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UTEP

UTEP 34 at UTSA 0

UTSA
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDFGTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 7:52 · Kristian Stern punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the TexSA 38
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+53.5+26.80−26.8−53.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 62Home team on offense−10.3Score differential−4.9Pregame prior+14.5Garbage-time factor−2.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:19: Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 40 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +5.9 pts (now 38%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 3:00: Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +5.8 pts (now 65%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q2 1:08: Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26 — UTEP win probability +8.5 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. KEY PLAY · Q3 2:04: Timeout UTEP, clock 02:04 — UTEP win probability +8.1 pts (now 89%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:57: Aaron Jones run for 24 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +7.6 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 9 of 12UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 15:00UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 31, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.7%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:54UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 32, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    73.1%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    73.1%
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:55UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 36, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 27.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:02UTSA 4th & 6 at UTSA 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    71.3%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.4%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:35UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 25, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.5%−0.9
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:48UTEP 4th & 13 at UTEP 38, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.2%−1.2
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    37.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 36, down 14
    Close callPunted · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 14:39UTEP 4th & 2 at UTEP 36, up 14
    Close callPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.4%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q2 11:55UTSA 4th & 11 at UTSA 5, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 55.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.2%−1.6
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    55.8%
    average punt
  10. Q2 9:57UTEP 4th & 9 at UTSA 49, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 46.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.1%−1.0
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    47.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 7:52UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 4, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.0%−1.7
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.7%
    average punt
  12. Q2 3:00UTEP 4th & 2 at UTSA 2, up 14
    Numbers favored go for it by 2.0 ptsKicked a field goal · 55.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    52.7%−2.0
    94% to make
    Punt
    44.8%−10.0
    average punt
  13. Q2 3:00UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 35, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    41.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 15:00UTEP 4th & 12 at UTEP 43, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.4%−3.4
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%
    average punt
  15. Q3 10:49UTSA 4th & 3 at UTSA 9, down 17
    Close callPunted · 29.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.7%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    29.0%−0.7
    average punt
  16. Q3 9:20UTEP 4th & 8 at UTSA 47, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 73.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%−0.8
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    74.9%
    average punt
  17. Q3 7:17UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 14, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 24.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.6%−0.3
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    24.9%
    average punt
  18. Q3 0:03UTEP 4th & 13 at UTSA 29, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.3
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    94.3%−1.0
    average punt
  19. Q4 14:46UTSA 4th & 13 at UTSA 44, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 12:59UTEP 4th & 10 at UTEP 10, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.9%
    average punt
  21. Q4 10:33UTSA 4th & 7 at UTEP 31, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    0.4%
    54% to make
    Punt
    0.4%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:54UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    26.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    26.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 4:19UTEP Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:57UTEP Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 14:46UTEP Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0073% → 73%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+4
72.8%
Austin Robinson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 31
0
72.8%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kam JonesSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 31
+1
72.8%
Kristian Stern punt for 51 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UTEP 9 , Damian Payne returns for 1 yd to the UTEP 32 UTEP Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the UTEP 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 2TD
5 plays · 91 yds · 1:5627% → 29%
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+8
72.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Katrae Ford for 8 yds to the UTEP 17Similar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 2
OWN 17
+3
72.6%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the UTEP 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:50
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
72.6%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:50
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+5
72.6%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 25Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+75
71.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jaquan White for 75 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 7 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q1 11:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
71.3%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (Marcellus Mack) to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 11:54
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
71.3%
Brandon Armstrong run for 5 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 11:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
71.3%
Kam Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 11:54
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+1
71.2%
Austin Robinson run for 1 yd to the TexSA 32Similar
Q1 11:54
4TH & 3
OWN 32
0
71.2%
Kristian Stern punt for 35 yds, downed at the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0030% → 30%
Q1 9:55
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
70.1%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:55
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+3
70.1%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 36Similar
Q1 9:55
3RD & 7
OWN 36
0
70.1%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jaquan WhiteSimilar
Q1 9:55
4TH & 7
OWN 36
0
70.3%
Jay Mattox punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0070% → 70%
Q1 9:02
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+4
69.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 9:02
2ND & 6
OWN 28
0
69.9%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 9:02
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
69.7%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 9:02
4TH & 6
OWN 28
0
69.5%
Kristian Stern punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 6TD
7 plays · 66 yds · 3:1432% → 38%
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+16
68.4%
Jameill Showers run for 16 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
50
+6
68.0%
Josh Bell run for 6 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+5
68.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 5 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:33
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
68.0%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:33
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+4
68.0%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q1 7:33
3RD & 6
OPP 35
-5
68.1%
UTEP Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 40Similar
Q1 4:19
3RD & 11
OPP 40
+40
62.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 40 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:4464% → 61%
Q1 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
63.8%
Brandon Armstrong run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 4:19
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
63.8%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kam JonesSimilar
Q1 3:35
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-3
61.4%
Austin Robinson sacked by Silas Firstley for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 3:35
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+16
61.3%
Kristian Stern punt for 50 yds , Damian Payne returns for 16 yds to the UTEP 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · -3 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 2:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
60.0%
Darrin Laufasa run for 1 yd to the UTEP 42Similar
Q1 2:48
2ND & 9
OWN 42
-4
60.1%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 2:48
3RD & 13
OWN 38
0
60.6%
Jameill Showers pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:48
4TH & 13
OWN 38
+4
61.0%
Jay Mattox punt for 46 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for 4 yds to the TexSA 29 Kenny Harrison fumbled, forced by LaQuintus Dowell, recovered by TexSA Cole Hubble , return for 4 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:0659% → 58%
Q1 1:06
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
59.2%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
59.2%
David Glasco II run for 5 yds to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 36
0
58.5%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 36Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
58.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 52 yds , Damian Payne returns for no gain to the UTEP 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 24 yds · 0:0043% → 43%
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+16
57.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 16 yds to the UTEP 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:39
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+2
56.8%
Josh Bell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 14:39
2ND & 8
OWN 30
+5
56.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 5 yds to the UTEP 35Similar
Q2 14:39
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+1
57.0%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 36Similar
Q2 14:39
4TH & 2
OWN 36
0
57.2%
Jay Mattox punt for 58 yds, downed at the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 11:55
1ST & 10
OWN 6
+4
52.8%
David Glasco II run for 4 yds to the TexSA 10Similar
Q2 11:55
2ND & 6
OWN 10
+2
53.2%
Brandon Armstrong run for 2 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 11:55
3RD & 4
OWN 12
-7
52.9%
Austin Robinson sacked by Devin Cockrell for a loss of 7 yards to the TexSA 5Similar
Q2 11:55
4TH & 11
OWN 5
0
52.5%
Kristian Stern punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0050% → 49%
Q2 9:57
1ST & 10
50
+4
49.7%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 9:57
2ND & 6
OPP 46
+2
49.8%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 9:57
3RD & 4
OPP 44
-5
50.0%
Jameill Showers sacked by Cody Rogers for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 9:57
4TH & 9
OPP 49
0
50.9%
Jay Mattox punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 6Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q2 7:52
1ST & 10
OWN 6
-2
47.3%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 7:52
2ND & 12
OWN 4
0
47.2%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 7:52
3RD & 12
OWN 4
0
46.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Jarveon Williams for no gain to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 7:52
4TH & 12
OWN 4
0
46.9%
Kristian Stern punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the TexSA 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14FG
7 plays · 36 yds · 2:5756% → 65%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+28
44.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 28 yds to the TexSA 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
-10
43.9%
Showers crossing pass incomplete to Tomlinson (Sanchez), PENALTY UTEP holding (Hernandez) 10 yards to the UTSA20, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 5:57
1ST & GOAL
OPP 20
+2
44.1%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 18
+6
44.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 6 yds to the TexSA 12Similar
Q2 5:57
3RD & GOAL
OPP 12
+10
44.5%
Jameill Showers run for 10 yds to the TexSA 2Similar
Q2 3:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 2
+20
35.3%
Jay Mattox 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+9
39.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 9 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 1
OWN 27
0
40.0%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny HarrisonSimilar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+3
39.5%
David Glasco II run for 3 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
39.4%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Marcellus Mack, broken up by Adrian JamesSimilar
Q2 3:00
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+5
39.1%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kam Jones for 5 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q2 3:00
3RD & 5
OWN 35
0
39.7%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny HarrisonSimilar
Q2 3:00
4TH & 5
OWN 35
0
39.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
30.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 1:08
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+2
30.7%
Josh Bell run for 2 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:0067% → 66%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+7
33.1%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OWN 31
-1
32.7%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 30
+15
33.4%
Jameill Showers run for 15 yds to the UTEP 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
31.6%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 48
-1
31.6%
Jameill Showers run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 47Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 8
OWN 47
-4
31.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 43Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 43
0
33.6%
Jay Mattox punt for 55 yds, downed at the TexSA 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0028% → 28%
Q3 10:49
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
28.0%
David Glasco II run for 3 yds to the TexSA 5Similar
Q3 10:49
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
27.8%
Austin Robinson run for 4 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 10:49
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
27.8%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Aaron GrubbSimilar
Q3 10:49
4TH & 3
OWN 9
0
27.8%
Kristian Stern punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the TexSA 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0077% → 75%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-5
23.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+2
23.9%
Jameill Showers run for 2 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q3 9:20
3RD & 13
OWN 48
+5
24.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 5 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 9:20
4TH & 8
OPP 47
0
25.2%
Jay Mattox punt for 39 yds , Ishmael Harrison returns for no gain to the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q3 7:17
1ST & 10
OWN 8
-4
23.3%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (Cody Harris) to the TexSA 4Similar
Q3 7:17
1ST & 14
OWN 4
0
23.3%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny BiasSimilar
Q3 7:17
2ND & 14
OWN 4
+10
23.1%
Austin Robinson run for 10 yds to the TexSA 14Similar
Q3 7:17
3RD & 4
OWN 14
0
23.5%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Marcellus MackSimilar
Q3 7:17
4TH & 4
OWN 14
0
23.4%
Kristian Stern punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Damian Payne at the UTEP 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
10 plays · 55 yds · 4:1681% → 97%
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+1
19.3%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 9
OWN 46
0
19.3%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 9
OWN 46
+15
19.8%
TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (Robert Singletary) to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 39
-3
19.1%
Jameill Showers sacked by Cody Rogers for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 42Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 13
OPP 42
+3
19.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q3 6:13
3RD & 10
OPP 39
+12
19.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 12 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:13
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
18.5%
Josh Bell run for no gain to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 6:13
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+3
19.0%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 7
OPP 24
+24
3.3%
Aaron Jones run for 24 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 22FUMBLE
2 plays · 1 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
6.4%
Brandon Armstrong run for no gain to the TexSA 26 Brandon Armstrong fumbled, forced by Nick Gathrite, recovered by UTEP Kelvin Fisher Jr.Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23FG
6 plays · -3 yds · 1:4497% → 98%
Q3 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
3.2%
Nathan Jeffery run for 1 yd to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 25
0
3.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 9
OPP 25
-5
3.2%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Will Hernandez) to the TexSA 30Similar
Q3 1:47
3RD & 14
OPP 30
+6
3.2%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 1:47
4TH & 8
OPP 24
-5
3.7%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 29Similar
Q3 0:03
4TH & 13
OPP 29
+47
2.3%
Jay Mattox 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 24INT TD
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:175% → 1%
Q3 0:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
5.2%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 1 yd to the TexSA 26Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
4.9%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Aaron GrubbSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
-5
4.9%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (William Cavanaugh) to the TexSA 21Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 14
OWN 21
+19
0.7%
Austin Robinson pass intercepted for a TD Jimmy Musgrave return for 19 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
0.8%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 14:46
2ND & 9
OWN 48
-4
0.8%
Brandon Armstrong run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 44Similar
Q4 14:46
3RD & 13
OWN 44
0
0.7%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Marcellus MackSimilar
Q4 14:46
4TH & 13
OWN 44
0
0.7%
Kristian Stern punt for 46 yds, downed at the UTEP 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 26PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
0.8%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 12Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 8
OWN 12
-2
0.8%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 10
OWN 10
0
0.8%
Jameill Showers run for no gain to the UTEP 10Similar
Q4 12:59
4TH & 10
OWN 10
0
0.9%
Jay Mattox punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Ishmael Harrison at the TexSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27DOWNS
6 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+9
0.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kam Jones for 9 yds to the UTEP 43Similar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 1
OPP 43
+9
0.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Cole Hubble for 9 yds to the UTEP 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:33
1ST & 10
OPP 34
-5
0.4%
Kam Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 39 Kam Jones fumbled, forced by Nick Gathrite, recovered by TexSA Kam JonesSimilar
Q4 10:33
2ND & 15
OPP 39
0
0.4%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Marcellus MackSimilar
Q4 10:33
3RD & 15
OPP 39
+8
0.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to N/A for 8 yds to the UTEP 31Similar
Q4 10:33
4TH & 7
OPP 31
-8
0.4%
Austin Robinson sacked by Jameel Erving for a loss of 8 yards to the UTEP 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 28END OF GAME
11 plays · 47 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.3%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+5
0.3%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
50
+2
0.3%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+3
0.3%
Josh Bell run for 3 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 5
OPP 45
+6
0.3%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
0.3%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the TexSA 38Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 9
OPP 38
+12
0.3%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds to the TexSA 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
0.3%
Josh Bell run for 4 yds to the TexSA 22Similar
Q4 7:53
2ND & 6
OPP 22
+5
0.3%
Darrin Laufasa run for 5 yds to the TexSA 17Similar
Q4 7:53
3RD & 1
OPP 17
+5
0.3%
Darrin Laufasa run for 5 yds to the TexSA 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:53
1ST & 10
OPP 12
-2
0.3%
Team run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
KEY PLAY · Q2 1:08
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26
-8.5
KEY PLAY · Q3 2:04
Timeout UTEP, clock 02:04
-8.1
TD · Q3 1:57
Aaron Jones run for 24 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-7.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com