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PRES

Presbyterian 3 at Northern Illinois 55

NIU
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · Huskie Stadium
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Win probability · NIU
modelNIU aheadPRES aheadconfidence bandkey playNIU scorePRES score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 8:42 · Matt McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 28Pregame prior+46.8Home team on offense+1.5Score differential+0.2Blowout margin−0.1Garbage-time factor+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:02: Matt McIntosh pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — PRES win probability +0.1 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q1 4:56: Tyler Wedel 32 yd FG GOOD — PRES win probability +0.3 pts (now 2%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 1:12: Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +0.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 12:39: Joel Bouagnon run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +0.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:30: Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK) — NIU win probability +0.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: NIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
NIU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6PRES made the numbers' call on 7 of 10
  1. Q1 11:02PRES 4th & 10 at PRES 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:42NIU 4th & 1 at PRES 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 97.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    97.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    97.8%−0.1
    74% to make
    Punt
    97.3%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:56NIU 4th & 6 at PRES 15, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 97.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    97.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    97.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:50PRES 4th & 9 at PRES 20, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00PRES 4th & 18 at PRES 20, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.3
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:33PRES 4th & 5 at PRES 12, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:09PRES 4th & 2 at PRES 28, down 24
    Close callPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:58PRES 4th & 9 at PRES 38, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:03NIU 4th & 2 at PRES 9, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    54% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.6%−0.1
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 11:26PRES 4th & 2 at NIU 49, down 48
    Close callPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%−0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 7:56NIU 4th & 16 at NIU 14, up 48
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.2
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 0:06PRES 4th & 2 at NIU 14, down 55
    Close callKicked a field goal · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    84% to make
    Punt
    -0.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 15:00NIU 4th & 5 at PRES 42, up 52
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 12:53PRES 4th & 14 at PRES 6, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 8:26NIU 4th & 5 at PRES 14, up 52
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    84% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:26PRES 4th & 14 at PRES 16, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
NIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 11:02NIU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:12NIU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:39NIU Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:30NIU Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:27NIU Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:31NIU Touchdown, up 47 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 3:55NIU Touchdown, up 54 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
PRESDrive 1FUMBLE
5 plays · 35 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
98.7%
Heys McMath run for 1 yd to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+13
98.7%
LaQua Mayes run for 13 yds to the Presb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
98.7%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jeremiah McKie for 6 yds to the Presb 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+2
98.7%
LaQua Mayes run for 2 yds to the NoIll 42 LaQua Mayes fumbled, forced by Marlon Moore, recovered by NoIll Paris LoganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 2TD
9 plays · 58 yds · 1:5499% → 98%
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+1
98.5%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+6
98.5%
Matt McIntosh run for 6 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 3
OWN 49
+5
98.5%
Tommylee Lewis run for 5 yds to the Presb 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+6
98.5%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 6 yds to the Presb 40Similar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 4
OPP 40
+2
98.5%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for 2 yds to the Presb 38Similar
Q1 12:56
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+4
98.5%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Chad Beebe for 4 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Joel BouagnonSimilar
Q1 12:56
2ND & 10
OPP 34
-5
98.5%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 39Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 15
OPP 39
+39
98.4%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 39 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 11:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.4%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 24Similar
Q1 11:02
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+3
98.4%
Heys McMath pass complete to Tobi Antigha for 3 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q1 11:02
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-2
98.4%
Heys McMath pass complete to Darrell Bridges for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 25Similar
Q1 11:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+14
98.4%
Stephen Doar punt for 47 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for 14 yds to the NoIll 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 4FG
13 plays · 43 yds · 3:4698% → 98%
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
98.2%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoIll 37Similar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+6
98.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the NoIll 43Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 9
OWN 43
+7
98.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 2
50
+10
98.2%
Matt McIntosh run for 10 yds to the Presb 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+10
98.2%
Joel Bouagnon run for 10 yds to the Presb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
98.2%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+5
98.2%
Da'Ron Brown run for 5 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 5
OPP 25
+4
98.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the Presb 21Similar
Q1 8:42
4TH & 1
OPP 21
+2
98.2%
Matt McIntosh run for 2 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
98.2%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Chad Beebe for 5 yds to the Presb 14Similar
Q1 8:42
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+2
98.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 2 yds to the Presb 12Similar
Q1 8:42
3RD & 3
OPP 12
-3
98.2%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Joel Bouagnon for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 15Similar
Q1 4:56
4TH & 6
OPP 15
+32
97.9%
Tyler Wedel 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-5
97.8%
PRESBYTERIAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Presb 14Similar
Q1 4:50
1ST & 15
OWN 14
0
97.8%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Tobi AntighaSimilar
Q1 4:50
2ND & 15
OWN 14
+6
97.8%
Jeremiah McKie run for 6 yds to the Presb 20Similar
Q1 4:50
3RD & 9
OWN 20
0
97.8%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Tobi AntighaSimilar
Q1 4:50
4TH & 9
OWN 20
+5
97.9%
Stephen Doar punt for 49 yds , Tommylee Lewis returns for 5 yds to the NoIll 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 6TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 2:3598% → 98%
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
97.8%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 10 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
97.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 6
50
0
97.8%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 6
50
+11
97.8%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 11 yds to the Presb 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
97.9%
Matt McIntosh pass incomplete to Tommylee LewisSimilar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+8
97.8%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 8 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q1 3:47
3RD & 2
OPP 31
+12
97.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 12 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+9
97.9%
Matt McIntosh run for 9 yds to the Presb 10Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & 1
OPP 10
+5
97.9%
Matt McIntosh pass complete to Akeem Daniels for 5 yds to the Presb 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
97.9%
Akeem Daniels run for 3 yds to the Presb 2Similar
Q1 3:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
97.9%
Tommylee Lewis run for 1 yd to the Presb 1Similar
Q1 1:12
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.3%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:072% → 2%
Q1 1:07
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
98.1%
Darrell Bridges run for 2 yds to the Presb 30Similar
Q1 1:07
2ND & 8
OWN 30
0
98.1%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 1:07
3RD & 8
OWN 30
-10
98.1%
Heys McMath sacked by Jason Meehan for a loss of 10 yards to the Presb 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 18
OWN 20
0
98.2%
Stephen Doar punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 8TD
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:1498% → 99%
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+9
98.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 9 yds to the NoIll 40Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 1
OWN 40
+6
98.2%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 6 yds to the NoIll 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
98.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 7 yds to the Presb 47Similar
Q2 14:53
2ND & 3
OPP 47
-1
98.2%
Drew Hare run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 48Similar
Q2 14:53
3RD & 4
OPP 48
+29
98.2%
Akeem Daniels run for 29 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-4
98.2%
Tommylee Lewis run for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 23Similar
Q2 12:39
2ND & 14
OPP 23
+23
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 9PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 12:33
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
98.7%
LaQua Mayes run for 1 yd to the Presb 8Similar
Q2 12:33
2ND & 9
OWN 8
-2
98.7%
Heys McMath sacked by Rajshawn Mosley for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 6Similar
Q2 12:33
3RD & 11
OWN 6
+6
98.7%
Heys McMath run for 6 yds to the Presb 12Similar
Q2 12:33
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+11
98.7%
Stephen Doar punt for 44 yds , Chad Beebe returns for 11 yds to the Presb 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 41 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-7
98.8%
Drew Hare sacked by Darius Norfleet for a loss of 7 yards to the NoIll 48Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 17
OWN 48
+5
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 5 yds to the Presb 47Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 12
OPP 47
+14
98.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 14 yds to the Presb 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+7
98.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 7 yds to the Presb 26Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 3
OPP 26
+5
98.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 5 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
98.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron Brown, broken up by Kevin CrawfordSimilar
Q2 10:16
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+7
98.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 7 yds to the Presb 14Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+4
98.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the Presb 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:16
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the Presb 6Similar
Q2 10:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 2 yds to the Presb 4Similar
Q2 10:16
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
98.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 0
OPP 4
+21
98.7%
Tyler Wedel 21 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 7:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
98.6%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 21Similar
Q2 7:09
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+7
98.6%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 7 yds to the Presb 28Similar
Q2 7:09
3RD & 2
OWN 28
0
98.5%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Tobi AntighaSimilar
Q2 7:09
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
98.6%
Stephen Doar punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoIll 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 12TD
13 plays · 73 yds · 3:1899% → 100%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
98.8%
Akeem Daniels run for 4 yds to the NoIll 31Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+4
98.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 4 yds to the NoIll 35Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 2
OWN 35
+4
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 4 yds to the NoIll 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
98.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 7 yds to the NoIll 46Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+5
98.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Aregeros Turner for 5 yds to the Presb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
98.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Da'Ron Brown for 7 yds to the Presb 42Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+8
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 8 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 7 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+6
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 6 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
98.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 3 yds to the Presb 18Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 7
OPP 18
0
98.8%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Chad BeebeSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+9
98.8%
Drew Hare run for 9 yds to the Presb 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.7%
Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 1:250% → 0%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+8
99.6%
Blake Roberts run for 8 yds to the Presb 31Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 2
OWN 31
+6
99.5%
Heys McMath pass complete to Blake Roberts for 6 yds to the Presb 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Heys McMath pass complete to Devron Glenn for no gain to the Presb 37Similar
Q2 1:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
99.6%
Heys McMath pass incomplete to Jeremiah McKieSimilar
Q2 1:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.6%
Blake Roberts run for 1 yd to the Presb 38Similar
Q2 0:58
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
99.6%
Stephen Doar punt for 33 yds, fair catch by Chad Beebe at the NoIll 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 14FG
9 plays · 62 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
99.6%
Drew Hare pass complete to Tommylee Lewis for 8 yds to the NoIll 37Similar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+8
99.6%
Tommylee Lewis run for 8 yds to the NoIll 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
99.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Akeem DanielsSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+13
99.6%
Akeem Daniels run for 13 yds to the Presb 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+25
99.6%
Drew Hare run for 25 yds to the Presb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
99.6%
Drew Hare pass incomplete to Da'Ron BrownSimilar
Q2 0:52
3RD & 10
OPP 17
+8
99.6%
Akeem Daniels run for 8 yds to the Presb 9Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 2
OPP 9
+26
99.6%
Tyler Wedel 26 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 16TD
4 plays · 79 yds · 1:24100% → 100%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.7%
Draco Smith run for 1 yd to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+4
99.7%
Draco Smith run for 4 yds to the NoIll 26Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 5
OWN 26
+25
99.7%
Drew Hare run for 25 yds to the Presb 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+49
99.8%
Drew Hare pass complete to Juwan Brescacin for 49 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 17INT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
99.8%
LaQua Mayes run for 2 yds to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
99.8%
Heys McMath pass complete to Tobi Antigha for no gain to the Presb 21Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 8
OWN 21
+10
99.8%
Heys McMath pass intercepted Albert Smalls return for 10 yds to the Presb 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 18TD
3 plays · 12 yds · 0:32100% → 100%
Q3 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
99.8%
Ezra Saffold run for 2 yds to the Presb 10Similar
Q3 12:03
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+9
99.8%
Anthony Maddie run for 9 yds to the Presb 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 19PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
99.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 3 yds to the Presb 23Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
99.8%
Heys McMath pass complete to Jordan Hallums for 7 yds to the Presb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
99.8%
Darrell Bridges run for a loss of 2 yards to the Presb 28Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 12
OWN 28
+15
99.8%
McMATH, H. pass incomplete to ANTIGHA, T., PENALTY NIU offside defense declined, PENALTY NIU pass interference 15 yards to the PC43, 1ST DOWN PC, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
99.8%
Darrell Bridges run for 8 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 11:26
2ND & 2
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 11:26
3RD & 2
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Daryl Wilson run for no gain to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 11:26
4TH & 2
OPP 49
0
99.8%
Stephen Doar punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 7:56
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 7:56
2ND & 8
OWN 22
-2
99.9%
Keith Harris Jr. run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoIll 20Similar
Q3 7:56
3RD & 10
OWN 20
-6
99.9%
Anthony Maddie sacked by Khari Rosier for a loss of 6 yards to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 7:56
4TH & 16
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Tyler Wedel punt for 42 yds, downed at the Presb 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 21FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+1
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 1 yd to the Presb 45Similar
Q3 6:15
2ND & 9
OWN 45
+5
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin pass complete to Tobi Antigha for 5 yds Tobi Antigha fumbled, forced by Brandon Mayes, recovered by NoIll Sean FolliardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 22TD
6 plays · 49 yds · 1:35100% → 100%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
99.9%
Draco Smith run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoIll 46Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+24
99.9%
Anthony Maddie pass complete to Ezra Saffold for 24 yds to the Presb 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
99.9%
Draco Smith run for 5 yds to the Presb 25Similar
Q3 5:30
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+8
99.9%
Draco Smith run for 8 yds to the Presb 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+7
99.9%
Draco Smith run for 7 yds to the Presb 10Similar
Q3 3:55
2ND & 3
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Draco Smith run for 10 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 23FG
10 plays · 51 yds · 3:420% → 0%
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+9
99.9%
Marquel Hines run for 9 yds to the Presb 44Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 1
OWN 44
+4
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 4 yds to the Presb 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin pass incomplete to Acey PalmerSimilar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for 3 yds to the NoIll 49Similar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 7
OPP 49
+27
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin pass complete to Daryl Wilson for 27 yds to the NoIll 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Blake Roberts run for no gain to the NoIll 22Similar
Q3 3:48
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin pass incomplete to Daryl WilsonSimilar
Q3 3:48
3RD & 10
OPP 22
+8
99.9%
Kaleb Griffin run for 8 yds to the NoIll 14Similar
Q3 0:06
4TH & 2
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Brandon Morrow 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 24PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the NoIll 47Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+6
99.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 6 yds to the Presb 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
99.9%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 3 yds to the Presb 44Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to Aregeros TurnerSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 2 yds to the Presb 42Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
99.9%
Tyler Wedel punt for 32 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+1
100.0%
LaQua Mayes run for 1 yd to the Presb 11Similar
Q4 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 11
-1
100.0%
LaQua Mayes run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 10Similar
Q4 12:53
3RD & 10
OWN 10
-4
100.0%
Kaleb Griffin sacked by Cal Breedlove for a loss of 4 yards to the Presb 6Similar
Q4 12:53
4TH & 14
OWN 6
0
100.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Presb 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 26MISSED FG
7 plays · 23 yds · 2:21100% → 100%
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-12
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the Presb 49Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 22
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the Presb 46Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 19
OPP 46
+27
99.9%
Anthony Maddie run for 27 yds to the Presb 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Jordan Huff run for 2 yds to the Presb 17Similar
Q4 10:47
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+3
99.9%
Jordan Huff run for 3 yds to the Presb 14Similar
Q4 10:47
3RD & 5
OPP 14
0
99.9%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 5
OPP 14
+31
99.9%
Josh Orne 31 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
PRESDrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for no gain to the Presb 20Similar
Q4 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-5
100.0%
Marquel Hines run for a loss of 5 yards to the Presb 15Similar
Q4 8:26
3RD & 15
OWN 15
+1
100.0%
Darrell Bridges run for 1 yd to the Presb 16Similar
Q4 8:26
4TH & 14
OWN 16
0
100.0%
Stephen Doar punt for 40 yds, downed at the NoIll 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NIUDrive 28END OF HALF
13 plays · 36 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+7
100.0%
Ezra Saffold run for 7 yds to the Presb 49Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 3
OPP 49
+4
100.0%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 4 yds to the Presb 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
100.0%
Anthony Maddie pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 10
OPP 45
-1
100.0%
Anthony Maddie run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 46Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 11
OPP 46
+12
100.0%
Anthony Maddie run for 12 yds to the Presb 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+7
100.0%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 7 yds to the Presb 27Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 3
OPP 27
+6
100.0%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 6 yds to the Presb 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
100.0%
Keith Harris Jr. run for 5 yds to the Presb 16Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 5
OPP 16
+5
100.0%
Ezra Saffold run for 5 yds to the Presb 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:03
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-3
100.0%
Keith Harris Jr. run for a loss of 3 yards to the Presb 14Similar
Q4 6:03
2ND & 13
OPP 14
0
100.0%
Anthony Maddie run for no gain to the Presb 14Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 13
OPP 14
-5
100.0%
NORTHERNIL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Presb 19Similar
Q4 6:03
3RD & 18
OPP 19
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Presb 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:30
Joel Bouagnon run for 9 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
+0.8
TD · Q2 12:39
Joel Bouagnon run for 23 yds for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
+0.5
TD · Q1 1:12
Joel Bouagnon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Tyler Wedel KICK)
+0.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com