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USA

South Alabama 23 at Kent State 13

KENT
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadUSA aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreUSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4SAFETYTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:42 · Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remainingPregame prior
+38.5+19.30−19.3−38.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Home team on offense−6.0Score differential−3.4Garbage-time factor−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−3.0Pregame prior−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 8:01: Jay Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +13.1 pts (now 73%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 14:49: Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 44 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +21.9 pts (now 49%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q4 14:49: KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8 — KENT win probability +4.8 pts (now 54%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:04: Jay Jones run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45 — USA win probability +10.6 pts (now 77%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:12: Jay Jones run for 23 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK) — USA win probability +5.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: USA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 7 of 9USA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 47.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.6%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.6%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:37USA 4th & 7 at USA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.0%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 12:13KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    48.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 10:51USA 4th & 8 at KENT 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 51.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.6%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    51.5%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    51.6%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:41KENT 4th & 5 at KENT 44, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00USA 4th & 6 at USA 24, up 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.4%−0.5
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.9%
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:55KENT 4th & 8 at KENT 31, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−1.0
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:56USA 4th & 1 at USA 49, up 9
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.4%−1.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:05KENT 4th & 9 at KENT 21, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.9%−1.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%
    average punt
  10. Q2 0:10USA 4th & 10 at USA 37, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.2%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.1%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00USA 4th & 4 at KENT 40, up 10
    Close callPunted · 66.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    65.3%−1.4
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.8%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:49KENT 4th & 14 at KENT 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 30.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.4%−1.7
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:26USA 4th & 11 at USA 19, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.7%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:30KENT 4th & 10 at USA 38, down 10
    Close callPunted · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.6%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    28.4%−0.2
    38% to make
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%−0.2
    average punt
  15. Q3 5:27USA 4th & 5 at USA 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 72.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.6%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:42USA 4th & 5 at USA 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−1.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:00KENT 4th & 4 at USA 15, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.4%−3.3
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    44.7%
    83% to make
    Punt
    27.5%−17.2
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:00USA 4th & 1 at USA 44, up 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 5.1 ptsPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.4%−5.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:01KENT 4th & 15 at KENT 18, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.9%−3.8
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.7%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 1 of 1USA made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 2:46USA Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 8:01USA Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:49KENT Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 1:12USA Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
KENTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
47.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
47.5%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+6
47.5%
Colin Reardon run for 6 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
47.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 38 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 13:37
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-1
47.8%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 27Similar
Q1 13:37
2ND & 11
OWN 27
0
47.8%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 11
OWN 27
-5
47.9%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Harrison Louden) to the SAlab 22Similar
Q1 13:37
3RD & 16
OWN 22
+9
47.9%
Jay Jones run for 9 yds to the SAlab 31Similar
Q1 13:37
4TH & 7
OWN 31
+8
47.9%
Brandon McKee punt for 48 yds , James Brooks returns for 8 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 12:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
48.2%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 12:13
2ND & 8
OWN 31
0
48.2%
Colin Reardon run for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q1 12:13
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
48.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q1 12:13
4TH & 8
OWN 31
+42
47.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 42 yds , T.J. Glover returns for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
48.3%
Jay Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 26Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+3
48.3%
Jay Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+8
48.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 8 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
48.2%
Brandon Bridge run for 7 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+9
47.9%
Kendall Houston run for 9 yds to the KntSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
47.9%
Kendall Houston run for 2 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q1 10:51
2ND & 8
OPP 45
0
47.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 10:51
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
47.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Danny WoodsonSimilar
Q1 10:51
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
48.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 5SF
1 play · -5 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 5
-5
48.1%
Davin Hawkins SafetySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 6TD
17 plays · 54 yds · 5:0652% → 57%
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
47.7%
Brandon Bridge run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 5
OPP 49
-1
47.6%
Xavier Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 7:52
3RD & 6
50
+8
47.8%
Brandon Bridge run for 8 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
47.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 14 yds to the KntSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
47.4%
Jay Jones run for 3 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+8
47.4%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 8 yds to the KntSt 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
2ND & 11
OPP 18
+14
47.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Claude Garrett for 14 yds to the KntSt 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-5
47.3%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
47.4%
Brandon Bridge run for 1 yd to the KntSt 8Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-6
47.4%
Bridge, Brandon pass incomplete to Bowman, Braedon (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY USA ineligible downfield on pass 6 yards to the KENT23, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:52
1ST & 16
OPP 23
+5
47.5%
Kendall Houston run for 5 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q1 3:27
2ND & 0
OPP 8
+6
47.2%
Bridge, Brandon pass intercepted by HOLLEY, Nate at the KENT0, HOLLEY, Nate return to the KENT0, PENALTY KENT pass interference 6 yards to the KENT2, 1ST DOWN USA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
47.5%
Jay Jones run for 1 yd to the KntSt 1Similar
Q1 2:46
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
43.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 1 yd for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
43.9%
Miles Hibbler run for 1 yd to the KntSt 26Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
43.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Miles HibblerSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+13
43.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 13 yds to the KntSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
44.5%
Miles Hibbler run for 5 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q1 2:41
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
45.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Jimmie GipsonSimilar
Q1 2:41
3RD & 5
OWN 44
0
44.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Davin HawkinsSimilar
Q1 2:41
4TH & 5
OWN 44
0
44.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 50 yds, downed at the SAlab 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:3256% → 55%
Q1 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+3
44.3%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SAlab 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 9
-4
44.3%
Houston, Kndall rush for 9 yards to the USA18 (MURRAY, Najee), PENALTY USA holding (Scelfo, Joseph) 4 yards to the USA5, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 5
+1
44.3%
Kendall Houston run for 1 yd to the SAlab 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 6
0
44.8%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 6
+14
45.0%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the SAlab 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
43.9%
Jay Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+1
43.8%
Brandon Bridge run for 1 yd to the SAlab 24Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 24
0
44.3%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 24
0
44.6%
Brandon McKee punt for 47 yds, downed at the KntSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
41.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James Brooks, broken up by Terrell BrighamSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+2
41.3%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 8
OWN 31
0
41.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 8
OWN 31
0
40.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 43 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 23 yds · 0:0057% → 58%
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+14
42.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 14 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
41.5%
Kendall Houston run for 6 yds to the SAlab 46Similar
Q2 11:56
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
41.6%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 11:56
3RD & 1
OWN 49
0
41.9%
Kendall Houston run for no gain to the SAlab 49Similar
Q2 11:56
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
42.4%
Brandon McKee punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
40.2%
Eldin Anu run for 1 yd to the KntSt 21Similar
Q2 10:05
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
40.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Miles HibblerSimilar
Q2 10:05
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
39.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Montell GarnerSimilar
Q2 10:05
4TH & 9
OWN 21
0
39.2%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 49 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 12TD
4 plays · 70 yds · 1:0659% → 73%
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
41.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to T.J. Glover for 2 yds to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 9:07
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
41.2%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jay Jones for 9 yds to the SAlab 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+58
40.4%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Marvin Shinn for 58 yds to the KntSt 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:01
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
27.3%
Jay Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13TD
17 plays · 69 yds · 6:2032% → 38%
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
32.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Terrell BrighamSimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
32.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for no gain to the KntSt 31Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+11
31.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 11 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
33.3%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Reno Reda) to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+4
32.1%
Miles Hibbler run for 4 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 11
OWN 41
+5
32.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the KntSt 46Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+5
33.2%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to HUMPHREY, Chris (Garner, Montell), PENALTY USA pass interference (Garner, Montell) 5 yards to the USA49, 1ST DOWN KENT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
33.7%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+8
33.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Kris White for 8 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+3
33.7%
Miles Hibbler run for 3 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 0
0
31.5%
PENALTY KENT unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY USA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+9
33.7%
Nick Holley run for 9 yds to the SAlab 29Similar
Q2 7:56
2ND & 1
OPP 29
0
34.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Maleki HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:56
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+20
33.8%
Nick Holley run for 20 yds to the SAlab 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
34.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the SAlab 8 Nick Holley fumbled, forced by Terrell Brigham, recovered by KntSt Nick HolleySimilar
Q2 1:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
37.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 8 yds for a TD, (Nate Holley failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 14PUNT
10 plays · 12 yds · 1:2665% → 67%
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
35.1%
Jay Jones run for 9 yds to the SAlab 34Similar
Q2 1:36
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+3
34.1%
Jay Jones run for 3 yds to the SAlab 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
34.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Jereme Jones for 4 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q2 0:47
2ND & 6
OWN 41
-9
33.2%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Jontey Byrd for a loss of 9 yards to the SAlab 32Similar
Q2 0:15
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+5
33.8%
Kendall Houston run for 5 yds to the SAlab 37Similar
Q2 0:10
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+7
33.2%
Brandon McKee punt for 45 yds , James Brooks returns for 7 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 35 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
33.9%
Brandon Bridge run for 15 yds to the SAlab 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
32.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 5 yds to the SAlab 45Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+4
32.5%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Danny Woodson for 4 yds to the SAlab 49Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+5
33.0%
Kendall Houston run for 5 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
32.4%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Shavarez SmithSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+6
32.4%
Jay Jones run for 6 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 40
0
32.8%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Marvin Shinn, broken up by Marques MooreSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 40
0
33.7%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 16PUNT
10 plays · 18 yds · 0:0031% → 30%
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
31.4%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 21Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
31.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 5 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+5
30.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
31.9%
Nick Holley run for 2 yds to the KntSt 33Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 8
OWN 33
-1
31.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 32Similar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 9
OWN 32
+10
30.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 10 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-4
32.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 12:49
2ND & 14
OWN 38
0
31.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Kris WhiteSimilar
Q3 12:49
3RD & 14
OWN 38
0
30.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Davin HawkinsSimilar
Q3 12:49
4TH & 14
OWN 38
0
29.9%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 42 yds, fair catch by T.J. Glover at the SAlab 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 17PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0070% → 68%
Q3 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
30.5%
Jay Jones run for 5 yds to the SAlab 25Similar
Q3 8:26
2ND & 5
OWN 25
-1
29.9%
Jay Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the SAlab 24Similar
Q3 8:26
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-5
31.3%
Brandon Bridge sacked by Terence Waugh for a loss of 5 yards to the SAlab 19Similar
Q3 8:26
4TH & 11
OWN 19
0
32.4%
Brandon McKee punt for 32 yds, downed at the KntSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
30.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 13 yds to the SAlab 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
31.5%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 10
OPP 38
0
31.3%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 10
OPP 38
0
30.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q3 6:30
4TH & 10
OPP 38
0
28.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 31 yds, downed at the SAlab 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 19PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 0:0072% → 73%
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+3
28.1%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SAlab 10Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 7
OWN 10
+3
28.0%
Kendall Houston run for 3 yds to the SAlab 13Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 4
OWN 13
+5
28.9%
Brandon Bridge run for 5 yds to the SAlab 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
27.6%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Braedon Bowman for 9 yds to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
26.6%
Jay Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 27Similar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+8
27.6%
Jay Jones run for 8 yds to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
26.9%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Wes SaxtonSimilar
Q3 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
27.1%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Marvin ShinnSimilar
Q3 5:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+5
28.2%
Brandon Bridge run for 5 yds to the SAlab 40Similar
Q3 5:27
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
27.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 20TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:0124% → 54%
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
24.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Anthony MeraySimilar
Q3 1:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+1
23.9%
Anthony Meray run for 1 yd to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+9
23.9%
Colin Reardon run for 9 yds to the KntSt 29Similar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+26
24.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 26 yds to the KENTST 44 for a 1ST down SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:50
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
27.5%
Anthony Meray run for no gain to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+44
49.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 44 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
Q4 14:49
1ST & 0
OPP 3
-5
54.2%
KENT ST Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the SAlab 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0059% → 57%
Q4 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
40.6%
Brandon Bridge pass incomplete to Jereme JonesSimilar
Q4 14:42
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+2
41.4%
Brandon Bridge run for 2 yds to the SAlab 33Similar
Q4 14:42
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+3
42.3%
Brandon Bridge run for 3 yds to the SAlab 36Similar
Q4 14:42
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
43.3%
Brandon McKee punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the KntSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 22MISSED FG
12 plays · 61 yds · 5:1544% → 42%
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
44.1%
Colin Reardon run for 1 yd to the KntSt 25Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+3
43.9%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 28Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 6
OWN 28
+7
42.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 7 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
44.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 6 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+3
48.5%
Nick Holley run for 3 yds to the KntSt 44Similar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 1
OWN 44
+1
47.4%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
48.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+34
45.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 34 yds to the SAlab 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+1
52.2%
Nick Holley run for 1 yd to the SAlab 20Similar
Q4 13:15
2ND & 9
OPP 20
0
52.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce, broken up by Terrell BrighamSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 9
OPP 20
+5
49.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 5 yds to the SAlab 15Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 4
OPP 15
+32
42.0%
Anthony Melchiori 32 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0067% → 68%
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+15
33.1%
KENT ST Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the SAlab 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
32.0%
Jay Jones run for 6 yds to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 8:00
2ND & 4
OWN 41
0
30.0%
Jay Jones run for no gain to the SAlab 41Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+3
30.5%
Brandon Bridge run for 3 yds to the SAlab 44Similar
Q4 8:00
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
32.5%
Brandon McKee punt for 46 yds, fair catch by James Brooks at the KntSt 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0037% → 33%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+13
37.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Anthony Meray for 13 yds to the KntSt 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-10
37.7%
Colin Reardon sacked by Jimmie Gipson for a loss of 10 yards to the KntSt 13Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 20
OWN 13
+5
36.7%
Nick Holley run for 5 yds to the KntSt 18Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 15
OWN 18
0
34.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James BrooksSimilar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 15
OWN 18
0
33.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 36 yds, downed at the SAlab 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 25TD
12 plays · 54 yds · 2:5277% → 96%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
22.7%
Jay Jones run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q4 3:42
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+7
19.3%
Jay Jones run for 7 yds to the KntSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
19.8%
SOUTH ALABAMA Penalty, false start (Danny Woodson) to the KntSt 43Similar
Q4 3:42
1ST & 15
OPP 43
+12
20.3%
Brandon Bridge pass complete to Shavarez Smith for 12 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 2:52
2ND & 3
OPP 31
+4
15.4%
Jay Jones run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
15.4%
Jay Jones run for 3 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+1
12.8%
Kendall Houston run for 1 yd to the KntSt 23Similar
Q4 1:12
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+23
3.7%
Jay Jones run for 23 yds for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 26INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q4 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
3.2%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Qudarius FordSimilar
Q4 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
3.0%
Colin Reardon pass intercepted Montell Garner return for no gain to the KntSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
USADrive 27END OF GAME
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q4 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
3.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 1:02
2ND & 11
OPP 37
-1
3.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:49
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 44 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
+21.9
TD · Q2 8:01
Jay Jones run for 1 yd for a TD, (Aleem Sunanon KICK)
-13.1
KEY PLAY · Q4 4:04
Jay Jones run for 9 yds to the KntSt 45
-10.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com