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OHIO

Ohio 3 at Kentucky 20

UK
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Kroger Field
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Win probability · UK
modelUK aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playUK scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:52 · Landon Foster punt for 49 yds for a touchback
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+30.5+15.30−15.3−30.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Home team on offense+6.4Pregame prior+18.9Score differential+3.0Garbage-time factor+2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 8:24: Stanley Williams run for 53 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK) — UK win probability +2.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 1:45: Austin MacGinnis 53 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +4.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q3 13:10: JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 17 yds to the Kent 26 — UK win probability +2.7 pts (now 89%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 12:12: Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +3.9 pts (now 15%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 6:17: Austin MacGinnis 33 yd FG GOOD — UK win probability +2.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UK made the numbers' call on 8 of 10OHIO made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 10:32OHIO 4th & 5 at OHIO 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.9%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:18OHIO 4th & 15 at OHIO 33, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.8%−1.5
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:24UK 4th & 5 at UK 45, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:57OHIO 4th & 6 at OHIO 14, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−0.5
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:52UK 4th & 6 at OHIO 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:41OHIO 4th & 7 at OHIO 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−0.8
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.1%
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:29OHIO 4th & 1 at UK 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 22.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    22.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.5%−2.0
    54% to make
    Punt
    19.6%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:45UK 4th & 18 at OHIO 36, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 81.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.7%−1.0
    13% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    81.7%
    42% to make
    Punt
    81.0%−0.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:12OHIO 4th & 4 at UK 26, down 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 13.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.2%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    12.7%−0.5
    64% to make
    Punt
    7.0%−6.2
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:25UK 4th & 1 at OHIO 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 87.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    86.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    84.8%−2.0
    83% to make
    Punt
    78.3%−8.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:17UK 4th & 11 at OHIO 15, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.6%−1.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.1%
    83% to make
    Punt
    81.5%−6.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 5:04OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−1.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 14:49UK 4th & 3 at OHIO 18, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    94.3%−0.3
    79% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−3.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:46OHIO 4th & 17 at OHIO 48, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−1.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:56UK 4th & 6 at UK 38, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.1%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:46OHIO 4th & 14 at OHIO 23, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.5%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 6:01UK 4th & 11 at UK 40, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.9%−0.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.3%
    average punt
  18. Q4 5:28OHIO 4th & 10 at OHIO 13, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.0%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:03UK 4th & 8 at UK 27, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.9%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:00UK 4th & 5 at OHIO 39, up 17
    Close callWent for it · 98.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.6%−0.2
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%
    36% to make
    Punt
    98.5%−0.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UK made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:27UK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:24UK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UKDrive 1TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:3375% → 76%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
75.0%
Jojo Kemp run for 1 yd to the Kent 26Similar
Q1 14:30
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+20
74.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 20 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+22
74.9%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 22 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
74.9%
Stanley Williams run for 2 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OPP 30
0
74.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Joey HerrickSimilar
Q1 13:15
3RD & 8
OPP 30
+11
74.8%
Patrick Towles run for 11 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+11
74.8%
Patrick Towles run for 11 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.8%
Ryan Timmons run for no gain to the Ohio 8Similar
Q1 11:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
74.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q1 11:27
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
75.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 8 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:5525% → 25%
Q1 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
75.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Troy MangenSimilar
Q1 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
75.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 11:18
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
75.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 10:32
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+3
75.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 43 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 3 yds to the Kent 33 KENTUCKY Penalty, Illegal Block (10 Yards) to the Kent 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 3TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:0875% → 78%
Q1 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
75.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 7 yds to the Kent 27Similar
Q1 10:10
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+2
75.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 2 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
75.4%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Kent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:30
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
75.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Dorian BakerSimilar
Q1 9:20
2ND & 10
OWN 31
0
75.5%
Patrick Towles pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:10
3RD & 10
OWN 31
+13
75.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Blake Bone for 13 yds to the Kent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
75.8%
Stanley Williams run for 3 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q1 8:24
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+53
78.1%
Stanley Williams run for 53 yds for a TD, (Austin MacGinnis KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 4PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 3:0623% → 22%
Q1 8:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
77.1%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 8:05
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
77.5%
Derrius Vick run for 13 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-4
77.4%
Tim Edmond run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 34Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 14
OWN 34
-4
77.8%
Tim Edmond run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 18
OWN 30
-5
78.2%
OHIO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 25Similar
Q1 6:00
3RD & 23
OWN 25
+8
78.2%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 5:18
4TH & 15
OWN 33
0
78.5%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 1:5479% → 80%
Q1 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+7
79.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 7 yds to the Kent 36Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 3
OWN 36
+4
79.5%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Demarco Robinson for 4 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
79.7%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Kent 41Similar
Q1 4:10
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+4
79.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q1 3:40
3RD & 5
OWN 45
0
79.8%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q1 3:24
4TH & 5
OWN 45
0
79.5%
Landon Foster punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 6PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:2721% → 21%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
79.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Ohio 10Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+4
79.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 14Similar
Q1 2:15
3RD & 6
OWN 14
0
79.2%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q1 1:57
4TH & 6
OWN 14
+5
79.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 56 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 5 yds to the Kent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 16 yds · 2:0580% → 81%
Q1 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+12
80.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 12 yds to the Kent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-4
80.8%
Patrick Towles sacked by Kurt Laseak and Blair Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q1 0:50
2ND & 14
OWN 43
+11
80.7%
Jojo Kemp run for 11 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q1 0:08
3RD & 3
OPP 46
-3
80.9%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 49Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
80.5%
Landon Foster punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1121% → 20%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
79.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q2 14:40
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+3
79.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q2 14:00
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
79.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q2 13:41
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+10
80.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 10 yds to the Kent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 9MISSED FG
8 plays · 50 yds · 3:4282% → 82%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
81.6%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 8 yds to the Kent 47Similar
Q2 13:00
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+1
82.1%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 48Similar
Q2 12:28
3RD & 1
OWN 48
+16
81.8%
Jojo Kemp run for 16 yds to the Ohio 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:10
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+33
82.4%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Dorian Baker for 33 yds to the Ohio 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
82.7%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Blake BoneSimilar
Q2 11:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
82.8%
Jojo Kemp run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 4Similar
Q2 10:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-7
82.6%
Patrick Towles sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 7 yards to the Ohio 11Similar
Q2 9:59
4TH & 0
OPP 11
+28
82.2%
Austin MacGinnis 28 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 10DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 3:1119% → 19%
Q2 9:40
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
81.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Troy Mangen for 8 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
81.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 8:40
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+8
81.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Herman Brunis for 8 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
80.8%
JD Sprague run for 4 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
81.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Aaron BradleySimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+15
81.4%
Sprague, JD pass complete to Patterson, Daz'mond for no gain to the OHIO45, PENALTY KENTUCKY roughing passer (Smith, Za'Darius) 15 yards to the KENTUCKY40, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN OHIO. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
81.0%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+8
81.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 7:05
3RD & 2
OPP 32
+1
80.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Kent 31Similar
Q2 6:29
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
81.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 11FG
12 plays · 33 yds · 4:4483% → 89%
Q2 6:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
82.8%
Stanley Williams run for 1 yd to the Kent 32Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+8
82.9%
Patrick Towles run for 8 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q2 5:15
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+3
83.3%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:05
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
83.9%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q2 4:59
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+13
83.8%
Patrick Towles run for 13 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+16
84.2%
Patrick Towles run for 16 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
84.4%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 3:25
2ND & 8
OPP 26
-10
84.7%
Patrick Towles sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 2:37
3RD & 18
OPP 36
0
83.2%
Patrick Towles run for no gain to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 1:45
4TH & 18
OPP 36
+53
89.0%
Austin MacGinnis 53 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 12DOWNS
16 plays · 51 yds · 1:4514% → 14%
Q2 1:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
86.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
86.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Brendan CopeSimilar
Q2 1:20
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+20
86.9%
JD Sprague run for 20 yds to the Ohio 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
85.5%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-10
86.0%
Sprague, JD pass complete to Cochran, Chase for 12 yards to the KENTUCKY40, PENALTY OHIO holding (McCray, Jared) 10 yards to the OHIO38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:57
2ND & 20
OWN 38
+7
87.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 7 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 0:50
3RD & 13
OWN 45
+15
87.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Landon Smith for 15 yds to the Kent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
85.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q2 0:30
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+7
85.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Chase Cochran for 7 yds to the Kent 33Similar
Q2 0:16
3RD & 3
OPP 33
+5
85.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 5 yds to the Kent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:11
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
84.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Kent 24Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
+42
86.0%
Josiah Yazdani 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13FG
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:4012% → 15%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+36
87.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 36 yds to the Kent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+8
86.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the Kent 35Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 2
OPP 35
+3
85.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Kent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
86.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the Kent 32Similar
Q3 13:40
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-11
86.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 11 yards to the Kent 43Similar
Q3 13:10
3RD & 21
OPP 43
+17
89.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 17 yds to the Kent 26Similar
Q3 12:12
4TH & 4
OPP 26
+44
85.2%
Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 14FG
16 plays · 60 yds · 5:5587% → 93%
Q3 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
87.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 4 yds to the Kent 29Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+6
87.2%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Joey Herrick for 6 yds to the Kent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
87.4%
Patrick Towles run for 11 yds to the Kent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+16
88.1%
Towles, Patrick pass incomplete to Bone, Blake, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (Bass, Devin) 16 yards to the OHIO38, NO PLAY, 1ST DOWN KENTUCKY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:40
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
88.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+9
88.2%
Josh Clemons run for 9 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q3 9:55
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+5
88.4%
Jojo Kemp run for 5 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
89.0%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+2
89.0%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q3 8:50
3RD & 8
OPP 22
+7
88.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Jojo Kemp for 7 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 8:25
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
88.4%
Patrick Towles run for 1 yd to the Ohio 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
89.5%
Jojo Kemp run for 3 yds to the Ohio 11Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+2
90.3%
Josh Clemons run for 2 yds to the Ohio 9Similar
Q3 7:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
-6
90.0%
Patrick Towles sacked by Kendric Smith for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 6:17
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+33
92.8%
Austin MacGinnis 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 1:138% → 7%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Aaron BradleySimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-10
92.4%
JD Sprague sacked by Ryan Flannigan and Jason Hatcher for a loss of 10 yards to the Ohio 15Similar
Q3 5:30
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+10
92.7%
JD Sprague run for 10 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q3 5:04
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
92.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 29 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Kent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 16MISSED FG
15 plays · 36 yds · 5:1594% → 95%
Q3 5:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-5
93.9%
KENTUCKY Penalty, False Start (Jordan Swindle) to the Kent 41Similar
Q3 5:04
1ST & 15
OWN 41
0
93.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Stanley WilliamsSimilar
Q3 4:59
2ND & 15
OWN 41
+4
93.7%
Patrick Towles pass complete to T.V. Williams for 4 yds to the Kent 45Similar
Q3 4:10
3RD & 11
OWN 45
+12
93.8%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 12 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
94.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Garrett JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+9
94.3%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for 9 yds to the Ohio 34Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & 1
OPP 34
+3
94.3%
Patrick Towles run for 3 yds to the Ohio 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:51
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-15
94.5%
KENTUCKY Penalty, Unsportsmanlike Conduct (Ryan Timmons) to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
94.7%
Josh Clemons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 41Similar
Q3 2:05
2ND & 5
OPP 41
+6
94.8%
Josh Clemons run for 6 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+10
94.9%
Patrick Towles run for 10 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
95.0%
Josh Clemons run for 5 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+2
95.1%
Patrick Towles run for 2 yds to the Ohio 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 18
0
95.3%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Steven BordenSimilar
Q4 14:49
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+35
94.8%
Austin MacGinnis 35 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 28 yds · 2:035% → 4%
Q4 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
94.7%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+7
94.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+22
95.0%
JD Sprague pass complete to Herman Brunis for 22 yds to the Kent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:25
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
94.9%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Kent 47Similar
Q4 13:20
2ND & 12
OPP 47
0
94.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Herman BrunisSimilar
Q4 13:05
3RD & 12
OPP 47
0
95.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Herman BrunisSimilar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 12
OPP 47
-5
95.5%
OHIO Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Ohio 48Similar
Q4 12:46
4TH & 17
OWN 48
0
95.6%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 40 yds, downed at the Kent 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 2:5096% → 96%
Q4 12:46
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
95.9%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 12Similar
Q4 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+22
96.1%
Mikel Horton run for 22 yds to the Kent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
96.3%
Mikel Horton run for 5 yds to the Kent 39Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 5
OWN 39
-1
96.6%
Mikel Horton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Kent 38Similar
Q4 10:15
3RD & 6
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Demarco RobinsonSimilar
Q4 9:56
4TH & 6
OWN 38
0
96.3%
Landon Foster punt for 47 yds, downed at the Ohio 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 2:104% → 3%
Q4 9:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
96.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 7 yds to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 9:45
2ND & 3
OWN 23
+4
96.2%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the Ohio 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
96.3%
JD Sprague pass complete to Brendan Cope for 8 yds to the Ohio 35Similar
Q4 9:05
2ND & 2
OWN 35
-2
96.2%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 8:45
3RD & 4
OWN 33
-8
96.4%
JD Sprague run for a loss of 8 yards to the Ohio 23 JD Sprague fumbled, recovered by Ohio JD SpragueSimilar
Q4 7:46
4TH & 14
OWN 23
+22
96.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 58 yds , Demarco Robinson returns for 22 yds to the Kent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 1:4597% → 97%
Q4 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
97.0%
Patrick Towles sacked by Tarell Basham and Cody Grilliot for a loss of 7 yards to the Kent 34Similar
Q4 7:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
+6
96.9%
Mikel Horton run for 6 yds to the Kent 40Similar
Q4 6:20
3RD & 11
OWN 40
0
97.2%
Patrick Towles pass incomplete to Ryan TimmonsSimilar
Q4 6:01
4TH & 11
OWN 40
+7
97.2%
Landon Foster punt for 44 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 7 yds to the Ohio 47 OHIO Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:333% → 3%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
97.2%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Dorian BrownSimilar
Q4 5:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
97.3%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Landon SmithSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
97.4%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Sebastian SmithSimilar
Q4 5:28
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
97.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 62 yds, downed at the Kent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 2:2598% → 98%
Q4 5:28
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
97.5%
Mikel Horton run for 5 yds to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
97.7%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Kent 30Similar
Q4 3:58
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
98.1%
Patrick Towles pass complete to Ryan Timmons for a loss of 3 yards to the Kent 27Similar
Q4 3:03
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
98.1%
Landon Foster punt for 39 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ohio 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23FUMBLE
3 plays · 10 yds · 2:332% → 2%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+6
97.7%
Greg Windham pass complete to Brendan Cope for 6 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-4
97.7%
Greg Windham sacked by TEAM for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 44 Greg Windham fumbled, recovered by Kent Khalid Henderson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 0:30
2ND & 4
OWN 40
+5
97.8%
Tim Edmond run for 5 yds to the Ohio 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UKDrive 24DOWNS
4 plays · 5 yds · 2:1099% → 99%
Q4 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+7
98.5%
Mikel Horton run for 7 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q4 1:30
2ND & 3
OPP 37
+1
98.7%
Mikel Horton run for 1 yd to the Ohio 36Similar
Q4 1:00
3RD & 2
OPP 36
-3
98.7%
Patrick Towles run for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 0:00
4TH & 5
OPP 39
0
98.6%
Mikel Horton run for no gain to the Ohio 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 1:45
Austin MacGinnis 53 yd FG GOOD
+4.7
FG · Q3 12:12
Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOOD
-3.9
FG · Q3 6:17
Austin MacGinnis 33 yd FG GOOD
+2.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com