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WMU

Western Michigan 45 at Idaho 33

IDHO
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Kibbie Dome
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Win probability · IDHO
modelIDHO aheadWMU aheadconfidence bandkey playIDHO scoreWMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDSAFETYFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:09 · Austin Rehkow punt for 61 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 3
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingTime per score still needed
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense−14.0Score differential−8.8Garbage-time factor−4.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−1.2Time per score still needed+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 9:41: Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 57 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +10.4 pts (now 59%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:09: Jarvion Franklin run for 39 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +8.8 pts (now 73%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  3. FG · Q3 8:03: Andrew Haldeman 18 yd FG GOOD — WMU win probability +11.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:22: Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 8 yds for a TD, (Richard Montgomery KICK), (Austin Rehkow KICK) — IDHO win probability +9.2 pts (now 27%) (top driver: IDHO has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:23: Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK) — WMU win probability +12.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WMU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
IDHO made the numbers' call on 5 of 8WMU made the numbers' call on 2 of 4
  1. Q1 15:00IDHO 4th & 7 at IDHO 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:54IDHO 4th & 7 at WMU 44, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 56.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    56.7%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    56.5%−0.2
    27% to make
    Punt
    56.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 14:58IDHO 4th & 6 at WMU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 53.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.7%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.9%
    91% to make
    Punt
    48.2%−4.7
    average punt
  4. Q2 5:43IDHO 4th & 7 at WMU 33, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.7%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    41.7%−0.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    40.9%−0.8
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:09IDHO 4th & 20 at IDHO 29, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.1%−2.7
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.8%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:47WMU 4th & 1 at IDHO 41, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 73.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    73.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    67.7%−5.4
    32% to make
    Punt
    68.6%−4.6
    average punt
  7. Q3 8:03WMU 4th & 1 at IDHO 1, up 16
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.7 ptsKicked a field goal · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.4%−3.7
    94% to make
    Punt
    65.6%−13.6
    average punt
  8. Q3 5:41IDHO 4th & 11 at WMU 43, down 19
    Close callWent for it · 17.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%−0.7
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    16.9%−1.3
    28% to make
    Punt
    18.2%
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00IDHO 4th & 5 at IDHO 30, down 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.1%−0.5
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:50WMU 4th & 8 at WMU 29, up 19
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.9%−0.8
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.7%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:10IDHO 4th & 18 at WMU 41, down 19
    Close callPunted · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.7
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    5.0%
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.9%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:03WMU 4th & 5 at IDHO 41, up 19
    Close callPunted · 98.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.7%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.3
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−0.3
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
IDHO made the numbers' call on 3 of 4WMU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 13:00WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:52IDHO Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:53WMU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 13:15WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 11:44IDHO Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 9:41WMU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 3:09WMU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 3:22IDHO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 0:23WMU Touchdown, up 18 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:38IDHO Touchdown, down 13 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    4.7%−0.2
    97% to make
    Go for two
    4.9%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
IDHODrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 0:0051% → 51%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-2
50.9%
Richard Montgomery run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
50.9%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 20
+10
50.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 10 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 30
-5
50.9%
Austin Rehkow punt 53 yards to the WMU17, BRAVERMAN return to the WMU17 (Jacob Sannon), PENALTY IDAHO illegal formation 5 yards to the IDAHO25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 25
0
50.9%
Austin Rehkow punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WMich 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 2TD
1 play · 61 yds · 0:0050% → 50%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+61
50.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 61 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 3TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 7:0850% → 54%
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
50.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 15 yds to the Idaho 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
50.6%
Matt Linehan run for 1 yd to the Idaho 41Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 9
OWN 41
0
50.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 9
OWN 41
+12
50.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jacob Sannon for 12 yds to the WMich 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
50.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 45Similar
Q1 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-4
50.7%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 4 yards to the WMich 49Similar
Q1 13:00
3RD & 12
OPP 49
+5
50.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 5 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q1 9:54
4TH & 7
OPP 44
+11
50.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 11 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
50.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 5 yds to the WMich 28Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 5
OPP 28
+4
50.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 24Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 1
OPP 24
+2
50.5%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the WMich 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
50.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin PodrabskySimilar
Q1 9:54
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+5
50.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jake Manley for 5 yds to the WMich 17Similar
Q1 9:54
3RD & 5
OPP 17
+7
50.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 7 yds to the WMich 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
50.7%
Jerrel Brown run for no gain to the WMich 10Similar
Q1 9:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
50.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 3 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 5:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
53.5%
Matt Linehan run for 7 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 4TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 3:5348% → 54%
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
52.2%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 1 yd to the WMich 29Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+3
52.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+10
52.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 10 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+41
51.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 26 yds to the IDAHO 32 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Grabski) to the Idaho 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:46
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
50.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Idaho 14Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 7
OPP 14
0
50.9%
Zach Terrell pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:46
3RD & 7
OPP 14
+11
51.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 11 yds to the Idaho 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
50.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Idaho 1Similar
Q1 1:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
45.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd for a TD IDAHO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 5FG
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:4948% → 52%
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
48.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (N/A) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
50
0
49.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 10
50
+15
49.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCain, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT) 15 yards to the WMU35, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+24
50.2%
Matt Linehan run for 12 yds to the WMich 23 for a 1ST down WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (Donald Celiscar) to the WMich 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
50.3%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the WMich 7Similar
Q1 1:47
2ND & 6
OPP 7
0
50.3%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:47
3RD & 6
OPP 7
0
49.5%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the WMich 7Similar
Q2 14:58
4TH & 6
OPP 7
+17
52.0%
Austin Rehkow 17 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 6TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4349% → 58%
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
50.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 10 yds to the WMich 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
50.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the WMich 36 Jarvion Franklin fumbled, recovered by WMich N/ASimilar
Q2 14:58
2ND & 9
OWN 36
0
50.4%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:58
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+33
50.8%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 33 yds to the Idaho 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
42.3%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 31 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK), (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 7TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:3144% → 51%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
44.0%
Richard Montgomery run for 3 yds to the Idaho 28Similar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+10
44.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 10 yds to the Idaho 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
44.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon WatsonSimilar
Q2 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
44.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Joshua McCainSimilar
Q2 11:44
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+62
50.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Richard Montgomery for 62 yds for a TD, (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 8TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 2:0350% → 59%
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
50.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 29Similar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+9
49.9%
Zach Terrell run for 9 yds to the WMich 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
49.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
49.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the WMich 43Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+57
41.4%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 57 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 9INT
13 plays · 63 yds · 3:5844% → 40%
Q2 9:41
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+15
43.5%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the WMich 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 20
OWN 15
+11
41.9%
Richard Montgomery run for 11 yds to the Idaho 26Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+19
42.0%
Jerrel Brown run for 19 yds to the Idaho 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
43.1%
Jerrel Brown run for 4 yds to the Idaho 49Similar
Q2 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
43.8%
Jerrel Brown run for 1 yd to the WMich 35Similar
Q2 9:41
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+2
45.0%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jerrel Brown for 2 yds to the WMich 33Similar
Q2 9:41
3RD & 7
OPP 33
0
43.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Justin Podrabsky, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 5:43
4TH & 7
OPP 33
+26
39.3%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 26 yds to the WMich 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
42.1%
Jerrel Brown run for a loss of 5 yards to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
0
42.0%
Matt Linehan run for no gain to the WMich 12Similar
Q2 5:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+57
40.4%
Matt Linehan pass intercepted Chance Stewart return for 57 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 10TD
2 plays · 41 yds · 0:5165% → 73%
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
35.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Idaho 39Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 8
OPP 39
+39
26.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 39 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 4 yds · 0:0028% → 27%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
27.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 14 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
28.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
29.6%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, broken up by Ronald ZamortSimilar
Q2 3:09
3RD & 7
OWN 42
-8
29.1%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Idaho 34Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 15
OWN 34
-5
27.3%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Idaho 29Similar
Q2 3:09
4TH & 20
OWN 29
-7
27.3%
Austin Rehkow punt for 61 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 12SF
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:4977% → 76%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
23.1%
Dareyon Chance run for no gain to the WMich 3Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 3
-1
23.2%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, substitution infraction (-1 Yards) to the WMich 2Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 11
OWN 2
-1
21.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for a loss of 1 yard to the WMich 1Similar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 12
OWN 1
+4
22.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the WMich 5Similar
Q2 0:29
4TH & 8
OWN 5
-5
23.6%
Wyatt Pfeifer run for a loss of 5 yards for a SAFETYSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -1 yds · 0:0028% → 29%
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
28.0%
WESTRN MICHIGAN Penalty, OF (5 Yards) to the Idaho 42Similar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 5
OWN 42
-6
29.3%
Matt Linehan sacked by Jarrell McKinney for a loss of 6 yards to the Idaho 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 14FG
14 plays · 63 yds · 6:4477% → 89%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
23.1%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 44Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
22.4%
Dareyon Chance run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
50
+5
22.2%
Zach Terrell run for 5 yds to the Idaho 45Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+3
22.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Idaho 42Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+1
22.5%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Idaho 41Similar
Q3 14:47
4TH & 1
OPP 41
+2
23.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
22.2%
Dareyon Chance run for 13 yds to the Idaho 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
21.9%
Dareyon Chance run for 3 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & 7
OPP 23
+14
21.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 5 yds to the Idaho 18 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Quayshawne Buckley) to the Idaho 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
21.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 4 yds to the Idaho 5Similar
Q3 14:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
21.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Idaho 2Similar
Q3 14:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
22.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Idaho 1Similar
Q3 8:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
11.2%
Andrew Haldeman 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 15TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:3117% → 27%
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
16.7%
Jerrel Brown run for 3 yds to the Idaho 34Similar
Q3 7:53
2ND & 7
OWN 34
+2
16.9%
Jerrel Brown run for 2 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q3 7:53
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+22
16.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 22 yds to the WMich 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
18.3%
IDAHO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the WMich 47Similar
Q3 7:53
1ST & 15
OPP 47
0
17.7%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Devon BrantSimilar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+6
15.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Deon Watson for 6 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q3 5:41
3RD & 9
OPP 41
-2
16.5%
Matt Linehan run for a loss of 2 yards to the WMich 43Similar
Q3 5:41
4TH & 11
OPP 43
+12
15.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kristoffer Olugbode for 12 yds to the WMich 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
17.4%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 11 yds to the WMich 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
17.6%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 9 yds to the WMich 11Similar
Q3 5:41
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+3
17.6%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for 3 yds to the WMich 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
26.8%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 8 yds for a TD, (Richard Montgomery KICK), (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 16TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5082% → 96%
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+27
17.8%
Daniel Braverman run for 27 yds to the Idaho 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
17.2%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Corey DavisSimilar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
17.5%
Zach Terrell pass incomplete to Jarvion FranklinSimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+14
17.7%
Zach Terrell pass complete to Corey Davis for 14 yds to the Idaho 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:13
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
17.2%
Jarvion Franklin run for 1 yd to the Idaho 13Similar
Q3 3:13
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+6
17.2%
Dareyon Chance run for 6 yds to the Idaho 7Similar
Q3 0:23
3RD & 3
OPP 7
+7
4.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:239% → 9%
Q3 0:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
9.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Justin Podrabsky for 2 yds to the Idaho 27Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-7
9.0%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the Idaho 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+10
8.9%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Jared Klingenberg for 10 yds to the Idaho 30Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
-7
9.0%
Richard Montgomery punt for 50 yds , Daniel Braverman returns for a loss of 7 yards to the WMich 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:0096% → 95%
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-5
4.4%
FRANKLIN rush for loss of 1 yard to the WMU12 (Marc Millan), PENALTY WMU illegal shift 5 yards to the WMU8, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 15
OWN 8
+13
4.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 21Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+6
4.3%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the WMich 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-3
4.3%
Daniel Braverman run for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 24Similar
Q4 13:50
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+8
4.4%
Jarvion Franklin run for 8 yds to the WMich 32Similar
Q4 13:50
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-3
4.4%
Zach Terrell sacked by Quayshawne Buckley for a loss of 3 yards to the WMich 29Similar
Q4 13:50
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
4.6%
J. Schroeder punt for 50 yds, downed at the Idaho 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 19PUNT
14 plays · 38 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
5.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 2 yds to the Idaho 23Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+2
5.0%
Matt Linehan run for 2 yds to the Idaho 25Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 6
OWN 25
+5
5.0%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to David Ungerer, PENALTY WMU pass interference (BRANT) 5 yards to the IDAHO30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
5.5%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Deon Watson, PENALTY WMU pass interference (ZAMORT) 15 yards to the WMU44, 1ST DOWN IDAHO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
5.8%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+3
5.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 3 yds to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+8
5.7%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 8 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
6.3%
Matt Linehan pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
6.1%
Matt Linehan pass incomplete to Jacob SannonSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 10
OPP 33
-8
5.8%
Matt Linehan sacked by Cleveland Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the WMich 41Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 18
OPP 41
0
5.3%
Richard Montgomery punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
5.1%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kristoffer Olugbode for 6 yds to the Idaho 36Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 4
OWN 36
-1
5.4%
Kristoffer Olugbode run for a loss of 1 yard to the Idaho 35Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 5
OWN 35
+6
5.2%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Kristoffer Olugbode for 6 yds to the Idaho 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 39 yds · 2:5098% → 99%
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
1.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 13 yds to the WMich 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+21
1.9%
Jarvion Franklin run for 6 yds to the Idaho 39 for a 1ST down IDAHO Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Irving Steele) to the Idaho 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:53
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
1.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 5:53
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+2
1.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 2 yds to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 5:53
3RD & 5
OPP 41
0
1.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for no gain to the Idaho 41Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 5
OPP 41
0
1.1%
J. Schroeder punt for 16 yds, downed at the Idaho 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
IDHODrive 21TD
1 play · 75 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 2:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
4.5%
Matt Linehan pass complete to Joshua McCain for 75 yds for a TD, (Richard Montgomery KICK), (Austin Rehkow KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WMUDrive 22END OF GAME
6 plays · 23 yds · 1:0196% → 97%
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
3.7%
Jarvion Franklin run for 3 yds to the Idaho 43Similar
Q4 2:02
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+22
3.8%
Jarvion Franklin run for 22 yds to the Idaho 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:02
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
3.6%
TEAM run for no gain to the Idaho 21Similar
Q4 1:01
2ND & 10
OPP 21
-2
2.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Idaho 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 0:23
Jarvion Franklin run for 7 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-12.9
FG · Q3 8:03
Andrew Haldeman 18 yd FG GOOD
-11.1
TD · Q2 9:41
Zach Terrell pass complete to Daniel Braverman for 57 yds for a TD, (Andrew Haldeman KICK)
-10.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com