Try the model
FIU

Florida International 14 at North Texas 17

UNT
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 22, 2014 · DATCU Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 2:30 · TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorPregame priorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+19.0+9.50−9.5−19.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 5:21: Marcus Smith 4 Yd pass from Andrew McNulty (Trevor Moore Kick) — UNT win probability +7.8 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:09: Jeremiah McKinnon 71 Yd Interception Return (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +10.3 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:09: Austin Taylor kickoff for 46 yds , Darvin Kidsy return for 1 yd to the NoTex 20 — FIU win probability +7.3 pts (now 51%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q4 8:33: Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 26 — UNT win probability +10.8 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. KEY PLAY · Q4 2:53: NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 33 — UNT win probability +16.2 pts (now 85%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 8FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 14:20FIU 4th & 15 at UNT 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.8%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    42.8%−0.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:21FIU 4th & 16 at FIU 23, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.3%−1.7
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 1:22UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 37, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.8%−0.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.1%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 46, up 7
    Close callPunted · 62.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.1%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.6%−0.5
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:51FIU 4th & 23 at FIU 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.1%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:40UNT 4th & 10 at FIU 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−0.3
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    62.9%−0.8
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:26FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.2%−1.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:52UNT 4th & 12 at FIU 32, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 67.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.9%−0.9
    23% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    66.8%
    51% to make
    Punt
    65.4%−1.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 23, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−3.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:28UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 46, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.5 ptsPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−2.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:33FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.0%−2.9
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:59UNT 4th & 16 at UNT 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.5%−3.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:23FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  14. Q3 0:04UNT 4th & 9 at FIU 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.2%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.2%
    77% to make
    Punt
    47.8%−11.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 21, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−5.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:33UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 42, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 70.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.9
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    72.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 14:20UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:21UNT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:09FIU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    40.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UNTDrive 1TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:4048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+25
47.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 25 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
48.3%
Reggie Pegram 54 Yd Run (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Fred PorterSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
48.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Lairamie LeeSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
48.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
48.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+8
48.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 8 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+11
48.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 11 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:20
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
48.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 14:20
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-6
48.2%
Alex McGough sacked by Daryl Mason for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 43 Alex McGough fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 14:20
3RD & 16
OPP 43
+1
48.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 1 yd to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 14:20
4TH & 15
OPP 42
0
48.3%
Chris Ayers punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 3TD
13 plays · 80 yds · 5:1551% → 59%
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
50.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+15
50.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Imarjaye Albury) to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
50.7%
Andrew McNulty run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+12
50.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 12 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
51.0%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 11
OPP 49
+5
50.8%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive offside (Michael Wakefield) to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 44
+15
51.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 15 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+11
51.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 11 yds to the FlaIn 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
51.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q1 10:36
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+7
51.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:36
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
51.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q1 10:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+3
51.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q1 5:21
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
58.8%
Marcus Smith 4 Yd pass from Andrew McNulty (Trevor Moore Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
57.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+12
57.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 12 yds to the FlaIn 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:21
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-6
57.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Derek Akunne for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 5:21
2ND & 16
OWN 23
0
57.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 5:21
3RD & 16
OWN 23
0
57.4%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q1 5:21
4TH & 16
OWN 23
+3
57.5%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 47 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 3 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 4 yds · 1:3461% → 55%
Q1 2:56
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+1
60.6%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 2:56
2ND & 9
OWN 34
+3
60.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 3 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q1 2:56
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
60.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q1 1:22
4TH & 6
OWN 37
+74
54.9%
Richard Leonard 74 Yd Punt Return (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2256% → 56%
Q1 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
56.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 1:22
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
56.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q1 1:22
3RD & 5
OWN 43
+3
56.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 46
0
56.2%
Blake Macek punt for 54 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0044% → 43%
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
55.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+8
55.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for 8 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
55.5%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 14:51
2ND & 6
OWN 37
-21
55.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 21 yards to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q2 14:51
3RD & 27
OWN 16
+4
56.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q2 14:51
4TH & 23
OWN 20
+11
57.1%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 47 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 11 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:0060% → 57%
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+8
59.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 8 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 2
OPP 48
+1
59.8%
Andrew McNulty run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 47
+2
59.2%
Jarrod Lynn run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
59.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:40
2ND & 10
OPP 45
0
59.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 45
0
58.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 11:40
4TH & 10
OPP 45
0
57.4%
Blake Macek punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9PUNT
6 plays · 12 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
59.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 5
OWN 18
+6
59.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:26
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
59.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 9:26
2ND & 11
OWN 23
0
59.2%
Napoleon Maxwell run for no gain to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 9:26
3RD & 11
OWN 23
+2
60.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q2 9:26
4TH & 9
OWN 25
+5
60.5%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 39 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 5 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10MISSED FG
7 plays · 27 yds · 3:1364% → 63%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+2
63.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 43
-6
63.8%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 6 yards to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 14
OWN 37
+33
61.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 18 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 45 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, roughing passer (Michael Wakefield) to the FlaIn 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
64.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 9
OPP 29
-3
64.4%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 12
OPP 32
0
62.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 2:52
4TH & 12
OPP 32
+49
62.6%
Trevor Moore 49 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
62.2%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 10
OWN 32
+4
62.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
62.7%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Kenny Buyers return for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:4367% → 56%
Q2 1:52
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
66.7%
Andrew McNulty run for no gain to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+71
56.4%
Jeremiah McKinnon 71 Yd Interception Return (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · 8 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
53.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+4
53.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0050% → 48%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+10
49.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
49.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Fred Porter for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
49.4%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-5
50.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Fred Porter) to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
51.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to T.J. LowderSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+1
52.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 41 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0055% → 54%
Q3 12:28
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
54.8%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 12:28
2ND & 11
OWN 36
0
54.3%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 36Similar
Q3 12:28
3RD & 11
OWN 36
+10
52.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 10 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 12:28
4TH & 1
OWN 46
0
54.4%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
50.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+15
51.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 15 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
50.2%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q3 10:33
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-5
50.8%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 23 Alex McGough fumbled, forced by Austin Orr, recovered by FlaIn Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q3 10:33
3RD & 15
OWN 23
+3
52.2%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 10:33
4TH & 12
OWN 26
0
53.3%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 33 , Darvin Kidsy returns for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17PUNT
5 plays · 14 yds · 0:0055% → 53%
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+20
55.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 20 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
58.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 6:59
2ND & 11
OPP 48
-7
57.9%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Davison Colimon for a loss of 7 yards to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 6:59
3RD & 18
OWN 45
+2
53.8%
Andrew McNulty run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q3 6:59
4TH & 16
OWN 47
0
52.9%
Eric Keena punt for 51 yds, downed at the FlaIn 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0049% → 47%
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
51.4%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 10
OWN 2
+18
51.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 18 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:23
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
50.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 4:23
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
49.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q3 4:23
3RD & 4
OWN 26
0
51.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn Coleman, broken up by Chad DavisSimilar
Q3 4:23
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+18
53.4%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 35 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 18 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19FG
8 plays · 24 yds · 2:1460% → 63%
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+10
59.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+6
60.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 2:18
2ND & 4
OPP 27
+7
60.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
60.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:58
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
60.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 0:58
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+1
58.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 0:04
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+36
63.2%
Trevor Moore 36 Yd Field Goal Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0039% → 35%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
60.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Fred ScottSimilar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 28
-10
62.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Offensive holding (Byron Pinkston) to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 18
+2
62.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 18
OWN 20
+1
64.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 21
0
65.0%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Carlos Harris at the NoTex 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0068% → 65%
Q4 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-2
67.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 12:51
2ND & 12
OWN 33
+2
66.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
65.3%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted Jordan Davis return for no gain to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22INT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0042% → 42%
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
58.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to T.J. LowderSimilar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+2
58.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+15
58.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for 15 yds to the NoTex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+15
55.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 15 yds to the NoTex 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 11
-15
55.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, personal foul (Glenn Coleman) to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 11:28
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
55.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to T.J. Lowder for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
Q4 11:28
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+7
59.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 11:28
3RD & 7
OPP 23
0
58.4%
Alex McGough pass intercepted, touchback. James Jones return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0069% → 68%
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
69.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+3
69.5%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+7
68.6%
Jarrod Lynn run for 7 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
70.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 8:33
2ND & 9
OWN 37
0
70.2%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 8:33
3RD & 9
OWN 37
+5
68.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 8:33
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
68.4%
Eric Keena punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24INT
5 plays · 13 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+15
65.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jamal Marshall) to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
62.7%
Alex McGough sacked by Derek Akunne for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 29 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Denzell Perine , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:22
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+4
67.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q4 4:22
3RD & 16
OWN 33
0
68.9%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Chad Davis return for no gain to the NoTex 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25END OF GAME
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:2385% → 89%
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-15
85.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
82.5%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 2:46
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+9
83.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 9 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q4 2:38
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+4
87.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:30
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
89.2%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q4 2:30
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+4
89.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 7
OPP 36
-1
88.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q4 2:53
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (-15 Yards) to the NoTex 33
+16.2
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+11.5
KEY PLAY · Q4 8:33
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 26
+10.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com