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LT

Louisiana Tech 40 at UAB 24

UAB
2014 · Week 11 · Nov 8, 2014 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 14:06 · Logan McPherson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 22
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 108Home team on offense−17.4Score differential−8.6Pregame prior−4.4Garbage-time factor−3.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.9Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.9
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:13: Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +5.0 pts (now 65%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:47: Jordan Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +8.9 pts (now 45%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  3. TD · Q2 1:54: Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.8 pts (now 72%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:00: Jonathan Barnes 23 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +4.6 pts (now 81%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 3:05: Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed ) — LT win probability +12.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 10LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    44.9%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:36UAB 4th & 5 at LT 17, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.7%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    43.8%
    80% to make
    Punt
    41.7%−2.1
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 10 at LT 41, down 11
    Close callWent for it · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.7%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    39.5%−0.2
    32% to make
    Punt
    39.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 12:11UAB 4th & 9 at LT 28, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.2%
    60% to make
    Punt
    35.8%−2.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:32UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 24, down 11
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 29.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    28.7%−1.5
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    30.2%
    average punt
  6. Q3 14:06LT 4th & 11 at LT 34, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.2%−2.3
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.5%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:07UAB 4th & 25 at UAB 7, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.1%−2.8
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.9%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:15LT 4th & 21 at LT 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.3%−4.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.9%
    average punt
  9. Q3 2:58UAB 4th & 22 at LT 48, down 13
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 20.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.6%−2.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.7%
    average punt
  10. Q4 12:45LT 4th & 7 at UAB 31, up 13
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.4%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    86.9%−1.6
    average punt
  11. Q4 12:38UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 27, down 16
    Close callPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.5%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.2%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:23LT 4th & 4 at UAB 44, up 16
    Close callPunted · 91.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    90.1%−1.6
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    91.0%−0.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 7:26LT 4th & 8 at LT 27, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    93.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  14. Q4 5:43UAB 4th & 12 at LT 21, down 16
    Close callWent for it · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.3%−0.6
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    5.9%
    74% to make
    Punt
    3.6%−2.3
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:12UAB 4th & 2 at LT 2, down 16
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    3.0%−1.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    2.4%−2.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:30LT 4th & 2 at LT 9, up 16
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.3%−0.3
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 5
  1. Q1 9:09LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    55.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:13LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 6:47UAB Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 1:54LT Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:05LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Close callWent for two · failed
    Kick
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for twoTheir call
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 7:42LT Touchdown, up 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.6%
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 7:28UAB Touchdown, down 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    5.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    5.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 22 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
40.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 7 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+2
40.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 2 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 32
+12
40.9%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
40.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 2 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+1
40.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 1 yd to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 47
-10
40.9%
CLEMENTS, Cody rush for 9 yards to the LATECH44 (LIGGINS, L.), PENALTY UAB holding (SALAKO, Victor) 10 yards to the UAB37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 37
+8
40.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 8 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 45
0
40.9%
Hunter Mullins punt for 30 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:4458% → 60%
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
41.9%
Tevin King run for 7 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 11:53
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
41.7%
Tevin King run for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 11:53
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+26
41.9%
Tevin King run for 26 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:53
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
41.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+14
41.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Tevin King for 14 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
41.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 9:09
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+12
39.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
15 plays · 63 yds · 4:2740% → 43%
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
40.4%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
40.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 6
OWN 34
0
40.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+17
40.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 17 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
41.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 7 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 3
OPP 42
+1
41.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 2
OPP 41
+8
41.2%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-7
41.4%
Josh Magee run for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 17
OPP 40
0
40.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 17
OPP 40
+18
40.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 18 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:03
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
41.4%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 9:03
2ND & 4
OPP 16
-1
41.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 17Similar
Q1 9:03
3RD & 5
OPP 17
0
41.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Maudrecus HumphreySimilar
Q1 4:36
4TH & 5
OPP 17
+34
42.5%
Ty Long 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 4:1358% → 65%
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+35
42.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 35 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
41.0%
Marlon Seets run for no gain to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+2
41.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q1 4:26
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+16
41.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 16 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+6
40.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the UAB 16Similar
Q1 4:26
2ND & 4
OPP 16
+14
40.5%
Cody Sokol run for 14 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:26
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
-4
40.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 6Similar
Q1 0:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
35.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5MISSED FG
14 plays · 43 yds · 2:5437% → 36%
Q1 0:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+6
36.6%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 35
+10
36.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 10 yds Gerald Everett fumbled, forced by Kentrell Brice, recovered by UAB Jordan Howard for a 1ST down , return for no gain to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
37.6%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 45
0
37.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+4
37.8%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
37.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
37.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Terrell PinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
37.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 41
+12
36.6%
Hunter Mullins pass complete to Nolen Smith for 12 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+1
38.5%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 28Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 28
0
38.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Terrell PinsonSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 28
0
37.8%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
4TH & 9
OPP 28
+45
35.5%
Ty Long 45 yd FG BLOCKED blocked bySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6INT
9 plays · 50 yds · 3:2266% → 67%
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+8
34.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 2
OWN 36
+15
33.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 15 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-1
33.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 11
50
0
33.6%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:11
3RD & 11
50
+17
34.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 17 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+11
33.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 11 yds to the UAB 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 22
0
33.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 12:11
2ND & 10
OPP 22
0
33.5%
Cody Sokol run for no gain to the UAB 22Similar
Q2 8:49
3RD & 10
OPP 22
0
32.6%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Jimmy Jean return for no gain to the UAB 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
7 plays · 80 yds · 2:0234% → 45%
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
33.6%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+21
34.0%
Jordan Howard run for 21 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+17
35.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 17 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
36.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 8:49
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+21
36.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 21 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:49
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
36.5%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
45.3%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 4:5359% → 72%
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
40.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 27Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
40.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 6:47
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
39.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
39.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 17 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+5
38.5%
UAB Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 5
OPP 41
+7
38.2%
Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
37.7%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q2 6:47
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+23
37.4%
Cody Sokol run for 23 yds to the UAB 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
37.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 1:54
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
27.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · -2 yds · 0:1629% → 29%
Q2 1:48
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-3
29.4%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 13
OWN 23
+1
29.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 1 yd to the UAB 24Similar
Q2 1:32
3RD & 12
OWN 24
0
29.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q2 1:32
4TH & 12
OWN 24
+16
29.1%
Hunter Mullins punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 41 , Trent Taylor returns for 16 yds to the LaTch 40 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10FG
13 plays · 53 yds · 1:1272% → 81%
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
27.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Rolan MilliganSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
28.0%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Jarred Craft, broken up by Harris GastonSimilar
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+16
28.3%
Mitch Villemez run for 16 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:12
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+6
27.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 4
OPP 37
+23
25.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Terome Grant for 8 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, roughing passer (Tevin Crews) to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
25.2%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos Henderson, broken up by Devon BrownSimilar
Q2 0:38
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+13
25.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
25.6%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
23.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, delay of game (Cody Sokol) to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 0:08
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
23.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Shaq JonesSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
19.0%
Jonathan Barnes 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:4677% → 77%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
23.3%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 11
OWN 34
0
23.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 34
0
23.0%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 11
OWN 34
0
23.5%
Logan McPherson punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · -15 yds · 1:4523% → 30%
Q3 13:52
1ST & 10
OWN 22
-3
22.9%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 19Similar
Q3 13:52
2ND & 13
OWN 19
0
22.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q3 13:52
3RD & 13
OWN 19
-12
22.4%
Cody Clements sacked by Michael Mims for a loss of 12 yards to the UAB 7Similar
Q3 12:07
4TH & 25
OWN 7
+56
30.1%
Hunter Mullins punt for 34 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain for a TD Trent Taylor fumbled, forced by Jimmy Jean, recovered by UAB Jake Ganus , return for 56 yds, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14FUMBLE
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 7
OPP 30
0
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
Q3 11:56
3RD & 7
OPP 30
+8
36.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 8 yds to the LaTch 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+12
38.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 12 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+5
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
-6
38.0%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 11 Jordan Howard fumbled, recovered by LaTch Vernon ButlerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15PUNT
9 plays · 24 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+8
31.8%
Jarred Craft run for 8 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 2
OWN 19
+15
30.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Jordan Petty) to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
30.1%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+6
30.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Conner Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+6
29.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Conner Smith for 6 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:15
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-2
28.7%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 10:15
2ND & 12
OWN 44
-9
29.7%
Cody Sokol sacked by Alonzo McGee for a loss of 9 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 10:15
3RD & 21
OWN 35
0
32.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 10:15
4TH & 21
OWN 35
+2
33.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 33 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 2 yds to the UAB 33 Jamarcus Nelson fumbled, recovered by LaTch Tony JohnsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16TD
7 plays · 33 yds · 3:1474% → 87%
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+3
25.8%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 7
OPP 30
+11
25.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Conner Smith for 11 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+5
25.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & 5
OPP 14
+5
25.6%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:19
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-3
25.6%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 12Similar
Q3 6:19
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+2
25.9%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the UAB 10Similar
Q3 3:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
13.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0019% → 18%
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+39
18.6%
Jordan Howard run for 39 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:58
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
20.5%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35Similar
Q3 2:58
2ND & 9
OPP 35
0
21.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald Everett, broken up by Mitch VillemezSimilar
Q3 2:58
3RD & 9
OPP 35
-8
19.9%
Cody Clements sacked by Houston Bates and Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 43 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 17
OPP 43
-5
18.3%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Hunter Mullins) to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 2:58
4TH & 22
OPP 48
0
18.3%
Hunter Mullins punt for 48 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18FG
9 plays · 49 yds · 3:5187% → 92%
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
13.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+7
13.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Conner Smith for 7 yds to the LaTch 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
13.3%
Cody Sokol run for 3 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+21
12.7%
Blake Martin run for 21 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+12
11.6%
Blake Martin run for 12 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
11.4%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+3
11.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 3 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 31
0
11.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q4 12:45
4TH & 7
OPP 31
+48
7.9%
Kyle Fischer 48 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0011% → 11%
Q4 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
11.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 3 yds to the UAB 24Similar
Q4 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 24
+3
11.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 12:38
3RD & 4
OWN 27
0
11.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Rodarius HoustonSimilar
Q4 12:38
4TH & 4
OWN 27
+23
11.1%
Hunter Mullins punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LATECH 35 UAB Penalty, kick catching interference (-15 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 12:23
1ST & 10
50
+6
6.7%
Blake Martin run for 6 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 12:23
2ND & 4
OPP 44
0
6.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Marcus Gaines, broken up by Devon BrownSimilar
Q4 12:23
3RD & 4
OPP 44
0
6.9%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 12:23
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
7.6%
Logan McPherson punt for 38 yds, downed at the UAB 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21INT
5 plays · 10 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+7
7.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 7 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 3
OWN 13
+1
7.4%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 10:31
3RD & 2
OWN 14
+2
7.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
7.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 10:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+34
7.3%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for 34 yds to the UAB 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
3 plays · 9 yds · 1:2995% → 99%
Q4 9:11
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
5.0%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 9:11
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
0
5.1%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the UAB 11Similar
Q4 7:42
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
1.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 11 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 7:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 7:26
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
5.3%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the LaTch 27Similar
Q4 7:26
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
5.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Blake Martin, broken up by Alonzo McGeeSimilar
Q4 7:26
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
5.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25DOWNS
12 plays · 58 yds · 3:315% → 3%
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-1
5.4%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 11
OWN 40
+31
5.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 31 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+10
6.5%
Jordan Howard run for 10 yds to the LaTch 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
6.5%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+2
6.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 2 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-5
6.2%
Cody Clements sacked by Kentrell Brice for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 21Similar
Q4 5:43
4TH & 12
OPP 21
+12
5.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 12 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
6.5%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 5:43
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+1
6.5%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 8Similar
Q4 5:43
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
6.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 6 yds to the LaTch 2Similar
Q4 2:12
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
3.4%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the LaTch 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 8 yds · 1:3797% → 99%
Q4 2:07
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+4
2.6%
Marlon Seets run for 4 yds to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 2:07
2ND & 6
OWN 5
0
2.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaTch 5Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+4
1.9%
Blake Martin run for 4 yds to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 0:30
4TH & 2
OWN 9
0
1.4%
Logan McPherson punt for 22 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27END OF GAME
3 plays · -23 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 0:25
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-10
1.3%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to NELSON, JJ, PENALTY UAB holding (SALAKO, Victor) 10 yards to the LATECH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 0:25
1ST & 20
OPP 41
0
1.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Maudrecus Humphrey, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q4 0:25
2ND & 20
OPP 41
-13
1.1%
Cody Clements sacked by Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 44 UAB Penalty, intentional grounding (Cody Clements) to the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:05
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 10 yds for a TD, (Two-Point Conversion failed )
-12.6
TD · Q2 1:54
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-9.8
TD · Q2 6:47
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+8.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com