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MRSH

Marshall 23 at UAB 18

UAB
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Rakeem Cato pass complete to Devon Johnson for 23 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 7Pregame prior−42.3Home team on offense+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score differential+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:03: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 43 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +4.0 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:00: Justin Haig 33 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +1.5 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 13:07: Jordan Howard 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed) — UAB win probability +6.3 pts (now 23%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. TD · Q4 11:22: Jordan Howard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UAB Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declined — UAB win probability +27.8 pts (now 57%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. SACK · Q4 7:35: Cody Clements sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 1 yard Cody Clements fumbled, recovered by Marsh Ra'Shawde Myers , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — MRSH win probability +30.3 pts (now 78%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 11 of 11MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00MRSH 4th & 9 at UAB 29, tied
    Close callWent for it · 88.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    88.8%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    88.8%
    58% to make
    Punt
    88.5%−0.3
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:26MRSH 4th & 6 at UAB 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.3%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    91% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:26UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 42, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.7%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.7%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:15MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 5, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.9%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:58UAB 4th & 11 at MRSH 18, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.7%−0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.9%
    79% to make
    Punt
    14.3%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 2 at MRSH 15, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 17.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    17.5%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    17.3%−0.3
    83% to make
    Punt
    15.2%−2.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:55MRSH 4th & 25 at MRSH 34, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 81.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.5%−1.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 5:56UAB 4th & 8 at MRSH 23, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 21.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.3%
    70% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:32UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 28, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    15.1%−0.6
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    15.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:00MRSH 4th & 23 at MRSH 4, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−4.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    78.9%
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:31UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 46, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 10:02MRSH 4th & 3 at UAB 13, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 79.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    78.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    78.4%−0.6
    85% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−8.3
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:46UAB 4th & 20 at UAB 35, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.8%−4.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  14. Q3 3:53MRSH 4th & 7 at UAB 34, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 77.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    77.3%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    76.9%−0.4
    47% to make
    Punt
    75.6%−1.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:38UAB 4th & 7 at MRSH 49, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.6%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:14MRSH 4th & 16 at UAB 35, down 1
    Numbers favored field goal by 3.0 ptsPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−3.7
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    50.0%
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    47.0%−3.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 7:35UAB 4th & 2 at MRSH 47, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 29.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    29.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    24.2%−4.8
    average punt
  18. Q4 2:19UAB 4th & 1 at MRSH 36, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    17.9%−9.1
    42% to make
    Punt
    13.7%−13.2
    average punt
  19. Q4 1:01UAB 4th & 1 at MRSH 10, down 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    14.9%−11.2
    88% to make
    Punt
    9.6%−16.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 0 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 3:46MRSH Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 3:03MRSH Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 13:07UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    22.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    21.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:22UAB Touchdown, up 1 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    54.0%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    53.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MRSHDrive 1MISSED FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 3:3492% → 91%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 14 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Devon Brown) to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+16
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 16 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
7.7%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
0
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Craig WilkinsSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 29
0
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 29
+23
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Devon Johnson for 23 yds to the UAB 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
-10
7.7%
CATO, Rakeem rush for 6 yards to the UAB0, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (JOHANSSON, S.) 10 yards to the UAB16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 16
-10
7.7%
CATO, Rakeem sacked for loss of 6 yards to the UAB22 (JONES, Shaq;MORRIS, Jontavi), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (VAN HORN, Clint) 10 yards to the UAB26, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 26
+14
7.7%
Devon Johnson run for 14 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+6
7.7%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
7.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 11:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
8.9%
Justin Haig 23 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
9.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 5 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+12
9.0%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
9.0%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass complete to BACKMAN, Kennar for 19 yards to the MARSHALL44 (LETMAN, Taj), PENALTY UAB ineligible downfield on pass 5 yards to the UAB32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 11:26
1ST & 15
OWN 32
0
9.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q1 11:26
2ND & 15
OWN 32
0
9.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Maudrecus HumphreySimilar
Q1 11:26
3RD & 15
OWN 32
+10
8.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 10 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 11:26
4TH & 5
OWN 42
0
9.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 55 yds, downed at the Marsh 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
9.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+2
9.9%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q1 9:15
3RD & 8
OWN 5
0
10.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 9:15
4TH & 8
OWN 5
0
10.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4FG
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:2311% → 11%
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+10
10.6%
Jamarcus Nelson run for 10 yds to the Marsh 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:21
1ST & 10
OPP 17
-1
10.6%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 8:21
2ND & 11
OPP 18
0
10.6%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Marsh 18Similar
Q1 7:10
3RD & 11
OPP 18
0
11.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q1 6:58
4TH & 11
OPP 18
+36
11.4%
Ty Long 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 5TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:1289% → 89%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
11.4%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+8
11.3%
Rakeem Cato run for 8 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+12
11.2%
Devon Johnson run for 12 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
11.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+6
11.1%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 4
OPP 43
-4
11.1%
Rakeem Cato run for 11 yds to the UAB 32 MARSHALL Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+15
11.1%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete, PENALTY UAB pass interference (WILLIAMS, Dariu) 15 yards to the UAB32, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
11.0%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+28
11.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 28 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6DOWNS
14 plays · 50 yds · 3:4612% → 14%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
11.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+4
11.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+10
11.7%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to MAGEE, Josh, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (BAXTER, Keith) 10 yards to the UAB49, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
12.2%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 9
50
+15
12.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 15 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
12.5%
Cody Clements run for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+4
12.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
12.2%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+2
12.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 8
OPP 21
+5
12.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 16
+1
12.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 1 yd to the Marsh 15Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OPP 15
0
13.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to D.J. VinsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 19 yds · 2:0187% → 86%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+9
13.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 9 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 24
+3
12.8%
Rakeem Cato run for 3 yds to the Marsh 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
13.0%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 32
+4
12.8%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 36
-5
12.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Chris Jasperse) to the Marsh 31Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 6
OWN 31
+18
13.5%
Rakeem Cato run for 18 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:55
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
12.9%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:55
2ND & 9
50
-11
12.8%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 11 yards to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 12:55
3RD & 20
OWN 39
-5
13.6%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Parrish Huddleston for a loss of 5 yards to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 12:55
4TH & 25
OWN 34
+7
14.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 43 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 7 yds to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 4:2815% → 18%
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+6
14.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 6 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 4
OWN 36
+5
15.5%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+8
15.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 2
OWN 49
+5
15.9%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
16.1%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 47Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 11
OPP 47
+11
15.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 11 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
16.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 8
OPP 34
+9
16.5%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
16.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 10:24
2ND & 6
OPP 21
-2
16.5%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 6:08
3RD & 8
OPP 23
0
17.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamari StaplesSimilar
Q2 5:56
4TH & 8
OPP 23
+40
17.9%
Ty Long 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9TD
8 plays · 63 yds · 2:4683% → 88%
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
16.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 5 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+11
16.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 11 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
16.0%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 6
OPP 43
-5
15.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Clint Van Horn) to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 5:49
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+10
16.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 5:49
3RD & 1
OPP 38
-5
15.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 6
OPP 43
+43
11.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 43 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:3113% → 13%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
13.4%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+1
13.3%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the UAB 26Similar
Q2 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
13.1%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+13
13.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 56 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 13 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11FG
11 plays · 56 yds · 1:2287% → 90%
Q2 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
13.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q2 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+3
13.3%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+13
14.2%
Rakeem Cato run for 13 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
13.0%
Devon Johnson run for 11 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
12.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+2
12.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 2 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 13
OPP 47
+12
12.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 12 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+20
12.2%
Devon Johnson run for 20 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
11.7%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 15
+33
10.2%
Justin Haig 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 1:5313% → 23%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-15
12.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee UAB Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Josh Magee) to the UAB 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 25
OWN 20
+36
12.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 36 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+5
13.7%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 39
+4
13.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 4 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+4
13.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+15
14.3%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to HUMPHREY, Maudr, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (LEGGETT, A.J.) 15 yards to the MARSHALL16, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+15
14.3%
Jordan Howard run for 15 yds to the Marsh 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
22.9%
Jordan Howard 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13PUNT
7 plays · -13 yds · 0:0082% → 80%
Q3 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
18.3%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 16Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 11
OWN 16
-5
18.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 16
OWN 11
0
18.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 16
OWN 11
-5
19.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 6Similar
Q3 13:00
3RD & 21
OWN 6
-2
19.6%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 4Similar
Q3 13:00
4TH & 23
OWN 4
+9
20.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 53 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 9 yds to the UAB 13 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAB 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0022% → 20%
Q3 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-5
21.5%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 11:31
1ST & 15
OWN 37
+2
20.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 11:31
2ND & 13
OWN 39
0
20.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 11:31
3RD & 13
OWN 39
+7
19.5%
Cody Clements run for 7 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 11:31
4TH & 6
OWN 46
0
19.8%
Hunter Mullins punt for 49 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for no gain to the Marsh 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15FUMBLE
8 plays · 95 yds · 0:0080% → 83%
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+75
20.3%
Devon Johnson run for 75 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
16.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
17.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+7
17.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 7 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q3 10:02
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+12
18.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Remi Watson for 12 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:02
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Ryan Yurachek, broken up by Desman CarterSimilar
Q3 10:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
16.9%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
17.4%
Devon Johnson run for no gain Devon Johnson fumbled, recovered by UABSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16PUNT
9 plays · 15 yds · 0:0022% → 21%
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
22.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
22.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 10 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
22.4%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+4
23.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 2
OWN 41
+4
23.6%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:46
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
24.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 7:46
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-2
24.5%
Cody Clements sacked by Neville Hewitt and Steve Dillon for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 7:46
3RD & 9
OWN 46
-11
22.2%
Cody Clements sacked by D.J. Hunter for a loss of 11 yards to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 7:46
4TH & 20
OWN 35
0
20.7%
Hunter Mullins punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17DOWNS
10 plays · 46 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
21.1%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+4
20.6%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+13
20.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 13 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
19.3%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 6
50
+4
18.9%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 2
OPP 46
+9
19.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 9 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
18.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Deon-Tay McManusSimilar
Q3 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+3
18.8%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 3:53
3RD & 7
OPP 34
0
19.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Ryan YurachekSimilar
Q3 3:53
4TH & 7
OPP 34
+6
20.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the UAB 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 23 yds · 0:3726% → 23%
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+20
25.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 20 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
28.7%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 49
0
29.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jordan HowardSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 49
0
28.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Maudrecus Humphrey, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q4 14:38
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
22.5%
Hunter Mullins punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19INT
4 plays · 31 yds · 0:0078% → 80%
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+31
21.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 31 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
19.1%
Steward Butler run for no gain to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
19.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q4 14:31
3RD & 10
OWN 39
+4
20.5%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Shaq Jones return for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 2:0527% → 57%
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
27.4%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+13
27.5%
Jordan Howard run for 13 yds to the Marsh 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+3
29.3%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 13:27
2ND & 7
OPP 22
+10
29.3%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+2
29.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 8
OPP 10
+10
57.1%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UAB Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 0:0052% → 50%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+13
48.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 13 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
45.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
43.1%
Rakeem Cato run for 10 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
42.5%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+10
42.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
0
40.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 10
OPP 29
0
40.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 10
OPP 29
-6
43.3%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 35Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 16
OPP 35
0
50.3%
Tyler Williams punt for 34 yds, downed at the UAB 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22FUMBLE TD
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:4552% → 22%
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.4%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Cody Clements) to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 8:20
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
52.4%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the UAB 1Similar
Q4 8:20
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
52.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
21.7%
Cody Clements sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 1 yard Cody Clements fumbled, recovered by Marsh Ra'Shawde Myers , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23DOWNS
20 plays · 64 yds · 6:3424% → 22%
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
24.0%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+2
26.5%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
24.5%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-2
27.8%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+5
25.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 5 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+6
27.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 4
OPP 49
+3
29.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
-1
28.6%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 47Similar
Q4 7:35
4TH & 2
OPP 47
+2
26.2%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
29.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Darius Powell for 5 yds to the Marsh 40Similar
Q4 7:35
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+1
29.4%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 7:35
3RD & 4
OPP 39
+3
28.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 3 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 2:19
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+17
26.4%
Jordan Howard run for 17 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
31.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 2:19
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+3
31.7%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 2:19
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+2
29.0%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the Marsh 10Similar
Q4 1:01
4TH & 1
OPP 10
-1
22.3%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24END OF GAME
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0296% → 96%
Q4 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 11
0
4.1%
TEAM run for no gain to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 0:54
2ND & 10
OWN 11
-2
4.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 9Similar
Q4 0:54
3RD & 12
OWN 9
-1
4.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
SACK · Q4 7:35
Cody Clements sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 1 yard Cody Clements fumbled, recovered by Marsh Ra'Shawde Myers , return for 0 yards for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-30.3
TD · Q4 11:22
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) UAB Penalty, Offensive pass interference ( Yards) declined
+27.8
TD · Q3 13:07
Jordan Howard 1 Yd Run (Two-Point Run Conversion Failed)
+6.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com