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EIU

Eastern Illinois 19 at Ohio 34

OHIO
2014 · Week 5 · Sep 27, 2014 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadEIU aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreEIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 11:37 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 24 yds, downed at the EIlln 10
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+30.0+15.00−15.0−30.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 173Home team on offense+26.5Pregame prior+4.4Score differential+13.7Garbage-time factor+12.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.8Time remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:40: JD Sprague run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +2.7 pts (now 76%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:37: A.J. Ouellette run for 65 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.6 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:05: Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK) — EIU win probability +4.3 pts (now 22%) (top driver: EIU has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:09: Josiah Yazdani 20 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +2.7 pts (now 83%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 7:28: JD Sprague run for 8 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +6.5 pts (now 96%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6EIU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 12:39EIU 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.8%−0.2
    94% to make
    Punt
    28.4%−0.7
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:56EIU 4th & 1 at EIU 38, down 4
    Close callPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.7%−0.3
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00EIU 4th & 8 at OHIO 35, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 25.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    25.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    25.4%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    25.2%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:09EIU 4th & 2 at EIU 29, down 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 18.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.4%−1.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:47OHIO 4th & 5 at EIU 39, up 11
    Close callPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.1%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.7
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:11EIU 4th & 7 at EIU 39, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.9%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:09OHIO 4th & 3 at EIU 3, up 11
    Close callKicked a field goal · 81.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    81.4%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.9%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 13:24OHIO 4th & 8 at EIU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 85.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    85.0%
    58% to make
    Punt
    82.0%−3.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 13:24EIU 4th & 11 at EIU 31, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.2%
    average punt
  10. Q3 7:28EIU 4th & 9 at EIU 17, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.5%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:36OHIO 4th & 1 at EIU 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    94.6%−1.5
    23% to make
    Punt
    95.2%−0.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 3:59EIU 4th & 13 at EIU 41, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.3%−0.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 32, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:37OHIO 4th & 2 at EIU 34, up 18
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    96.3%−0.8
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.1%−1.0
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:19EIU 4th & 3 at OHIO 28, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−1.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 1:27EIU 4th & 4 at OHIO 7, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.8%
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.9%−0.8
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 4 of 4EIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 8:56OHIO Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    71.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    71.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 3:40OHIO Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:37OHIO Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:05EIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:28OHIO Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
EIUDrive 1FG
8 plays · 65 yds · 2:2127% → 28%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+29
72.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 29 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
72.6%
Taylor Duncan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+28
72.6%
Jalen Whitlow run for 28 yds to the Ohio 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
72.6%
Jalen Whitlow run for 4 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
72.6%
Taylor Duncan run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
72.6%
Taylor Duncan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:39
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
71.9%
Nick Bruno 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2TD
11 plays · 78 yds · 3:4372% → 72%
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
72.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 7
OWN 25
0
72.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Anthony StandiferSimilar
Q1 12:39
3RD & 7
OWN 25
+16
71.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 16 yds Landon Smith fumbled, forced by Jeff LePak, recovered by Ohio Troy Mangen for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
72.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+11
72.2%
JD Sprague run for 11 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
72.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+34
72.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 34 yds to the EIlln 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
72.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the EIlln 4Similar
Q1 12:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
72.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the EIlln 1Similar
Q1 8:56
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+10
72.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jimmy Lera for 10 yds to the EIlln 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
72.1%
Jalen Whitlow run for 4 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q1 8:56
2ND & 6
OWN 33
0
72.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:56
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+5
72.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jimmy Lera for 5 yds to the EIlln 38Similar
Q1 8:56
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+15
72.1%
Cody Edwards punt for 30 yds, downed at the OHIO 32 EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
11 plays · 53 yds · 3:2773% → 76%
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
72.5%
OHIO Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+5
72.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+13
72.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 13 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+17
72.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 17 yds to the EIlln 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:07
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
72.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 5 yds to the EIlln 18Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+4
72.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 4 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q1 7:07
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+5
72.5%
SPRAGUE, JD sideline pass incomplete to REID, Jordan, PENALTY EIU offside 5 yards to the EIU9, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
73.2%
JD Sprague run for no gain to the EIlln 9Similar
Q1 4:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
73.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the EIlln 6Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
76.0%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 5DOWNS
11 plays · 36 yds · 3:4024% → 24%
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
76.1%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd to the EIlln 30Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 9
OWN 30
+1
76.2%
Jimmy Lera run for 1 yd to the EIlln 31Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 8
OWN 31
+15
76.4%
WHITLOW, Jalen sideline pass incomplete to DRAKE, Adam (POLING, Quentin), PENALTY OHIO roughing passer 15 yards to the EIU46, 1ST DOWN EIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
75.7%
Taylor Duncan run for 3 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 7
OWN 49
-2
75.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 47Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 9
OWN 47
+16
75.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jeff LePak for 16 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:40
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:40
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
75.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 2 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
0
75.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-Brown, broken up by Travis DaughertySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
76.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6TD
1 play · 65 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
82.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 65 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 7PUNT
9 plays · 21 yds · 1:2818% → 17%
Q2 14:37
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
82.2%
Jalen Whitlow run for 6 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q2 14:37
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+1
81.8%
Jimmy Lera run for 1 yd to the EIlln 15Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+6
82.8%
Jalen Whitlow run for 6 yds to the EIlln 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
82.7%
Trey Pendergrass run for 2 yds to the EIlln 23Similar
Q2 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+3
82.8%
Jimmy Lera run for 3 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 13:09
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+3
82.7%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jimmy Lera for 3 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q2 13:09
4TH & 2
OWN 29
0
82.7%
Cody Edwards punt for 27 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
85.5%
JD Sprague pass intercepted Bradley Dewberry return for 7 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 2:3217% → 22%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
82.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
83.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 10
OPP 47
+14
83.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Taylor Duncan for 14 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
82.5%
A.J. Woodson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 6
OPP 29
0
82.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam Drake, broken up by Cameron McLeodSimilar
Q2 10:37
3RD & 6
OPP 29
+23
83.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Nico Shepherd for 23 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
82.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 5 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
82.4%
Jalen Whitlow run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 8:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 1:1879% → 80%
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
79.4%
JD Sprague run for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
80.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 7 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 8:05
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+2
80.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 2 yds to the EIlln 49Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+5
80.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 5 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
81.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 5 yards to the EIlln 49Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 15
OPP 49
+5
80.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 5 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+5
80.6%
JD Sprague run for 5 yds to the EIlln 39Similar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
80.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EIlln 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 11PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+12
82.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 12 yds to the EIlln 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
82.0%
Taylor Duncan run for 4 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 6
OWN 26
+5
81.8%
Taylor Duncan run for 5 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+5
81.4%
Jalen Whitlow run for 5 yds to the EIlln 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
81.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 5 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+3
80.7%
Jimmy Lera run for 3 yds to the EIlln 44Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 2
OWN 44
-5
80.6%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 39Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 7
OWN 39
0
81.8%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Stephen Bravo-BrownSimilar
Q2 4:11
4TH & 7
OWN 39
0
82.4%
Cody Edwards punt blocked by Grant Cunningham, punt out-of-bounds at the EIlln 35 blocked by Grant CunninghamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12FG
11 plays · 32 yds · 4:0282% → 83%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
81.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon Smith, broken up by Pono ChoySimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+15
81.9%
JD Sprague run for 15 yds to the EIlln 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
82.1%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q2 4:11
2ND & 10
OPP 20
+6
82.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 6 yds to the EIlln 14Similar
Q2 4:11
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+6
81.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 6 yds to the EIlln 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
83.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
83.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the EIlln 3Similar
Q2 0:17
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
80.7%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q2 0:09
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
83.4%
Josiah Yazdani 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 0:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-2
84.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FG
9 plays · 23 yds · 1:3686% → 87%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
85.9%
Robbie Walker run for 7 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 45
0
85.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Robbie WalkerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
-1
85.3%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 1 yard to the EIlln 46 JD Sprague fumbled, recovered by Ohio JD SpragueSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 46
+15
84.7%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the EIlln 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
85.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+2
85.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the EIlln 29Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
85.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
87.1%
Josiah Yazdani 46 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
87.4%
Jimmy Lera run for 1 yd to the EIlln 33Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 9
OWN 33
0
87.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 9
OWN 33
-5
88.1%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 28Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 14
OWN 28
+3
88.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Joe Powell for 3 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 11
OWN 31
0
88.3%
Cody Edwards punt for 27 yds, downed at the Ohio 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16TD
11 plays · 58 yds · 4:2490% → 96%
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
89.7%
JD Sprague run for 7 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 3
OWN 49
-5
89.8%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+11
89.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 11 yds to the EIlln 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
89.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the EIlln 43Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
89.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Mason MorganSimilar
Q3 11:52
3RD & 8
OPP 43
+15
89.5%
SPRAGUE, JD deep in pass incomplete to COCHRAN, Chase (JOHNSON, Antoin), PENALTY EIU pass interference 15 yards to the EIU28, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
89.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Antoine JohnsonSimilar
Q3 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+19
89.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 19 yds to the EIlln 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
89.9%
JD Sprague run for 3 yds to the EIlln 6Similar
Q3 11:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
89.9%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 2 yards to the EIlln 8Similar
Q3 7:28
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
96.4%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q3 7:28
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+1
96.0%
Jimmy Lera run for 1 yd to the EIlln 17Similar
Q3 7:28
2ND & 9
OWN 17
0
96.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Keiondre GoberSimilar
Q3 7:28
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
96.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q3 7:28
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
96.1%
Cody Edwards punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18INT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
JD Sprague sacked by Dan Chism for 0 yards to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 10
OWN 45
0
96.6%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q3 6:36
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+9
96.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 9 yds to the EIlln 46Similar
Q3 6:36
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+3
96.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the EIlln 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
96.7%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 9 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q3 6:36
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+4
96.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the EIlln 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:36
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
96.7%
JD Sprague pass intercepted Anthony Standifer return for no gain to the EIlln 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 19PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
97.3%
A.J. Woodson run for 1 yd to the EIlln 8 for a 1ST down OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the EIlln 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.2%
Jalen Whitlow run for 3 yds to the EIlln 26Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 7
OWN 26
-5
97.1%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 21Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+10
97.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 10 yds to the EIlln 31Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+2
97.1%
Jalen Whitlow run for 2 yds to the EIlln 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+11
97.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 11 yds to the EIlln 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-15
97.1%
WHITLOW, Jalen deep out pass complete to GOBER, Keiondre for 40 yards to the OHIO16 (BASS, Devin), PENALTY EIU pass interference 15 yards to the EIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 25
OWN 29
+11
97.2%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jimmy Lera for 11 yds to the EIlln 40Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 14
OWN 40
-15
97.2%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the EIlln 25Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 29
OWN 25
+11
97.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 11 yds to the EIlln 36Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & 18
OWN 36
+5
97.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 5 yds to the EIlln 41Similar
Q3 3:59
4TH & 13
OWN 41
0
97.3%
Cody Edwards punt for 28 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-4
98.4%
Tim Edmond run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 27 OHIO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 27
+2
98.3%
Greg Windham run for 2 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 29
+8
98.3%
Greg Windham pass complete to Tim Edmond for 8 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 37
-5
98.4%
OHIO Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
98.3%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds, downed at the EIlln 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 21TD
6 plays · 80 yds · 1:522% → 4%
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
98.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 5 yds to the EIlln 25Similar
Q4 13:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
98.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 7 yds to the EIlln 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
98.5%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Joe Powell for 10 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+48
98.5%
Jalen Whitlow run for 48 yds to the Ohio 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.3%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Joe Powell for 4 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
95.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 6 yds for a TD, (Jalen Whitlow failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22PUNT
13 plays · 43 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
97.0%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+2
97.1%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 5
OWN 28
+7
97.1%
Greg Windham pass complete to Jordan Reid for 7 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
97.1%
Greg Windham run for 8 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
97.3%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
97.3%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+9
97.3%
Greg Windham run for 9 yds to the EIlln 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+5
97.3%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the EIlln 37Similar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 5
OPP 37
+3
97.3%
Greg Windham run for 3 yds to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 34
0
97.3%
Dorian Brown run for no gain to the EIlln 34Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 34
0
97.2%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to Herman Brunis, broken up by Antoine JohnsonSimilar
Q4 11:37
4TH & 2
OPP 34
0
97.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 24 yds, downed at the EIlln 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EIUDrive 23FG
18 plays · 83 yds · 3:522% → 3%
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+18
98.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 18 yds to the EIlln 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
97.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Jeff LePakSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+5
98.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jeff LePak for 5 yds to the EIlln 33Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 33
+7
98.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 7 yds to the EIlln 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-5
97.9%
EASTRN ILLINOIS Penalty, illegal procedure (-5 Yards) to the EIlln 35Similar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 15
OWN 35
0
98.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 15
OWN 35
+10
98.1%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Anthony Taylor for 10 yds to the EIlln 45Similar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+8
97.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 8 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+12
97.9%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Stephen Bravo-Brown for 12 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
97.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Taylor Duncan for 7 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
97.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Jeff LePakSimilar
Q4 5:19
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
97.6%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Trey PendergrassSimilar
Q4 5:19
4TH & 3
OPP 28
+15
97.7%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Jeff LePak for 15 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+9
97.4%
Jalen Whitlow pass complete to Adam Drake for 9 yds to the Ohio 4Similar
Q4 5:19
2ND & 1
OPP 4
-3
97.4%
Jalen Whitlow sacked by Cody Grilliot for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 7Similar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
98.0%
Jalen Whitlow pass incomplete to Adam DrakeSimilar
Q4 1:27
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
97.3%
Nick Bruno 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 24END OF GAME
3 plays · -2 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 1:24
1ST & 10
50
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 49Similar
Q4 1:24
2ND & 11
OWN 49
-1
98.6%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:37
A.J. Ouellette run for 65 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+6.6
TD · Q3 7:28
JD Sprague run for 8 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)
+6.5
TD · Q2 8:05
Jalen Whitlow run for 1 yd for a TD, (Nick Bruno KICK)
-4.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com