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UNH

New Hampshire 20 at Toledo 54

TOL
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Glass Bowl
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Win probability · TOL
modelTOL aheadUNH aheadconfidence bandkey playTOL scoreUNH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:46 · Brad Prasky punt for 43 yds , Corey Jones returns for no gain to the Toled 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 39Pregame prior+25.2Home team on offense−0.9Score differential−0.7Garbage-time factor−0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.3Blowout margin+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 7:43: Sean Goldrich run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK) — UNH win probability +12.5 pts (now 42%) (top driver: UNH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 5:48: Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 64 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK) — TOL win probability +8.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 0:24: Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD (Jeremiah Detmer MISSED) — TOL win probability +9.5 pts (now 77%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 10:49: Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK) — TOL win probability +9.4 pts (now 85%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:16: Phillip Ely pass complete to Justin Olack for 8 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK) NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined — TOL win probability +9.0 pts (now 95%) (top driver: TOL has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TOL made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UNH made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00TOL 4th & 6 at TOL 37, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:46TOL 4th & 5 at UNH 5, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.2%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    71.2%
    92% to make
    Punt
    69.4%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:46UNH 4th & 13 at UNH 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.9
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00TOL 4th & 8 at TOL 46, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.1%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 2:25UNH 4th & 4 at TOL 47, up 4
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.0 ptsPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.1%−1.0
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:53UNH 4th & 1 at UNH 38, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    30.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    27.9%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:44UNH 4th & 12 at UNH 23, down 9
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.5%−2.3
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.8%
    average punt
  8. Q4 15:00UNH 4th & 13 at TOL 46, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.9
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    4.8%−1.0
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.8%
    average punt
  9. Q4 11:07UNH 4th & 25 at UNH 26, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  10. Q4 10:27UNH 4th & 2 at TOL 46, down 31
    Close callPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    -0.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TOL made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UNH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3
  1. Q1 9:08UNH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:43UNH Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 5:48TOL Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 10:49TOL Touchdown, up 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 7:02TOL Touchdown, up 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 4:33UNH Touchdown, down 10 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    16.5%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    16.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 1:16TOL Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 12:10TOL Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 10:27TOL Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TOLDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
79.8%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Steven ThamesSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+7
79.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 7 yds to the Toled 24Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 24
+9
79.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 9 yds to the Toled 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+3
79.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 36
+1
79.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 1 yd to the Toled 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
79.8%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alonzo Russell, broken up by Daniel RoweSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
79.8%
Nick Ellis punt for 34 yds , Nick Cefalo returns for no gain to the NHamp 29 Nick Cefalo fumbled, recovered by NHamp Nick CefaloSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 2TD
10 plays · 71 yds · 3:4021% → 24%
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
79.2%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Nico Steriti for 6 yds to the NHamp 35Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 4
OWN 35
-5
79.1%
Nico Steriti run for a loss of 5 yards to the NHamp 30Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 9
OWN 30
+10
79.3%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 10 yds to the NHamp 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+13
79.1%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 13 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
79.1%
Jimmy Owens run for 4 yds to the Toled 43Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+1
79.1%
Jimmy Owens run for 1 yd to the Toled 42Similar
Q1 12:48
3RD & 5
OPP 42
+8
79.1%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 8 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-1
79.0%
Nico Steriti run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 35Similar
Q1 12:48
2ND & 11
OPP 35
0
79.0%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Nico SteritiSimilar
Q1 9:08
3RD & 11
OPP 35
+35
76.3%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 35 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 3FG
12 plays · 78 yds · 4:1877% → 76%
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+9
76.7%
Kareem Hunt run for 9 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 1
OWN 26
+8
76.9%
Kareem Hunt run for 8 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
76.8%
Phillip Ely run for 4 yds to the Toled 38Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+7
77.0%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 7 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
77.0%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Damion Jones-Moore for 8 yds to the NHamp 47Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+14
77.2%
Kareem Hunt run for 14 yds to the NHamp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+24
77.4%
Kareem Hunt run for 14 yds to the NHamp 19 for a 1ST down NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, personal foul (Casey DeAndrade) to the NHamp 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
77.4%
Marc Remy run for 4 yds to the NHamp 5Similar
Q1 9:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
77.4%
Marc Remy run for 1 yd to the NHamp 4Similar
Q1 9:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
-1
77.2%
Kareem Hunt run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 5Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+22
75.9%
Jeremiah Detmer 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 8 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
75.6%
Nico Steriti run for 2 yds to the NHamp 27Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
75.5%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 7 yds to the NHamp 34Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
75.4%
Nico Steriti run for 2 yds to the NHamp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-8
75.3%
Harris, R.J. rush for 4 yards to the UNH40, out-of-bounds (WHITTAKER, Chaz), PENALTY UNH holding (Bowman, Rob) 8 yards to the UNH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:46
1ST & 18
OWN 28
+5
75.6%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Nico Steriti for 5 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q1 4:46
2ND & 13
OWN 33
-8
75.6%
Sean Goldrich sacked by Keenen Gibbs for a loss of 8 yards to the NHamp 25Similar
Q1 4:46
3RD & 21
OWN 25
+8
75.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Harold Spears for 8 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q1 4:46
4TH & 13
OWN 33
0
76.1%
Brad Prasky punt for 43 yds , Corey Jones returns for no gain to the Toled 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 5PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:5374% → 73%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
73.6%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 1 yd to the Toled 25Similar
Q1 0:53
2ND & 9
OWN 25
-6
73.6%
Damion Jones-Moore run for a loss of 6 yards to the Toled 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 19
+25
72.6%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 25 yds to the Toled 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
74.3%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alonzo Russell, broken up by Steven ThamesSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+2
73.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 46
0
73.4%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey Jones, broken up by Nick CefaloSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 46
0
72.9%
Nick Ellis punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Nick Cefalo at the NHamp 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 6TD
14 plays · 87 yds · 6:0427% → 42%
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
72.7%
Sean Goldrich sacked by Orion Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the NHamp 9Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+9
72.9%
Sean Goldrich run for 9 yds to the NHamp 18Similar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+8
73.1%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 8 yds to the NHamp 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-1
72.6%
Nico Steriti run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 25Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 11
OWN 25
+11
72.7%
Goldrich, Sean pass incomplete to Taylor, Kyon, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (DUKES,Christian) 11 yards to the UNH36, 1ST DOWN UNH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
72.2%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 8 yds to the NHamp 44Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+8
71.7%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Kyon Taylor for 8 yds to the Toled 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
71.5%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 12 yds to the Toled 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
71.5%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Mike Kelly for 4 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 6
OPP 32
0
71.0%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Jimmy Giansante, broken up by Trevon MathisSimilar
Q2 13:47
3RD & 6
OPP 32
+20
71.7%
Sean Goldrich run for 9 yds to the Toled 23 for a 1ST down TOLEDO Penalty, personal foul (Chaz Whittaker) to the Toled 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:47
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+3
71.0%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Nico Steriti for 3 yds to the Toled 9Similar
Q2 13:47
2ND & 7
OPP 9
+5
71.0%
Nico Steriti run for 5 yds to the Toled 4Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 2
OPP 4
+4
58.5%
Sean Goldrich run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 7TD
6 plays · 77 yds · 1:4859% → 68%
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
59.0%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the Toled 26Similar
Q2 7:36
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+6
59.2%
Kareem Hunt run for 6 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q2 7:36
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+2
59.1%
Phillip Ely run for 2 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:36
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
59.4%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Damion Jones-Moore for 2 yds to the Toled 36Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+64
67.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 64 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 8PUNT
12 plays · 28 yds · 3:2333% → 37%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
66.7%
Jimmy Owens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NHamp 23Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+14
66.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 14 yds to the NHamp 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
66.0%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to R.J. Harris, broken up by Ray BushSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+5
66.3%
Nico Steriti run for 5 yds to the NHamp 42Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 5
OWN 42
+5
65.7%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Nico Steriti for 5 yds to the NHamp 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
62.6%
Nico Steriti run for no gain to the NHamp 47Similar
Q2 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+6
62.8%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 6 yds to the Toled 47Similar
Q2 3:51
3RD & 4
OPP 47
0
62.7%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:25
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
62.6%
Brad Prasky punt for 43 yds, downed at the Toled 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 9TD
12 plays · 96 yds · 1:5264% → 77%
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+10
64.1%
Kareem Hunt run for 10 yds to the Toled 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+2
64.4%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the Toled 16Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 8
OWN 16
+18
64.5%
Marc Remy run for 18 yds to the Toled 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
65.0%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Dwight Macon for 13 yds to the Toled 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+4
67.2%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Corey Jones for 4 yds to the NHamp 49Similar
Q2 2:16
2ND & 6
OPP 49
+16
67.6%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kishon Wilcher for 16 yds to the NHamp 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+4
70.0%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 4 yds to the NHamp 29Similar
Q2 0:46
2ND & 6
OPP 29
+10
67.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 10 yds to the NHamp 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:46
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+17
67.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 17 yds to the NHamp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
76.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD (Jeremiah Detmer MISSED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
73.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NHamp 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 11DOWNS
6 plays · 8 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+1
72.2%
Sean Goldrich run for 1 yd to the NHamp 30Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 9
OWN 30
0
72.2%
Sean Goldrich run for no gain to the NHamp 30Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 9
OWN 30
-5
73.3%
NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NHamp 25Similar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 14
OWN 25
+13
73.6%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jimmy Giansante for 13 yds to the NHamp 38Similar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 1
OWN 38
-1
72.2%
Brad Prasky run for a loss of 1 yard to the NHamp 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 12TD
7 plays · 37 yds · 2:1176% → 85%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.6%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Justin OlackSimilar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+8
75.4%
Marc Remy run for 8 yds to the NHamp 29Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+9
75.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 9 yds to the NHamp 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
76.1%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the NHamp 18Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 8
OPP 18
+7
76.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Justin Olack for 7 yds to the NHamp 11Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 1
OPP 11
+9
75.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kishon Wilcher for 9 yds to the NHamp 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
84.5%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 13PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 17%
Q3 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
81.8%
Jimmy Owens run for 1 yd to the NHamp 26Similar
Q3 10:44
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
81.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Jared AllisonSimilar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
82.6%
NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, false start (Alex Blane) to the NHamp 21Similar
Q3 10:44
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+2
82.9%
Nico Steriti run for 2 yds to the NHamp 23Similar
Q3 10:44
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
83.3%
Brad Prasky punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Toled 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 14TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 2:2184% → 93%
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
83.6%
ELY, Phillip pass incomplete to RUSSELL, Alonzo, PENALTY UNH offside defense (Turner, Jullian) 5 yards to the TOLEDO33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 5
OWN 33
+17
84.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alex Zmolik for 17 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
50
+15
84.8%
Kareem Hunt run for 15 yds to the NHamp 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
85.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 6 yds to the NHamp 29Similar
Q3 9:23
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+3
85.1%
Kareem Hunt run for 3 yds to the NHamp 26Similar
Q3 9:23
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+12
84.3%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 12 yds to the NHamp 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:23
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+5
85.1%
Phillip Ely run for 5 yds to the NHamp 9Similar
Q3 7:02
2ND & 5
OPP 9
+9
93.1%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Justin Olack for 9 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 15TD
8 plays · 74 yds · 2:2810% → 19%
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+7
89.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jimmy Giansante for 7 yds to the NHamp 33Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 3
OWN 33
+32
89.3%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 32 yds to the Toled 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
87.9%
Sean Goldrich run for 1 yd to the Toled 34Similar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 9
OPP 34
+10
88.1%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 10 yds to the Toled 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
87.6%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Harold SpearsSimilar
Q3 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+16
88.1%
R.J. Harris run for 16 yds to the Toled 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
81.1%
Nico Steriti 8 Yd pass from Sean Goldrich (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 16TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 3:1786% → 95%
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alonzo RussellSimilar
Q3 4:33
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+15
85.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alex Zmolik for 15 yds to the Toled 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+11
86.5%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alonzo Russell for 11 yds to the NHamp 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
86.7%
Marc Remy run for 2 yds to the NHamp 47Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+11
86.3%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alex Zmolik for 11 yds to the NHamp 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
86.4%
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds to the NHamp 34Similar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 8
OPP 34
0
86.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Kishon Wilcher, broken up by Nick CefaloSimilar
Q3 3:19
3RD & 8
OPP 34
+11
85.8%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Kishon Wilcher for 11 yds to the NHamp 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:19
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
86.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alonzo RussellSimilar
Q3 3:19
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+15
86.4%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Alex Zmolik for 15 yds to the NHamp 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+8
95.4%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Justin Olack for 8 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK) NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 17PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 1:166% → 5%
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+11
93.6%
Jared Allison run for 11 yds to the NHamp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
93.5%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Harold Spears for 5 yds to the NHamp 46Similar
Q3 1:16
2ND & 5
OWN 46
0
93.5%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to R.J. HarrisSimilar
Q3 1:16
3RD & 5
OWN 46
+11
93.6%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 11 yds to the Toled 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
93.3%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Kyon Taylor, broken up by Chris DukesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-3
94.0%
Sean Goldrich sacked by Tré James for a loss of 3 yards to the Toled 46Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OPP 46
0
94.6%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Nico SteritiSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OPP 46
0
94.7%
Brad Prasky punt for 43 yds, downed at the Toled 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 18TD
5 plays · 97 yds · 1:5796% → 99%
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+42
95.8%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 42 yds to the Toled 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+12
96.4%
Phillip Ely run for 12 yds to the NHamp 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+32
96.5%
Kareem Hunt run for 32 yds to the NHamp 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+7
96.5%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 7 yds to the NHamp 4Similar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.3%
Damion Jones-Moore run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 1 yds · 1:031% → 1%
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
98.6%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to R.J. HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+16
98.6%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to R.J. Harris for 16 yds to the NHamp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
98.5%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to R.J. HarrisSimilar
Q4 12:10
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+3
98.5%
Nico Steriti run for 3 yds to the NHamp 41 Nico Steriti fumbled, forced by Chris Collins, recovered by NHamp Rob BowmanSimilar
Q4 11:07
3RD & 10
OWN 41
-15
98.7%
Sean Goldrich sacked by Trent Voss for a loss of 15 yards to the NHamp 26 NEW HAMPSHIRE Penalty, intentional grounding (Sean Goldrich) to the NHamp 26Similar
Q4 11:07
4TH & 25
OWN 26
0
98.8%
Brad Prasky punt for 14 yds, downed at the NHamp 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 20TD
3 plays · 40 yds · 0:21100% → 100%
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Alex ZmolikSimilar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
99.5%
Phillip Ely pass incomplete to Corey Jones TOLEDO Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Phillip Ely pass complete to Terry Swanson for 40 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Harold Spears for 21 yds to the NHamp 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:27
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass incomplete to Jared AllisonSimilar
Q4 10:27
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+8
99.9%
Sean Goldrich pass complete to Jared Allison for 8 yds to the Toled 46Similar
Q4 10:27
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Jimmy Owens run for no gain to the Toled 46Similar
Q4 10:27
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
99.9%
Brad Prasky punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 22FG
6 plays · 73 yds · 4:52100% → 100%
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+26
99.9%
Terry Swanson run for 26 yds to the Toled 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.9%
Terry Swanson run for no gain to the Toled 46Similar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.9%
Terry Swanson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:57
3RD & 6
50
+23
99.9%
Michael Julian pass complete to Zach Yousey for 23 yds to the NHamp 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+11
99.9%
Terry Swanson run for 11 yds to the NHamp 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 1
OPP 7
+27
99.9%
Jeremiah Detmer 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNHDrive 23INT
10 plays · 68 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass complete to Mike DeTroia for 9 yds to the NHamp 34Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+7
99.9%
Jimmy Owens run for 7 yds to the NHamp 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass complete to Mike DeTroia for 6 yds to the NHamp 47Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+15
99.9%
Vailas, Andy pass incomplete, PENALTY TOLEDO pass interference (MATHIS, Trevon) 15 yards to the TOLEDO38, 1ST DOWN UNH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+6
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass complete to Jared Allison for 6 yds to the Toled 32Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & 4
OPP 32
0
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass incomplete, broken up by Trevon MathisSimilar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+26
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass complete to Kyon Taylor for 26 yds to the Toled 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-1
99.9%
Donald Goodrich run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 7Similar
Q4 4:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.9%
Andy Vailas pass intercepted, touchback. Delando Johnson return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TOLDrive 24END OF GAME
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.9%
Terry Swanson run for 3 yds to the Toled 23Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 7
OWN 23
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Toled 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 7:43
Sean Goldrich run for 4 yds for a TD, (Christian Breda KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q2 0:24
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD (Jeremiah Detmer MISSED)
+9.5
TD · Q3 10:49
Kareem Hunt run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jeremiah Detmer KICK)
+9.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com