98.2%
Thomas Rawls run for 5 yds to the CMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
98.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 2 yds to the CMich 22Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+11
98.1%
Thomas Rawls run for 11 yds to the CMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
98.2%
Martez Walker run for 5 yds to the CMich 38Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+7
98.3%
Saylor Lavallii run for 7 yds to the CMich 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
98.3%
Saylor Lavallii run for 6 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 5:13
2ND & 4
OPP 49
-1
98.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:34
Thomas Rawls run for 15 yds for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q4 12:40
Tim Edmond run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
-10.3
TD · Q4 8:44
Thomas Rawls run for 1 yd for a TD, (Brian Eavey KICK)
+8.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com