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UTEP

UTEP 13 at Rice 31

RICE
2014 · Week 13 · Nov 21, 2014 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 4:04 · RICE Penalty, personal foul (Nico Carlson) to the Rice 41
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+31.0+15.50−15.5−31.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 4:26: Jay Mattox 33 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +4.7 pts (now 34%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:53: Darik Dillard 5 Yd Run (James Hairston Kick) — RICE win probability +8.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:51: Jordan Taylor 24 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick) — RICE win probability +9.1 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:00: Jameill Showers 5 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick) — UTEP win probability +15.4 pts (now 31%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:39: Darik Dillard 3 Yd Run (James Hairston Kick) — RICE win probability +10.4 pts (now 90%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 7UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 9
  1. Q1 14:03RICE 4th & 15 at UTEP 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.3%−0.1
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    77.3%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    77.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:19UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.9%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:17RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.1%−0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.2%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:34UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 24.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:59RICE 4th & 14 at RICE 35, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.4
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 41, tied
    Close callPunted · 26.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.1%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:20RICE 4th & 11 at UTEP 15, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 72.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.7%−0.6
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    72.3%
    83% to make
    Punt
    69.5%−2.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:26UTEP 4th & 3 at RICE 15, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 28.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.9%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.4%−0.5
    83% to make
    Punt
    22.2%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:51UTEP 4th & 22 at RICE 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−1.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    12.6%−0.9
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    13.5%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:46RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.6%−1.0
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 6:38UTEP 4th & 10 at RICE 10, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 12.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.9%−1.0
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    11.9%
    88% to make
    Punt
    6.0%−5.9
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 34, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.8%−1.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:45RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 31, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.1%−1.4
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:58UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 21, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:19RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 43, up 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.0%−0.6
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:41UTEP 4th & 19 at RICE 47, down 18
    Close callWent for it · 2.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.6%−0.4
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 0:53RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 12:51RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 3:00UTEP Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    27.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    27.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 0:39RICE Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 5:41RICE Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.8%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1FUMBLE
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+7
76.4%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 29
+8
76.4%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 38 Aaron Jones fumbled, forced by Jaylon Finner, recovered by Rice Malcolm Hill , return for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 14:03
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
76.3%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q1 14:03
2ND & 7
OPP 35
0
76.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:03
3RD & 7
OPP 35
-3
76.3%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Nick Gathrite for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 10
OPP 38
-5
76.2%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 43Similar
Q1 14:03
4TH & 15
OPP 43
0
76.2%
James Farrimond punt for 13 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 12:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
75.8%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 12:19
2ND & 11
OWN 29
-3
75.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 14
OWN 26
+5
75.9%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Dylan Klare) to the UTEP 31Similar
Q1 12:19
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
75.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q1 12:19
4TH & 9
OWN 31
0
76.0%
Jay Mattox punt for 38 yds, downed at the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+3
75.4%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 10:17
2ND & 7
OWN 34
-4
75.4%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Roy Robertson-Harris for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 10:17
3RD & 11
OWN 30
0
75.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:17
4TH & 11
OWN 30
+6
75.1%
James Farrimond punt for 55 yds , Damian Payne returns for 6 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
74.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 5
OWN 26
+3
74.6%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 2
OWN 29
-5
74.7%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 7
OWN 24
+6
74.9%
Jameill Showers run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 1
OWN 30
+17
74.9%
Jay Mattox punt for 48 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for 17 yds to the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
74.5%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 20
OWN 29
+6
74.2%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 14
OWN 35
0
74.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 14
OWN 35
0
73.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 14
OWN 35
0
73.6%
James Farrimond punt for 55 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7PUNT
10 plays · 31 yds · 4:2026% → 28%
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+4
73.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the UTEP 14Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 14
+3
73.6%
Jameill Showers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 4:20
3RD & 3
OWN 17
+4
73.9%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+5
73.6%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (Nick Elder) to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 5
OWN 26
+3
73.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+5
73.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
73.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 38
+3
73.0%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 41
0
71.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 41
0
72.0%
Jay Mattox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 5:3073% → 73%
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
72.7%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+12
72.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
73.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 4
OWN 43
0
73.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 4
OWN 43
+14
73.4%
Driphus Jackson run for 14 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
74.1%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 8
OPP 41
+13
74.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 13 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+9
74.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 9 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 1
OPP 19
+5
74.3%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the UTEP 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:50
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
74.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Wesley MillerSimilar
Q2 14:50
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+1
74.3%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the UTEP 13Similar
Q2 14:50
3RD & 9
OPP 13
-2
73.9%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Alvin Jones and Nick Gathrite for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 11
OPP 15
+32
72.6%
James Hairston 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9FG
11 plays · 62 yds · 4:5427% → 34%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
72.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 9
OWN 24
+2
72.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 7
OWN 26
+10
73.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 10 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+7
72.0%
Nathan Jeffery run for 7 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 3
OWN 43
+5
71.1%
RICE Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+30
71.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 30 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
70.0%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+2
70.0%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 9:20
3RD & 3
OPP 15
0
70.7%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian Hamilton, broken up by J.T. BlasingameSimilar
Q2 4:26
4TH & 3
OPP 15
+33
65.9%
Jay Mattox 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 3:3370% → 79%
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
69.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
69.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
70.7%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+9
72.0%
Jowan Davis run for 9 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+4
72.3%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the UTEP 42Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 6
OPP 42
-2
72.3%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 44Similar
Q2 4:26
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+31
71.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 31 yds to the UTEP 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+7
72.8%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the UTEP 6Similar
Q2 4:26
2ND & 3
OPP 6
+1
72.8%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the UTEP 5Similar
Q2 0:53
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+5
78.9%
Darik Dillard 5 Yd Run (James Hairston Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q2 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
76.1%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 33Similar
Q2 0:53
2ND & 9
OWN 33
-5
76.4%
Jameill Showers sacked by Grant Peterson for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12TD
6 plays · 82 yds · 2:0978% → 88%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
78.2%
Luke Turner run for 2 yds to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+28
78.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 28 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-10
79.8%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Andrew Reue) to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 38
+38
78.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 38 yds to the UTEP 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+24
87.9%
Jordan Taylor 24 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 2 yds · 0:0015% → 13%
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
84.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 11
OPP 48
0
85.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for no gain to the Rice 48Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+15
85.8%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Trey Martin) to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
84.2%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 12:51
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
85.7%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 17
OPP 40
-5
86.4%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Jerome Daniels) to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 12:51
3RD & 22
OPP 45
0
86.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian Hamilton, broken up by Ryan PollardSimilar
Q3 12:51
4TH & 22
OPP 45
+5
86.8%
Jay Mattox punt for 10 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:4889% → 89%
Q3 10:34
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
88.5%
Luke Turner run for no gain to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 10:34
2ND & 10
OWN 40
0
88.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:46
3RD & 10
OWN 40
0
89.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by Adrian JamesSimilar
Q3 9:46
4TH & 10
OWN 40
+3
88.9%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds , Damian Payne returns for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15FG
7 plays · 69 yds · 2:5112% → 15%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+30
88.5%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 30 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
87.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 7 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+32
86.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 32 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian Hamilton, broken up by J.T. BlasingameSimilar
Q3 9:29
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
86.1%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the Rice 10Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
87.1%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Nathan Jeffery, broken up by Nick ElderSimilar
Q3 6:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+28
85.4%
Jay Mattox 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16INT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0086% → 86%
Q3 6:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
86.4%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 6:38
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
86.4%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 6:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
85.9%
Driphus Jackson pass intercepted Devin Cockrell return for no gain to the Rice 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17TD
5 plays · 38 yds · 2:2316% → 31%
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+12
84.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Katrae Ford for 12 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:23
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+3
83.2%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 5:23
2ND & 7
OPP 23
0
83.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q3 5:23
3RD & 7
OPP 23
+18
84.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 18 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
69.1%
Jameill Showers 5 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18TD
7 plays · 83 yds · 2:2176% → 90%
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
75.5%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 16Similar
Q3 3:00
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+7
75.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 3:00
3RD & 4
OWN 23
+5
74.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+55
76.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 55 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+14
79.6%
Darik Dillard run for 14 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
90.0%
Darik Dillard 3 Yd Run (James Hairston Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:3911% → 10%
Q3 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
88.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Katrae Ford for 8 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 0:39
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
87.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 4 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-10
88.1%
UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Jerel Watkins) to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 27
+6
89.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 6 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 33
+1
89.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 1 yd to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 13
OWN 34
0
89.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 34
0
89.8%
Jay Mattox punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:4690% → 89%
Q4 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
90.3%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 12:45
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+2
89.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q4 12:45
3RD & 9
OWN 31
0
89.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Devin CockrellSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 9
OWN 31
+50
88.9%
James Farrimond punt for 50 yds , Damian Payne returns for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:4510% → 7%
Q4 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 18
0
90.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Katrae Ford, broken up by Brian WomacSimilar
Q4 11:43
2ND & 10
OWN 18
+3
90.8%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 21Similar
Q4 10:58
3RD & 7
OWN 21
0
92.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q4 10:58
4TH & 7
OWN 21
0
93.1%
Jay Mattox punt for 39 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 1:2293% → 94%
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-1
93.3%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 39
+4
93.2%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q4 9:19
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
94.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q4 9:19
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
93.8%
James Farrimond punt for 35 yds , Jameel Erving returns for no gain to the UTEP 22 Jameel Erving fumbled, recovered by Rice Alex LyonsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23TD
9 plays · 22 yds · 3:2295% → 100%
Q4 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
94.9%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 5
OPP 17
-5
94.9%
RICE Penalty, illegal procedure (Dennis Parks) to the UTEP 22Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & 10
OPP 22
+13
94.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-5
94.9%
RICE Penalty, false start (Mario Hull) to the UTEP 14Similar
Q4 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 14
-10
94.9%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (Spencer Stanley) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 9:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 24
+17
94.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 17 yds to the UTEP 7Similar
Q4 9:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+2
94.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the UTEP 5Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
99.8%
Mario Hull 5 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 42 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
98.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Nathan Jeffery for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+38
98.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 38 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:41
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
97.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Nathan JefferySimilar
Q4 5:41
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-9
97.6%
Jameill Showers sacked by Brian Womac for a loss of 9 yards to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 5:41
3RD & 19
OPP 47
0
98.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Katrae FordSimilar
Q4 5:41
4TH & 19
OPP 47
+14
98.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Malcolm Trail for 14 yds to the Rice 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25END OF GAME
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 8
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+4
99.8%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+3
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 4:04
2ND & 7
OWN 47
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 4:04
3RD & 5
OWN 49
+7
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the UTEP 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-15
99.8%
RICE Penalty, personal foul (Nico Carlson) to the Rice 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:00
Jameill Showers 5 Yd Run (Jay Mattox Kick)
-15.4
TD · Q3 0:39
Darik Dillard 3 Yd Run (James Hairston Kick)
+10.4
TD · Q3 12:51
Jordan Taylor 24 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick)
+9.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com