Try the model
EKU

Eastern Kentucky 17 at Miami (OH) 10

M-OH
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Yager Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · M-OH
modelM-OH aheadEKU aheadconfidence bandkey playM-OH scoreEKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1M-OH 63.5%Andrew Lloyd 37 yd FG GOODAWAY 3 - HOME 7 · Q1 2:05
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:05 · Andrew Lloyd 37 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 43Pregame prior+9.5Home team on offense+0.7Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.4Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 3:53: Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted for a TD Stanley Absanon return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK) — EKU win probability +16.5 pts (now 36%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q4 7:57: Bennie Coney run for no gain to the MiaOh 48 — EKU win probability +16.4 pts (now 51%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 5:20: Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43 — EKU win probability +8.5 pts (now 54%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 4:43: Jeff Glover pass complete to Deno Montgomery for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK) — EKU win probability +33.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: EKU has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 1:28: Timeout MIAMI OH, clock 01:28 — EKU win probability +8.5 pts (now 87%) (top driver: M-OH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
M-OH made the numbers' call on 7 of 11EKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 11
  1. Q1 13:52EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 37, down 7
    Close callPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.0%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:27M-OH 4th & 19 at M-OH 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−0.2
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.4%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:10EKU 4th & 5 at M-OH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:35M-OH 4th & 3 at M-OH 41, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:15EKU 4th & 5 at M-OH 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.2%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:05EKU 4th & 14 at M-OH 19, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 35.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.8
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.8%
    77% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−2.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 30, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.4%−0.2
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:49EKU 4th & 10 at M-OH 30, down 4
    Close callWent for it · 38.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    38.2%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    38.5%
    56% to make
    Punt
    37.9%−0.6
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:39M-OH 4th & 1 at EKU 4, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.7%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.8%−1.8
    93% to make
    Punt
    57.6%−6.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:54EKU 4th & 10 at EKU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.7%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  11. Q3 13:14M-OH 4th & 9 at EKU 35, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    64.0%−0.1
    45% to make
    Punt
    63.3%−0.8
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:39M-OH 4th & 4 at EKU 5, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.7%−0.7
    92% to make
    Punt
    59.1%−10.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 6:27EKU 4th & 1 at EKU 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.0 ptsPunted · 28.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.3%−3.0
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:53M-OH 4th & 17 at M-OH 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.6%−4.5
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−1.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  16. Q4 14:47M-OH 4th & 5 at M-OH 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−2.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.8%
    average punt
  17. Q4 13:12EKU 4th & 3 at midfield, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.6 ptsPunted · 48.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.2%−2.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:14M-OH 4th & 2 at EKU 20, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.1 ptsKicked a field goal · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    57.5%−3.1
    75% to make
    Punt
    38.7%−22.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 9:14EKU 4th & 7 at EKU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−3.9
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%
    average punt
  20. Q4 7:57EKU 4th & 13 at EKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%−5.0
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%
    average punt
  21. Q4 6:57M-OH 4th & 20 at M-OH 4, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 53.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.5%−14.2
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.7%
    average punt
  22. Q4 1:28M-OH 4th & 15 at M-OH 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 14.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.8%
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
M-OH made the numbers' call on 1 of 1EKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 14:01M-OH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 3:53EKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.6%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 4:43EKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.9%−0.7
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
M-OHDrive 1TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 0:5962% → 63%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
62.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 31 yds to the EKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
62.2%
Paul Moses run for 4 yds to the EKent 40Similar
Q1 14:01
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+40
62.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 40 yds for a TD, (Kaleb Patterson KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q1 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
62.5%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:52
2ND & 10
OWN 28
+7
62.6%
Channing Fugate run for 7 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q1 13:52
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+2
62.5%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 2 yds to the EKent 37Similar
Q1 13:52
4TH & 1
OWN 37
0
62.6%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 41 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 3PUNT
15 plays · 26 yds · 0:0063% → 63%
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-5
63.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MiaOh 17Similar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 15
OWN 17
0
63.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 15
OWN 17
+15
63.0%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to WILLIAMS, R., PENALTY EKU pass interference (JOSEPH, Johnny) 15 yards to the MU32, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
63.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 9 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 1
OWN 41
0
63.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+5
63.2%
Dawan Scott run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
63.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 3 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
63.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
63.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 8 yds to the EKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
63.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q1 12:27
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+1
63.3%
Dawan Scott run for 1 yd to the EKent 42Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 9
OPP 42
-5
63.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (N/A) to the EKent 47Similar
Q1 12:27
3RD & 14
OPP 47
0
63.1%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the EKent 47Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 14
OPP 47
-5
62.9%
KOCH, Christian punt 40 yards to the EKU7, downed, PENALTY MU illegal formation 5 yards to the MU48, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:27
4TH & 19
OWN 48
0
62.9%
Christian Koch punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the EKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 4PUNT
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+30
64.4%
Bennie Coney run for 30 yds to the EKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:10
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
63.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the EKent 49Similar
Q1 8:10
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+2
63.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
63.8%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dy'Shawn Mobley, broken up by Kent KernSimilar
Q1 8:10
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
64.3%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
65.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 14 yds to the MiaOh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
65.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+7
65.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 7 yds to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q1 6:35
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
65.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Jared MurphySimilar
Q1 6:35
4TH & 3
OWN 41
+6
64.7%
Christian Koch punt for 32 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 6 yds to the EKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:0035% → 35%
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+14
65.0%
MONTGOMERY, D. rush over left end for loss of 1 yard to the EKU32 (HARDING, Heath;ALBRIGHT, B.), PENALTY MU personal foul (JONES, J'Terius) 14 yards to the EKU47, 1ST DOWN EKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:15
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-1
64.4%
Bennie Coney run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 46Similar
Q1 5:15
2ND & 11
OWN 46
0
64.8%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dy'Shawn Mobley, broken up by Heath HardingSimilar
Q1 5:15
3RD & 11
OWN 46
+6
65.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 6 yds to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q1 5:15
4TH & 5
OPP 48
-3
65.1%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 30 yds , Fred McRae returns for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 15 Fred McRae fumbled, recovered by EKent Chris OwensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 7FG
4 plays · -4 yds · 1:1936% → 37%
Q1 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
63.9%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:24
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
63.9%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 13Similar
Q1 3:24
3RD & 8
OPP 13
-6
64.5%
Bennie Coney sacked by Joe Donlan for a loss of 6 yards to the MiaOh 19Similar
Q1 2:05
4TH & 14
OPP 19
+37
63.5%
Andrew Lloyd 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:0563% → 62%
Q1 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
63.1%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass complete to WILLIAMS, R. for 33 yards to the EKU42, out-of-bounds (JOSEPH, Johnny), PENALTY MU pass interference (WILLIAMS, R.) 12 yards to the MU13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:05
1ST & 22
OWN 13
+5
63.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 18Similar
Q1 2:05
2ND & 17
OWN 18
-3
62.9%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 15Similar
Q1 2:05
3RD & 20
OWN 15
+15
62.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 15 yds to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+7
62.3%
Christian Koch punt for 56 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 7 yds to the EKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 9DOWNS
10 plays · 56 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
63.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for no gain to the EKent 21Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+11
63.4%
Jared McClain pass complete to Jeff Glover for 11 yds to the EKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
62.9%
Jared McClain run for 10 yds to the EKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
62.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 1 yd to the EKent 43Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+1
62.2%
Jared McClain run for 1 yd to the EKent 44Similar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+26
62.6%
Jared McClain pass complete to Devin Borders for 26 yds to the MiaOh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
61.1%
Jared McClain run for no gain to the MiaOh 30Similar
Q2 14:49
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
61.2%
Jared McClain pass incomplete to Channing FugateSimilar
Q2 14:49
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
61.8%
Jared McClain pass incomplete to Channing FugateSimilar
Q2 14:49
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+7
63.3%
Jared McClain pass complete to Jeff Glover for 7 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 10MISSED FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 5:3363% → 66%
Q2 12:12
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
63.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 5 yds to the MiaOh 28Similar
Q2 12:12
2ND & 5
OWN 28
-2
63.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 26Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+7
62.7%
Andrew Hendrix run for 7 yds to the MiaOh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+13
63.7%
Dawan Scott run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
65.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan ScottSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+15
64.5%
HENDRIX, Andrew pass incomplete to FRAZIER, David, PENALTY EKU pass interference (JOSEPH, Johnny) 15 yards to the EKU39, 1ST DOWN MU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+15
65.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 15 yds to the EKent 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
65.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Sam MartinSimilar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+11
65.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Dawan Scott for 11 yds to the EKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:08
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
65.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 7 yds to the EKent 6Similar
Q2 11:08
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
65.4%
Andrew Hendrix run for 1 yd to the EKent 5Similar
Q2 11:08
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
64.8%
Andrew Hendrix run for 1 yd to the EKent 4Similar
Q2 6:39
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+21
65.6%
Kaleb Patterson 21 yd FG BLOCKED blocked by Devin Borders recovered by Jared Murphy.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 11INT
7 plays · 52 yds · 2:0537% → 40%
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+7
62.9%
Jared McClain run for 7 yds to the EKent 35Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 3
OWN 35
+4
61.9%
Jared McClain run for 4 yds to the EKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
61.8%
JJ Jude run for 3 yds to the EKent 42Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-5
61.2%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Devin Borders) to the EKent 37Similar
Q2 6:39
2ND & 12
OWN 37
+43
63.4%
Jared McClain pass complete to Channing Fugate for 43 yds to the MiaOh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:39
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
59.5%
JJ Jude run for no gain to the MiaOh 20Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
59.6%
Jared McClain pass intercepted Quinten Rollins return for no gain to the MiaOh 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 12FUMBLE
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0065% → 67%
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
64.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+28
64.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 28 yds to the MiaOh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-5
67.1%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (N/A) to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q2 4:34
1ST & 15
OWN 43
+10
65.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alvonta Jenkins for 10 yds to the EKent 47Similar
Q2 4:34
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+4
67.3%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Trey Thomas for a loss of 9 yards to the MiaOh 15 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, recovered by EKent Marquise Piton , return for 0 yards , return for 4 yds to the MiaOh 15 Marquise Piton fumbled, forced by Andrew Hendrix, recovered by MiaOh Alex Welch , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 13INT
8 plays · 50 yds · 1:1865% → 68%
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
65.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+14
64.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Sam Martin for 14 yds to the MiaOh 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
65.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 9 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+24
67.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 24 yds to the EKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
67.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 5 yds to the EKent 33Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-2
68.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 2 yards to the EKent 35Similar
Q2 1:11
3RD & 7
OPP 35
+14
68.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted Brandon Stanley return for 14 yds to the EKent 21 MIAMI OH Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 14END OF HALF
11 plays · 35 yds · 0:5636% → 33%
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
63.7%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Devin Borders, broken up by Jay MastinSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+17
64.4%
Bennie Coney pass complete to JJ Jude for 17 yds to the EKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
61.1%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Ben Madon for 13 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
59.8%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Scott Daniel for 15 yds to the MiaOh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
58.3%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Devin Borders, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q2 1:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
58.8%
Bennie Coney run for 2 yds to the MiaOh 23Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 8
OPP 23
-10
62.0%
CONEY, Bennie pass incomplete to DANIEL, Scott, PENALTY EKU holding (EYCKMANS, Brett) 10 yards to the MU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:12
3RD & 18
OPP 33
0
64.4%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 18
OPP 33
-2
67.2%
Bennie Coney sacked by Bryson Albright and J'Terius Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
64.7%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Dan Shepherd, broken up by Kent KernSimilar
Q3 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
65.1%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for no gain to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 14:54
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+5
66.0%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Dy'Shawn Mobley for 5 yds to the EKent 34Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 5
OWN 34
-5
66.0%
EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Stanley) to the EKent 29Similar
Q3 14:54
4TH & 10
OWN 29
-4
66.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 40 yds , Fred McRae returns for a loss of 4 yards to the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 16FG
18 plays · 68 yds · 6:3566% → 79%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
66.0%
Dawan Scott run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 32Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+10
66.9%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Marquise Piton for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 27 for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Marquise Piton) to the MiaOh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
67.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
66.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 7 yds to the MiaOh 49Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+15
67.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams for a 1ST down EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Tyrelle Johnson) to the EKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
68.7%
Paul Moses run for 4 yds to the EKent 32Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+2
69.3%
Paul Moses run for 2 yds to the EKent 30Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 4
OPP 30
-5
68.2%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Alex Welch) to the EKent 35Similar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 9
OPP 35
0
67.9%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Stanley AbsanonSimilar
Q3 13:14
4TH & 9
OPP 35
+12
65.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 12 yds to the EKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
69.3%
Dawan Scott run for no gain to the EKent 23Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
69.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q3 13:14
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+12
67.9%
Dawan Scott run for 12 yds to the EKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
69.3%
Spencer McInnis run for 7 yds to the EKent 4Similar
Q3 7:29
2ND & 3
OPP 4
-1
74.5%
Dawan Scott run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 5Similar
Q3 7:29
3RD & 4
OPP 5
0
73.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Alex Welch, broken up by Stanley AbsanonSimilar
Q3 6:39
4TH & 4
OPP 5
+22
79.4%
Kaleb Patterson 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q3 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+4
73.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 4 yds to the EKent 41Similar
Q3 6:27
2ND & 6
OWN 41
+5
72.4%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Matt Lengel for 5 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q3 6:27
3RD & 1
OWN 46
0
72.3%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for no gain to the EKent 46Similar
Q3 6:27
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
73.7%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MiaOh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 18INT TD
4 plays · 19 yds · 1:2079% → 64%
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
79.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem WilliamsSimilar
Q3 5:13
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+13
78.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 13 yds to the MiaOh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
80.8%
Spencer McInnis run for 6 yds to the MiaOh 46Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+55
64.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted for a TD Stanley Absanon return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 19 yds · 0:0061% → 59%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
60.6%
Spencer McInnis run for 10 yds to the MiaOh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
61.2%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 38
-1
63.2%
Spencer McInnis run for a loss of 1 yard to the MiaOh 37Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+14
60.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 14 yds to the EKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
64.8%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
64.3%
Spencer McInnis run for no gain to the EKent 49Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 10
OPP 49
-7
61.9%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Blake Atzinger for a loss of 7 yards to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 17
OWN 44
+1
59.0%
Christian Koch punt for 41 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for 1 yd to the EKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:3144% → 41%
Q3 0:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
55.7%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 2 yds to the EKent 18Similar
Q3 0:31
2ND & 8
OWN 18
0
56.0%
Bennie Coney pass incomplete to Devin BordersSimilar
Q3 0:31
3RD & 8
OWN 18
+1
57.6%
Bennie Coney pass complete to Devin Borders for 1 yd to the EKent 19Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 19
-5
59.0%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 60 yds , Fred McRae returns for a loss of 5 yards to the MiaOh 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0061% → 58%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+5
60.5%
Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 5
OWN 21
0
61.2%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the MiaOh 21Similar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 5
OWN 21
0
58.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Rokeem Williams, broken up by Stanley AbsanonSimilar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 5
OWN 21
0
57.8%
Christian Koch punt for 36 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for no gain to the EKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q4 13:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
51.4%
JJ Jude run for 3 yds to the EKent 46Similar
Q4 13:12
2ND & 7
OWN 46
0
51.0%
Jared McClain pass incomplete to Devin Borders, broken up by Marshall TaylorSimilar
Q4 13:12
3RD & 7
OWN 46
+4
52.4%
Jared McClain run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:12
4TH & 3
50
0
53.2%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Fred McRae at the MiaOh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 23MISSED FG
8 plays · 60 yds · 2:3860% → 63%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+30
60.2%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Rokeem Williams for 30 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
50
0
65.1%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
50
0
64.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan ScottSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 10
50
+22
61.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to David Frazier for 22 yds to the EKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
67.4%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan ScottSimilar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 10
OPP 28
+5
67.2%
Spencer McInnis run for 5 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 5
OPP 23
+3
65.5%
Spencer McInnis run for 3 yds to the EKent 20Similar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
62.7%
Kaleb Patterson 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0045% → 42%
Q4 9:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
54.6%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for a loss of 1 yard to the EKent 19Similar
Q4 9:14
2ND & 11
OWN 19
+4
55.2%
Jared McClain pass complete to Scott Daniel for 4 yds to the EKent 23Similar
Q4 9:14
3RD & 7
OWN 23
0
55.9%
Jared McClain pass incomplete to Scott DanielSimilar
Q4 9:14
4TH & 7
OWN 23
+26
57.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 40 yds, downed at the MIAMIOH 37 EASTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, kick catching interference (Khiry Maddox) to the EKent 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 25FUMBLE
1 play · -3 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q4 8:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-3
65.0%
Andrew Hendrix run for a loss of 3 yards to the MiaOh 48 Andrew Hendrix fumbled, recovered by EKent Jeffrey CanadySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0051% → 44%
Q4 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
48.6%
Bennie Coney run for no gain to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 7:57
2ND & 10
OPP 48
0
49.2%
Jared McClain pass incomplete to Scott DanielSimilar
Q4 7:57
3RD & 10
OPP 48
-3
51.5%
Bennie Coney sacked by Jalen Johnson for a loss of 3 yards to the EKent 49Similar
Q4 7:57
4TH & 13
OWN 49
0
55.8%
Keith Wrzuszczak punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Fred McRae at the MiaOh 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -10 yds · 0:0059% → 55%
Q4 6:57
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
58.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to David FrazierSimilar
Q4 6:57
2ND & 10
OWN 14
0
58.5%
Andrew Hendrix run for no gain to the MiaOh 14Similar
Q4 6:57
3RD & 10
OWN 14
-10
56.5%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Chris Owens for a loss of 10 yards to the MiaOh 4Similar
Q4 6:57
4TH & 20
OWN 4
0
54.9%
Christian Koch punt for 42 yds , Stanley Absanon returns for no gain to the MiaOh 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 28TD
2 plays · 46 yds · 0:3754% → 87%
Q4 5:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
46.4%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+43
12.9%
Jeff Glover pass complete to Deno Montgomery for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
M-OHDrive 29INT
12 plays · 20 yds · 3:1522% → 13%
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
22.3%
Andrew Hendrix pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+11
21.7%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Alex Welch for 11 yds to the MiaOh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
23.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Jared Murphy for 8 yds to the MiaOh 44Similar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+6
26.9%
Dawan Scott run for 6 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:43
1ST & 10
50
0
26.6%
Andrew Hendrix pass incomplete to Dawan Scott, broken up by Chris OwensSimilar
Q4 4:43
2ND & 10
50
-2
25.6%
Andrew Hendrix sacked by Jeffrey Canady for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 48Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 12
OWN 48
-5
22.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Trevan Brown) to the MiaOh 43Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 17
OWN 43
-5
21.7%
MIAMI OH Penalty, false start (Marcus Matthews) to the MiaOh 38Similar
Q4 4:43
3RD & 22
OWN 38
+7
21.5%
Andrew Hendrix pass complete to Spencer McInnis for 7 yds to the MiaOh 45Similar
Q4 1:28
4TH & 15
OWN 45
+9
13.0%
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted Stanley Absanon return for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
EKUDrive 30END OF GAME
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0495% → 95%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
50
+3
5.2%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 3 yds to the MiaOh 47Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+8
4.8%
Dy'Shawn Mobley run for 8 yds to the MiaOh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-2
4.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 41Similar
Q4 1:14
2ND & 12
OPP 41
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MiaOh 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 4:43
Jeff Glover pass complete to Deno Montgomery for 43 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK)
-33.5
TD · Q3 3:53
Andrew Hendrix pass intercepted for a TD Stanley Absanon return for 55 yds for a TD, (Andrew Lloyd KICK)
-16.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 7:57
Bennie Coney run for no gain to the MiaOh 48
-16.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com