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UAB

UAB 17 at Arkansas 45

ARK
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Razorback Stadium
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Win probability · ARK
modelARK aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playARK scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGFGTDTDTDEnd of GameFG—ARK 99.5%Adam McFain 49 yd FG GOODAWAY 0 - HOME 38 · Q3 13:18
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 13:18 · Adam McFain 49 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+43.5+21.80−21.8−43.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 91Pregame prior+25.3Home team on offense+26.0Score differential+24.0Blowout margin+11.3Garbage-time factor+7.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+8.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 11:48: Jonathan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK) — ARK win probability +0.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:12: Alex Collins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK) — ARK win probability +1.2 pts (now 93%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 14:52: Brandon Allen pass complete to Jonathan Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK) — ARK win probability +1.7 pts (now 95%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 9:11: Sebastian Tretola pass complete to Alan D'Appollonio for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK) — ARK win probability +1.4 pts (now 98%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:58: Kody Walker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK) — ARK win probability +0.1 pts (now 99%) (top driver: ARK has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ARK made the numbers' call on 4 of 7UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 9
  1. Q1 10:16UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 35, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.6%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.7%
    average punt
  2. Q1 4:03UAB 4th & 1 at UAB 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    8.9%−0.4
    average punt
  3. Q2 12:51UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 43, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.3
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.7%
    average punt
  4. Q2 9:11ARK 4th & 6 at UAB 6, up 21
    Close callWent for it · 95.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    95.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    95.2%
    91% to make
    Punt
    93.2%−2.0
    average punt
  5. Q2 4:27UAB 4th & 9 at ARK 38, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.3%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.2%−0.2
    38% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.3
    average punt
  6. Q3 13:18ARK 4th & 9 at UAB 32, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.3%
    51% to make
    Punt
    99.2%−0.1
    average punt
  7. Q3 11:00UAB 4th & 8 at ARK 43, down 38
    Close callPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.5%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 9:18ARK 4th & 3 at ARK 9, up 38
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.6%−<0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:53ARK 4th & 5 at ARK 25, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.7%
    average punt
  10. Q3 4:21UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 25, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:33ARK 4th & 1 at ARK 34, up 35
    Close callPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:02UAB 4th & 12 at UAB 23, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−0.2
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:33UAB 4th & 3 at ARK 3, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.2%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.2%−0.4
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:39ARK 4th & 8 at ARK 27, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
  15. Q4 5:47UAB 4th & 5 at UAB 40, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  16. Q4 3:23ARK 4th & 4 at ARK 26, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ARK made the numbers' call on 6 of 6UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 11:48ARK Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 5:12ARK Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52ARK Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 9:11ARK Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:58ARK Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 2:57ARK Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 2:44UAB Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:42UAB Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ARKDrive 1TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 2:5793% → 93%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
93.2%
Jonathan Williams run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
93.0%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Keon HatcherSimilar
Q1 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+14
93.0%
Jonathan Williams run for 14 yds to the Ark 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+44
92.9%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Drew Morgan for 44 yds to the UAB 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
92.8%
Jonathan Williams run for 9 yds to the UAB 9Similar
Q1 12:06
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+6
92.6%
Jonathan Williams run for 6 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.9%
Jonathan Williams run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 1:217% → 7%
Q1 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
92.7%
Josh Magee run for 12 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-1
92.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Kennard Backman for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 10:41
2ND & 11
OWN 36
-1
92.5%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 35Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 12
OWN 35
0
92.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q1 10:16
4TH & 12
OWN 35
+8
92.6%
Hunter Mullins punt for 45 yds , D.J. Dean returns for 8 yds to the Ark 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 3TD
11 plays · 72 yds · 4:5393% → 93%
Q1 10:05
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+4
92.6%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 32Similar
Q1 9:28
2ND & 6
OWN 32
+7
92.5%
Alex Collins run for 7 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:12
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
92.5%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to AJ DerbySimilar
Q1 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+4
92.4%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q1 7:55
3RD & 6
OWN 43
+14
92.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 14 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:43
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
92.4%
Jonathan Williams run for no gain to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 7:07
2ND & 10
OPP 43
+18
92.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 18 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+11
92.3%
Alex Collins run for 11 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:06
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
92.2%
Jonathan Williams run for 1 yd to the UAB 13Similar
Q1 5:34
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+10
92.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Patrick Arinze for 10 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:12
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
93.3%
Alex Collins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:547% → 7%
Q1 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
92.7%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for 6 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q1 4:37
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+1
92.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 4:11
3RD & 3
OWN 43
+2
92.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 4:03
4TH & 1
OWN 45
0
92.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for no gain to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 5TD
9 plays · 45 yds · 3:5693% → 95%
Q1 3:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
93.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jonathan Williams for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+9
93.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 9 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 5
OPP 40
+11
93.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 11 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+3
93.5%
Jonathan Williams run for 3 yds to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 1:06
2ND & 7
OPP 26
+17
93.5%
Jonathan Williams run for 17 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-12
93.5%
Brandon Allen sacked by Jake Ganus for a loss of 12 yards to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 21
+4
93.4%
Jonathan Williams run for 4 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 14:52
3RD & GOAL
OPP 17
+17
95.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jonathan Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 1:425% → 4%
Q2 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+16
95.3%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 16 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+6
95.2%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 14:00
2ND & 4
OWN 49
+3
95.1%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q2 13:13
3RD & 1
OPP 48
-4
95.2%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 13:00
4TH & 5
OWN 48
-5
95.5%
UAB Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the UAB 43Similar
Q2 12:51
4TH & 10
OWN 43
0
95.6%
Hunter Mullins punt for 49 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 7TD
9 plays · 92 yds · 3:2796% → 98%
Q2 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+9
95.8%
Alex Collins run for 9 yds to the Ark 17Similar
Q2 12:01
2ND & 1
OWN 17
+23
95.9%
Alex Collins run for 23 yds to the Ark 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:36
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+20
96.1%
Brandon Allen pass complete to AJ Derby for 20 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:05
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+31
96.2%
Jonathan Williams run for 31 yds to the UAB 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-1
96.3%
Alex Collins run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 10Similar
Q2 9:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.7%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 9:15
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
96.7%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Kendrick Edwards, broken up by Jimmy JeanSimilar
Q2 9:11
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
98.2%
Sebastian Tretola pass complete to Alan D'Appollonio for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8DOWNS
15 plays · 50 yds · 4:322% → 1%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
98.2%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:28
2ND & 10
OWN 12
+6
98.3%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Jordan Howard for 6 yds to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 8:20
3RD & 4
OWN 18
+18
98.3%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
98.7%
ARKANSAS Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (NA) to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 7:20
1ST & 6
OWN 40
0
98.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:08
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+4
98.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
98.6%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
98.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the Ark 48Similar
Q2 5:55
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+9
98.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for 9 yds to the Ark 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:16
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+1
98.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the Ark 38Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 9
OPP 38
0
98.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Kennard BackmanSimilar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 9
OPP 38
0
99.0%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Jamarcus Nelson, broken up by D.J. DeanSimilar
Q2 4:27
4TH & 9
OPP 38
0
99.2%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 9TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:0799% → 99%
Q2 4:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
98.9%
Jonathan Williams run for 4 yds to the Ark 42Similar
Q2 3:35
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+10
99.0%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 10 yds to the UAB 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:10
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
99.0%
Jonathan Williams run for 8 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 2:29
2ND & 2
OPP 40
0
99.0%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to AJ DerbySimilar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 2
OPP 40
+10
99.0%
Jonathan Williams run for 10 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:51
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
99.2%
Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+5
99.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Keon Hatcher for 5 yds to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 1:15
3RD & 3
OPP 23
+9
99.2%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 9 yds to the UAB 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+9
99.3%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Hunter Henry for 9 yds to the UAB 5Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 1
OPP 5
+5
99.3%
Kody Walker run for 5 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10END OF HALF
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:501% → 0%
Q2 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.5%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
Q2 0:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
99.6%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-7
99.3%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass intercepted Tevin Mitchel return for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 12FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:1199% → 100%
Q3 14:29
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
99.3%
Jonathan Williams run for 13 yds to the UAB 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:10
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
99.3%
Jonathan Williams run for 1 yd to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 13:28
2ND & 9
OPP 32
0
99.4%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Demetrius WilsonSimilar
Q3 13:24
3RD & 9
OPP 32
0
99.5%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Hunter HenrySimilar
Q3 13:18
4TH & 9
OPP 32
+49
99.5%
Adam McFain 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 1:581% → 0%
Q3 12:58
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
99.5%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+5
99.5%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+17
99.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 17 yds to the Ark 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Ark 43Similar
Q3 11:48
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
99.5%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the Ark 43Similar
Q3 11:10
3RD & 8
OPP 43
0
99.5%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Quincy Perdue, broken up by Tevin MitchelSimilar
Q3 11:00
4TH & 8
OPP 43
0
99.6%
Hunter Mullins punt for 42 yds, downed at the Ark 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 1:12100% → 100%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+3
99.6%
Jonathan Williams run for 3 yds to the Ark 5Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 7
OWN 5
+4
99.6%
Alex Collins run for 4 yds to the Ark 9Similar
Q3 9:32
3RD & 3
OWN 9
0
99.6%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Jeremy SprinkleSimilar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 3
OWN 9
+35
99.6%
Toby Baker punt for 36 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 35 yds to the Ark 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15FG
6 plays · -20 yds · 1:251% → 0%
Q3 8:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+3
99.5%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Ark 7Similar
Q3 8:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 7
0
99.6%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Ark 7Similar
Q3 7:44
3RD & GOAL
OPP 7
-18
99.7%
Myles McKee sacked by Jared Collins for a loss of 18 yards to the Ark 25Similar
Q3 7:38
4TH & GOAL
OPP 25
-5
99.7%
UAB Penalty, 12 Men on the Field (NA) to the Ark 30Similar
Q3 7:29
4TH & 0
OPP 30
+47
99.6%
Ty Long 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:17100% → 100%
Q3 7:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.7%
Jared Cornelius run for 2 yds to the Ark 22Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
99.7%
Alex Collins run for 3 yds to the Ark 25Similar
Q3 6:03
3RD & 5
OWN 25
0
99.7%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Demetrius WilsonSimilar
Q3 5:53
4TH & 5
OWN 25
+4
99.7%
Sam Irwin-Hill punt for 54 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 4 yds to the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 1:090% → 0%
Q3 5:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
99.8%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
99.8%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 5:02
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+1
99.8%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the UAB 25Similar
Q3 4:21
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
99.8%
Hunter Mullins punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Ark 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 18TD
7 plays · 70 yds · 1:02100% → 100%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+18
99.8%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Cody Hollister for 18 yds to the Ark 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.8%
Brandon Allen pass incomplete to Drew MorganSimilar
Q3 3:44
2ND & 10
OWN 48
-5
99.8%
ARKANSAS Penalty, Delay of Game (NA) to the Ark 43Similar
Q3 3:34
2ND & 15
OWN 43
+27
99.8%
Jonathan Williams run for 27 yds to the UAB 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:01
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+15
99.8%
Damon Mitchell run for 15 yds to the UAB 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:57
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+15
99.8%
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jeremy Sprinkle for 15 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:43100% → 100%
Q3 2:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.8%
Alex Collins run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q3 1:55
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+7
99.8%
Alex Collins run for 7 yds to the Ark 34Similar
Q3 1:13
3RD & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Alex Collins run for no gain to the Ark 34Similar
Q3 0:33
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
99.8%
Sam Irwin-Hill punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20FUMBLE
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:580% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q4 14:30
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-4
99.9%
Maudrecus Humphrey run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q4 14:14
3RD & 12
OWN 23
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:02
4TH & 12
OWN 23
+1
99.9%
Hunter Mullins punt for 52 yds , D.J. Dean returns for 1 yd to the Ark 26 D.J. Dean fumbled, recovered by UAB Jimmy JeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21DOWNS
8 plays · 23 yds · 2:220% → 0%
Q4 13:55
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Ark 26Similar
Q4 13:35
2ND & 10
OPP 26
+11
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+13
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 13 yds to the Ark 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:54
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
99.9%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Ark 1Similar
Q4 12:24
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.8%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Ark 1Similar
Q4 12:05
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-2
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Ark 3Similar
Q4 11:33
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Tristan HendersonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 22PUNT
7 plays · 23 yds · 3:46100% → 100%
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+11
99.9%
Kody Walker run for 11 yds to the Ark 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
99.9%
Kody Walker run for 4 yds to the Ark 19Similar
Q4 9:54
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+6
99.9%
Kody Walker run for 6 yds to the Ark 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Denzell Evans run for no gain to the Ark 25Similar
Q4 8:10
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+2
99.9%
Denzell Evans run for 2 yds to the Ark 27Similar
Q4 7:47
3RD & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Austin Allen pass incomplete to Alex Voelzke, broken up by Darius Williams ARKANSAS Penalty, Illegal Formation (Dan Skipper) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:39
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
99.9%
Sam Irwin-Hill punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q4 7:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
100.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 6:54
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+6
100.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 3
OWN 42
-2
100.0%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q4 5:47
4TH & 5
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 60 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 2:19100% → 100%
Q4 5:42
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Kody Walker run for 2 yds to the Ark 22Similar
Q4 4:30
2ND & 8
OWN 22
0
100.0%
Damon Mitchell run for no gain to the Ark 22Similar
Q4 4:00
3RD & 8
OWN 22
+4
100.0%
Kody Walker run for 4 yds to the Ark 26Similar
Q4 3:23
4TH & 4
OWN 26
0
100.0%
Sam Irwin-Hill punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:340% → 0%
Q4 3:16
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q4 3:04
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+8
100.0%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 2:30
3RD & 2
OWN 42
+9
100.0%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Ark 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:00
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
100.0%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Jordan Howard for 9 yds to the Ark 40Similar
Q4 1:40
2ND & 1
OPP 40
0
100.0%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the Ark 40Similar
Q4 1:16
3RD & 1
OPP 40
+6
100.0%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 6 yds to the Ark 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:06
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+1
100.0%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 1 yd to the Ark 33Similar
Q4 0:42
2ND & 9
OPP 33
+33
100.0%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Nyiakki Height for 33 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ARKDrive 26END OF GAME
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ark 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:52
Brandon Allen pass complete to Jonathan Williams for 17 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)
+1.7
TD · Q2 9:11
Sebastian Tretola pass complete to Alan D'Appollonio for 6 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)
+1.4
TD · Q1 5:12
Alex Collins run for 3 yds for a TD, (Adam McFain KICK)
+1.2
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com