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RICE

Rice 31 at Florida International 17

FIU
2014 · Week 10 · Nov 1, 2014 · FIU Stadium
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Win probability · FIU
modelFIU aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playFIU scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 9:42 · James Farrimond punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaIn 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 145Home team on offense−34.8Pregame prior−2.6Score differential−17.3Garbage-time factor−10.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−8.3Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:12: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 63 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +5.2 pts (now 72%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 1:17: Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +4.3 pts (now 32%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 10:01: Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +8.4 pts (now 42%) (top driver: Not a blowout margin).
  4. TD · Q2 8:57: Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 69 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +6.5 pts (now 68%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:25: Luke Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +14.8 pts (now 94%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FIU made the numbers' call on 7 of 8RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 14:27FIU 4th & 10 at FIU 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.2%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:50RICE 4th & 7 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 68.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.4%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    68.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    67.2%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:50FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 38, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.1%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    31.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 13:28RICE 4th & 3 at RICE 35, up 10
    Close callPunted · 68.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.3%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    69.2%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 1:27FIU 4th & 4 at RICE 4, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 27.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.7%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    26.2%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    21.8%−4.8
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00RICE 4th & 9 at FIU 43, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.9%−0.4
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    71.0%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 10:32FIU 4th & 12 at FIU 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.7%−2.8
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 4:55RICE 4th & 1 at FIU 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    74.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    71.6%−2.8
    72% to make
    Punt
    63.5%−10.8
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:48FIU 4th & 1 at FIU 48, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 31.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    32.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    28.4%−3.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:25RICE 4th & 10 at FIU 25, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 75.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.5%−0.7
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    75.3%
    66% to make
    Punt
    68.1%−7.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 15:00FIU 4th & 21 at FIU 14, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.5%−5.6
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    26.2%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:25FIU 4th & 17 at FIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.0%−1.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:42RICE 4th & 9 at RICE 40, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 93.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.3%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.0%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:29FIU 4th & 6 at FIU 18, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.0%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 3:52RICE 4th & 10 at FIU 42, up 14
    Close callPunted · 96.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.0%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    95.7%−0.3
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 2:11RICE 4th & 10 at FIU 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 96.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    96.6%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    96.4%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    96.6%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FIU made the numbers' call on 2 of 2RICE made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 14:27RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    68.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    68.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:12RICE Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    72.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    72.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 1:17FIU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:01FIU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:57RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    70.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    70.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 11:25RICE Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    86.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.9%−0.4
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1FUMBLE
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
34.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
34.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
-6
34.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 19 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by Rice Zach Patt , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2TD
2 plays · 19 yds · 0:0066% → 66%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
34.0%
Jowan Davis run for 19 yds for a TDSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
34.0%
Jowan Davis 19 Yd Run (James Farrimond Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
34.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
34.0%
Clinton Taylor run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 33Similar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
34.0%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
34.0%
Anthon Samuel run for no gain to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 14:27
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
34.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:27
3RD & 10
OWN 35
0
34.0%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 14:27
4TH & 10
OWN 35
0
34.0%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 26 yds, downed at the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4FG
8 plays · 39 yds · 3:1366% → 67%
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
34.0%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 44
0
33.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by Wilkenson MyrtilSimilar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 5
OWN 44
+12
34.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 12 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
33.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:03
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
33.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q1 12:03
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
33.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q1 12:03
3RD & 10
OPP 25
+3
33.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 3 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+40
33.4%
James Farrimond 40 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 13 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
34.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 11
OWN 24
+6
34.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Akil Dan-Fodio for 6 yds to the FlaIn 30Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
33.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:50
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+6
34.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-5
34.4%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Jonnu Smith) to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 8:50
2ND & 9
OWN 38
0
34.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for no gain to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q1 8:50
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
34.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Ryan PollardSimilar
Q1 8:50
4TH & 9
OWN 38
0
33.7%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 48 yds, downed at the Rice 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
7 plays · 86 yds · 1:3366% → 72%
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-1
33.8%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 13Similar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 11
OWN 13
0
33.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 11
OWN 13
+5
34.1%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to MAYDEN, James, PENALTY FIU O (GLANTON, Josh) 5 yards to the RICE18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:45
3RD & 6
OWN 18
+19
34.0%
Darik Dillard run for 19 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
33.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
33.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 4:12
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+63
28.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 63 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5528% → 32%
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
28.2%
Alex McGough run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:12
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
28.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+6
28.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:10
1ST & 10
OWN 49
-5
28.5%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 3:10
2ND & 15
OWN 44
+4
28.0%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q1 1:17
3RD & 11
OWN 48
+52
32.3%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 52 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 2:4967% → 67%
Q1 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+3
32.8%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q1 1:17
2ND & 7
OWN 18
+10
32.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 10 yds to the Rice 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
32.2%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 30
-6
32.2%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Demarkus Perkins for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 24Similar
Q2 13:28
3RD & 14
OWN 24
+11
33.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 11 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q2 13:28
4TH & 3
OWN 35
0
32.9%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlaIn 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 73 yds · 2:2631% → 42%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 27
0
31.3%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 10
OWN 27
+11
31.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
31.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+1
32.1%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 6
OWN 42
+49
31.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 49 yds to the Rice 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-2
33.4%
Alex McGough run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 11Similar
Q2 10:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 11
+11
41.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10TD
3 plays · 72 yds · 1:0462% → 68%
Q2 10:01
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
38.1%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+69
31.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 69 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11FG
19 plays · 61 yds · 7:3031% → 34%
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
30.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 6 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
31.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Richard Burrows, broken up by V.J. BanksSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
31.6%
Alex McGough run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+4
31.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+1
31.5%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+10
31.0%
Alex McGough pass complete to Richard Burrows for 10 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
32.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q2 8:57
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+2
32.1%
Anthon Samuel run for 2 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 8:57
3RD & 2
OPP 34
+3
32.2%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
32.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 10 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:57
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+8
32.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 8 yds to the Rice 13Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & 2
OPP 13
+6
33.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the Rice 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:03
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-1
33.9%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 8Similar
Q2 5:03
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+4
33.9%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the Rice 4Similar
Q2 5:03
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
32.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Richard Burrows, broken up by Julius WhiteSimilar
Q2 1:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+22
33.7%
Austin Taylor 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12END OF HALF
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
30.4%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 1:27
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
29.5%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:27
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
29.8%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
30.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 9 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-1
29.0%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+13
29.5%
Darik Dillard run for 13 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+10
28.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
27.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 43
0
27.9%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 43
0
28.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 43
0
29.8%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds, downed at the FlaIn 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -2 yds · 0:0031% → 29%
Q3 10:32
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+7
30.5%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 3
OWN 16
-5
30.9%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 11Similar
Q3 10:32
2ND & 8
OWN 11
-7
30.7%
Alex McGough sacked by Brian Nordstrom for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 4Similar
Q3 10:32
3RD & 15
OWN 4
+3
29.3%
Lamarq Caldwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 7Similar
Q3 10:32
4TH & 12
OWN 7
-2
28.8%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 54 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15DOWNS
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:0573% → 73%
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
27.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
0
27.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+10
28.6%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, Defensive holding (Wilkenson Myrtil) to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-10
26.3%
RICE Penalty, Offensive holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 37Similar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 20
OWN 37
0
28.4%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to Darik Dillard, broken up by Darrian DysonSimilar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 20
OWN 37
+32
28.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 32 yds to the FlaIn 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:00
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
25.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+3
25.4%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q3 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 24
+2
26.1%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q3 4:55
4TH & 1
OPP 22
0
27.1%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16DOWNS
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0031% → 34%
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
31.3%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+14
31.9%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:48
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
32.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q3 4:48
2ND & 7
OWN 42
0
34.2%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q3 4:48
3RD & 7
OWN 42
+6
31.9%
Alex McGough run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 48Similar
Q3 4:48
4TH & 1
OWN 48
-1
33.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 17MISSED FG
7 plays · 22 yds · 1:5975% → 74%
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
24.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+11
24.8%
Jowan Davis run for 11 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+11
24.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 11 yds to the FlaIn 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:24
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
23.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 2:24
2ND & 10
OPP 25
0
24.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 2:24
3RD & 10
OPP 25
0
24.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke TurnerSimilar
Q3 0:25
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
26.4%
James Farrimond 42 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:2529% → 27%
Q3 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
28.9%
Alex McGough pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
28.7%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 28Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-14
27.5%
Alex McGough sacked by Brian Nordstrom for a loss of 14 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 14
0
26.6%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the FlaIn 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19TD
6 plays · 46 yds · 2:4579% → 94%
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+8
21.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 8 yds to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 14:10
2ND & 2
OPP 38
0
21.1%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 38Similar
Q4 14:10
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+14
21.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 14 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+21
20.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 21 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
20.6%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 1Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
5.8%
Luke Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0012% → 12%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
12.0%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Jonnu Smith) to the FlaIn 20Similar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
11.8%
Alex McGough run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q4 11:25
2ND & 12
OWN 23
0
11.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Richard BurrowsSimilar
Q4 11:25
3RD & 12
OWN 23
-8
11.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 18 Alex McGough fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 11:25
4TH & 17
OWN 18
0
11.6%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 43 yds, downed at the Rice 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
5.0%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 44Similar
Q4 9:42
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+2
4.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q4 9:42
3RD & 3
OWN 46
-6
5.2%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Denzell Perine and Michael Wakefield for a loss of 6 yards to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 9:42
4TH & 9
OWN 40
0
5.4%
James Farrimond punt for 46 yds, downed at the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 7:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
6.8%
Napoleon Maxwell run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 19Similar
Q4 7:29
2ND & 5
OWN 19
-1
6.8%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Malcolm Hill for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 18Similar
Q4 7:29
3RD & 6
OWN 18
0
6.7%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Napoleon Maxwell, broken up by Brian NordstromSimilar
Q4 7:29
4TH & 6
OWN 18
0
6.6%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 35 yds, downed at the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 11 yds · 2:0996% → 97%
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
3.7%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 6:01
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+6
3.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q4 6:01
3RD & 2
OPP 45
+3
3.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:01
1ST & 10
OPP 42
0
3.7%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 3:52
2ND & 10
OPP 42
0
2.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:52
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
2.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q4 3:52
4TH & 10
OPP 42
0
2.7%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 26 yds · 0:003% → 4%
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
3.2%
E.J. Hilliard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+20
3.1%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 20 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:34
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
3.4%
E.J. Hilliard pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q4 3:34
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+7
3.4%
E.J. Hilliard pass complete to Clinton Taylor for 7 yds to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q4 3:34
3RD & 3
OWN 49
-4
3.5%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 4 yards to the FlaIn 46 E.J. Hilliard fumbled, recovered by Rice Ross Winship , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25PUNT
7 plays · 0 yds · 0:1498% → 98%
Q4 2:25
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
2.1%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+3
1.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q4 2:11
3RD & 7
OPP 43
+2
1.9%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 5
OPP 41
-5
2.0%
RICE Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the FlaIn 46Similar
Q4 2:11
4TH & 10
OPP 46
0
2.0%
James Farrimond punt for 46 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 26END OF GAME
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 1:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-6
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 14Similar
Q4 1:10
2ND & 16
OWN 14
+2
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 16Similar
Q4 1:10
3RD & 14
OWN 16
-11
1.2%
E.J. Hilliard sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 11 yards to the FlaIn 5Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:25
Luke Turner run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
-14.8
TD · Q2 10:01
Napoleon Maxwell run for 11 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)
+8.4
TD · Q2 8:57
Driphus Jackson pass complete to James Mayden for 69 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com