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UTEP

UTEP 27 at Western Kentucky 35

WKU
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Houchens Industries-L.T. Smith Stadium
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Win probability · WKU
modelWKU aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playWKU scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 1:35 · Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Damian Payne, broken up by Wonderful Terry UTEP Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declined
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 157Pregame prior+0.7Home team on offense+24.3Garbage-time factor+6.9Score differential+4.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+1.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:11: Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +6.7 pts (now 63%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  2. TD · Q3 3:35: Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +30.8 pts (now 80%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:38: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +18.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 12:40: Jameill Showers pass intercepted for a TD Wonderful Terry return for 90 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +27.3 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 7:41: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +20.3 pts (now 91%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WKU made the numbers' call on 4 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 7 at WKU 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.6%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:39UTEP 4th & 6 at WKU 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.1%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    27.1%
    88% to make
    Punt
    26.7%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:34WKU 4th & 13 at WKU 14, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.1%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:35WKU 4th & 8 at WKU 27, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.9%−0.4
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.3%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTEP 4th & 10 at WKU 33, up 10
    Close callPunted · 36.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.1%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    36.3%
    49% to make
    PuntTheir call
    35.9%−0.4
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:40WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 10, down 10
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    57.2%−0.5
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:42UTEP 4th & 8 at WKU 11, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.1%
    87% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−3.0
    average punt
  8. Q2 3:06UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 42.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.9
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:30WKU 4th & 11 at WKU 33, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 54.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.7%−2.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.9%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:36UTEP 4th & 1 at UTEP 41, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 3.6 ptsPunted · 36.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.5%−3.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 7:34UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 32, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 10.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−2.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:13WKU 4th & 10 at UTEP 39, up 8
    Close callPunted · 94.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.5%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    93.4%−0.2
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:35UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 37, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 7.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.5%
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−1.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 8:58WKU Touchdown, up 3 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:35UTEP Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    35.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    35.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:11WKU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    54.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 3:35UTEP Touchdown, up 12 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:38WKU Touchdown, down 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    38.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.9%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:40WKU Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    61.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    61.1%−0.7
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:41WKU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.7%−0.5
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0075% → 75%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+21
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 21 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+2
75.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 48
+1
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 1 yd to the WKent 49Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 49
0
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 49
0
75.1%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 34 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2FG
5 plays · 73 yds · 1:4825% → 26%
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+69
74.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 69 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:27
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
74.6%
Josh Bell run for no gain to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 13:27
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
74.6%
Jameill Showers run for 4 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q1 13:27
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
74.6%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:39
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+28
74.1%
Jay Mattox 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4174% → 75%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
74.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+3
74.1%
Brandon Doughty run for 3 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
74.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 6 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
74.2%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OWN 36
-7
74.2%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Dashone Smith for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 29Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 17
OWN 29
+21
74.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 21 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:58
1ST & 10
50
+50
74.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 50 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 8:34
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-8
73.0%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Devin Cockrell for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 9Similar
Q1 8:34
2ND & 18
OWN 9
0
72.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 8:34
3RD & 18
OWN 9
+5
72.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q1 8:34
4TH & 13
OWN 14
0
72.6%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 39 yds, downed at the UTEP 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
7 plays · 53 yds · 4:1728% → 34%
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+9
72.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Nathan Jeffery for 9 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 6:52
2ND & 1
OPP 44
-1
71.8%
Jameill Showers run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 45Similar
Q1 6:52
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+6
72.0%
Josh Bell run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+21
71.9%
David Hamm run for 21 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+14
71.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 14 yds to the WKent 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:52
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
71.6%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the WKent 1Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.2%
Josh Bell run for 1 yd for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
66.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
66.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon AllenSimilar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
65.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
65.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 yds, downed at the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
10 plays · 26 yds · 1:4435% → 35%
Q1 1:44
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
65.5%
Josh Bell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 46Similar
Q1 1:44
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
65.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the UTEP 49Similar
Q1 1:44
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+7
65.7%
Josh Bell run for 7 yds to the WKent 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
64.0%
Josh Bell run for no gain to the WKent 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+5
64.0%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+6
64.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 6 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-1
63.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 34
-1
63.9%
Darrin Laufasa run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 35
+2
64.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Nathan Jeffery for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 33
0
64.9%
Jay Mattox punt for 30 yds, downed at the WKent 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 3
0
59.7%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the WKent 3Similar
Q2 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 3
+7
59.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 7 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q2 10:40
3RD & 3
OWN 10
0
59.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:40
4TH & 3
OWN 10
0
58.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FG
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:3941% → 47%
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
59.0%
JEFFERY, Nathan rush for loss of 1 yard to the WKU43 (BROWN, Dejon), PENALTY WKU offside defense (BROWN, Ge'Monee) 4 yards to the WKU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 6
OPP 38
+8
58.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Darrin Laufasa for 8 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
58.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Darrin LaufasaSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
59.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+17
59.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 17 yds to the WKent 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:21
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
58.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 9:21
2ND & 10
OPP 13
+2
58.8%
David Hamm run for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q2 9:21
3RD & 8
OPP 11
0
59.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey Golden, broken up by Juwan GardnerSimilar
Q2 6:42
4TH & 8
OPP 11
+29
53.3%
Jay Mattox 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
11 plays · 74 yds · 3:2354% → 63%
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-5
53.6%
[SHOT], PENALTY WKU false start (DANGERFIELD, J.) 5 yards to the WKU21, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 15
OWN 21
0
53.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel GermanSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 15
OWN 21
+11
53.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 11 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+29
53.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 29 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+14
55.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 14 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+4
56.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds Antwane Grant fumbled, forced by Damian Payne, recovered by WKent Joel GermanSimilar
Q2 6:34
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
56.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 4 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 6:34
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+16
54.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 16 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+2
56.2%
[SHOT], DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to DANGERFIELD, J. (PAYNE, Damian), PENALTY UTEP holding (PAYNE, Damian) 2 yards to the UTEP2, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
62.9%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0044% → 42%
Q2 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
56.1%
Josh Bell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q2 3:06
2ND & 8
OWN 28
0
55.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q2 3:06
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
57.1%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:06
4TH & 8
OWN 28
0
58.2%
Jay Mattox punt for 38 yds, downed at the WKent 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:4158% → 53%
Q2 2:11
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
58.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:11
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-1
58.1%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 2:11
3RD & 11
OWN 33
0
56.7%
Brandon Doughty run for no gain to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 0:30
4TH & 11
OWN 33
-6
52.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 43 yds , Autrey Golden returns for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14END OF HALF
1 play · 9 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 0:19
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
53.5%
Josh Bell run for 9 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15TD
19 plays · 86 yds · 11:2046% → 80%
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+4
54.2%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 6
OWN 18
+5
54.2%
Josh Bell run for 5 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 1
OWN 23
+4
53.7%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the UTEP 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-7
53.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the UTEP 30 UTEP Penalty, Offensive holding (Derek Elmendorff) to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 17
OWN 20
+4
54.2%
Jameill Showers run for 4 yds to the UTEP 24Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 13
OWN 24
+1
54.5%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 12
OWN 25
+22
55.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 22 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
51.4%
Josh Bell run for 5 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+7
51.0%
Darrin Laufasa run for 7 yds to the WKent 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+6
51.0%
Nathan Jeffery run for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 35
+2
50.5%
Jameill Showers run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 33
+3
51.2%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
50.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 11 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
50.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 6 yds to the WKent 13Similar
Q3 14:55
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+2
50.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the WKent 11Similar
Q3 14:55
3RD & 2
OPP 11
+6
51.2%
Josh Bell run for 6 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
50.5%
Josh Bell run for 2 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
19.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 1:5729% → 50%
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
28.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+39
30.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 39 yds to the UTEP 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
33.8%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the UTEP 16Similar
Q3 3:35
2ND & 4
OPP 16
0
33.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon AllenSimilar
Q3 3:35
3RD & 4
OPP 16
+9
31.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 9 yds to the UTEP 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
0
33.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q3 1:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
49.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 7 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17INT TD
8 plays · 56 yds · 3:5363% → 41%
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+18
37.0%
David Hamm run for 18 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:33
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
34.8%
Darrin Laufasa run for 9 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 1:33
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+5
33.8%
Josh Bell run for 5 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+20
32.4%
David Hamm run for 20 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
31.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
31.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 12:40
3RD & 6
OPP 16
+90
58.8%
Jameill Showers pass intercepted for a TD Wonderful Terry return for 90 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0037% → 37%
Q4 12:36
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
62.9%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q4 12:36
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+4
62.6%
David Hamm run for 4 yds to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 12:36
3RD & 3
OWN 39
+2
60.9%
Josh Bell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
Q4 12:36
4TH & 1
OWN 41
0
63.2%
Jay Mattox punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:5566% → 91%
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
65.8%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
67.5%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
67.7%
[SHOT], DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Taywan, PENALTY UTEP holding (JAMES, Adrian) 10 yards to the WKU48, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
69.8%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 10:36
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+15
67.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 15 yds to the UTEP 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:36
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
70.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 28 yds to the UTEP 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
91.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -2 yds · 0:0014% → 11%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+3
85.8%
David Hamm run for 3 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 7
OWN 37
0
85.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Josh Bell, broken up by Forrest ColemanSimilar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 7
OWN 37
-5
86.4%
[SHOT], PENALTY UTEP false start (DANIELS, Jerome) 5 yards to the UTEP32, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 12
OWN 32
0
88.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 12
OWN 32
0
88.7%
Jay Mattox punt for 68 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21PUNT
13 plays · 41 yds · 3:1790% → 97%
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
90.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 3 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 6:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
0
90.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Devin CockrellSimilar
Q4 6:30
3RD & 7
OWN 23
+12
89.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 12 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
90.5%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q4 4:15
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+21
93.7%
Leon Allen run for 21 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-1
94.0%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 40Similar
Q4 3:29
2ND & 11
OPP 40
+1
95.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
95.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNeal, broken up by Nick GathriteSimilar
Q4 3:13
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
97.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 yds, downed at the UTEP 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 22DOWNS
8 plays · 30 yds · 1:287% → 5%
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+16
92.8%
Jameill Showers run for 16 yds to the UTEP 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+14
92.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Nathan Jeffery for 14 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
91.1%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jarrad ShawSimilar
Q4 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
91.4%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Nathan JefferySimilar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 10
OWN 37
-10
92.7%
[SHOT], SHOWERS,Jameill rush for 2 yards to the UTEP39, out-of-bounds (SINGH, Ricardo), PENALTY UTEP holding (JEFFERY, Nathan) 10 yards to the UTEP27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:03
3RD & 20
OWN 27
+10
93.1%
Jameill Showers run for 10 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q4 1:35
4TH & 10
OWN 37
0
95.3%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Damian Payne, broken up by Wonderful Terry UTEP Penalty, illegal forward pass ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:35
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-30.8
TD · Q4 12:40
Jameill Showers pass intercepted for a TD Wonderful Terry return for 90 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+27.3
TD · Q4 7:41
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 10 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
+20.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com