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IDHO

Idaho 24 at Ohio 36

OHIO
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Peden Stadium
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Win probability · OHIO
modelOHIO aheadIDHO aheadconfidence bandkey playOHIO scoreIDHO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:00 · Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 5 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+29.0+14.50−14.5−29.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 31Pregame prior+23.6Home team on offense+1.2Garbage-time factor−0.1Score differential+0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.5Blowout margin+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:19: A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK) — OHIO win probability +7.3 pts (now 87%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:22: Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +6.5 pts (now 22%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 8:00: Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +15.8 pts (now 30%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 9:40: Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +8.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 6:34: Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +23.5 pts (now 30%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7IDHO made the numbers' call on 9 of 9
  1. Q1 13:34IDHO 4th & 15 at IDHO 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:58IDHO 4th & 7 at OHIO 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:51IDHO 4th & 1 at IDHO 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    19.2%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:00IDHO 4th & 4 at OHIO 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    19.4%−0.1
    51% to make
    Punt
    19.3%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:00OHIO 4th & 4 at IDHO 30, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    80.3%−0.2
    56% to make
    Punt
    79.9%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:56OHIO 4th & 5 at IDHO 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 80.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    80.4%
    83% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−2.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:45IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 36, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.3%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:41IDHO 4th & 4 at OHIO 43, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    13.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    11.9%−1.5
    28% to make
    Punt
    12.4%−1.0
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:40OHIO 4th & 27 at IDHO 45, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    81.1%−0.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    81.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:07IDHO 4th & 1 at OHIO 1, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    19.6%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    17.8%−1.8
    94% to make
    Punt
    14.4%−5.2
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:48OHIO 4th & 6 at IDHO 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 84.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.3%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    83.5%
    91% to make
    Punt
    77.6%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:38OHIO 4th & 6 at IDHO 33, up 6
    Close callKicked a field goal · 79.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    78.5%−0.5
    49% to make
    Punt
    77.5%−1.6
    average punt
  13. Q3 2:34IDHO 4th & 8 at OHIO 30, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.7%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    25.2%
    56% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−2.2
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:06OHIO 4th & 13 at OHIO 19, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−3.8
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:45IDHO 4th & 6 at IDHO 40, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 9:40OHIO 4th & 8 at IDHO 8, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.3%−1.3
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.6%
    90% to make
    Punt
    58.2%−16.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 3IDHO made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 10:12OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 10:19OHIO Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:22IDHO Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    17.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:00IDHO Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    18.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 6:34IDHO Touchdown, down 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.9%−0.5
    97% to make
    Go for two
    15.4%
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 2:09OHIO Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 1:2322% → 22%
Q1 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 14:21
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
77.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 14:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
-4
77.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cameron McLeod for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 13:34
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
77.6%
Austin Rehkow punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2FUMBLE
2 plays · 13 yds · 0:0478% → 78%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
77.5%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+7
77.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Idaho 48 Daz'mond Patterson fumbled, recovered by IdahoSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:4823% → 23%
Q1 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
77.2%
Jerrel Brown run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49Similar
Q1 12:16
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
77.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 12:07
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
77.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q1 11:58
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
77.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 28 yds, downed at the Ohio 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4TD
6 plays · 79 yds · 1:3377% → 78%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+15
77.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 15 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+42
77.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 42 yds to the Idaho 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-5
77.3%
OHIO Penalty, Sideline Interference (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 24Similar
Q1 10:22
1ST & 15
OPP 24
+12
77.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 12 yds to the Idaho 12Similar
Q1 10:12
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
78.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5INT
18 plays · 51 yds · 6:2122% → 23%
Q1 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
77.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 8 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q1 9:30
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+3
77.7%
Elijhaa Penny run for 3 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
77.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 3 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q1 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 39
0
77.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+6
77.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 6 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q1 7:51
4TH & 1
OWN 45
+7
77.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 7 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
77.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 8 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q1 7:15
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
77.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+2
77.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
77.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+2
77.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q1 5:30
3RD & 8
OPP 36
+4
77.4%
Matt Linehan run for 4 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 32
+5
77.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 5 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:42
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
76.8%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Ohio 22Similar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 5
OPP 22
-12
76.7%
Matt Linehan sacked by Kurt Laseak for a loss of 12 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 3:50
2ND & 17
OPP 34
+10
77.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 10 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 3:39
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+9
77.2%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Quentin Poling return for 9 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6FG
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:2078% → 78%
Q1 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+38
78.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 38 yds to the Idaho 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-10
78.9%
OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Idaho 46Similar
Q1 2:20
1ST & 20
OPP 46
+16
78.4%
Derrius Vick run for 16 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 2:00
2ND & 4
OPP 30
0
78.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 1:30
3RD & 4
OPP 30
0
78.6%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 1:00
4TH & 4
OPP 30
+10
77.9%
Derrius Vick run for 10 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:30
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
78.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Idaho 18Similar
Q1 0:17
2ND & 8
OPP 18
0
78.8%
Derrius Vick pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+3
78.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 3 yds to the Idaho 15Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+32
78.4%
Josiah Yazdani 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4522% → 21%
Q2 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
78.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 9 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+2
77.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the Idaho 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:46
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
78.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:10
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+4
79.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kristoffer Olugbode for 4 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q2 12:45
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+27
79.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 60 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 27 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8TD
5 plays · 69 yds · 1:5678% → 87%
Q2 12:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+54
78.3%
Derrius Vick run for 54 yds to the Idaho 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:08
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+9
79.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Idaho 13 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (7 Yards) to the Idaho 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
79.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q2 10:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
79.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
87.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9TD
18 plays · 76 yds · 4:3814% → 22%
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
85.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q2 9:35
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+11
85.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 11 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
85.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 8 yds to the Idaho 48Similar
Q2 8:30
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+3
84.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 3 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
84.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 8
OPP 47
0
84.4%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+4
85.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 4 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 7:41
4TH & 4
OPP 43
+8
85.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 8 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:14
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
84.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Ohio 35Similar
Q2 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 35
0
84.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:00
3RD & 10
OPP 35
+12
85.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Elijhaa Penny for 12 yds to the Ohio 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+10
84.5%
Elijhaa Penny run for 10 yds to the Ohio 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
84.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 7 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 6:19
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+3
84.5%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive Offside (3 Yards) to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
84.6%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 5:22
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
78.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 2:2580% → 80%
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
80.1%
Robbie Walker run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 4:56
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
80.6%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Ohio 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
80.7%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+35
80.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 35 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
81.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Idaho 27Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 14
OPP 32
0
81.6%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:45
3RD & 14
OPP 32
-13
81.3%
JD Sprague sacked by Quinton Bradley for a loss of 13 yards to the Idaho 45Similar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 27
OPP 45
0
80.2%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Curtis Brunson at the Idaho 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11DOWNS
9 plays · 86 yds · 2:2618% → 20%
Q2 2:33
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+13
81.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 13 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+48
81.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 48 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
78.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 1 yd to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
78.6%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 9
OPP 25
+17
79.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 17 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
78.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 2 yds to the Ohio 6Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
78.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
78.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Ohio 1Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
79.8%
Elijhaa Penny run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 0:01
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
81.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13FG
8 plays · 59 yds · 2:4582% → 87%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+45
82.1%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 45 yds to the Idaho 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
83.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 3 yds to the Idaho 17Similar
Q3 13:45
2ND & 7
OPP 17
+9
83.5%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
83.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q3 13:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
84.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Idaho 4Similar
Q3 12:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-2
83.4%
JD Sprague pass complete to Aaron Bradley for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 6Similar
Q3 11:48
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+22
87.3%
Josiah Yazdani 22 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 14TD
10 plays · 76 yds · 3:2513% → 30%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
87.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 5 yds to the Idaho 29Similar
Q3 11:01
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+3
86.4%
Aaron Duckworth run for 3 yds to the Idaho 32Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+2
86.5%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:49
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
86.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 15 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q3 9:00
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+4
86.4%
Elijhaa Penny run for 4 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 6
OPP 47
+7
86.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 7 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:15
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
86.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 6 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+34
70.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 32 yds · 2:2278% → 78%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
77.8%
IDAHO Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:45
1ST & 10
50
+13
79.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the Idaho 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+2
79.9%
JD Sprague run for 2 yds to the Idaho 35Similar
Q3 7:00
2ND & 8
OPP 35
+4
80.2%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Idaho 31 JD Sprague fumbled, recovered by OhioSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 4
OPP 31
-2
79.4%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 33Similar
Q3 5:38
4TH & 6
OPP 33
+50
77.7%
Josiah Yazdani 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 16FG
10 plays · 37 yds · 2:4126% → 31%
Q3 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
74.3%
Matt Linehan run for 5 yds to the Idaho 38Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+11
72.1%
Elijhaa Penny run for 11 yds to the Idaho 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
71.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 5 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 4:14
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
71.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for 2 yds to the Ohio 44Similar
Q3 3:31
3RD & 3
OPP 44
+12
71.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 12 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:18
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+7
69.3%
Elijhaa Penny run for 7 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 2:44
2ND & 3
OPP 25
0
68.7%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:44
3RD & 3
OPP 25
-5
70.5%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 2:40
3RD & 8
OPP 30
0
71.2%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:34
4TH & 8
OPP 30
+47
69.1%
Austin Rehkow 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:0471% → 68%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-11
70.7%
OHIO Penalty, Illegal Block (-11 Yards) to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 1:59
1ST & 21
OWN 11
0
70.4%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:53
2ND & 21
OWN 11
0
70.2%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:42
3RD & 21
OWN 11
+8
68.7%
JD Sprague run for 8 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q3 1:06
4TH & 13
OWN 19
+2
67.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 47 yds , David Ungerer returns for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:0031% → 29%
Q3 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
68.9%
Elijhaa Penny run for 6 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 0:18
2ND & 4
OWN 42
-7
66.4%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cameron McLeod for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 35
+5
71.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 5 yds to the Idaho 40Similar
Q4 14:45
4TH & 6
OWN 40
0
71.1%
Austin Rehkow punt for 52 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19FG
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:3473% → 85%
Q4 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+1
73.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 13:55
2ND & 9
OWN 9
+1
72.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Ohio 10Similar
Q4 13:18
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+29
71.6%
JD Sprague pass complete to Jordan Reid for 29 yds to the Ohio 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:18
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
75.2%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 34Similar
Q4 12:38
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+4
73.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q4 12:12
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+38
74.5%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 38 yds to the Idaho 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:59
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
78.0%
JD Sprague pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+15
77.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 15 yds to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
78.0%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 10:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
-4
78.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 12Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+4
76.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 4 yds to the Idaho 8Similar
Q4 9:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
85.2%
Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 20INT
5 plays · -9 yds · 0:5223% → 20%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
77.5%
IDAHO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
-4
78.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to David Ungerer for a loss of 4 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 8:42
3RD & 19
OWN 16
+32
79.7%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Quentin Poling return for 32 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21TD
3 plays · 5 yds · 0:5088% → 94%
Q4 8:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
88.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the Idaho 4Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
88.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q4 7:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
94.3%
JD Sprague run for 1 yd for a TD, (JD Sprague pass failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 22TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 0:398% → 30%
Q4 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
92.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Richard MontgomerySimilar
Q4 7:08
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
92.8%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:01
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+13
93.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 13 yds to the Idaho 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+52
69.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
12 plays · 62 yds · 3:4386% → 98%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+7
85.8%
JD Sprague run for 7 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q4 5:15
2ND & 3
OWN 45
+2
86.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 5:01
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
86.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
87.2%
OHIO Penalty, False Start (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 44Similar
Q4 3:52
1ST & 15
OWN 44
+9
87.1%
JD Sprague run for 9 yds to the Idaho 47Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 6
OPP 47
+13
88.7%
Tim Edmond run for 13 yds to the Idaho 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+26
90.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 26 yds to the Idaho 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
90.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q4 2:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
91.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Idaho 3Similar
Q4 2:09
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
97.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 3 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 24INT
5 plays · 16 yds · 0:503% → 3%
Q4 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.1%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
97.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 8 yds to the Idaho 33Similar
Q4 1:30
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+8
97.0%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 8 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+31
97.0%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Quentin Poling return for 31 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25END OF GAME
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:5998% → 98%
Q4 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-2
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 16Similar
Q4 0:35
2ND & 12
OPP 16
-1
98.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 17Similar
Q4 0:05
3RD & 13
OPP 17
-1
98.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 6:34
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-23.5
TD · Q3 8:00
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 34 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)
-15.8
FG · Q4 9:40
Josiah Yazdani 25 yd FG GOOD
+8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com