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VMI

VMI 7 at Bowling Green 48

BGSU
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Doyt L. Perry Stadium
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Win probability · BGSU
modelBGSU aheadVMI aheadconfidence bandkey playBGSU scoreVMI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Joe Davidson punt for 44 yds , Dane Forlines returns for 1 yd to the VMI 28 VMI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the VMI 20
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 110Pregame prior+35.7Home team on offense+25.7Score differential+21.4Blowout margin+8.4Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+6.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 14:16: Fred Coppet run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +0.7 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:16: Travis Greene run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK) — BGSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:29: Hayden Alford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK) — VMI win probability +0.9 pts (now 2%) (top driver: VMI has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q2 3:26: James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 30 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST down — BGSU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:46: Travis Greene run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate MISSED) — BGSU win probability +0.6 pts (now 100%) (top driver: BGSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6VMI made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00VMI 4th & 1 at VMI 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:47VMI 4th & 7 at VMI 41, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.1%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:48BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:33VMI 4th & 6 at VMI 38, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.7%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:33VMI 4th & 11 at VMI 46, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:08VMI 4th & 4 at VMI 33, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 8:29BGSU 4th & 7 at BGSU 40, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:40VMI 4th & 10 at VMI 27, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.7%
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:13BGSU 4th & 8 at VMI 43, up 21
    Close callPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00BGSU 4th & 8 at BGSU 27, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:47VMI 4th & 26 at VMI 29, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:53VMI 4th & 2 at VMI 27, down 34
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%−<0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:44BGSU 4th & 5 at VMI 44, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:37BGSU 4th & 5 at VMI 15, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    83% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:25VMI 4th & 5 at BGSU 14, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:29VMI 4th & 17 at VMI 47, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
BGSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4VMI made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:22BGSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:16BGSU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:16BGSU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:29VMI Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    1.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    1.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:45BGSU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
VMIDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+10
98.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 10 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
98.7%
Deon Watts run for 3 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-1
98.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 40
+7
98.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Doug Burton for 7 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 47
0
98.7%
Hayden Alford punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 2TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:0999% → 98%
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 33Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+4
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 37Similar
Q1 12:31
3RD & 2
OWN 37
+2
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+17
98.5%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 17 yds to the VMI 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the VMI 39Similar
Q1 12:31
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+5
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the VMI 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:31
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+33
98.5%
Travis Greene run for 33 yds to the VMI 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
James Knapke run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 3PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 1:282% → 2%
Q1 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
98.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 4 yds to the VMI 30Similar
Q1 10:15
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
98.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 5 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+3
98.2%
Jabari Turner run for 3 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
98.2%
Jabari Turner run for 9 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 1
OWN 47
-1
98.2%
Jabari Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
98.2%
VMI Penalty, false start (N/A) to the VMI 41Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 7
OWN 41
0
98.2%
Hayden Alford punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 6:48
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
98.1%
Travis Greene run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 6:48
2ND & 8
OWN 25
0
98.1%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q1 6:48
3RD & 8
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 25Similar
Q1 6:48
4TH & 8
OWN 25
0
98.0%
Joe Davidson punt for 41 yds , Dane Forlines returns for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:552% → 2%
Q1 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
97.9%
Derrick Ziglar run for no gain to the VMI 34Similar
Q1 5:28
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
97.9%
Derrick Ziglar run for 2 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q1 5:28
3RD & 8
OWN 36
+2
97.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Derrick Ziglar for 2 yds to the VMI 38Similar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 6
OWN 38
+75
98.1%
Hayden Alford punt for 37 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 75 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
98.1%
Al Cobb pass complete to Matthew Nicholson for 7 yds to the VMI 32Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+15
98.1%
Al Cobb pass complete to Doug Burton for 15 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:33
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
98.1%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 2 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q1 3:33
2ND & 8
OWN 49
-3
98.1%
Deon Watts run for a loss of 3 yards to the VMI 46Similar
Q1 3:33
3RD & 11
OWN 46
0
98.1%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Doug BurtonSimilar
Q1 3:33
4TH & 11
OWN 46
0
98.2%
Hayden Alford punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Ryan Burbrink at the BwGrn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 86 yds · 1:5098% → 99%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
98.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 9 yds to the BwGrn 23Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+9
98.1%
Fred Coppet run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
98.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 4 yds to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 6
OWN 36
+17
98.1%
James Knapke run for 17 yds to the VMI 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
98.1%
Fred Coppet run for 21 yds to the VMI 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
98.1%
Fred Coppet run for 7 yds to the VMI 19Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+4
98.1%
James Knapke pass complete to Herve Coby for 4 yds to the VMI 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
98.7%
Fred Coppet run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
98.6%
Jabari Turner run for 2 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+4
98.6%
Jabari Turner run for 4 yds to the VMI 33Similar
Q2 14:08
3RD & 4
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Hayden Alford pass incomplete to Deon WattsSimilar
Q2 14:08
4TH & 4
OWN 33
0
98.6%
Hayden Alford punt for 45 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for no gain to the BwGrn 33 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal block (Roger Lewis) to the BwGrn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 9TD
6 plays · 88 yds · 1:2199% → 99%
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+12
98.7%
Travis Greene run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+41
98.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 41 yds to the VMI 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-1
98.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 36Similar
Q2 12:37
2ND & 11
OPP 36
+10
98.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 10 yds to the VMI 26Similar
Q2 12:37
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+5
98.7%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the VMI 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+21
99.4%
Travis Greene run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 10TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:401% → 2%
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.3%
Derrick Ziglar run for 5 yds to the VMI 36Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+10
99.3%
Hayden Alford pass complete to Dane Forlines for 10 yds to the VMI 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
99.3%
Hayden Alford pass complete to Doug Burton for 12 yds to the BwGrn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:09
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
99.3%
Deon Watts run for no gain to the BwGrn 42Similar
Q2 11:09
2ND & 10
OPP 42
+41
99.3%
Hayden Alford pass complete to Doug Burton for 41 yds to the BwGrn 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.4%
Hayden Alford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
98.8%
Travis Greene run for 12 yds to the BwGrn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
98.9%
Travis Greene run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 40Similar
Q2 8:29
2ND & 7
OWN 40
0
98.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 8:29
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
98.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Travis Greene, broken up by Joe NelsonSimilar
Q2 8:29
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
98.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 1%
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
98.5%
Jabari Turner run for a loss of 2 yards to the VMI 25Similar
Q2 7:40
2ND & 12
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Hayden Alford pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders, broken up by Bryan ThomasSimilar
Q2 7:40
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+2
98.6%
Hayden Alford run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q2 7:40
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
98.6%
Hayden Alford punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the BwGrn 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
98.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 4 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
98.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath Jackson, broken up by Logan StaibSimilar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+9
98.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ryan Burbrink for 9 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
98.9%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig DieterSimilar
Q2 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+2
98.9%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the VMI 43Similar
Q2 6:13
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
98.8%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Roger LewisSimilar
Q2 6:13
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
98.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Dane Forlines at the VMI 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 14INT
4 plays · 26 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
98.5%
Al Cobb pass complete to Calvin Michie for 15 yds to the VMI 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.5%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Calvin Michie, broken up by Paul SennSimilar
Q2 4:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
98.5%
Deon Watts run for 11 yds to the VMI 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:51
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+29
98.5%
Al Cobb pass intercepted Ryland Ward return for 19 yds to the BOWLGREEN 45 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the VMI 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 15TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:4099% → 100%
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+30
98.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 30 yds to the VMI 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:26
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
98.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for 12 yds to the VMI 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:46
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Travis Greene run for 7 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 67 yds · 2:270% → 1%
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.8%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Jabari TurnerSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Al Cobb run for 7 yds to the VMI 34Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+4
99.7%
Al Cobb run for 4 yds to the VMI 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+22
99.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 22 yds to the BwGrn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 6 yds to the BwGrn 34Similar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+5
99.7%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 5 yds to the BwGrn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
99.7%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders, broken up by Gabe MartinSimilar
Q2 2:40
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+9
99.7%
Deon Watts run for 9 yds to the BwGrn 20Similar
Q2 0:49
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+14
99.6%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 14 yds to the BwGrn 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Doug BurtonSimilar
Q2 0:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q2 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
99.6%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Matthew NicholsonSimilar
Q2 0:13
4TH & 0
OPP 6
+23
99.5%
Dillon Christopher 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 17END OF HALF
1 play · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.7%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 6 yds to the BwGrn 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Fred Coppet run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Heath Jackson, broken up by Doug MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.7%
James Knapke pass incomplete to Gehrig Dieter, broken up by Alijah RobinsonSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 27
+1
99.7%
Joe Davidson punt for 44 yds , Dane Forlines returns for 1 yd to the VMI 28 VMI Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the VMI 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 19PUNT TD
9 plays · 9 yds · 3:341% → 0%
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
99.3%
Al Cobb pass complete to Darrian Johnson for 9 yds to the VMI 29Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 1
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Andrew LewisSimilar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+4
99.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Kyle Vardo for 4 yds to the VMI 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+12
99.2%
Deon Watts run for 12 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-11
99.2%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 4 yds to the VMI 49 VMI Penalty, tripping (-15 Yards) to the VMI 34Similar
Q3 14:21
1ST & 21
OWN 34
-1
99.2%
Deon Watts run for a loss of 1 yard to the VMI 33Similar
Q3 14:21
2ND & 22
OWN 33
0
99.2%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Dane ForlinesSimilar
Q3 14:21
3RD & 22
OWN 33
-4
99.2%
Al Cobb sacked by Gus Schwieterman for a loss of 4 yards to the VMI 29Similar
Q3 10:47
4TH & 26
OWN 29
+14
99.8%
Hayden Alford punt blocked by Herve Coby blocked by Herve Coby Herve Coby return for 14 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 20FUMBLE
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+16
99.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 16 yds to the VMI 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+11
99.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Doug Burton for 11 yds to the BwGrn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
99.8%
Jabari Turner run for 3 yds to the BwGrn 38Similar
Q3 10:40
2ND & 7
OPP 38
0
99.7%
Jabari Turner run for no gain to the BwGrn 38 Jabari Turner fumbled, forced by Paul Senn, recovered by BwGrn Paul SennSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 21INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-10
99.8%
James Knapke pass intercepted James Fruehan return for a loss of 10 yards to the VMI 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 8:53
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
99.8%
Jabari Turner run for 1 yd to the VMI 20Similar
Q3 8:53
2ND & 9
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
Al Cobb pass complete to Matthew Nicholson for 5 yds to the VMI 25Similar
Q3 8:53
3RD & 4
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Deon Watts run for 2 yds to the VMI 27Similar
Q3 8:53
4TH & 2
OWN 27
+6
99.8%
Hayden Alford punt for 40 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for 6 yds to the BwGrn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
99.8%
Travis Greene run for 12 yds to the VMI 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
99.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Heath Jackson for no gain to the VMI 49Similar
Q3 6:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 4 yds to the VMI 45Similar
Q3 6:44
3RD & 6
OPP 45
+1
99.8%
James Knapke pass complete to Ronnie Moore for 1 yd to the VMI 44Similar
Q3 6:44
4TH & 5
OPP 44
0
99.8%
Joe Davidson punt for 40 yds, downed at the VMI 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 24FUMBLE
4 plays · 16 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+12
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 12 yds to the VMI 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+2
99.9%
Deon Watts run for 2 yds to the VMI 18Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+2
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Deon Watts for 2 yds Deon Watts fumbled, forced by Gus Schwieterman, recovered by BwGrn Gus SchwietermanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 25MISSED FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 2:02100% → 100%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 5 yds to the VMI 15Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 5
OPP 15
-15
99.9%
COPPET, Fred rush for 5 yards to the VMI10 (Alex Keys), PENALTY BGSU clipping 15 yards to the VMI30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 20
OPP 30
+10
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 10 yds to the VMI 20Similar
Q3 3:39
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+5
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Gehrig Dieter for 5 yds to the VMI 15Similar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 5
OPP 15
+33
99.9%
Tyler Tate 33 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Greg SandersSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 26DOWNS
14 plays · 64 yds · 4:120% → 0%
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Calvin MichieSimilar
Q3 1:37
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+9
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Chad Jacob for 9 yds to the VMI 31Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 1
OWN 31
-5
99.9%
VMI Penalty, false start (Calvin Michie) to the VMI 26Similar
Q3 1:37
3RD & 6
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Deon WattsSimilar
Q3 1:37
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+16
99.9%
Hayden Alford punt 37 yards to the BGSU37, fair catch by BURBRINK, Ryan, PENALTY BGSU roughing the kicker (COPPET, Fred) 16 yards to the VMI42, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders, broken up by Andre GivensSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 5 yds to the VMI 47Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 47
+7
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Darrian Johnson for 7 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+27
99.9%
Al Cobb pass complete to Dane Forlines for 27 yds to the BwGrn 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Deon Watts run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+1
99.9%
Deon Watts run for 1 yd to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Aaron SandersSimilar
Q4 12:25
4TH & 5
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Al Cobb pass incomplete to Dane Forlines, broken up by Clint StephensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 27TD
10 plays · 86 yds · 3:29100% → 100%
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-3
99.9%
Travis Greene run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 11Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 13
OWN 11
+3
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 3 yds to the BwGrn 14Similar
Q4 12:14
3RD & 10
OWN 14
+11
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 11 yds to the BwGrn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Travis Greene run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 30Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+5
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Travis Greene for 5 yds to the BwGrn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 43Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+4
99.9%
Fred Coppet run for 4 yds to the BwGrn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
99.9%
James Knapke pass complete to Chris Pohlman for 2 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 12:14
2ND & 8
OWN 49
0
99.9%
Travis Greene run for no gain to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 8
OWN 49
+51
100.0%
James Knapke pass complete to Roger Lewis for 51 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 28PUNT
10 plays · 17 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
100.0%
Jabari Turner run for 5 yds to the VMI 35Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+8
100.0%
Jabari Turner run for 8 yds to the VMI 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
Jabari Turner run for 6 yds to the VMI 49Similar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
Jabari Turner run for 5 yds to the BwGrn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Hayden Alford pass incomplete to Matthew NicholsonSimilar
Q4 8:37
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Hayden Alford pass incomplete to Calvin MichieSimilar
Q4 8:37
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-7
100.0%
Hayden Alford sacked by Terrance Bush for a loss of 7 yards to the VMI 47Similar
Q4 5:29
4TH & 17
OWN 47
0
100.0%
Hayden Alford punt for 32 yds , Ryan Burbrink returns for no gain to the BwGrn 17 Ryan Burbrink fumbled, forced by TEAM, recovered by BwGrn Ronnie MooreSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
BGSUDrive 29FUMBLE
13 plays · 46 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+16
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 16 yds to the BwGrn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:17
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 8 yds to the BwGrn 41Similar
Q4 5:17
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+2
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 2 yds to the BwGrn 43 Andre Givens fumbled, forced by Miller Williams, recovered by BwGrn for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 6 yds to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 4
OWN 49
-13
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 5 yds to the BOWLGREEN 46 BOWLING GREEN Penalty, personal foul (-18 Yards) to the BwGrn 36Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 19
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Cody Callaway pass complete to Herve Coby for 8 yds to the BwGrn 44Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 11
OWN 44
+11
100.0%
Cody Callaway pass complete to John Klingerman for 11 yds to the VMI 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
100.0%
Andre Givens run for 4 yds to the VMI 41Similar
Q4 4:34
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
100.0%
Cody Callaway run for no gain to the VMI 41Similar
Q4 4:34
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+10
100.0%
Cody Callaway pass complete to Trevor Roop for 10 yds to the VMI 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-5
100.0%
BOWLING GREEN Penalty, false start (N/A) to the VMI 36Similar
Q4 4:34
1ST & 15
OPP 36
+10
100.0%
Cody Callaway run for 1 yd to the VMI 47 Cody Callaway fumbled, forced by Greg Sanders, recovered by VMI Ryan Francis , return for 10 yds to the VMI 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
VMIDrive 30END OF GAME
9 plays · 51 yds · 1:580% → 0%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+7
100.0%
Taylor Stout run for 7 yds to the BwGrn 46Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 3
OPP 46
-3
100.0%
Taylor Stout run for a loss of 3 yards to the BwGrn 49Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+34
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass complete to Aaron Sanders for 34 yds to the BwGrn 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders, broken up by Matt RobinsonSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+13
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass incomplete to Aaron Sanders (DELK, Diontre), PENALTY BGSU pass interference (DELK, Diontre) 13 yards to the BGSU2, 1ST DOWN VMI, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass incomplete to Matthew NicholsonSimilar
Q4 0:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass incomplete to Matthew Nicholson, broken up by Izaah LunsfordSimilar
Q4 0:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
0
100.0%
Ryan Swingle pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Malik BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 8:29
Hayden Alford run for 1 yd for a TD, (Dillon Christopher KICK)
-0.9
TD · Q2 14:16
Fred Coppet run for 15 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+0.7
TD · Q2 11:16
Travis Greene run for 21 yds for a TD, (Tyler Tate KICK)
+0.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com