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2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:34 · Taylor Burch pass complete to Andy McAlindon for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 175Home team on offense+34.0Score differential+30.4Blowout margin+16.9Garbage-time factor+12.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+12.2Pregame prior+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 0:00: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 46 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +4.2 pts (now 44%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:47: Mike Mugler kickoff for 61 yds , Carlos Henderson return for 96 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +6.5 pts (now 63%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 9:44: Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +13.0 pts (now 78%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 0:37: Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +10.9 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 11:40: Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 18 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +6.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 4 of 5WKU made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 12:14WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 15, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.2%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:29LT 4th & 1 at WKU 31, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    62.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    61.7%−0.5
    54% to make
    Punt
    61.5%−0.7
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:25WKU 4th & 15 at WKU 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%−0.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:01WKU 4th & 17 at WKU 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%−0.6
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.2%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:40LT 4th & 9 at WKU 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    64.0%
    47% to make
    Punt
    63.7%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:42WKU 4th & 6 at LT 48, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.9%−0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 9:44WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 33, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.4%−2.2
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.6%
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:26LT 4th & 10 at LT 32, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 79.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.6%−2.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  9. Q2 4:15WKU 4th & 14 at LT 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.7%−2.2
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    18.8%
    84% to make
    Punt
    11.4%−7.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:12WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 37, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.4%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:09WKU 4th & 9 at WKU 17, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 12:30LT 4th & 2 at WKU 46, up 49
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 10:00WKU 4th & 3 at WKU 33, down 49
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:34LT 4th & 6 at WKU 34, up 49
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 4:31WKU 4th & 10 at LT 36, down 49
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%
    42% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 8 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:14LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    60.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    60.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:00WKU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    39.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    39.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:47LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    66.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    66.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:44LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:37LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 11:40LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 8:49LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 4:12LT Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 14:09LT Touchdown, up 48 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1INT
5 plays · 57 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+46
56.0%
Anthony Wales run for 46 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
56.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+7
56.0%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+12
56.0%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Adairius Barnes return for 12 yds to the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
5 plays · 74 yds · 1:3156% → 58%
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+5
56.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 5
OWN 31
+13
56.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
56.2%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:45
2ND & 10
OWN 44
+8
56.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 8 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 2
OPP 48
+48
57.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 48 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q1 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
57.2%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q1 12:14
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
57.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Houston BatesSimilar
Q1 12:14
3RD & 6
OWN 15
0
57.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 12:14
4TH & 6
OWN 15
0
57.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4DOWNS
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4758% → 59%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
58.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Ricardo SinghSimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+1
58.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 9
50
+10
57.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 10 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+4
58.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OPP 36
+5
58.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 1
OPP 31
0
58.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the WKent 31Similar
Q1 8:29
4TH & 1
OPP 31
0
59.0%
Cody Sokol run for no gain to the WKent 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 8:25
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-1
58.6%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 8:25
2ND & 11
OWN 30
+4
58.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 4 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 8:25
3RD & 7
OWN 34
-8
58.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Tony Johnson and Terrell Pinson for a loss of 8 yards to the WKent 26Similar
Q1 8:25
4TH & 15
OWN 26
+20
59.3%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 20 yds to the WKent 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6INT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0060% → 60%
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
60.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+7
60.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Terome Grant for 7 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 3
OPP 36
+8
59.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:01
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+4
60.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 7:01
2ND & 6
OPP 24
0
60.2%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the WKent 24Similar
Q1 7:01
3RD & 6
OPP 24
0
59.9%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Daeshawn Bertram return for no gain to the WKent 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7PUNT
4 plays · -7 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 5:01
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+3
60.1%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q1 5:01
2ND & 7
OWN 16
0
60.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q1 5:01
3RD & 7
OWN 16
-10
60.6%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Houston Bates for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 6Similar
Q1 5:01
4TH & 17
OWN 6
+6
60.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 35 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8FG
4 plays · 1 yds · 1:0162% → 62%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 35
0
62.0%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Terome GrantSimilar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 10
OPP 35
+1
61.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 1 yd to the WKent 34Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
61.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 2:40
4TH & 9
OPP 34
+51
61.9%
Kyle Fischer 51 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 94 yds · 2:4038% → 44%
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+2
61.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 2 yds to the WKent 8Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 8
OWN 8
+19
61.9%
Leon Allen run for 19 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
61.3%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q1 2:40
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+19
61.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 19 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
60.4%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+46
56.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 46 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11INT
3 plays · 2 yds · 0:0038% → 38%
Q2 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
62.4%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 14:47
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+5
62.4%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Adairius Barnes return for 5 yds to the WKent 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · -7 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 13:53
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
64.4%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:53
2ND & 10
OPP 41
-6
64.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 48 Kenneth Dixon fumbled, recovered by WKent Derik OverstreetSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0038% → 37%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
62.5%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 47Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+5
63.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 5 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
62.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 13:42
4TH & 6
OPP 48
0
63.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
6 plays · 84 yds · 2:4064% → 78%
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+17
63.6%
Marcus Gaines run for 2 yds to the LaTch 18 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
63.8%
Marcus Gaines run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 12:24
2ND & 13
OWN 30
+32
63.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 32 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+27
65.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 27 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:24
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+4
65.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the WKent 7Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 6
OPP 7
+7
78.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0025% → 24%
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
75.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 9 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+3
74.2%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
74.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:44
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
74.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 10
OWN 33
0
75.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:44
4TH & 10
OWN 33
0
75.7%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 35 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0078% → 77%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 32
0
78.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 10
OWN 32
0
78.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Jarred CraftSimilar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 10
OWN 32
0
77.6%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:26
4TH & 10
OWN 32
0
77.1%
Logan McPherson punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17FG
11 plays · 54 yds · 3:4825% → 26%
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
75.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 8
OWN 34
+9
75.4%
Leon Allen run for 9 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
75.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 42Similar
Q2 8:03
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
75.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q2 8:03
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+23
76.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 23 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
73.2%
Leon Allen run for 15 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+12
72.9%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the LaTch 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
72.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q2 8:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+2
72.9%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 8:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-8
73.6%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Kentrell Brice for a loss of 8 yards to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 4:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 14
+31
73.6%
Garrett Schwettman 31 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 3:3873% → 92%
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
73.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 21Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+2
73.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 8
OWN 23
+5
72.6%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete to TURNER, Paul, PENALTY WKU offside 5 yards to the LATECH28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:15
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+15
72.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 15 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-10
74.7%
DIXON,Kenneth rush for no gain to the LATECH43 (GARDNER, Juwan), PENALTY LATECH holding (WIXSON, Kirby) 10 yards to the LATECH33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 20
OWN 33
+14
73.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 14 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 6
OWN 47
+5
74.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q2 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
75.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 6 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 4:15
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+10
75.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 10 yds to the WKent 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
92.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19END OF HALF
8 plays · 11 yds · 0:1712% → 12%
Q2 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
87.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 8 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 2
OPP 44
0
86.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 2
OPP 44
+3
87.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 3 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OPP 41
0
87.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete, broken up by Tony JohnsonSimilar
Q2 0:20
2ND & 10
OPP 41
0
87.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q2 0:20
3RD & 10
OPP 41
0
87.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNeal, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
11 plays · 86 yds · 3:2091% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+9
91.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 23
+4
91.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+12
91.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 12 yds to the LaTch 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
91.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 18 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
91.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 43
0
91.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 43
+13
91.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 13 yds to the WKent 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+5
92.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 5 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 25
+7
92.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the WKent 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+18
98.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 18 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
6 plays · 19 yds · 2:5199% → 99%
Q3 11:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
98.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+5
98.6%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the WKent 15Similar
Q3 11:40
2ND & 6
OPP 15
+5
98.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q3 11:40
3RD & 1
OPP 10
+1
98.4%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the WKent 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
0
98.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the WKent 9Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
99.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds for a TD WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q3 8:49
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+15
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 15 yds to the WKent 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:49
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-2
99.0%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 8:49
2ND & 12
OWN 40
+15
99.1%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted for a 1ST down Le'Vander Liggins return for no gain to the WKent 40 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the WKent 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -10 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q3 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+5
99.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Tevin King for 5 yds to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 5
OPP 12
-5
99.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 6:51
2ND & 10
OPP 17
-10
99.3%
Cody Sokol sacked by T.J. Smith for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 27 Cody Sokol fumbled, recovered by WKent , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25INT
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
99.4%
Darmontre Warr run for 4 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 5:36
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
99.4%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Le'Vander Liggins return for no gain to the WKent 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26TD
2 plays · 25 yds · 0:42100% → 100%
Q3 4:54
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+14
99.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 14 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
99.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 11 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
99.5%
Darmontre Warr run for 4 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 4:12
2ND & 6
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for no gain to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 4:12
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:12
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
99.5%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28TD
9 plays · 69 yds · 3:28100% → 100%
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.6%
Tevin King run for 5 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 5
OWN 36
+24
99.6%
Blake Martin run for 24 yds to the WKent 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-3
99.6%
Tevin King run for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 13
OPP 43
+20
99.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Terome Grant for 20 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:37
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+9
99.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Marlon Watts for 9 yds to the WKent 14Similar
Q3 2:37
2ND & 1
OPP 14
+2
99.6%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the WKent 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+6
99.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Jarred Craft for 6 yds to the WKent 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 6
+3
99.8%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the WKent 3Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 1
OPP 3
+3
99.8%
Cody Sokol run for 3 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 29PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:09
4TH & 9
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 47 ydsSimilar
Q4 14:09
1ST & 10
OWN 16
-3
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 13Similar
Q4 14:09
2ND & 13
OWN 13
+4
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 14:09
3RD & 9
OWN 17
0
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Taywan TaylorSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 37Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 9
OWN 37
+9
99.8%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Marlon Watts for 9 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 7 yds to the WKent 47Similar
Q4 12:30
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+1
99.8%
Ryan Higgins run for 1 yd to the WKent 46Similar
Q4 12:30
3RD & 2
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Taylor Burch pass incomplete to Tevin KingSimilar
Q4 12:30
4TH & 2
OPP 46
0
99.8%
Logan McPherson punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Willie McNeal at the WKent 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 2 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 8
OWN 17
+9
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 9 yds to the WKent 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q4 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+4
99.9%
Darmontre Warr run for 4 yds to the WKent 30Similar
Q4 10:00
3RD & 6
OWN 30
+3
99.9%
Brandon Doughty run for 3 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 10:00
4TH & 3
OWN 33
0
99.9%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Marcus Gaines at the LaTch 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 32DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Blake Martin run for 10 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+21
99.9%
Taylor Burch pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 21 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-10
99.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 10 yards to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 7:34
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 7:34
3RD & 20
OPP 48
+14
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to DeJuawn Oliver for 14 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 7:34
4TH & 6
OPP 34
-1
99.9%
Taylor Burch pass complete to Andy McAlindon for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 33DOWNS
9 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-4
100.0%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 14
OWN 31
+3
100.0%
Troy Jones run for 3 yds to the WKent 34Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 11
OWN 34
+11
100.0%
Troy Jones pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Troy Jones pass complete to Willie McNeal for no gain to the WKent 45Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 10
OWN 45
+19
100.0%
Troy Jones run for 19 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
100.0%
Troy Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 4:31
2ND & 8
OPP 34
-2
100.0%
Darmontre Warr run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 4:31
3RD & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Troy Jones pass incomplete to Darmontre Warr, broken up by Roland DunnSimilar
Q4 4:31
4TH & 10
OPP 36
0
100.0%
Troy Jones pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Roland DunnSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 34END OF GAME
3 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+8
100.0%
Kentrell Brice run for 8 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 44
+18
100.0%
Dillon Williams run for 3 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
100.0%
Kentrell Brice run for 8 yds to the WKent 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 9:44
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
+13
TD · Q2 0:37
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
+10.9
TD · Q3 11:40
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 18 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
+6.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com