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UNT

North Texas 17 at UTEP 35

UTEP
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Sun Bowl
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Win probability · UTEP
modelUTEP aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUTEP scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 6:11 · Eric Keena punt for 45 yds , Damian Payne returns for 12 yds to the UTEP 40 UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTEP 24
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.0+18.00−18.0−36.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 97Home team on offense+27.9Score differential+5.3Pregame prior+8.9Blowout margin+11.3Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:07: Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +3.2 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:14: Aaron Jones run for 42 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 8:50: Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +3.4 pts (now 94%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q3 10:37: Trevor Moore 37 yd FG GOOD — UNT win probability +2.2 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:23: Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +1.9 pts (now 3%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTEP made the numbers' call on 3 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 9:03UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−0.2
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:11UNT 4th & 6 at UTEP 47, down 14
    Close callPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 13:06UNT 4th & 25 at UNT 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−1.4
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:05UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 17, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.0%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:46UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 43, up 28
    Close callPunted · 96.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.5%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:44UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 37, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−1.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:37UNT 4th & 9 at UTEP 20, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    1.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−1.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:46UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 31, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.1%−0.2
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 6:11UNT 4th & 19 at UNT 28, down 25
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.9
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.3%
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:24UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 41, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:07UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 26, up 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:42UNT 4th & 9 at UNT 32, down 32
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:14UTEP 4th & 2 at UNT 23, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.1
    70% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 0:53UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 34, up 18
    Close callPunted · 99.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 10:59UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 3:5675% → 75%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+20
74.6%
Aaron Jones run for 20 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
74.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q1 14:17
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+4
74.5%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 13:34
3RD & 6
OWN 49
+5
74.4%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 13:30
3RD & 1
OPP 46
+2
74.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
74.4%
UTEP Penalty, False Start (Eric Lee) to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 12:20
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+3
74.2%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 11:38
2ND & 12
OPP 46
+15
74.1%
Jameill Showers run for 15 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:59
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+31
75.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 31 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:4725% → 25%
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-2
74.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 18Similar
Q1 10:30
2ND & 12
OWN 18
+6
74.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 6 yds to the NoTex 24Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-2
75.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 9:03
4TH & 8
OWN 22
+1
75.4%
Eric Keena punt for 48 yds , Damian Payne returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3TD
10 plays · 69 yds · 4:5075% → 79%
Q1 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+6
75.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 6 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 4
OWN 37
+5
75.5%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+4
75.6%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 7:10
2ND & 6
OWN 46
+5
75.7%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Austin Orr) to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 6:40
2ND & 1
OPP 49
+22
75.7%
Josh Bell run for 22 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+22
75.8%
Autrey Golden run for 22 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
75.9%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
Q1 4:50
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
76.0%
Darrin Laufasa run for no gain to the NoTex 2Similar
Q1 4:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
79.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
10 plays · 33 yds · 3:4922% → 21%
Q1 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
78.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 21Similar
Q1 3:20
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+5
78.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 5 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q1 2:50
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+12
78.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Marcus Smith for 12 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
77.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q1 1:50
2ND & 9
OWN 39
+10
78.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 10 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+3
77.7%
Andrew McNulty run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 1:00
2ND & 7
OPP 48
+1
77.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 0:18
3RD & 6
OPP 47
0
78.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q1 0:11
4TH & 6
OPP 47
0
78.6%
Eric Keena punt for 37 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
3 plays · 90 yds · 0:5080% → 88%
Q1 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+28
79.5%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 28 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+20
80.3%
Aaron Jones run for 20 yds to the NoTex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+42
87.6%
Aaron Jones run for 42 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
6 plays · -15 yds · 1:0214% → 13%
Q2 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
85.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 14:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
86.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Cyril Lemon) to the NoTex 20Similar
Q2 14:03
2ND & 15
OWN 20
0
86.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 13:55
3RD & 15
OWN 20
-10
86.3%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Cooper Brock for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 10Similar
Q2 13:06
4TH & 25
OWN 10
+13
86.8%
Eric Keena punt for 49 yds , Damian Payne returns for 13 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7TD
7 plays · 46 yds · 4:1088% → 94%
Q2 13:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
88.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 48Similar
Q2 12:20
2ND & 12
OPP 48
+2
88.6%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 11:40
3RD & 10
OPP 46
+22
88.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 22 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-2
89.5%
Jameill Showers sacked by Tillman Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 10:10
2ND & 12
OPP 26
+5
89.9%
David Hamm run for 5 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q2 9:30
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+16
91.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 16 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:50
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
94.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 1:376% → 4%
Q2 8:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
94.0%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 8:00
2ND & 13
OWN 22
-5
95.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Reggie Pegram for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 18
OWN 17
0
95.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 7:05
4TH & 18
OWN 17
0
95.8%
Eric Keena punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 2:1495% → 96%
Q2 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+4
95.3%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 6:25
2ND & 6
OWN 38
-1
95.6%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 37Similar
Q2 5:40
3RD & 7
OWN 37
+6
95.9%
Jameill Showers run for 6 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q2 4:46
4TH & 1
OWN 43
0
96.1%
Jay Mattox punt for 56 yds, downed at the NoTex 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
13 plays · 36 yds · 3:563% → 2%
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
96.6%
Andrew McNulty run for 2 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 4:10
2ND & 8
OWN 3
+1
97.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 3:30
3RD & 7
OWN 4
+8
98.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds to the NoTex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:50
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+2
97.4%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 14Similar
Q2 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 14
+3
97.5%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 1:45
3RD & 5
OWN 17
+10
97.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 10 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
97.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q2 1:26
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+10
97.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 10 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
97.5%
Andrew McNulty run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 1:13
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
98.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q2 1:05
3RD & 10
OWN 37
0
98.1%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carl CaldwellSimilar
Q2 0:44
4TH & 10
OWN 37
+31
98.2%
Eric Keena punt for 49 yds , Damian Payne returns for 31 yds to the UTEP 32 UTEP Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the UTEP 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11END OF HALF
1 play · 4 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
98.2%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12FG
13 plays · 55 yds · 4:186% → 3%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
94.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 14:15
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
98.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q3 13:41
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
98.3%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Adrian James) to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
98.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 13:15
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+7
98.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 7 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 12:40
3RD & 1
OWN 41
+2
98.5%
Andrew McNulty run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:10
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
98.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 6 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST down UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (Alvin Jones) to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+15
98.8%
UTEP Penalty, Defensive Pass Interference (Adrian James) to the UTEP 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:30
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
98.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q3 10:59
2ND & 8
OPP 19
-1
98.7%
Andrew McNulty run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 10:42
3RD & 9
OPP 20
0
98.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 10:37
4TH & 9
OPP 20
+37
96.7%
Trevor Moore 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 1:3998% → 98%
Q3 10:25
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
97.7%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 9:55
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+1
97.9%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 3
OWN 31
0
97.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 8:46
4TH & 3
OWN 31
+17
97.9%
Jay Mattox punt for 49 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 17 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -9 yds · 2:293% → 3%
Q3 8:40
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
97.0%
Turner Smiley run for 2 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 8:16
2ND & 8
OWN 39
-5
97.2%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, False Start (Antonio Johnson) to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 13
OWN 34
+4
97.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 4 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 7:10
3RD & 9
OWN 38
-10
97.5%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Trey Brown for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 6:11
4TH & 19
OWN 28
+12
96.9%
Eric Keena punt for 45 yds , Damian Payne returns for 12 yds to the UTEP 40 UTEP Penalty, Personal Foul (15 Yards) to the UTEP 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
4 plays · 76 yds · 1:3899% → 100%
Q3 6:06
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
98.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 6:00
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+8
98.5%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 5:20
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+14
98.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 14 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:28
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+54
99.6%
Aaron Jones run for 54 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:561% → 0%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
98.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 3:50
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:15
1ST & 10
OWN 38
-1
99.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 37Similar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 11
OWN 37
-9
99.6%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 1:53
3RD & 20
OWN 28
+13
99.7%
Andrew McNulty run for 13 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 1:24
4TH & 7
OWN 41
+10
99.7%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds , Damian Payne returns for 10 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FUMBLE
4 plays · 1 yds · 2:08100% → 100%
Q3 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 0:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
99.7%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 14:55
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
99.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 14:07
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
99.7%
Jay Mattox punt for 43 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for no gain to the NoTex 31 Darvin Kidsy fumbled, recovered by NoTex Darvin KidsySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q4 14:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
99.8%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q4 13:25
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carl CaldwellSimilar
Q4 13:15
3RD & 8
OWN 33
-1
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 12:42
4TH & 9
OWN 32
0
99.8%
Eric Keena punt for 50 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:26100% → 100%
Q4 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
99.8%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 12:00
2ND & 8
OWN 20
+5
99.8%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive Offside (Austin Orr) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 11:22
2ND & 3
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 10:45
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+2
99.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.8%
David Hamm run for 2 yds to the UTEP 29 David Hamm fumbled, forced by Austin Orr, recovered by NoTex James Jones , return for 2 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
1 play · 29 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 10:01
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+29
98.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Jeffrey Wilson for 29 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 6:4099% → 100%
Q4 9:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+17
99.3%
Josh Bell run for 17 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+8
99.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 8 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 2
50
+4
99.6%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:50
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
99.6%
Josh Bell run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q4 7:05
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+1
99.7%
Josh Bell run for 1 yd to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 6:21
3RD & 9
OPP 45
+14
99.7%
Jameill Showers run for 14 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
99.8%
Jacob Martinez run for 2 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q4 4:45
2ND & 8
OPP 29
+4
99.8%
Jacob Martinez run for 4 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 4:05
3RD & 4
OPP 25
+2
99.8%
Jacob Martinez run for 2 yds to the NoTex 23Similar
Q4 3:14
4TH & 2
OPP 23
-1
99.8%
Jacob Martinez run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22TD
5 plays · 76 yds · 1:461% → 3%
Q4 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q4 2:44
2ND & 2
OWN 32
0
99.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 2
OWN 32
+65
99.4%
Andrew McNulty run for 65 yds to the UTEP 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
99.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
97.2%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:2299% → 100%
Q4 1:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.4%
Jacob Martinez run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
99.5%
Jacob Martinez run for 5 yds to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 1:03
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.7%
Jacob Martinez run for no gain to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 0:53
4TH & 1
OWN 34
+46
99.6%
Jay Mattox punt for 46 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24INT
4 plays · 12 yds · 0:341% → 1%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+7
99.4%
Andrew McNulty run for 7 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 3
OWN 26
0
99.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carl CaldwellSimilar
Q4 0:17
3RD & 3
OWN 26
+5
99.3%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 5 yds to the NoTex 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:06
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+7
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted Nick Gathrite return for 7 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-2
99.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:14
Aaron Jones run for 42 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
+7.3
TD · Q2 8:50
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
+3.4
TD · Q1 4:07
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
+3.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com