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RICE

Rice 14 at Marshall 41

MRSH
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 5:16 · Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Rice 30
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.0+21.00−21.0−42.0Q1Q2Q3Q4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:29: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.8 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:56: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +4.2 pts (now 94%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:04: Jowan Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +4.7 pts (now 14%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 9:29: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 30 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +5.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:36: Devon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.8 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 3RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.3%−0.1
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:13MRSH 4th & 7 at RICE 46, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.1%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    89.0%−0.1
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    89.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:05RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 30, tied
    Close callPunted · 11.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.5%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:18RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 23, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 13.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    13.1%−0.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    13.6%
    average punt
  5. Q2 12:29RICE 4th & 6 at MRSH 49, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:22RICE 4th & 9 at MRSH 39, down 17
    Close callPunted · 8.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.0%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    7.8%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.7%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:18MRSH 4th & 3 at RICE 4, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    93% to make
    Punt
    84.1%−3.3
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00MRSH 4th & 8 at MRSH 21, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 90.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.7%−0.9
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    90.7%
    average punt
  9. Q3 14:07RICE 4th & 12 at RICE 40, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.1%−0.7
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:29RICE 4th & 15 at RICE 35, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.6%−0.9
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.5%
    average punt
  11. Q3 3:36RICE 4th & 13 at RICE 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.4
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00RICE 4th & 3 at MRSH 6, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.2%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    -0.7%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q2 12:29MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:56MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:04RICE Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    11.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 9:29MRSH Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:36MRSH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 9:45MRSH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:16RICE Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -5 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
91.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+2
91.6%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-11
91.6%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Ra'Shawde Myers for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
91.6%
James Farrimond punt for 40 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for no gain to the Marsh 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0091% → 91%
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
91.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 2 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+7
91.2%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+2
91.2%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Craig WilkinsSimilar
Q1 13:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+3
91.2%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 13:13
3RD & 7
OPP 46
0
91.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 13:13
4TH & 7
OPP 46
0
91.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 21 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
90.6%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+3
90.5%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 5
OWN 14
+9
90.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 9 yds to the Rice 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+1
90.5%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 11:05
2ND & 9
OWN 24
0
90.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:05
3RD & 9
OWN 24
+6
90.6%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 11:05
4TH & 3
OWN 30
0
90.6%
James Farrimond punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
15 plays · 55 yds · 5:5590% → 88%
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
89.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
89.7%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+6
89.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+6
89.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 6 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 4
OWN 46
+3
89.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+9
89.9%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+18
90.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 18 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
90.0%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:13
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+3
90.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 3 yds to the Rice 21Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & 7
OPP 21
+11
90.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 11 yds to the Rice 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:13
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
90.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 1 yd to the Rice 9Similar
Q1 8:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
90.0%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 6Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-5
90.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 8:13
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
-5
89.9%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 16Similar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 0
OPP 16
+33
88.3%
Justin Haig 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0012% → 11%
Q1 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
88.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Temi AlakaSimilar
Q1 2:18
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-2
88.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
Q1 2:18
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
88.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:18
4TH & 12
OWN 23
0
88.7%
James Farrimond punt for 36 yds, downed at the Marsh 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
11 plays · 59 yds · 3:4288% → 90%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
88.1%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+15
88.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 15 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
88.4%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 32
0
88.2%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 32
+6
88.0%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
88.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Craig WilkinsSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+12
88.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 12 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
88.2%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
0
88.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 12
+10
88.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 10 yds to the Rice 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
89.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
8 plays · 16 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 8
OWN 37
0
89.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+10
89.3%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Jordan, QB hurry by HEWITT, Neville, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (ROBERTS, Darryl) 10 yards to the RICE47, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:29
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+3
88.8%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:29
2ND & 7
50
+1
88.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 49Similar
Q2 12:29
3RD & 6
OPP 49
0
88.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:29
4TH & 6
OPP 49
0
89.3%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds, downed at the Marsh 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
8 plays · 85 yds · 3:0289% → 94%
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
88.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+3
88.8%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 7
OWN 18
+17
88.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 17 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
89.0%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 9:58
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+2
89.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 2 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 9:58
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
89.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 15 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+21
89.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Steward Butler for 21 yds to the Rice 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
93.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 36 yds · 2:347% → 8%
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
92.5%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+11
92.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
50
+5
92.2%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+5
92.1%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:56
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+1
92.1%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the Marsh 39Similar
Q2 6:56
2ND & 9
OPP 39
0
92.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete, broken up by Neville HewittSimilar
Q2 4:22
3RD & 9
OPP 39
0
91.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 4:22
4TH & 9
OPP 39
0
92.1%
James Farrimond punt for 30 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 4:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+28
93.2%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Bryce Callahan return for 28 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11TD
5 plays · 17 yds · 1:499% → 14%
Q2 3:53
1ST & 10
OPP 17
0
91.1%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 3:53
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-4
91.1%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 21Similar
Q2 3:53
3RD & 14
OPP 21
+18
92.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 18 yds to the Marsh 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
85.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12FG
7 plays · 68 yds · 1:4688% → 91%
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+42
88.3%
Devon Johnson run for 42 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+19
89.3%
Devon Johnson run for 19 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:04
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+3
89.3%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 2:04
2ND & 7
OPP 8
+4
89.3%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 2:04
3RD & 3
OPP 4
0
88.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:18
4TH & 3
OPP 4
+21
90.5%
Justin Haig 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q2 0:18
1ST & 10
OWN 9
-1
90.4%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0092% → 91%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+2
91.7%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 21Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 21
0
91.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 21
0
91.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Craig Wilkins, broken up by Ryan PollardSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
90.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 9 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
90.7%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+3
90.2%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-10
90.6%
DAVIS, Jowan rush for 2 yards to the RICE44 (ROBERTS, Darryl;HEWITT, Neville), PENALTY RICE holding (GRAY, Ian) 10 yards to the RICE32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 14:07
1ST & 20
OWN 32
+2
90.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 18
OWN 34
0
91.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 18
OWN 34
+6
91.2%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 12
OWN 40
0
91.2%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
7 plays · 74 yds · 1:5892% → 98%
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
92.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 8 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 2
OWN 34
+9
92.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 9 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
92.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q3 11:27
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+27
92.5%
Devon Johnson run for 27 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-5
92.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Chris Jasperse) to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 11:27
1ST & 15
OPP 35
+5
92.6%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 10
OPP 30
+30
97.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 30 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
97.1%
DAVIS, Jowan rush for loss of 2 yards to the RICE23 (DILLON, Steve), PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (DILLON, Steve) 15 yards to the RICE40, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:29
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
96.9%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 9:29
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+1
96.9%
Darrion Pollard run for 1 yd to the Rice 45Similar
Q3 9:29
3RD & 5
OWN 45
-10
97.0%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Arnold Blackmon for a loss of 10 yards to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 9:29
4TH & 15
OWN 35
+24
97.2%
James Farrimond punt for 39 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 24 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18TD
11 plays · 50 yds · 3:3598% → 100%
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
50
+6
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
97.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 7:11
3RD & 4
OPP 44
+4
97.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+6
97.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 6 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 4
OPP 34
+7
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
97.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 10
OPP 27
-10
97.9%
CATO, Rakeem rush for 15 yards to the RICE12, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (VAN HORN, Clint) 10 yards to the RICE37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:11
2ND & 20
OPP 37
+23
97.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 23 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+10
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Rice 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
99.7%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+10
99.7%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to WRIGHT, Zach, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (LANG, Tiquan) 10 yards to the RICE39, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:36
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 3:36
2ND & 8
OWN 41
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Darrion Pollard, broken up by Taj LetmanSimilar
Q3 3:36
3RD & 8
OWN 41
-5
99.8%
Driphus Jackson sacked by D.J. Hunter for a loss of 5 yards to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 3:36
4TH & 13
OWN 36
0
99.8%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds , Rodney Allen returns for no gain to the Marsh 24 Rodney Allen fumbled, recovered by Rice Nick ElderSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20DOWNS
5 plays · 18 yds · 1:180% → 0%
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+11
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 11 yds to the Marsh 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+5
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 8Similar
Q3 1:18
2ND & 5
OPP 8
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Marsh 6Similar
Q3 1:18
3RD & 3
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Neville HewittSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 6
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan Taylor, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
10 plays · 94 yds · 5:12100% → 100%
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
99.8%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+11
99.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 11 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.8%
Devon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Marsh 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
99.8%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+3
99.8%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q4 14:57
3RD & 5
OWN 39
+10
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 10 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+38
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 38 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:57
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
99.9%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Rice 9Similar
Q4 14:57
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 2 yds to the Rice 7Similar
Q4 9:45
3RD & 4
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Deon-Tay McManus for 7 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:230% → 0%
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 16 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+8
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+9
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 9 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 1
OPP 36
+1
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+11
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 11 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+5
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 19Similar
Q4 9:39
2ND & 5
OPP 19
+4
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Marsh 15Similar
Q4 9:39
3RD & 1
OPP 15
+5
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Marsh 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q4 5:16
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23END OF GAME
10 plays · 45 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+2
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 5:16
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+30
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 30 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+6
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 6 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-15
99.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+8
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 8 yds to the Rice 37Similar
Q4 5:16
2ND & 2
OPP 37
+2
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.9%
Tony Pittman run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 9:29
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 30 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+5.1
TD · Q2 2:04
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)
-4.7
TD · Q2 6:56
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+4.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com