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KENT

Kent State 14 at Northern Illinois 17

NIU
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadKENT aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scoreKENT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:15 · Anthony Melchiori 56 yd FG MISSED , Marlon Moore return for no gain
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 176Pregame prior+2.2Home team on offense+11.9Score differential+1.1Garbage-time factor+4.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.2Blowout margin+1.4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 1:54: Anthony Melchiori 19 Yd Field Goal — KENT win probability +3.5 pts (now 18%) (top driver: Scoring-chance index: 52%).
  2. TD · Q3 9:35: Jordan Huff 18 Yd Run (Tyler Wedel Kick) — NIU win probability +5.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 7:15: Colin Reardon 2 Yd Run (Colin Reardon Pass to Casey Pierce for Two-Point Conversion) — KENT win probability +25.6 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:26: Timeout KENT ST, clock 02:26 — NIU win probability +9.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:20: Timeout KENT ST, clock 02:20 — NIU win probability +10.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8KENT made the numbers' call on 10 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 36, tied
    Close callPunted · 91.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    91.1%−0.1
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.1%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:42KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:42NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 22, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%−0.1
    72% to make
    Punt
    87.8%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:42KENT 4th & 23 at KENT 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%
    average punt
  6. Q1 1:20NIU 4th & 17 at NIU 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.0%−0.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    87.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    12.9%−0.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−0.5
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00KENT 4th & 3 at NIU 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 13.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    13.4%−0.3
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:54KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 1, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.8%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.2%−1.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.5%−5.3
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:18NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    82.3%
    average punt
  11. Q2 0:08KENT 4th & 12 at KENT 14, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%−1.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:03NIU 4th & 3 at KENT 23, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    82.5%−0.3
    70% to make
    Punt
    79.4%−3.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 13:03KENT 4th & 2 at KENT 33, down 7
    Close callPunted · 13.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:35KENT 4th & 16 at KENT 19, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.8%−1.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.9%
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:50NIU 4th & 6 at KENT 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    92.6%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%−0.5
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:53KENT 4th & 10 at NIU 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.6%−0.7
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    3.0%−4.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 6 at KENT 48, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.7%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:50KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.1%−0.9
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.0%
    average punt
  19. Q4 12:25NIU 4th & 5 at NIU 35, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.4%
    average punt
  20. Q4 6:01KENT 4th & 1 at NIU 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 30.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.8%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    24.1%−5.7
    30% to make
    Punt
    23.1%−6.7
    average punt
  21. Q4 2:15KENT 4th & 15 at NIU 39, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−5.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    22.6%
    36% to make
    Punt
    15.3%−7.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2KENT made the numbers' call on 0 of 1
  1. Q2 7:09NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:35NIU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 7:15KENT Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · converted
    Kick
    17.6%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    17.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 12 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 4 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-1
92.0%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 36
+8
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 8 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
0
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 44
+1
92.0%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
92.0%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2PUNT
13 plays · 50 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
91.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Akeem Daniels for no gain to the NoIll 14Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
91.4%
Drew Hare pass incomplete, broken up by Demetrius MondaySimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+14
91.3%
Drew Hare pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 14 yds to the NoIll 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
91.4%
Drew Hare run for 4 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+5
91.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 1
OWN 37
+2
91.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
91.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OWN 46
+11
91.5%
Drew Hare run for 11 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 3
OWN 46
0
91.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
91.5%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 4 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+3
91.5%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
91.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
91.4%
Drew Hare punt for 7 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
90.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
90.2%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OWN 34
-5
90.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Chris Humphrey) to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+2
90.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
90.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 46 yds, downed at the NoIll 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4MISSED FG
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:2790% → 89%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+37
89.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 37 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
90.1%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+2
90.1%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 4
OPP 34
+5
90.1%
Drew Hare run for 5 yds to the KntSt 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+9
90.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 9 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 1
OPP 20
-5
90.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (Da'Ron Brown) to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 6
OPP 25
+5
90.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 1
OPP 20
-2
90.1%
Akeem Daniels run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 22Similar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 3
OPP 22
+39
88.8%
Tyler Wedel 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+11
88.6%
Nick Holley run for 11 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
88.4%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OPP 0
0
87.9%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to PIERCE, Casey, PENALTY NIU pass interference off-setting, PENALTY KENT holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+15
88.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest Calhoun for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, roughing passer (Jamaal Bass) to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:42
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+6
88.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 6 yds to the NoIll 45Similar
Q1 3:42
2ND & 4
OPP 45
-19
88.0%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 19 yards to the KntSt 36Similar
Q1 3:42
3RD & 23
OWN 36
0
88.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q1 3:42
4TH & 23
OWN 36
0
88.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoIll 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0088% → 88%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+30
87.9%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 30 yds to the NoIll 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
88.4%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 44 Drew Hare fumbled, recovered by NoIll Drew HareSimilar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 15
OWN 44
0
88.0%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q1 1:20
3RD & 15
OWN 44
-2
87.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 42Similar
Q1 1:20
4TH & 17
OWN 42
0
87.5%
Tyler Wedel punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 48 yds · 0:0413% → 13%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
86.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+4
87.0%
Anthony Meray run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 21
+25
87.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 25 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-3
86.3%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 43Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 43
+11
86.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 11 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+1
86.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 1 yd to the NoIll 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+3
86.6%
Anthony Meray run for 3 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
86.2%
Anthony Meray run for 6 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+1
86.1%
Anthony Meray run for 1 yd to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
0
86.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Ernest CalhounSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 35
0
86.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 35 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 2:5885% → 89%
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
85.4%
Anthony Maddie run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-2
85.6%
Cameron Stingily run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 23Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+37
84.9%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 37 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+7
86.5%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 7 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 3
OPP 33
+8
86.7%
Anthony Maddie run for 8 yds to the KntSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
86.7%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q2 10:07
2ND & 10
OPP 25
-11
86.7%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the KntSt 21 NORTHERNIL Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the KntSt 36Similar
Q2 10:07
3RD & 21
OPP 36
+15
85.7%
MADDIE,Anthony pass incomplete to BROWN,Da'Ron, dropped pass, PENALTY KENT roughing passer (TERHUNE, Nate) 15 yards to the KENT21, 1ST DOWN NIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:07
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+14
86.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the KntSt 14 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, face mask (7 yards) (Elcee Refuge) to the KntSt 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
89.4%
Da'Ron Brown 7 Yd Run (Tyler Wedel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9FG
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1512% → 18%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+20
88.1%
James Brooks run for 20 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
87.6%
Nick Holley run for 9 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+9
87.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 9 yds to the NoIll 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
87.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+12
87.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 12 yds to the NoIll 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
86.6%
Ernest Calhoun run for no gain to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+27
86.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 27 yds to the NoIll 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
86.4%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the NoIll 2Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
86.4%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 1Similar
Q2 2:46
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
85.1%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the NoIll 1Similar
Q2 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+19
81.6%
Anthony Melchiori 19 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:3684% → 83%
Q2 1:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.1%
Drew Hare run for 7 yds to the NoIll 32Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
84.7%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q2 1:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
-2
83.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 30Similar
Q2 1:18
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
83.2%
Tyler Wedel punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:5916% → 15%
Q2 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
84.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:07
2ND & 10
OWN 16
-3
84.7%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 3 yards to the KntSt 13Similar
Q2 1:07
3RD & 13
OWN 13
+1
85.3%
Anthony Meray run for 1 yd to the KntSt 14Similar
Q2 0:08
4TH & 12
OWN 14
+56
85.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 56 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12FG
6 plays · 7 yds · 1:4685% → 87%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
85.4%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 1 yd to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 14:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+8
85.4%
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 1
OPP 21
-5
84.8%
BOUAGNON, Joel rush for 5 yards to the KENT16 (ITALIANO, J.), PENALTY NIU illegal shift 5 yards to the KENT26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:49
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+3
84.8%
Drew Hare run for 3 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 3
OPP 23
+40
86.8%
Tyler Wedel 40 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 13:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.1%
Colin Reardon run for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 13:03
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
85.9%
Colin Reardon run for 6 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 13:03
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
85.8%
Anthony Meray run for no gain to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 13:03
4TH & 2
OWN 33
0
86.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14TD
5 plays · 70 yds · 1:3786% → 93%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-6
86.4%
Cameron Stingily run for 4 yds to the NoIll 34 NORTHERNIL Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the NoIll 24Similar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 16
OWN 24
+49
86.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 49 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
88.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+7
88.0%
Cameron Stingily run for 7 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 1
OPP 18
+18
93.1%
Jordan Huff 18 Yd Run (Tyler Wedel Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q3 9:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
92.1%
James Brooks run for 2 yds to the KntSt 11 James Brooks fumbled, forced by Rasheen Lemon, recovered by KntSt Casey PierceSimilar
Q3 9:35
2ND & 24
OWN 11
+8
92.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 8 yds to the KntSt 19Similar
Q3 9:35
3RD & 16
OWN 19
0
92.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q3 9:35
4TH & 16
OWN 19
+4
92.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 41 yds , Shawun Lurry returns for 4 yds to the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
93.5%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
93.3%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoIll 48Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+9
93.1%
Drew Hare run for 9 yds to the KntSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
93.5%
Akeem Daniels run for 1 yd to the KntSt 42Similar
Q3 7:50
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+3
93.4%
Cameron Stingily run for 3 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q3 7:50
3RD & 6
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 7:50
4TH & 6
OPP 39
0
92.7%
Tyler Wedel punt for 32 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17FG
13 plays · 83 yds · 3:478% → 9%
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+2
92.5%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 9Similar
Q3 5:40
2ND & 8
OWN 9
+12
92.6%
Nick Holley run for 12 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+26
92.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 26 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
93.0%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 45Similar
Q3 4:06
2ND & 12
OWN 45
+13
93.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 13 yds to the NoIll 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+20
92.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 20 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
92.0%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST down NORTHERNIL Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Sean Folliard) to the NoIll 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q3 2:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
91.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 2:08
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
92.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 1:53
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
90.8%
Anthony Melchiori 27 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18PUNT
8 plays · 37 yds · 1:3791% → 92%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+6
91.2%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 6 yds to the NoIll 21Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 4
OWN 21
+1
91.2%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 3
OWN 22
+26
90.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 26 yds to the NoIll 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
92.1%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Ezra Saffold for 4 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
92.1%
Akeem Daniels run for no gain to the KntSt 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
92.2%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Da'Ron Brown, broken up by Malcolm PannellSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
91.7%
Tyler Wedel punt for 39 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+4
91.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 4 yds to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 13
+2
91.6%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 15Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 15
+6
92.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 6 yds to the KntSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 10
OWN 21
0
91.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh Boyle, broken up by Paris LoganSimilar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 10
OWN 21
0
92.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 10
OWN 21
0
92.4%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Shawun Lurry at the NoIll 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q4 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
92.0%
Anthony Maddie run for no gain to the NoIll 30Similar
Q4 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+1
91.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 1 yd to the NoIll 31Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+4
91.6%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Desroy Maxwell for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 5
OWN 35
+45
91.4%
Tyler Wedel punt for 50 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the NORTHERNIL 15 NORTHERNIL Penalty, illegal formation (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 3:338% → 37%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
92.4%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 19Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+11
92.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 11 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+20
91.6%
James Brooks run for 20 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
50
+30
90.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 30 yds to the NoIll 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-1
89.1%
Anthony Meray run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoIll 21Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 11
OPP 21
+13
89.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 13 yds to the NoIll 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
89.1%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to HUMPHREY, Chris, PENALTY NIU pass interference 6 yards to the NIU2, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
63.4%
Colin Reardon 2 Yd Run (Colin Reardon Pass to Casey Pierce for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22INT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0076% → 74%
Q4 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
76.1%
Anthony Maddie run for 5 yds to the NoIll 28Similar
Q4 7:09
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-2
76.3%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Cameron Stingily for a loss of 2 yards Cameron Stingily fumbled, forced by Jordan Italiano, recovered by NoIll Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q4 7:09
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
74.4%
Anthony Maddie pass intercepted Jordan Italiano return for no gain to the KntSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 23MISSED FG
11 plays · 22 yds · 3:4630% → 11%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+10
69.8%
Colin Reardon run for 10 yds to the KntSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+8
66.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 8 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 2
OPP 43
+1
65.3%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 1
OPP 42
0
65.7%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the NoIll 42Similar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 1
OPP 42
+8
69.0%
Colin Reardon run for 8 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
64.3%
Nathan Strock sacked by Perez Ford and Rasheen Lemon for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 39Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
69.2%
Nathan Strock pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q4 2:26
3RD & 15
OPP 39
0
78.5%
Jack Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Perez FordSimilar
Q4 2:15
4TH & 15
OPP 39
0
88.6%
Anthony Melchiori 56 yd FG MISSED , Marlon Moore return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · 14 yds · 0:0088% → 87%
Q4 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
87.9%
Cameron Stingily run for 5 yds to the NoIll 25Similar
Q4 2:15
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+1
88.2%
Cameron Stingily run for 1 yd to the NoIll 26Similar
Q4 2:15
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
87.3%
Cameron Stingily run for 8 yds to the NoIll 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 7:15
Colin Reardon 2 Yd Run (Colin Reardon Pass to Casey Pierce for Two-Point Conversion)
-25.6
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+12.7
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:20
Timeout KENT ST, clock 02:20
+10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com