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HOW

Howard 0 at Akron 41

AKR
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 28, 2014 · InfoCision Stadium
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Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadHOW aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreHOW score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 12:49 · John Fleck punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Fransohn Bickley at the Akron 33
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 152Pregame prior+11.9Home team on offense+35.6Score differential+29.6Garbage-time factor+10.3Blowout margin+15.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:24: Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +0.3 pts (now 92%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 9:34: Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 43 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +0.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 4:28: Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35 — AKR win probability +1.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00: John Fleck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback — AKR win probability +1.1 pts (now 96%) (top driver: HOW has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:40: Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK) — AKR win probability +2.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 3 of 7HOW made the numbers' call on 8 of 12
  1. Q1 15:00HOW 4th & 6 at HOW 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:19HOW 4th & 3 at HOW 25, down 14
    Close callPunted · 9.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:34HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 47, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:48AKR 4th & 1 at HOW 3, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    92.9%
    63% to convert
    Field goal
    92.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    91.0%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:42HOW 4th & 7 at HOW 6, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.3%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:52AKR 4th & 2 at HOW 7, up 21
    Close callKicked a field goal · 94.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.3%
    53% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    93.9%−0.3
    91% to make
    Punt
    92.1%−2.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:52HOW 4th & 3 at AKR 45, down 21
    Close callPunted · 5.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    5.4%−0.6
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 10:25AKR 4th & 3 at HOW 40, up 21
    Close callPunted · 94.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.6%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    94.1%−0.6
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    94.2%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:26HOW 4th & 9 at HOW 20, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.6%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:18AKR 4th & 10 at HOW 47, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  11. Q3 15:00AKR 4th & 6 at AKR 42, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.5%−0.3
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.8%
    average punt
  12. Q3 13:24HOW 4th & 2 at HOW 16, down 21
    Close callPunted · 3.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%−0.2
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:33HOW 4th & 1 at AKR 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.3
    40% to make
    Punt
    0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q3 8:33HOW 4th & 16 at AKR 42, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to make
    Punt
    0.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00HOW 4th & 1 at AKR 32, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.2
    51% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.2
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:01AKR 4th & 1 at AKR 41, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 12:49HOW 4th & 4 at HOW 26, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  18. Q4 9:36HOW 4th & 5 at HOW 30, down 41
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:50AKR 4th & 8 at HOW 25, up 41
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    66% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:28AKR Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:24AKR Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 9:34AKR Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 8:40AKR Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 9:42AKR Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
HOWDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
92.2%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.2%
William Parker run for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
92.2%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
92.2%
John Fleck punt for 34 yds, downed at the Akron 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 2TD
2 plays · 63 yds · 0:3892% → 92%
Q1 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
92.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 6 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q1 13:28
2ND & 4
OWN 43
+57
92.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 57 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 3FUMBLE
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 13:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
92.0%
William Parker run for 2 yds to the Howrd 21Similar
Q1 13:20
2ND & 8
OWN 21
+5
92.0%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Howrd 26Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 3
OWN 26
-13
92.0%
FREEMAN,Aquaniu rush for 3 yards to the HOWARD29 (CAPI, Nordly), PENALTY HOWARD personal foul 13 yards to the HOWARD13, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:20
3RD & 16
OWN 13
+7
92.0%
Greg McGhee pass complete to William Parker for 7 yds William Parker fumbled, forced by Justin March, recovered by Akron C.J. Mizell , return for 6 yds to the Howrd 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 4TD
2 plays · 9 yds · 0:0992% → 92%
Q1 11:33
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
91.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
92.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 9 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
92.1%
Aquanius Freeman run for 2 yds to the Howrd 20Similar
Q1 11:19
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+4
92.1%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Matthew Colvin for 4 yds to the Howrd 24Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 4
OWN 24
-5
92.1%
HOWARD Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Howrd 19Similar
Q1 11:19
3RD & 9
OWN 19
+6
92.2%
Greg McGhee run for 6 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q1 11:19
4TH & 3
OWN 25
+34
92.2%
John Fleck punt for 52 yds , Imani Davis returns for 34 yds to the Howrd 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 6TD
1 play · 43 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+43
93.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 43 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 7PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
92.9%
Greg McGhee pass complete to William Parker for 4 yds to the Howrd 29Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+13
92.8%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Travis Brown for 13 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
92.8%
William Parker run for 4 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q1 9:34
2ND & 6
OWN 46
0
92.8%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis Brown, broken up by Justin MarchSimilar
Q1 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 46
+1
92.8%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 1 yd to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 9:34
4TH & 5
OWN 47
0
92.9%
John Fleck punt for 26 yds, downed at the Akron 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 8DOWNS
12 plays · 70 yds · 4:3093% → 94%
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
93.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 6 yds to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 4
OWN 33
0
93.3%
Jawon Chisholm run for no gain to the Akron 33Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 4
OWN 33
+15
93.2%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 15 yds to the Akron 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+5
93.4%
Jawon Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Howrd 47Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 5
OPP 47
+9
93.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 9 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+11
93.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 11 yds to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
93.5%
POHL, Kyle pass incomplete to SMITH, L.T., PENALTY HOWARD pass interference 15 yards to the HOWARD12, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:18
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
93.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Howrd 10Similar
Q1 7:18
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+5
93.5%
Jawon Chisholm run for 5 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 7:18
3RD & 3
OPP 5
+2
93.4%
Jawon Chisholm run for 2 yds to the Howrd 3Similar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 1
OPP 3
0
94.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 2:42
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
94.3%
William Parker run for 2 yds to the Howrd 5Similar
Q1 2:42
2ND & 8
OWN 5
-2
94.3%
Greg McGhee sacked by Dylan Evans for a loss of 2 yards to the Howrd 3Similar
Q1 2:42
3RD & 10
OWN 3
+3
94.3%
William Parker run for 3 yds to the Howrd 6Similar
Q1 2:42
4TH & 7
OWN 6
0
94.3%
John Fleck punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Howrd 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 10MISSED FG
9 plays · 33 yds · 3:0495% → 95%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OPP 40
0
94.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 10
OPP 40
+15
94.6%
Kyle Pohl run for 15 yds to the Howrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
94.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for no gain to the Howrd 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+10
94.9%
Conor Hundley run for 10 yds to the Howrd 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
94.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+2
94.9%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Howrd 13Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 13
+6
94.9%
Kyle Pohl run for 6 yds to the Howrd 7Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 2
OPP 7
+25
95.4%
Tom O'Leary 25 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 35 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
95.1%
Greg McGhee run for 5 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+10
95.0%
Greg McGhee run for 10 yds to the Howrd 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+13
95.0%
William Parker run for 13 yds to the Howrd 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
94.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis Brown, broken up by DeAndre ScottSimilar
Q2 12:52
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+7
95.0%
Aquanius Freeman run for 7 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 12:52
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
94.9%
William Parker run for no gain to the Akron 45Similar
Q2 12:52
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
94.9%
John Fleck punt for 45 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 12PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
95.7%
Kyle Pohl run for 1 yd to the Akron 21Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+9
95.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 9 yds to the Akron 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
95.7%
Kyle Pohl run for 12 yds to the Akron 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
95.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 4 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+7
95.9%
Conor Hundley run for 7 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-10
95.9%
POHL, Kyle pass incomplete to HUNDLEY, Conor, PENALTY AKRON holding 10 yards to the AKRON43, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 10:25
1ST & 20
OWN 43
+5
95.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Imani Davis for 5 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 15
OWN 48
+12
95.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 12 yds to the Howrd 40Similar
Q2 10:25
3RD & 3
OPP 40
0
95.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to L.T. SmithSimilar
Q2 10:25
4TH & 3
OPP 40
0
95.6%
Zach Paul punt for 21 yds, downed at the Howrd 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
95.7%
Aquanius Freeman run for 3 yds to the Howrd 22Similar
Q2 6:26
2ND & 7
OWN 22
-1
95.7%
Aquanius Freeman run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 21Similar
Q2 6:26
3RD & 8
OWN 21
-1
95.7%
Greg McGhee sacked by Cody Grice for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 20Similar
Q2 6:26
4TH & 9
OWN 20
0
95.8%
John Fleck punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Akron 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 1:1097% → 97%
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-1
96.7%
Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35Similar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 11
OWN 35
+18
96.7%
Kyle Pohl run for 18 yds to the Howrd 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:28
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 4:28
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
96.8%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:18
3RD & 10
OPP 47
0
97.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:18
4TH & 10
OPP 47
0
96.9%
Zach Paul punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 15END OF HALF
17 plays · 69 yds · 2:364% → 5%
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
96.1%
Greg McGhee run for no gain to the Howrd 20Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+4
96.2%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 4 yds to the Howrd 24Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 6
OWN 24
+9
96.2%
Greg McGhee run for 9 yds to the Howrd 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Matthew Colvin, broken up by Johnny RobinsonSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+5
96.0%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Howrd 38Similar
Q2 3:01
3RD & 5
OWN 38
+5
95.9%
William Parker run for 5 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
95.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to William Parker, broken up by Nordly CapiSimilar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+10
95.9%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Travis Brown for 10 yds to the Akron 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
95.8%
William Parker run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 3:01
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+17
95.9%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Travis Brown for 17 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.4%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis BrownSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+15
95.3%
McGHEE,Greg pass incomplete to PARKER,William, QB hurry by OKAFOR, Nmesoma, PENALTY AKRON face mask 15 yards to the AKRON16, 1ST DOWN HOWARD, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
95.1%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for no gain to the Akron 16Similar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
95.1%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+5
95.4%
McGHEE,Greg pass complete to HARTMAN,Stewart for 9 yards to the AKRON7 (SENTER, John), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the AKRON11, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:25
3RD & 5
OPP 11
0
95.3%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis BrownSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
97.0%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
97.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 13 yds to the Akron 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
97.2%
Fransohn Bickley run for 4 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 42
0
97.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett, broken up by DeAndre PriceSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 42
0
97.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 42
+3
96.9%
Zach Paul punt for 53 yds , Travis Brown returns for 3 yds to the Howrd 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 13:24
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
96.7%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Robert Mercer for 6 yds to the Howrd 14Similar
Q3 13:24
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+1
96.6%
Aquanius Freeman run for 1 yd to the Howrd 15Similar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 3
OWN 15
+1
96.7%
Greg McGhee run for 1 yd to the Howrd 16Similar
Q3 13:24
4TH & 2
OWN 16
+1
96.7%
John Fleck punt for 40 yds , Imani Davis returns for 1 yd to the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 18TD
8 plays · 55 yds · 2:5598% → 100%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
97.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 9
OWN 46
+14
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 14 yds to the Howrd 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+11
97.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Jawon Chisholm for 11 yds to the Howrd 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
97.6%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 10
OPP 29
+2
97.6%
Conor Hundley run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q3 11:35
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+26
97.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 26 yds to the Howrd 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
97.6%
Kyle Pohl run for a loss of 5 yards to the Howrd 6 Kyle Pohl fumbled, recovered by Akron Kyle PohlSimilar
Q3 8:40
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
99.6%
Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 19DOWNS
13 plays · 19 yds · 0:001% → 0%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 0
+6
99.4%
Terrence Tusan run for 6 yds to the Howrd 38 AKRON Penalty, personal foul ( Yards) to the Howrd 38Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 4
OWN 38
+4
99.5%
Greg McGhee run for 4 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Matthew Colvin, broken up by Bryce CheekSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
99.5%
Terrence Tusan run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 39 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Akron 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.5%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+7
99.5%
Terrence Tusan run for 7 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 3
OPP 39
+2
99.5%
Greg McGhee run for 2 yds to the Akron 37Similar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 1
OPP 37
+1
99.5%
Aquanius Freeman run for 1 yd to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
99.5%
Greg McGhee pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 10
OPP 36
-6
99.5%
Greg McGhee sacked by Nordly Capi for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 42Similar
Q3 8:33
3RD & 16
OPP 42
0
99.6%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Travis BrownSimilar
Q3 8:33
4TH & 16
OPP 42
-7
99.6%
Greg McGhee sacked by Nmesoma Okafor for a loss of 7 yards to the Akron 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20TD
5 plays · 51 yds · 1:16100% → 100%
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+9
99.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 9 yds to the Howrd 42Similar
Q3 4:22
2ND & 1
OPP 42
+4
99.7%
Conor Hundley run for 4 yds to the Howrd 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+18
99.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Tyler Williams for 18 yds to the Howrd 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-8
99.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for a loss of 8 yards to the Howrd 28Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 18
OPP 28
+28
99.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 28 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary BLOCKED)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 33 yds · 3:060% → 0%
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
99.8%
Terrence Tusan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 34Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Terrence Tusan run for 2 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 36
+23
99.8%
Greg McGhee run for 8 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+1
99.8%
Terrence Tusan run for 1 yd to the Akron 40Similar
Q3 3:06
2ND & 9
OPP 40
+8
99.8%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Aquanius Freeman for 8 yds to the Akron 32Similar
Q3 3:06
3RD & 1
OPP 32
0
99.7%
Aquanius Freeman run for no gain to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 32
0
99.8%
Aquanius Freeman run for no gain to the Akron 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:54100% → 100%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
99.8%
Jawon Chisholm run for 1 yd to the Akron 33Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+1
99.8%
Kyle Pohl run for 1 yd to the Akron 34Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+7
99.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 7 yds to the Akron 41Similar
Q4 13:01
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Zach Paul punt for 59 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
99.9%
Terrence Tusan run for 6 yds to the Howrd 26Similar
Q4 12:49
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Terrence Tusan run for no gain to the Howrd 26Similar
Q4 12:49
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Greg McGhee pass incomplete to Aquanius FreemanSimilar
Q4 12:49
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
99.9%
John Fleck punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Fransohn Bickley at the Akron 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:45100% → 100%
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for a loss of 3 yards to the Akron 30Similar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+25
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 25 yds to the Howrd 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q4 11:27
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+5
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 5 yds to the Howrd 40Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+40
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 40 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+1
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 1 yd to the Howrd 16Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 9
OWN 16
+9
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 9 yds to the Howrd 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 2 yds to the Howrd 27Similar
Q4 9:36
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
100.0%
Greg McGhee pass complete to Travis Brown for a loss of 1 yard to the Howrd 26Similar
Q4 9:36
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Aquanius Freeman run for 4 yds to the Howrd 30Similar
Q4 9:36
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
John Fleck punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Imani Davis at the Akron 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26DOWNS
10 plays · 59 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+19
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Anthony Ritossa for 19 yds to the Akron 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Akron 44Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 5 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Howrd 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Anthony Ritossa for 3 yds to the Howrd 46Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 7
OPP 46
+19
99.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 4 yds to the Howrd 42 for a 1ST down HOWARD Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (15 Yards) to the Howrd 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:50
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
100.0%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Howrd 25Similar
Q4 6:50
2ND & 8
OPP 25
0
100.0%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 6:50
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Austin WolfSimilar
Q4 6:50
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+5
99.9%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Austin Wolf for 5 yds to the Howrd 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
HOWDrive 27END OF HALF
7 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 6 yds to the Howrd 26Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 4 yds to the Howrd 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 6 yds to the Howrd 36Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+7
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 7 yds to the Howrd 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 2 yds to the Howrd 45Similar
Q4 3:57
2ND & 8
OWN 45
+6
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for 6 yds to the Akron 49Similar
Q4 3:57
3RD & 2
OPP 49
-1
100.0%
Terrence Tusan run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 8:40
Jawon Chisholm run for 6 yds for a TD, (Tom O'Leary KICK)
+2
KEY PLAY · Q3 15:00
John Fleck kickoff for 65 yds for a touchback
+1.1
KEY PLAY · Q2 4:28
Jawon Chisholm run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 35
+1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com