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RICE

Rice 31 at Louisiana Tech 76

LT
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 29, 2014 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · James Farrimond punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 26
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 146Home team on offense+34.7Score differential+29.5Pregame prior+4.2Blowout margin+15.0Garbage-time factor+9.9Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+7.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:03: Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 35 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +7.6 pts (now 80%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:43: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 51 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +7.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:24: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +15.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q3 11:59: Kenneth Dixon run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +11.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:20: Jarred Craft run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +10.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 4RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 1 at LT 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 66.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:42RICE 4th & 10 at LT 17, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.6%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.7%
    80% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−0.6
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:07RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 22, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.1%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    32.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19RICE 4th & 20 at RICE 15, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%−0.9
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 9:23LT 4th & 10 at RICE 33, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 74.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.4%
    49% to make
    Punt
    73.8%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 2:30RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 13, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:33LT 4th & 9 at RICE 27, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 79.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.0%−0.8
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    79.8%
    62% to make
    Punt
    76.7%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:59RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 20, down 11
    Close callPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.6%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 48, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 5:45LT 4th & 1 at RICE 9, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    89% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 2:47RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 10 of 11RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 6:12LT Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:19LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 0:03LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 12:14RICE Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    24.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    24.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 7:43RICE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 5:29LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 14:24RICE Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 11:59LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 8:20LT Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:44LT Touchdown, up 24 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q3 1:49LT Touchdown, up 31 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q4 11:31LT Touchdown, up 38 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q4 9:31LT Touchdown, up 45 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q4 5:45RICE Touchdown, down 39 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 2:47LT Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0067% → 67%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
67.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+4
67.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
0
67.1%
Cody Sokol run for no gain to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 35
0
67.1%
Logan McPherson punt for 48 yds, downed at the Rice 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2FG
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:2633% → 34%
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+34
66.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 34 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+8
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 2
OPP 41
+2
66.7%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+6
66.7%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 4
OPP 33
+3
66.7%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 1
OPP 30
+2
66.7%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 28
0
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Kentrell BriceSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 28
+11
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 11 yds to the LaTch 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:08
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
66.7%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 13:08
2ND & 10
OPP 17
0
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:08
3RD & 10
OPP 17
0
66.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 9:42
4TH & 10
OPP 17
+35
66.1%
James Hairston 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:3066% → 68%
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
66.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete, broken up by Ross WinshipSimilar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
66.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+4
66.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
66.3%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 9:42
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+4
66.6%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 2
OWN 46
-5
66.4%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 9:42
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+50
66.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 40 yds to the LATECH 19 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, face mask (10 yards) (Bryce Callahan) to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+8
66.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the Rice 1Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
68.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 3 yds · 0:0032% → 32%
Q1 6:07
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
67.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 6:07
2ND & 7
OWN 22
+3
67.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 4
OWN 25
-5
68.1%
RICE Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 6:07
3RD & 9
OWN 20
+2
68.3%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 6:07
4TH & 7
OWN 22
0
68.5%
James Farrimond punt for 66 yds, downed at the LaTch 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5TD
4 plays · 88 yds · 1:4268% → 72%
Q1 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+7
67.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 7 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q1 4:01
2ND & 3
OWN 19
+2
67.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 21Similar
Q1 4:01
3RD & 1
OWN 21
+7
67.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+72
71.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 72 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
71.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 11
OWN 24
-9
71.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Le'Vander Liggins for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
72.1%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 15Similar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+22
72.3%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 22 yds to the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7TD
1 play · 35 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q1 0:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
79.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 35 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:4622% → 28%
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
50
-3
77.8%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 47
+18
78.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 18 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
77.3%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+9
77.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 9 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+16
77.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 16 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+1
77.2%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the LaTch 7Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
71.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 7 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9MISSED FG
9 plays · 44 yds · 2:5175% → 76%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
74.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+29
74.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 29 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
75.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+11
75.5%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete to TURNER, Paul, PENALTY RICE pass interference (CALLAHAN, Bryce) 11 yards to the RICE33, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
75.7%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:14
2ND & 10
OPP 33
0
75.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the Rice 33Similar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
75.2%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Ryan PollardSimilar
Q2 9:23
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+50
75.9%
Kyle Fischer 50 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:4025% → 33%
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
74.9%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 9:23
2ND & 11
OWN 32
+9
75.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 9 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 9:23
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+8
74.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:23
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
74.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+51
66.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 51 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
7 plays · 45 yds · 2:1470% → 79%
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+1
70.4%
Tevin King run for 1 yd to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 7:43
2ND & 9
OPP 44
+6
70.3%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 7:43
3RD & 3
OPP 38
+23
70.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 23 yds to the Rice 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+10
71.0%
Jarred Craft run for 10 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:43
1ST & 0
OPP 5
-5
71.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 10Similar
Q2 5:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
78.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 10 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q2 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
76.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
76.7%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Terrell Pinson return for no gain to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13INT
7 plays · 19 yds · 1:5679% → 81%
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
78.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Julius WhiteSimilar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
78.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Ricky Jones for 9 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 4:48
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+4
78.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:48
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
79.1%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q2 4:48
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+1
79.1%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the Rice 18Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 4
OPP 18
+27
80.6%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted James Radcliffe return for 5 yds to the Rice 13 RICE Penalty, personal foul (Dylan Klare) to the Rice 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0919% → 18%
Q2 2:39
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
80.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q2 2:39
2ND & 10
OWN 13
0
81.0%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 10
OWN 13
0
81.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by Le'Vander LigginsSimilar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 10
OWN 13
0
81.6%
James Farrimond punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15MISSED FG
7 plays · 25 yds · 1:4681% → 81%
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
81.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 48
+6
81.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+14
81.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 14 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+1
81.4%
Cody Sokol run for 1 yd to the Rice 27Similar
Q2 2:19
2ND & 9
OPP 27
0
81.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Cole ThomasSimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 9
OPP 27
0
80.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 9
OPP 27
+45
81.1%
Kyle Fischer 45 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
81.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 0:3622% → 37%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
77.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario Hull, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+25
78.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 25 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
63.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:2568% → 82%
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
68.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+9
67.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 14:24
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+6
68.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 6 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
69.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter LeeSimilar
Q3 14:24
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+20
68.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 20 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:24
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+9
70.7%
Tevin King run for 9 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 1
OPP 31
+31
81.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 11:59
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+1
79.8%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 15Similar
Q3 11:59
2ND & 9
OWN 15
+5
80.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 5 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 11:59
3RD & 4
OWN 20
0
80.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 11:59
4TH & 4
OWN 20
0
81.2%
James Farrimond punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
4 plays · 69 yds · 1:3282% → 93%
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
81.7%
Tevin King run for 6 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q3 9:52
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+4
82.2%
Tevin King run for 4 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
82.6%
Tevin King run for 1 yd to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 9
OWN 42
+58
93.1%
Jarred Craft run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21INT
5 plays · -11 yds · 0:009% → 8%
Q3 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
91.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 8:20
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-6
91.1%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Tony Johnson and Houston Bates for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 14Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 14
OWN 14
-7
91.3%
JACKSON, Driphu pass complete to HILL, Malcolm for 4 yards to the RICE18 (LIGGINS, L.), PENALTY RICE holding 7 yards to the RICE7, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:20
3RD & 21
OWN 7
0
91.6%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Colby Brown return for no gain to the LaTch 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22FUMBLE RETURN TD
4 plays · 52 yds · 1:4294% → 98%
Q3 6:26
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+42
93.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 42 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
93.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the Rice 10Similar
Q3 6:26
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
93.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 0
OWN 8
0
98.1%
Carlos Henderson 0 Yd Fumble Return (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23INT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 3%
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
97.9%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 21Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 11
OWN 21
+29
97.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 29 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:44
1ST & 10
50
+1
97.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 1 yd to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 4:44
2ND & 9
OPP 49
-7
97.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Andre Taylor for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 4:44
3RD & 16
OWN 44
+24
97.5%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Le'Vander Liggins return for 24 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
5 plays · 30 yds · 0:2099% → 100%
Q3 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 2:09
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 10
OPP 30
-5
99.2%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Carlos Henderson) to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 15
OPP 35
+35
99.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 35 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 1:490% → 0%
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+5
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 1:49
2ND & 5
OWN 33
+2
99.7%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 1:49
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+11
99.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 11 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:49
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario Hull, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James MaydenSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 48
0
99.8%
James Farrimond punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:29100% → 100%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+34
99.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 34 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+5
99.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OPP 35
+7
99.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 7 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
99.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the Rice 24Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
99.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 6
OPP 24
+24
99.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 24 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27FUMBLE RETURN TD
6 plays · 5 yds · 2:000% → 0%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q4 11:31
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+8
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 8 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 11:31
3RD & 2
OWN 22
+5
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Robby Wells III for 5 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 27
-19
100.0%
Beau Fitte 19 Yd Fumble Return (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 28TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:460% → 0%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Robby Wells III for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+18
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 18 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
100.0%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 8
50
0
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to James Mayden, broken up by Colby BrownSimilar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 8
50
+17
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 17 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 6 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+27
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 27 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 29TD
8 plays · 45 yds · 2:58100% → 100%
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+12
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Hunter Lee for 12 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+15
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 15 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:45
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
99.9%
Taylor Burch pass complete to Eddie Johnson for 9 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 5:45
2ND & 1
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Taylor Burch pass incomplete to Eddie Johnson, broken up by Emmanuel EllerbeeSimilar
Q4 5:45
3RD & 1
OPP 9
0
99.9%
Ryan Higgins run for no gain to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 5:45
4TH & 1
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 2 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
100.0%
Taylor Burch run for 7 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 30PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q4 2:47
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-2
100.0%
Tyler Stehling run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 26Similar
Q4 2:47
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+4
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 2:47
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
James Farrimond punt for 40 yds, downed at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 31END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 14:24
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)
-15.1
TD · Q3 11:59
Kenneth Dixon run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+11.2
TD · Q3 8:20
Jarred Craft run for 58 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+10.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com