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MTSU

Middle Tennessee 28 at Florida International 38

FIU
2014 · Week 12 · Nov 15, 2014 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadMTSU aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreMTSU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:19 · Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialPregame priorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+25.0+12.50−12.5−25.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Home team on offense+16.0Garbage-time factor+5.0Score differential+5.7Pregame prior−0.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+2.5Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 0:00: Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +13.3 pts (now 46%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:53: Jonnu Smith 22 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick) — FIU win probability +15.0 pts (now 60%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 7:24: Austin Grammer pass intercepted for a TD Davison Colimon return for 79 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +20.1 pts (now 74%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:17: Jeremiah Bryson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +19.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  5. TD · Q3 2:15: Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +16.0 pts (now 82%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 9MTSU made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 14 at MTSU 21, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:26FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.0%−0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 6:55MTSU 4th & 11 at FIU 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.3%
    49% to make
    Punt
    54.1%−0.2
    average punt
  4. Q1 3:46FIU 4th & 8 at MTSU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    42.7%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.8%
    66% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−2.1
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:37FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 43, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.1%−0.2
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:53FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 27, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    31.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    31.3%−0.4
    62% to make
    Punt
    27.3%−4.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:59FIU 4th & 10 at MTSU 20, down 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 28.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.5%−1.0
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    28.5%
    75% to make
    Punt
    23.4%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 7:59MTSU 4th & 22 at MTSU 24, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.0%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.1%
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00FIU 4th & 8 at FIU 29, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.6%−1.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 2:15MTSU 4th & 19 at MTSU 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.6%−4.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 4 at FIU 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.0%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.3%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:50FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 26, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 82.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    82.2%−0.8
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.0%
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:19MTSU 4th & 3 at FIU 43, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    9.9%−1.8
    28% to make
    Punt
    10.4%−1.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:19MTSU 4th & 22 at MTSU 49, down 10
    Numbers favored punt by 1.4 ptsWent for it · 10.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    8.9%−1.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:23FIU 4th & 4 at MTSU 43, up 10
    Close callPunted · 91.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    90.8%−0.9
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 5:10MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:37MTSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:53MTSU Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    69.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    69.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:03FIU Touchdown, down 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:00FIU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    40.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 9:53FIU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 7:24FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 6:17MTSU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    38.5%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:15FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:0054% → 54%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
46.3%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+4
46.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 4 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 27
-6
46.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Reggie Whatley for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 21
0
46.3%
O'Kane Sean punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 13:26
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+2
46.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 2 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:26
2ND & 8
OWN 45
0
46.9%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:26
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
46.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 13:26
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
46.7%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 40 yds, downed at the MTnSt 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 3MISSED FG
13 plays · 52 yds · 4:2853% → 52%
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
47.2%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+1
47.2%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+22
47.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 22 yds to the MTnSt 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
46.9%
Reggie Whatley run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 5
OWN 46
-6
46.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 9 yds to the FLAINTL 45 MIDDLE TENN Penalty, IB (-15 Yards) to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+17
47.0%
Austin Grammer run for 17 yds to the FlaIn 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
46.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 6 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+1
46.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+4
46.8%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:23
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
46.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 4 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 11:23
2ND & 6
OPP 28
-5
46.6%
Austin Grammer sacked by Davison Colimon for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 11:23
3RD & 11
OPP 33
0
46.9%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:55
4TH & 11
OPP 33
+43
47.9%
Cody Clark 43 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 4FUMBLE
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 6:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
48.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for no gain Jonnu Smith fumbled, forced by Kevin Byard, recovered by MTnSt Trey WaffordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 5TD
4 plays · 35 yds · 1:3553% → 57%
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
46.9%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 6:45
2ND & 7
OPP 32
+8
46.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 8 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:45
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+6
46.8%
Reggie Whatley run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 4
OPP 18
+18
43.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 18 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 6FG
5 plays · 2 yds · 1:2446% → 47%
Q1 5:10
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
46.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 5:10
2ND & 7
OPP 24
-1
46.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q1 5:10
3RD & 8
OPP 25
0
45.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dennis Turner, broken up by Khari BurkeSimilar
Q1 3:46
4TH & 8
OPP 25
+43
47.2%
Austin Taylor 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 50 yds · 2:0954% → 59%
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
50
+5
45.7%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 5
OPP 45
+2
45.7%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 3:46
3RD & 3
OPP 43
+12
45.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 12 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:46
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+3
45.4%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q1 3:46
2ND & 7
OPP 28
0
45.3%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 7
OPP 28
+28
40.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 28 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:0042% → 41%
Q1 1:37
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
41.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q1 1:37
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+2
41.6%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 1:37
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
41.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 1:37
4TH & 7
OWN 43
0
40.9%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 57 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 9TD
9 plays · 80 yds · 2:3159% → 72%
Q1 0:24
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
40.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+11
40.3%
A.J. Erdely run for 11 yds to the MTnSt 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
40.1%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+13
40.0%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Tyler Barron for 13 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+1
39.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
50
+5
39.6%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to HENRY, Marcus, PENALTY FIU OF (DYSON, Darrian) 5 yards to the FIU45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 45
+5
39.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+3
39.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 37
+37
28.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 37 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 10MISSED FG
13 plays · 62 yds · 4:5432% → 30%
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+34
32.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 34 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+3
33.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+12
33.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 12 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
34.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+3
34.2%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 27Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 4
OPP 27
0
33.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Napoleon MaxwellSimilar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 4
OPP 27
+7
33.4%
Alex McGough run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:53
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+2
34.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 2 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 12:53
2ND & 8
OPP 18
-7
34.2%
Alex McGough sacked by Shubert Bastien for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 25Similar
Q2 12:53
3RD & 15
OPP 25
+10
33.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Napoleon Maxwell for 10 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q2 12:53
4TH & 5
OPP 15
-5
33.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 10
OPP 20
+37
30.3%
Austin Taylor 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · -55 yds · 0:0074% → 73%
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
25.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 9 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+6
25.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
25.2%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Terry PettisSimilar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-15
25.4%
GRAMMER, Austin pass complete to PERKINS, Chris for 21 yards to the FIU43 (HALLEY, Justin;MCKINNON, J.), PENALTY MT illegal helmet contact 15 yards to the MT21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:59
2ND & 25
OWN 21
+3
25.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 3 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 7:59
3RD & 22
OWN 24
0
26.2%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin Clarke, broken up by Wilkenson MyrtilSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & 22
OWN 24
+30
27.2%
O'Kane Sean punt for 56 yds , Richard Leonard returns for 30 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 12TD
5 plays · 50 yds · 2:1328% → 36%
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
50
+16
28.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 16 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+5
29.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 5:16
2ND & 5
OPP 29
+15
29.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
29.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+10
36.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 10 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · 58 yds · 0:0068% → 69%
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+12
31.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+2
31.8%
Jordan Parker run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 8
OPP 44
+15
31.9%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to TUCKER, Shane, PENALTY FIU pass interference (COLIMON, D.) 15 yards to the FIU29, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
31.5%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Demetrius Frazier for 13 yds to the FlaIn 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+7
31.5%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 9Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & 3
OPP 9
+4
31.5%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
31.5%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q2 3:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
31.5%
Jordan Parker run for no gain Jordan Parker fumbled, forced by Anthony Wint, recovered by FlaIn Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4031% → 46%
Q2 0:40
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
31.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q2 0:40
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+31
32.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 31 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+40
46.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 40 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0045% → 43%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
44.9%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 25
+1
44.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 26
+3
43.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 3 yds to the FlaIn 29Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
42.8%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 26 yds, downed at the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16FUMBLE
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:0059% → 60%
Q3 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
40.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 9 yds to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q3 12:48
2ND & 1
OPP 46
+5
39.8%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 45 Reggie Whatley fumbled, forced by Jeremiah McKinnon, recovered by FlaIn Michael Wakefield , return for 5 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 17TD
5 plays · 45 yds · 2:2748% → 60%
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
48.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 7 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+6
48.1%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:20
1ST & 10
OPP 32
-20
49.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 20 yards to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 12:20
2ND & 30
OWN 48
+8
44.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 22
OPP 44
+22
59.9%
Jonnu Smith 22 Yd pass from Alex McGough (Austin Taylor Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18INT TD
8 plays · 36 yds · 2:2943% → 26%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
56.8%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Demetrius FrazierSimilar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+2
57.3%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 8
OWN 37
+44
57.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 44 yds to the FLAINTL 19 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
52.2%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 5
OPP 14
0
52.2%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 5
OPP 14
-15
53.7%
GRAMMER, Austin pass complete to HENRY, Marcus for 12 yards to the FIU2 (ROSADO, Luis;HALLEY, Justin), PENALTY MT pass interference (BATTIES, E.) 15 yards to the FIU29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 7:24
3RD & 20
OPP 29
+79
73.8%
Austin Grammer pass intercepted for a TD Davison Colimon return for 79 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 19TD
4 plays · 45 yds · 1:0728% → 47%
Q3 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
71.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for no gain to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q3 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 45
+35
72.2%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 35 yds to the FlaIn 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
52.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20TD
13 plays · 85 yds · 4:0260% → 82%
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
60.4%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
60.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 6
OWN 19
+12
59.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 12 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
61.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
61.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:17
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+15
59.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 15 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+3
63.8%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 6:17
2ND & 7
OPP 49
+10
64.3%
McGOUGH, Alex pass incomplete to PORTER, Fred, QB hurry by RHODES, Steven, PENALTY MT holding (WALKER, Xavier) 10 yards to the MT39, 1ST DOWN FIU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+19
64.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 19 yds to the MTnSt 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
65.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
65.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 2Similar
Q3 2:15
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
81.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 21PUNT
6 plays · -9 yds · 0:0022% → 19%
Q3 2:15
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
77.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 2:15
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
78.5%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 2:15
2ND & 15
OWN 26
+3
79.0%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 3 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 2:15
3RD & 12
OWN 29
-7
79.8%
Austin Grammer sacked by Denzell Perine and Lars Koht for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q3 2:15
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
80.7%
O'Kane Sean punt for 68 yds, downed at the FlaIn 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:4281% → 80%
Q3 0:42
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+6
81.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 16
0
82.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 16
0
81.0%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 16
0
80.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 45 yds, downed at the MTnSt 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 23INT
4 plays · 18 yds · 0:0020% → 21%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
80.4%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+10
79.8%
Austin Grammer run for 10 yds to the FlaIn 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
79.0%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 7
OPP 43
0
79.0%
Austin Grammer pass intercepted Jeremiah McKinnon return for no gain to the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · 21 yds · 0:0084% → 82%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
83.6%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 9
OWN 6
+16
83.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 16 yds to the FlaIn 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-1
83.8%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 21Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 11
OWN 21
0
83.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Clinton Taylor, broken up by Trey WaffordSimilar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 11
OWN 21
+5
82.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 6
OWN 26
+10
82.2%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 59 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 25 , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 25DOWNS
16 plays · 24 yds · 2:5113% → 11%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.8%
Reggie Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.0%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
87.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 14 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
84.9%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 40
+1
84.9%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 7
OWN 41
+9
85.8%
Austin Grammer run for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
50
+6
83.4%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 6 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
83.0%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 2
OPP 42
0
85.5%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the FlaIn 43 Shane Tucker fumbled, forced by Demarkus Perkins,Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 3
OPP 43
+4
87.1%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Terry Pettis for 4 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:19
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-6
85.9%
Austin Grammer sacked by Davison Colimon for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 7:19
2ND & 16
OPP 45
+6
86.8%
Austin Grammer run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 10
OPP 39
-5
86.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 7:19
3RD & 15
OPP 44
-7
88.5%
Austin Grammer sacked by Giovani Francois for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q4 7:19
4TH & 22
OWN 49
0
89.2%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26PUNT
7 plays · 6 yds · 0:2493% → 94%
Q4 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
92.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 45Similar
Q4 4:39
2ND & 6
OPP 45
-2
93.2%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 8
OPP 47
+4
94.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 4 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q4 4:23
4TH & 4
OPP 43
0
93.6%
Chris Ayers punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 27INT
2 plays · -5 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q4 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-5
95.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q4 4:12
1ST & 15
OWN 15
0
95.2%
Austin Grammer pass intercepted Demarkus Perkins return for no gain to the MTnSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28END OF GAME
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
94.6%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 36Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 8
OPP 36
+4
94.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 32Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 4
OPP 32
+7
94.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
94.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 4:06
2ND & 5
OPP 20
-2
94.9%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 22Similar
Q4 4:06
3RD & 7
OPP 22
-2
94.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:24
Austin Grammer pass intercepted for a TD Davison Colimon return for 79 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+20.1
TD · Q3 6:17
Jeremiah Bryson run for 10 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)
-19.5
TD · Q3 2:15
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+16
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com