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ARMY

Army 24 at Western Kentucky 52

WKU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadARMY aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreARMY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Joseph Occhipinti punt for 36 yds
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout margin
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Pregame prior+27.0Home team on offense+0.0Score differential+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0Blowout margin+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +9.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 11:49: Leon Allen run for 80 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +9.9 pts (now 96%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 3:59: Angel Santiago run for 54 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +8.3 pts (now 12%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 0:47: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +6.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 0:26: Larry Dixon run for 58 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK) — ARMY win probability +8.4 pts (now 10%) (top driver: ARMY has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 5ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:35ARMY 4th & 2 at WKU 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    26.2%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    26.0%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 11:59ARMY 4th & 8 at WKU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.6%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.7%
    66% to make
    Punt
    21.0%−2.8
    average punt
  4. Q2 8:49WKU 4th & 3 at ARMY 19, up 4
    Close callKicked a field goal · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.0%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    73.7%−0.3
    77% to make
    Punt
    70.7%−3.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:42ARMY 4th & 7 at WKU 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    22.6%−0.6
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:31WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.8%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    76.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:43ARMY 4th & 4 at WKU 4, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.4%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    17.7%−6.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:51ARMY 4th & 6 at WKU 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 11:43ARMY 4th & 7 at ARMY 46, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.3
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.9%
    average punt
  10. Q3 8:54WKU 4th & 16 at WKU 32, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.2%−0.8
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    96.0%
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:23ARMY 4th & 14 at WKU 38, down 28
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    38% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 5:39WKU 4th & 2 at WKU 46, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 7 of 7ARMY made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 8:10ARMY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:41WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    74.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    74.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:18WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 0:00WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 11:49WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 3:59ARMY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    7.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    7.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 0:47WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 0:26ARMY Touchdown, down 15 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:15WKU Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 10:24WKU Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
77.0%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
77.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
77.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
77.0%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 36 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 2TD
12 plays · 64 yds · 5:4723% → 27%
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
76.7%
Raymond Maples run for 2 yds to the Army 38Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+1
76.7%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd to the Army 39Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 7
OWN 39
+12
76.7%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Edgar Poe for 12 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+5
76.7%
Joe Walker run for 5 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 5
OPP 44
-4
76.7%
Angel Santiago sacked by Dejon Brown for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 13:57
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+15
76.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 15 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
76.6%
Matt Giachinta run for no gain to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+14
76.6%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Joe Walker for 14 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+12
76.6%
Matt Giachinta run for 12 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
76.6%
Matt Giachinta run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 13:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
76.6%
Angel Santiago run for 7 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 8:10
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
72.7%
Angel Santiago run for 1 yd for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 68 yds · 2:2273% → 76%
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+27
73.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 27 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+8
73.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the Army 33Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 2
OPP 33
+2
74.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+9
74.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q1 8:03
2ND & 1
OPP 22
+1
74.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 1 yd to the Army 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+9
74.1%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the Army 12Similar
Q1 5:41
2ND & 1
OPP 12
+12
75.6%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · -15 yds · 0:0026% → 26%
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+1
74.3%
Terry Baggett run for 1 yd to the Army 35Similar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 9
OWN 35
+5
74.3%
Larry Dixon run for 5 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+4
74.1%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
73.9%
Angel Santiago pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:35
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+4
74.0%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q1 5:35
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+4
73.9%
Terry Baggett run for 4 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 5:35
4TH & 2
OPP 48
-33
74.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 33 yards to the Army 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5TD
3 plays · 19 yds · 0:5575% → 78%
Q1 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
75.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+4
75.2%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the Army 15Similar
Q1 1:18
3RD & 6
OPP 15
+15
77.9%
Brandon Doughty run for 15 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 6FG
12 plays · 51 yds · 4:1423% → 27%
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
77.0%
Larry Dixon run for 7 yds to the Army 31Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 3
OWN 31
+17
76.5%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds to the Army 33 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:13
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
76.1%
Larry Dixon run for 8 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 1:13
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+5
75.8%
Larry Dixon run for 5 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+9
75.8%
Angel Santiago run for 9 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 1
OPP 30
+3
75.2%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
75.2%
Matt Giachinta run for 4 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 23
-5
75.2%
ARMY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 28
-1
75.3%
Matt Giachinta run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 29
+4
76.4%
Angel Santiago run for 4 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q2 11:59
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
73.4%
Daniel Grochowski 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
9 plays · 53 yds · 3:0274% → 78%
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+16
74.1%
Leon Allen run for 16 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+9
75.0%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 1
OPP 47
+6
75.4%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the Army 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+15
75.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 15 yds to the Army 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:51
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
75.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:51
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+7
75.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 7 yds to the Army 19Similar
Q2 11:51
3RD & 3
OPP 19
0
75.1%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the Army 19Similar
Q2 8:49
4TH & 3
OPP 19
+36
77.6%
Garrett Schwettman 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 8PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0024% → 23%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+8
76.4%
Larry Dixon run for 8 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 2
OWN 48
+8
75.5%
Larry Dixon run for 8 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
75.5%
Joe Walker run for 4 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 6
OPP 40
-1
75.3%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 41 Angel Santiago fumbled, recovered by Army Angel SantiagoSimilar
Q2 8:42
3RD & 7
OPP 41
0
75.8%
Angel Santiago pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:42
4TH & 7
OPP 41
0
77.0%
Alex Tardieu punt for 22 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 6:31
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
78.2%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 21Similar
Q2 6:31
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
78.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 6:31
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
77.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Josh JenkinsSimilar
Q2 6:31
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
76.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds , Edgar Poe returns for no gain to the Army 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 10MISSED FG
12 plays · 54 yds · 4:0023% → 24%
Q2 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
76.6%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the Army 45Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-4
77.0%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 4 yards to the Army 41Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 11
OWN 41
+15
78.6%
Santiago, Angel pass intercepted by LESTON, Branden at the WKU36, LESTON, Branden return to the WKU42 (Poe, Edgar), PENALTY WKU pass interference (WARD, Marcus) 15 yards to the WKU44, 1ST DOWN ARMY, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
76.7%
Angel Santiago run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+16
76.7%
Larry Dixon run for 16 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+16
75.7%
Trenton Turrentine run for 16 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
75.7%
Larry Dixon run for 5 yds to the WKent 5Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
75.7%
Larry Dixon run for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 5:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
76.7%
Angel Santiago run for no gain to the WKent 4Similar
Q2 1:43
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
76.4%
Daniel Grochowski 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 1:4378% → 89%
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
78.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon AllenSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-10
78.0%
DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to MCNEAL, Willie for 4 yards to the WKU24 (Proulx, Luke), PENALTY WKU holding (CLEMMONS, C.) 10 yards to the WKU10, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 20
OWN 10
+19
77.9%
Leon Allen run for 19 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 1:43
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+15
77.8%
Leon Allen run for 15 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
79.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-10
79.1%
ALLEN, Leon rush for 12 yards to the ARMY44 (Proulx, Luke), PENALTY WKU holding (STARK, Derrick) 10 yards to the WKU34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 20
OWN 34
+18
78.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 18 yds to the Army 48Similar
Q2 0:08
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+3
78.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 3 yds to the Army 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+45
89.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 12PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0014% → 14%
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+7
85.7%
Matt Giachinta run for 7 yds to the Army 40Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 3
OWN 40
+9
84.9%
Matt Giachinta run for 9 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:51
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
84.8%
Angel Santiago run for 3 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 14:51
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+3
84.6%
Matt Giachinta run for 3 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 14:51
3RD & 4
OPP 45
-2
84.8%
Terry Baggett run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 47Similar
Q3 14:51
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
85.6%
Alex Tardieu punt for 47 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 11:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
95.5%
Leon Allen run for 80 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:005% → 6%
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
94.6%
Larry Dixon run for 4 yds to the Army 28Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 6
OWN 28
+15
94.3%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Wonderful Terry) to the Army 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
94.2%
Santiago, Angel rush for 3 yards to the ARMY46 (SHORTER, Bryan), PENALTY ARMY holding (Alexander, Ryan) 10 yards to the ARMY33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 11:43
1ST & 20
OWN 33
0
94.6%
Angel Santiago run for no gain to the Army 33Similar
Q3 11:43
2ND & 20
OWN 33
-1
94.6%
Angel Santiago run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 32Similar
Q3 11:43
3RD & 21
OWN 32
+14
94.7%
Angel Santiago pass complete to Edgar Poe for 14 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 11:43
4TH & 7
OWN 46
0
94.4%
Alex Tardieu punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
10 plays · 19 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
96.0%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 1
OWN 22
0
96.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for no gain to the WKent 22Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 1
OWN 22
+1
96.1%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
96.1%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
96.1%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+14
96.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
96.3%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q3 8:54
2ND & 7
OWN 41
-9
96.3%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Andrew King for a loss of 9 yards to the WKent 32Similar
Q3 8:54
3RD & 16
OWN 32
0
96.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel GermanSimilar
Q3 8:54
4TH & 16
OWN 32
+3
95.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 30 yds , Edgar Poe returns for 3 yds to the Army 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 16TD
2 plays · 59 yds · 0:413% → 12%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
96.7%
Aaron Kemper run for 5 yds to the Army 46Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+54
88.4%
Angel Santiago run for 54 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:0491% → 98%
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
91.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q3 3:51
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+9
91.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 9 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 3:51
3RD & 1
OWN 40
+12
91.3%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the Army 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
91.8%
DOUGHTY, B. pass complete to GORSKI, Tim for 20 yards to the ARMY28 (Carnegie, Chris), PENALTY WKU holding (STARK, Derrick) 10 yards to the WKU42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:51
1ST & 20
OWN 42
+48
91.6%
Leon Allen run for 48 yds to the Army 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
91.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the Army 5Similar
Q3 3:51
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-1
91.9%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 6Similar
Q3 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 18TD
2 plays · 58 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 0:26
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+58
89.8%
Larry Dixon run for 58 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
5 plays · 62 yds · 1:0394% → 99%
Q3 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+44
94.0%
Leon Allen run for 44 yds to the Army 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+17
94.3%
Leon Allen run for 17 yds to the Army 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
94.3%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the Army 1Similar
Q4 14:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
98.6%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20TD
8 plays · 29 yds · 3:4799% → 100%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+7
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the Army 22Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 3
OPP 22
+7
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the Army 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 13Similar
Q4 14:11
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+7
98.7%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the Army 6Similar
Q4 14:11
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+2
98.6%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
98.7%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Forrest Lamp) to the Army 9Similar
Q4 10:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 9 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARMYDrive 21DOWNS
12 plays · 31 yds · 2:550% → 0%
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for no gain to the Army 31Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for 6 yds to the Army 37Similar
Q4 10:18
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+19
99.9%
Raymond Maples run for 19 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for 2 yds to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 10:18
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+5
99.9%
Matt Giachinta run for 5 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 3
OPP 37
+3
99.9%
Angel Santiago run for 3 yds to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:23
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
99.9%
Matt Giachinta run for 4 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 7:23
2ND & 6
OPP 30
-2
99.9%
Larry Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 7:23
3RD & 8
OPP 32
-6
99.9%
Angel Santiago sacked by Daeshawn Bertram for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 38Similar
Q4 7:23
4TH & 14
OPP 38
0
99.9%
Angel Santiago pass incomplete to Xavier MossSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22END OF GAME
10 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
99.9%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
99.9%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 42Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
ARMY Penalty, offside defense (Robert Kough) to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 1
OWN 47
-1
99.9%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 2
OWN 46
+5
99.9%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the Army 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+2
99.9%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the Army 47Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 8
OPP 47
+28
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 28 yds to the Army 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
99.9%
Anthony Wales run for 5 yds to the Army 14Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 5
OPP 14
-1
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Army 15Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 6
OPP 15
0
99.9%
TEAM run for no gain to the Army 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 11:49
Leon Allen run for 80 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+9.9
TD · Q2 0:00
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 45 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+9.1
TD · Q3 0:26
Larry Dixon run for 58 yds for a TD, (Daniel Grochowski KICK)
-8.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com