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OHIO

Ohio 17 at Kent State 14

KENT
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Dix Stadium
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Win probability · KENT
modelKENT aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playKENT scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 13
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+35.0+17.50−17.5−35.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 85Home team on offense−5.7Pregame prior+3.8Garbage-time factor−2.9Score differential−2.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:53: Landon Smith 5 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick) — OHIO win probability +10.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  2. KEY PLAY · Q3 1:44: Daz'mond Patterson run for 15 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST down — OHIO win probability +8.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 11:01: Colin Reardon pass incomplete — KENT win probability +7.7 pts (now 31%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 3:34: Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 25 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK) — KENT win probability +34.9 pts (now 64%) (top driver: KENT has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +36.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: OHIO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
KENT made the numbers' call on 4 of 7OHIO made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00OHIO 4th & 3 at OHIO 32, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.5%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:41KENT 4th & 10 at KENT 16, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:58OHIO 4th & 2 at OHIO 33, tied
    Close callPunted · 43.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:11KENT 4th & 13 at KENT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.0%−0.6
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 1 at KENT 45, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    43.4%−1.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    44.0%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:13KENT 4th & 1 at KENT 39, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.3%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:47KENT 4th & 20 at KENT 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.5%−2.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.4%
    average punt
  8. Q2 1:40OHIO 4th & 4 at OHIO 38, up 7
    Close callPunted · 59.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%−0.2
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00KENT 4th & 6 at midfield, down 7
    Close callPunted · 42.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:52OHIO 4th & 3 at KENT 38, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    63.9%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    61.5%−2.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−2.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:38KENT 4th & 2 at OHIO 46, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.3 ptsPunted · 40.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    36.0%−5.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    38.7%−2.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:28OHIO 4th & 4 at KENT 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    72.6%−2.0
    42% to make
    Punt
    72.0%−2.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:01KENT 4th & 11 at KENT 24, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.3%−3.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
KENT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2OHIO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 10:01OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:58KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:53OHIO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    53.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    53.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 3:34KENT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.4%−1.9
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
57.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
57.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 32
0
57.8%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Ohio 32Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 32
+4
57.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 56 yds , James Brooks returns for 4 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q1 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-7
57.9%
Ernest Calhoun run for a loss of 7 yards to the KntSt 9Similar
Q1 13:41
2ND & 17
OWN 9
+5
57.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 5 yds to the KntSt 14Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 12
OWN 14
+2
57.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 16Similar
Q1 13:41
4TH & 10
OWN 16
0
57.8%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 71 yds, downed at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3TD
5 plays · 87 yds · 1:4442% → 44%
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
58.0%
Papi White run for 4 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 6
OWN 17
+58
57.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 58 yds to the KENTST 25 for a 1ST down KENT ST Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:45
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
57.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:45
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+2
57.5%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the KntSt 23Similar
Q1 10:01
3RD & 8
OPP 23
+23
55.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 23 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:5756% → 59%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.2%
Anthony Meray run for no gain to the KntSt 25Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+29
56.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 29 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
56.8%
Anthony Meray run for 3 yds to the Ohio 43Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+19
56.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 19 yds to the Ohio 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
56.9%
Anthony Meray run for 4 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+9
56.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 9 yds to the Ohio 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
56.9%
Anthony Meray run for 3 yds to the Ohio 8Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+8
59.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 8 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q1 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
57.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 29Similar
Q1 5:58
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+4
57.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 4 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 5:58
3RD & 2
OWN 33
0
57.7%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q1 5:58
4TH & 2
OWN 33
+1
58.1%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 47 yds , James Brooks returns for 1 yd to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 6PUNT
8 plays · 8 yds · 0:0058% → 57%
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
58.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 10
OWN 21
-2
57.9%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 19Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 12
OWN 19
+13
57.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 13 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
58.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 34Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 8
OWN 34
-5
58.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 4:11
2ND & 13
OWN 29
0
57.9%
Nick Holley run for no gain to the KntSt 29Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 13
OWN 29
0
57.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James Brooks, broken up by Devin JonesSimilar
Q1 4:11
4TH & 13
OWN 29
+18
57.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 58 yds , Daz'mond Patterson returns for 18 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 1:0843% → 43%
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+15
57.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 15 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+6
56.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 6 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q1 1:08
2ND & 4
OPP 48
+3
55.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
55.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for no gain to the KntSt 45Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 45
0
56.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 15 yds, downed at the KntSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q2 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+9
58.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 9 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 14:13
2ND & 1
OWN 39
-2
59.7%
Nick Holley run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 37Similar
Q2 14:13
3RD & 3
OWN 37
+2
58.8%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Nick Holley for 2 yds to the KntSt 39Similar
Q2 14:13
4TH & 1
OWN 39
0
58.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9TD
13 plays · 78 yds · 5:3243% → 56%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+4
57.2%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OWN 26
0
57.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Jordan ItalianoSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 6
OWN 26
+6
57.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 6 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+5
56.8%
Papi White run for 5 yds to the Ohio 37Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 5
OWN 37
+2
56.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+3
56.0%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
55.9%
Papi White run for 3 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-2
55.6%
Papi White run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ohio 43Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 9
OWN 43
+7
56.7%
Papi White run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:25
4TH & 2
50
+4
56.5%
BONNSTETTER punt 37 yards to the KENT13, fair catch by BROOKS, James, PENALTY KENT illegal formation 4 yards to the KENT46, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+38
55.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 38 yds to the KntSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+3
54.7%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the KntSt 5Similar
Q2 6:53
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
43.9%
Landon Smith 5 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 10PUNT
9 plays · 5 yds · 0:0047% → 46%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
47.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 7 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 3
OWN 27
-2
47.6%
Miles Hibbler run for a loss of 2 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+10
46.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 10 yds to the KntSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
47.5%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 34Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 11
OWN 34
-5
47.3%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the KntSt 29Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 16
OWN 29
-4
46.8%
Colin Reardon run for a loss of 4 yards to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 20
OWN 25
0
45.9%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 6:47
4TH & 20
OWN 25
0
45.5%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 43 yds, downed at the Ohio 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:0858% → 59%
Q2 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
42.0%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/A, broken up by Nate HolleySimilar
Q2 2:48
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
42.5%
Tim Edmond run for 4 yds to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 2:48
3RD & 6
OWN 36
+2
42.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 2 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 1:40
4TH & 4
OWN 38
+10
40.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 52 yds , James Brooks returns for 10 yds to the KntSt 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 12END OF HALF
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
42.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the KntSt 25Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+2
43.4%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 2 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q2 1:29
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+4
42.7%
Nick Holley run for 4 yds to the KntSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-10
43.6%
REARDON, Colin pass incomplete to BROOKS, James, PENALTY KENT holding (MACAULAY, Brock) 10 yards to the KENT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:29
1ST & 20
OWN 21
+9
42.7%
Colin Reardon run for 9 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q2 1:29
2ND & 11
OWN 30
-9
42.8%
Colin Reardon sacked by Kendric Smith and Tarell Basham for a loss of 9 yards to the KntSt 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · 25 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
43.0%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Anthony Meray for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+16
43.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 16 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+1
45.5%
Anthony Meray run for 1 yd to the KntSt 47Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 47
+3
45.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
50
0
45.4%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey Pierce KENT ST Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
50
0
43.1%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 14FUMBLE
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:0059% → 61%
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
40.7%
VICK rush for 7 yards to the OHIO20 (HOLLEY, Nate;ITALIANO, J.), PENALTY KENT offside (GRAY, Richard) 5 yards to the OHIO18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 5
OWN 18
+7
39.9%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 7 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
40.2%
Derrius Vick run for 8 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q3 12:57
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+1
39.0%
Tim Edmond run for 1 yd to the Ohio 34 Tim Edmond fumbled, forced by Nate Vance, recovered by KntSt Nate VanceSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 15MISSED FG
6 plays · 31 yds · 1:5647% → 43%
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+16
46.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to James Brooks for 16 yds to the Ohio 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+10
46.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 10 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
46.6%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Casey PierceSimilar
Q3 11:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
46.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Josh Boyle for 5 yds to the Ohio 3Similar
Q3 11:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
45.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Devin JonesSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 0
OPP 3
+20
42.8%
Anthony Melchiori 20 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 16FUMBLE
10 plays · 55 yds · 0:0061% → 65%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
39.0%
Papi White run for 6 yds to the Ohio 26Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+1
37.8%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 1 yd to the Ohio 27Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+13
38.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 13 yds to the Ohio 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+15
36.3%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 15 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
35.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase CochranSimilar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+7
35.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Papi White for 7 yds to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 9:52
3RD & 3
OPP 38
0
35.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Kendric SmithSimilar
Q3 9:52
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+8
37.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 8 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
35.2%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 3 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 7
OPP 27
+4
35.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the KntSt 25 Daz'mond Patterson fumbled, forced by Nate Holley, recovered by KntSt Nate TerhuneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 29 yds · 0:0039% → 41%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
38.7%
Colin Reardon run for 5 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-5
39.4%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the KntSt 25Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
38.5%
Nick Holley run for 6 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
38.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 5 yds to the KntSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
39.7%
Colin Reardon run for 7 yds to the KntSt 43Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 3
OWN 43
-5
42.2%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (N/A) to the KntSt 38Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+8
40.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 8 yds to the KntSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris HumphreySimilar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
40.3%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 2 yds to the KntSt 48Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 8
OWN 48
+6
40.6%
Colin Reardon run for 6 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 6:38
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
40.7%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 18FUMBLE
12 plays · 65 yds · 4:1668% → 76%
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+15
32.4%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 15 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
31.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 17 yds to the Ohio 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
29.5%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 4 yds to the Ohio 46Similar
Q3 1:44
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
29.5%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the KntSt 49Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 49
+7
27.4%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the KntSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
27.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 40Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 40
+5
27.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the KntSt 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
-1
27.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 12:28
4TH & 4
OPP 36
+4
27.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 4 yds to the KntSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:28
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
23.7%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the KntSt 26Similar
Q4 12:28
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+2
23.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the KntSt 25 Daz'mond Patterson fumbled, forced by Jon Cunningham, recovered by KntSt Nate HolleySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0031% → 28%
Q4 11:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
31.3%
Colin Reardon pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 11:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
31.1%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Josh BoyleSimilar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-5
29.7%
KENT ST Penalty, false start (Casey Pierce) to the KntSt 20Similar
Q4 11:01
3RD & 15
OWN 20
+4
29.5%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 4 yds to the KntSt 24Similar
Q4 11:01
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
28.3%
Anthony Melchiori punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Daz'mond Patterson at the Ohio 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 20FUMBLE
6 plays · 47 yds · 0:0076% → 80%
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+24
23.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 24 yds to the KntSt 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
20.9%
Dorian Brown run for 4 yds to the KntSt 41Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+5
21.0%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 10:03
3RD & 1
OPP 36
+2
21.1%
Dorian Brown run for 2 yds to the KntSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+3
20.3%
Dorian Brown run for 3 yds to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 10:03
2ND & 7
OPP 31
+5
20.2%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the KntSt 22 Dorian Brown fumbled, forced by Nate Holley, recovered by KntSt Najee MurraySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
KENTDrive 21TD
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:0527% → 64%
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
26.8%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to James BrooksSimilar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 10
OWN 22
+8
26.7%
Anthony Meray run for 8 yds to the KntSt 30Similar
Q4 7:39
3RD & 2
OWN 30
+3
26.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds to the KntSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
27.6%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 3 yds to the KntSt 36Similar
Q4 7:39
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+8
29.2%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Ernest Calhoun for 8 yds to the KntSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+23
30.1%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 23 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+5
28.5%
Ernest Calhoun run for 5 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q4 5:18
2ND & 5
OPP 28
0
29.0%
Colin Reardon pass incomplete to Chris Humphrey, broken up by Ian WellsSimilar
Q4 5:18
3RD & 5
OPP 28
+6
26.7%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Casey Pierce for 6 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
29.0%
Colin Reardon sacked by Quentin Poling for a loss of 3 yards to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+25
63.9%
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 25 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 22FG
12 plays · 48 yds · 3:3450% → 95%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
49.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Kendric Smith for 13 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
46.7%
A.J. Ouellette run for 9 yds to the Ohio 47Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+13
43.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for 13 yds to the KntSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
43.5%
A.J. Ouellette run for 1 yd to the KntSt 39Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 9
OPP 39
+2
43.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the KntSt 37Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 7
OPP 37
+7
44.5%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the KntSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-1
41.3%
A.J. Ouellette run for a loss of 1 yard to the KntSt 31Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 11
OPP 31
+4
41.6%
A.J. Ouellette run for 4 yds to the KntSt 27Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 7
OPP 27
+44
5.0%
Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Josiah Yazdani 44 yd FG GOOD
-36.3
TD · Q4 3:34
Colin Reardon pass complete to Chris Humphrey for 25 yds for a TD, (Anthony Melchiori KICK)
+34.9
TD · Q2 6:53
Landon Smith 5 Yd pass from Derrius Vick (Josiah Yazdani Kick)
-10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com