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UTSA

UTSA 7 at Western Kentucky 45

WKU
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 4:17 · Kristian Stern punt for 45 yds, downed at the WKent 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 42Home team on offense+3.9Score differential+1.2Pregame prior+16.7Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor+0.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+1.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 12:46: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 54 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +0.5 pts (now 71%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 4:22: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 47 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +3.8 pts (now 78%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 4:33: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 67 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +10.5 pts (now 93%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 1:15: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +4.5 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 8:10: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +0.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 9:41UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 49, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 31.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.7%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    31.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 48, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    68.2%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:22UTSA 4th & 2 at WKU 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    31.0%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−0.4
    average punt
  4. Q1 4:17UTSA 4th & 20 at WKU 47, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.4%−1.3
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.7%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 6, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.3%−0.8
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.0%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:12UTSA 4th & 11 at WKU 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.3%−0.3
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    25.1%−0.6
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    25.6%
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:03WKU 4th & 8 at UTSA 39, up 14
    Close callPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:54UTSA 4th & 7 at UTSA 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.7
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:26WKU 4th & 1 at WKU 30, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.8 ptsPunted · 78.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    79.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.3%−1.8
    average punt
  10. Q2 6:00UTSA 4th & 2 at UTSA 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 21.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.0%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q2 4:33UTSA 4th & 1 at WKU 29, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 12.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    12.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    10.7%−1.7
    58% to make
    Punt
    7.2%−5.2
    average punt
  12. Q3 14:53UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.0%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.5%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:48WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 17, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 11:25UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 43, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.4
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.5%
    average punt
  15. Q3 6:37WKU 4th & 4 at UTSA 42, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    99.3%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.3%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q3 4:21UTSA 4th & 15 at UTSA 5, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.3
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:59WKU 4th & 7 at UTSA 17, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.4
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:46WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:22WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:33WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:15WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:10WKU Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:49UTSA Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 1:53WKU Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 2:1470% → 71%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
70.3%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
0
70.3%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 29
+14
70.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 14 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
70.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q1 12:46
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+54
70.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 54 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2FUMBLE
13 plays · 48 yds · 3:0329% → 30%
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+2
70.6%
David Glasco II run for 2 yds to the TexSA 15Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 15
+5
70.6%
Robinson pass complete to Mack for 4 yards to the UTSA19 (WILLIAMS, T.;JOHNSON, S.), PENALTY WKU offside defense (ROCKER, Gavin) 5 yards to the UTSA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 3
OWN 20
+14
70.6%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Marcellus Mack for 14 yds to the TexSA 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
70.5%
David Glasco II run for 2 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+15
70.5%
[SHOT], Armstrong rush for no gain to the UTSA36 (THOMAS, Cam), PENALTY WKU face mask (THOMAS, Cam) 15 yards to the WKU49, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:44
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
70.4%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:44
2ND & 10
OPP 49
-2
70.5%
Austin Robinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 9:41
3RD & 12
OWN 49
0
71.0%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:41
4TH & 12
OWN 49
+13
71.3%
Marcellus Mack run for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
70.6%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brady Jones for 5 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 9:41
2ND & 5
OPP 33
-6
70.5%
Austin Robinson sacked by Gavin Rocker for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 39 Austin Robinson fumbled, recovered by WKent Gavin Rocker , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3DOWNS
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0072% → 72%
Q1 8:29
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
71.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 8 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 8:29
2ND & 2
OWN 47
0
72.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q1 8:29
3RD & 2
OWN 47
+1
71.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 1 yd to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-1
71.7%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:4729% → 27%
Q1 7:09
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
70.9%
Brandon Armstrong run for 3 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 7:09
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+4
70.9%
Brandon Armstrong run for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q1 7:09
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+1
70.9%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the WKent 39Similar
Q1 5:22
4TH & 2
OPP 39
0
72.6%
David Glasco II run for no gain to the WKent 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 61 yds · 0:5474% → 78%
Q1 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+8
73.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 8 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q1 5:16
2ND & 2
OWN 47
+6
73.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
77.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 47 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 22 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
75.8%
David Glasco II run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+15
75.6%
[SHOT], Robinson pass intercepted by THOMAS, Cam at the WKU45, THOMAS, Cam return to the WKU45, PENALTY WKU pass interference (THOMAS, Cam) 15 yards to the WKU49, 1ST DOWN UTSA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
75.3%
Brady Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+17
76.0%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brandon Armstrong for 17 yds to the WKent 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:17
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
75.2%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q1 4:17
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-8
75.3%
Brady Jones run for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 18
OPP 45
-5
76.0%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (Cody Harris) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 23
50
-5
76.0%
[SHOT], PENALTY UTSA delay of game (Robinson) 5 yards to the UTSA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 4:17
3RD & 28
OWN 45
+8
76.1%
Austin Robinson run for 8 yds to the WESTERNKY 47 TEXASSAN Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 4:17
4TH & 20
OPP 47
0
76.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 45 yds, downed at the WKent 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:3478% → 78%
Q1 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+2
78.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 2 yds to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 4
+2
78.6%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 6
0
78.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 6
0
78.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 39 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for no gain to the WKent 42 Kenny Harrison fumbled, recovered by TexSA Kenny HarrisonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:0023% → 22%
Q2 14:12
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
76.8%
Brady Jones run for 4 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q2 14:12
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
76.7%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete, broken up by Cam ThomasSimilar
Q2 14:12
3RD & 6
OPP 38
0
76.9%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 6
OPP 38
-5
77.5%
TEXASSAN Penalty, delay of game (Austin Robinson) to the WKent 43Similar
Q2 14:12
4TH & 11
OPP 43
0
77.9%
Kristian Stern punt for 35 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 53 yds · 2:2079% → 81%
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
79.4%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+4
79.5%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q2 13:23
3RD & 4
OWN 14
+4
79.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 4 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
79.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Darrien StarlingSimilar
Q2 13:23
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+4
79.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 6
OWN 22
+37
80.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 22 yds to the TexSA 44 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+2
81.5%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 11:03
2ND & 8
OPP 39
0
81.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 11:03
3RD & 8
OPP 39
0
81.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q2 11:03
4TH & 8
OPP 39
0
80.7%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
81.2%
Brandon Armstrong run for 3 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
81.2%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brandon ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+16
81.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 16 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+1
80.9%
Austin Robinson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 40Similar
Q2 9:54
2ND & 9
OWN 40
+2
81.0%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brady Jones for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q2 9:54
3RD & 7
OWN 42
0
81.0%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brandon ArmstrongSimilar
Q2 9:54
4TH & 7
OWN 42
+11
81.4%
Kristian Stern punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 21 , Kylen Towner returns for 11 yds to the WKent 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0082% → 81%
Q2 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
81.7%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q2 7:26
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+3
81.8%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 7:26
3RD & 1
OWN 30
0
81.6%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 7:26
4TH & 1
OWN 30
0
81.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kenny Harrison at the TexSA 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q2 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
81.8%
Brandon Armstrong run for 4 yds to the TexSA 32Similar
Q2 6:00
2ND & 6
OWN 32
0
81.7%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:00
3RD & 6
OWN 32
+4
81.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brady Jones for 4 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 6:00
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
82.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
1 play · 67 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+67
92.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 67 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 14DOWNS
6 plays · 46 yds · 0:009% → 12%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+37
91.0%
Austin Robinson run for 37 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
89.5%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny HarrisonSimilar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+4
90.3%
Austin Robinson run for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OPP 34
+5
89.7%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 5 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 1
OPP 29
0
87.8%
David Glasco II run for no gain to the WKent 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:2294% → 98%
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
93.5%
Leon Allen run for 11 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+28
93.7%
Leon Allen run for 28 yds to the TexSA 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+15
93.8%
TEXASSAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Triston Wade) to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
93.9%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q2 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
98.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16END OF HALF
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.3%
David Glasco II run for no gain to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+2
98.4%
Brandon Armstrong run for 2 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+17
93.0%
Austin Robinson run for 17 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
92.8%
David Glasco II run for 2 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q3 14:53
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
92.6%
Austin Robinson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45 Austin Robinson fumbled, forced by Daeshawn Bertram, recovered by TexSA Brandon ArmstrongSimilar
Q3 14:53
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
93.0%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to David Glasco IISimilar
Q3 14:53
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
93.2%
Kristian Stern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+4
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 6
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 12:48
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
98.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 12:48
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
98.6%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Kenny Harrison at the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-8
98.7%
Austin Robinson sacked by Gavin Rocker for a loss of 8 yards to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 11:25
2ND & 18
OWN 35
+8
98.8%
David Glasco II run for 8 yds to the TexSA 43Similar
Q3 11:25
3RD & 10
OWN 43
0
98.7%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny HarrisonSimilar
Q3 11:25
4TH & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.8%
Kristian Stern punt for 40 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
5 plays · 81 yds · 1:3799% → 99%
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+31
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 16 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, targeting (Michael Egwuagu) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
50
+11
99.2%
Kylen Towner run for 11 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+23
99.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 23 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:47
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
99.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Tyler HigbeeSimilar
Q3 8:10
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+16
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 16 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21INT
4 plays · -4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:01
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
99.3%
Cole Hubble run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 32Similar
Q3 8:01
2ND & 11
OWN 32
-3
99.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Sean Hesler for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 8:01
3RD & 14
OWN 29
0
99.4%
Austin Robinson pass intercepted Branden Leston return for no gain to the TexSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 99%
Q3 6:37
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 6:37
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+2
99.5%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 6:37
3RD & 9
OPP 47
+5
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 5 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 6:37
4TH & 4
OPP 42
0
99.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kenny Harrison at the TexSA 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-4
99.6%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 12 TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (David Morgan II) to the TexSA 6Similar
Q3 4:21
1ST & 14
OWN 6
-1
99.6%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Sean Hesler for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 5Similar
Q3 4:21
2ND & 15
OWN 5
0
99.6%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the TexSA 5Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 15
OWN 5
0
99.6%
Kristian Stern punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 47Similar
Q3 4:21
3RD & 15
OWN 5
0
99.6%
Dalton Sturm run for no gain to the TexSA 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24FG
11 plays · 36 yds · 5:03100% → 100%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
99.7%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 7
50
+1
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 1 yd to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 6
OPP 49
+19
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 19 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Anthony WalesSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+10
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 10 yds to the TexSA 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-4
99.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OPP 24
+6
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 6 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 18
+1
99.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 1 yd to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 11:59
4TH & 7
OPP 17
+34
99.8%
Garrett Schwettman 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 3:030% → 0%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
99.8%
David Glasco II run for 3 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+7
99.8%
David Glasco II run for 7 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
99.8%
David Glasco II run for 2 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+13
99.8%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Nate Shaw for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-2
99.8%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 12
OPP 47
+47
99.9%
Dalton Sturm pass complete to Kerry Thomas Jr. for 47 yds for a TD, (Daniel Portillo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 26TD
15 plays · 75 yds · 6:56100% → 100%
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Lonnie Turner for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 9
OWN 26
-1
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 11 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 7
OWN 39
-5
99.9%
[SHOT], PENALTY WKU false start (NORD, Matt) 5 yards to the WKU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+6
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 6
OWN 40
+15
99.9%
[SHOT], DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to WALES, Anthony, PENALTY UTSA roughing passer (Jeters) 15 yards to the UTSA45, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+10
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 10 yds to the TexSA 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+9
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for a loss of 6 yards to the TexSA 41 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (Brian Price) to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+13
99.9%
TEXASSAN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Brian Price) to the TexSA 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
99.9%
Troy Jones run for no gain to the TexSA 13Similar
Q4 8:49
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+6
99.9%
Troy Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q4 8:49
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+5
99.9%
Troy Jones run for 5 yds to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:53
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
100.0%
Demetrius Coley run for 2 yds for a TD, (Mike Mugler KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27END OF GAME
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+5
100.0%
Tyrell Clay run for 5 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q4 1:41
2ND & 5
OPP 49
+3
99.9%
Treston Coleman run for 3 yds to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 2
OPP 46
-5
99.9%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (William Cavanaugh) to the TexSA 49Similar
Q4 1:41
3RD & 7
OWN 49
+8
100.0%
Dalton Sturm run for 8 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:41
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
99.9%
Tyrell Clay run for no gain to the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 4:33
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 67 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+10.5
TD · Q2 1:15
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 13 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q1 4:22
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 47 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+3.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com