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WKU

Western Kentucky 67 at Marshall 66

MRSH
2014 · Week 14 · Nov 28, 2014 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 15:00 · Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, downed at the WKent 1
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 119Pregame prior+26.6Home team on offense−6.3Garbage-time factor−2.9Score differential−2.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:37: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +14.0 pts (now 35%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q4 9:11: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 35 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +25.2 pts (now 82%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 0:39: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +44.1 pts (now 67%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · OT 0:00: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +21.7 pts (now 86%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Jared Dangerfield 25 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Brandon Doughty Pass to Willie McNeal for Two-Point Conversion) — WKU win probability +71.0 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 3WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 49, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.8%−0.5
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.2%
    average punt
  2. Q2 7:23WKU 4th & 12 at WKU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.6%−1.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.0%
    average punt
  3. Q2 4:32MRSH 4th & 14 at MRSH 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    72.5%−1.5
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.0%
    average punt
  4. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 25 at WKU 47, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.5%−3.6
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.1%
    average punt
  5. Q4 12:55WKU 4th & 4 at MRSH 4, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsKicked a field goal · 37.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.6%−1.4
    93% to make
    Punt
    20.2%−16.8
    average punt
  6. Q4 5:32MRSH 4th & 1 at WKU 1, down 10
    Numbers favored go for it by 7.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 17.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    15.2%−7.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    8.3%−13.9
    average punt
  7. Q4 4:13WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 41, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.0%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 11:58WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    8.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:23WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    9.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 8:56MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 8:45WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    10.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    10.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q1 7:02MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q1 4:09WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    13.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    13.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q1 2:27MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q2 13:13WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q2 10:37WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q2 7:50MRSH Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q2 7:23MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  12. Q2 2:12WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  13. Q2 1:24MRSH Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  14. Q3 0:58MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  15. Q4 9:11WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    78.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
  16. Q4 0:39MRSH Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−7.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
10 plays · 62 yds · 3:027% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+11
93.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
93.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
93.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 9 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 26
0
93.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler Higbee, broken up by A.J. LeggettSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+4
93.3%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
93.3%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 15
0
93.3%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the Marsh 13 Leon Allen fumbled, forced by Darryl Roberts, recovered by WKent Leon AllenSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+2
93.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Marsh 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
92.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 11 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0092% → 92%
Q1 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
92.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Neville HewittSimilar
Q1 11:58
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+29
92.3%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Branden Leston return for 29 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
1 play · 17 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+17
91.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 17 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2792% → 91%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
91.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
91.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Deon-Tay McManus) to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+23
91.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 23 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
91.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+16
91.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 16 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
91.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 7 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
91.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
91.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+26
91.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 26 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
89.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 75 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
6 plays · 68 yds · 1:4390% → 91%
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+10
90.1%
Devon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+31
90.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 31 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:45
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
90.4%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 8:45
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+8
90.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 8 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
90.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 14 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:5310% → 14%
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
90.0%
Nacarius Fant pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
50
+7
89.8%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+6
89.7%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 0
0
89.7%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to GERMAN, Joel, PENALTY WKU personal foul off-setting, PENALTY MARSHALL holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
89.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 7 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+5
89.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 5 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:02
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
89.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:02
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+5
89.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 5 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 4:09
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+20
86.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 20 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
6 plays · 64 yds · 1:4287% → 88%
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+25
87.3%
Rakeem Cato run for 10 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Gavin Rocker) to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-5
87.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Eric Frohnapfel) to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 4:09
1ST & 15
OPP 44
+8
87.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 4:09
2ND & 7
OPP 36
-5
87.6%
Rakeem Cato run for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 40 Rakeem Cato fumbled, recovered by Marsh Devon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+40
87.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 40 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 40 yds · 2:2712% → 14%
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+6
87.6%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 4
OWN 15
+15
87.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 15 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+24
87.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 24 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:27
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
87.0%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 2:27
2ND & 10
OPP 46
0
87.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 2:27
3RD & 10
OPP 46
-5
87.1%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 5 yards to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 49
0
86.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10INT
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q2 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
85.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q2 14:52
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+6
85.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 6 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & 4
OWN 19
0
85.6%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Branden Leston return for no gain to the Marsh 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
4 plays · 31 yds · 1:0815% → 20%
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
84.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 10 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+11
84.5%
Leon Allen run for 11 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:21
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
84.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
Q2 13:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
79.6%
Leon Allen run for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.1%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Branden Leston return for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
6 plays · 63 yds · 2:2920% → 35%
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+7
79.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 7 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 13:06
2ND & 3
OWN 44
+1
79.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 1 yd to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 13:06
3RD & 2
OWN 45
+10
79.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+36
79.6%
Leon Allen run for 36 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
79.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
65.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 2:4770% → 75%
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+14
69.5%
Devon Johnson run for 14 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+16
70.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 16 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+13
71.0%
Steward Butler run for 13 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+2
71.4%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 8
OPP 24
+10
71.4%
Rakeem Cato run for 10 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:37
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
71.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete, broken up by Derik OverstreetSimilar
Q2 10:37
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+12
71.4%
Steward Butler run for 12 yds to the WKent 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
75.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q2 7:50
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
72.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q2 7:50
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
72.8%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted A.J. Leggett return for no gain to the WKent 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
1 play · 48 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
80.9%
Steward Butler run for 48 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0021% → 20%
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+11
78.8%
Leon Allen run for 11 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:23
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
78.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 7:23
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+1
78.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-5
78.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, delay of game (Brandon Doughty) to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 7:23
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
79.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for no gain to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 7:23
4TH & 12
OWN 32
+11
79.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 45 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 11 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
76.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+2
76.6%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 8
OWN 36
-6
76.2%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Gavin Rocker for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 30Similar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+57
75.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the MARSHALL 28 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, kick catching interference (15 Yards) to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 57 yds · 0:5428% → 39%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+25
71.9%
Leon Allen run for 25 yds to the Marsh 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+25
71.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tim Gorski for 25 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
60.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20TD
5 plays · 57 yds · 0:4864% → 73%
Q2 2:12
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+8
64.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 8 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q2 2:12
2ND & 2
OPP 49
+16
64.8%
Steward Butler run for 16 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+33
75.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 33 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 0
OWN 35
-15
72.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Davonte Allen) to the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21END OF HALF
5 plays · 20 yds · 0:0030% → 31%
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-9
70.3%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 16 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 8Similar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 19
OWN 8
+13
70.7%
Leon Allen run for 13 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 1:24
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+7
70.1%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:24
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+9
69.5%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the WKent 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22PUNT
10 plays · 23 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
71.0%
Steward Butler run for no gain to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+21
70.6%
Steward Butler run for 21 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
73.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
73.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+11
73.3%
Steward Butler run for 11 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-11
74.6%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Bryan Shorter for a loss of 11 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 21
OPP 43
+4
72.2%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OPP 39
-8
71.3%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Drew Davis for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 47 Rakeem Cato fumbled, recovered by Marsh Remi Watson , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 25
OPP 47
0
69.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 46 yds, downed at the WKent 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23MISSED FG
19 plays · 81 yds · 7:3335% → 49%
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+8
64.8%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 2
OWN 9
+5
65.1%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+6
64.5%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OWN 20
+5
63.8%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+31
64.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 31 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
61.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+9
61.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 9 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
60.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+2
60.5%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 2
OPP 25
+2
61.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:12
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
60.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q3 11:12
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
60.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q3 11:12
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+5
61.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 5 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 5:13
4TH & 5
OPP 18
+9
53.2%
SCHWETTMAN, G. field goal attempt from 35 BLOCKED, recovered by MARSHALL SAMUEL, Jarquez at MARSHALL25, clock 05:13 (blocked by SAMUEL, Jarquez), PENALTY MARSHALL roughing the kicker (HUNTER, D.J.) 9 yards to the MARSHALL9, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
49.8%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 5:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
0
49.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q3 5:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
-10
50.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Jarquez Samuel for a loss of 10 yards to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 3:39
4TH & 0
OPP 18
+35
50.8%
Garrett Schwettman 35 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 2:4156% → 77%
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
55.8%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+6
56.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
56.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 8 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+6
59.5%
Steward Butler run for 6 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+30
59.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 30 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
63.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OWN 0
0
55.0%
PENALTY MARSHALL unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY WKU unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:39
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+3
62.8%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 7
OPP 22
+22
76.8%
Steward Butler run for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FG
11 plays · 69 yds · 3:0331% → 46%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
68.7%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 6
OWN 31
+11
68.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 11 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+42
65.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 42 yds to the Marsh 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+4
62.1%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 12
+7
62.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 7 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
58.6%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the Marsh 4Similar
Q4 13:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
58.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q4 13:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
60.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q4 12:55
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
53.7%
Garrett Schwettman 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:0059% → 65%
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
59.0%
Steward Butler run for 6 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 12:55
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+19
61.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 19 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
62.7%
Steward Butler run for 25 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-10
65.3%
CATO, Rakeem pass complete to BUTLER, Steward for 1 yard to the WKU11 (WILLIAMS, T.), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (JOHANSSON, S.) 10 yards to the WKU22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 12:55
1ST & 20
OPP 22
+35
64.8%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Ricardo Singh return for 35 yds to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:4654% → 82%
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
46.1%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 35Similar
Q4 10:57
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
47.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:57
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+14
49.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 14 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+16
43.3%
Leon Allen run for 26 yds to the MARSHALL 25 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Offensive holding (Taywan Taylor) to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
18.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 35 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28FG
10 plays · 58 yds · 3:3923% → 29%
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+16
23.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 16 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
24.9%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+14
25.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 14 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
27.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 3 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+14
27.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 14 yds to the WKent 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
27.3%
Steward Butler run for 7 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
27.3%
Steward Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 9:11
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
26.0%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the WKent 1Similar
Q4 5:32
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+17
28.7%
Justin Haig 17 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:1980% → 82%
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
19.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 12 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-3
18.5%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 4:13
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+7
17.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 7 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 4:13
3RD & 6
OWN 41
0
16.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
Q4 4:13
4TH & 6
OWN 41
0
18.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 41 yds, downed at the Marsh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30TD
13 plays · 82 yds · 2:3724% → 67%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
23.6%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 6
OWN 22
0
24.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+15
22.3%
Rakeem Cato run for 15 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+10
25.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
27.6%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 3:16
2ND & 7
50
0
28.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q4 3:16
3RD & 7
50
+10
26.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+21
30.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 21 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
33.6%
Steward Butler run for 7 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 3
OPP 12
0
25.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q4 0:59
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+7
22.7%
Rakeem Cato run for 7 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
66.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31INT
5 plays · 19 yds · 0:2049% → 56%
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
51.1%
Leon Allen run for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
48.0%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q4 0:19
2ND & 4
OWN 44
+12
44.1%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Taj Letman return for 12 yds to the Marsh 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 32END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:0664% → 63%
Q4 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+13
63.6%
Steward Butler run for 13 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:04
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
63.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 33TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0065% → 86%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
64.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
86.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 34TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:0020% → 91%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
80.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+25
9.4%
Jared Dangerfield 25 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Brandon Doughty Pass to Willie McNeal for Two-Point Conversion)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Jared Dangerfield 25 Yd pass from Brandon Doughty (Brandon Doughty Pass to Willie McNeal for Two-Point Conversion)
-71
TD · Q4 0:39
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 5 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+44.1
TD · Q4 9:11
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 35 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-25.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com