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UNT

North Texas 21 at Rice 41

RICE
2014 · Week 9 · Oct 25, 2014 · Rice Stadium
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Win probability · RICE
modelRICE aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playRICE scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of GameFG+7.3RICE 96.3%James Farrimond 23 yd FG GOODAWAY 21 - HOME 34 · Q4 7:40
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 7:40 · James Farrimond 23 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+34.5+17.30−17.3−34.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 155Pregame prior+4.6Home team on offense+25.8Score differential+11.6Garbage-time factor+12.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.2Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+3.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 3:11: James Hairston kickoff for 65 yds , Darvin Kidsy return for 100 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +3.6 pts (now 21%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 8:26: Carlos Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.1 pts (now 33%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:30: Andrew McNulty pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pollard return for 60 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +11.2 pts (now 71%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. TD · Q4 14:01: Darik Dillard run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK) — RICE win probability +12.3 pts (now 88%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 7:40: James Farrimond 23 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +7.3 pts (now 96%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 9
  1. Q1 14:42UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 42, down 7
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:02RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 34, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.9%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.0%
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:11RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 25, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 76.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−0.4
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    77.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 23.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    24.0%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.8%−0.1
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:06RICE 4th & 11 at RICE 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 75.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    75.2%−0.7
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:26UNT 4th & 1 at RICE 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 27.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    27.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    26.1%−1.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    23.0%−4.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 5:29RICE 4th & 1 at UNT 37, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 64.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    64.1%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    61.3%−2.8
    40% to make
    Punt
    60.9%−3.2
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:04UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 44, up 7
    Close callPunted · 39.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    39.5%−0.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 1:47RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 34, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%−0.4
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.6%
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:42RICE 4th & 2 at UNT 10, down 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.5%
    55% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.9%−1.6
    88% to make
    Punt
    44.0%−12.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:30UNT 4th & 8 at RICE 41, down 3
    Close callPunted · 27.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    27.6%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    26.6%−1.0
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    27.3%−0.3
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:47RICE 4th & 10 at RICE 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 71.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    68.1%−3.8
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    71.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 5:45UNT 4th & 21 at UNT 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.2%−4.4
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    27.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:01UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 39, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  15. Q4 7:40RICE 4th & 6 at UNT 6, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 90.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    90.2%−0.2
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    90.4%
    91% to make
    Punt
    85.5%−4.8
    average punt
  16. Q4 7:40UNT 4th & 6 at UNT 29, down 13
    Close callPunted · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%−0.3
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:32UNT 4th & 4 at UNT 44, down 20
    Close callWent for it · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.5%−<0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
RICE made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 14:42RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    81.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:51UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    20.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    20.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 3:26RICE Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q1 3:11UNT Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    21.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    21.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 8:26UNT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 10:30RICE Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 14:01RICE Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 0:59RICE Touchdown, up 19 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1TD
2 plays · 88 yds · 0:0083% → 83%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+88
82.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 88 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
82.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 6 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 4
OWN 31
+5
82.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
82.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 14:42
2ND & 8
OWN 38
+4
82.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 14:42
3RD & 4
OWN 42
0
82.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by James RadcliffeSimilar
Q1 14:42
4TH & 4
OWN 42
0
82.5%
Blake Macek punt for 58 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 14 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
82.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario Hull, broken up by Kenny BuyersSimilar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
82.4%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+8
82.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:02
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
82.4%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
Q1 13:02
2ND & 10
OWN 34
0
82.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q1 13:02
3RD & 10
OWN 34
0
82.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by James JonesSimilar
Q1 13:02
4TH & 10
OWN 34
0
82.3%
James Farrimond punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Darvin Kidsy at the NoTex 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5318% → 20%
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
82.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 23Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+13
82.2%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 13 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
82.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 6 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 10:44
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+2
82.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q1 10:44
3RD & 2
OWN 44
+3
82.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
82.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+51
79.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 51 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5TD
13 plays · 75 yds · 4:2580% → 83%
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q1 7:51
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+4
80.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 4 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q1 7:51
3RD & 6
OWN 29
+6
80.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 6 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
80.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 6
OWN 39
0
80.2%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 6:12
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+15
79.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 15 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+10
80.4%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete to HUNT, Cole, PENALTY NT holding (McCLAIN, K.) 10 yards to the NT36, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+7
80.4%
Darik Dillard run for 7 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 6:12
2ND & 3
OPP 29
+11
80.5%
Darik Dillard run for 11 yds to the NoTex 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:12
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+8
80.5%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 3:26
2ND & 2
OPP 10
+10
82.5%
Jowan Davis run for 10 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:0079% → 78%
Q1 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
78.7%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Daryl Mason for a loss of 3 yards to the Rice 22 Driphus Jackson fumbled, recovered by Rice Andrew Reue , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q1 3:11
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+3
78.6%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q1 3:11
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
78.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by James JonesSimilar
Q1 3:11
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+48
78.0%
James Farrimond punt for 38 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, illegal block (10 Yards) to the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 1:2923% → 23%
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+8
77.5%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Chris Loving for 8 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 2
OWN 34
-3
77.0%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-5
77.5%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, delay of game (NA) to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 26
+8
77.4%
Andrew McNulty run for 8 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 2
OWN 34
0
77.2%
Blake Macek punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q2 14:06
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
77.4%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 21Similar
Q2 14:06
2ND & 12
OWN 21
+1
77.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 14:06
3RD & 11
OWN 22
0
76.7%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:06
4TH & 11
OWN 22
+7
76.5%
James Farrimond punt for 62 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 7 yds to the NoTex 29 RICE Penalty, personal foul (James Farrimond) to the NoTex 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 62 yds · 3:5925% → 33%
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+1
75.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38 Antoinne Jimmerson fumbled, forced by Jaylon Finner, recovered by NoTex Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
75.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 10
OWN 38
+20
75.9%
Dajon Williams run for 20 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
74.4%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 4 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q2 12:25
2ND & 6
OPP 38
+1
74.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the Rice 37Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+32
74.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 32 yds to the Rice 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:25
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
0
73.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 12:25
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
73.8%
Andrew McNulty run for 3 yds to the Rice 2Similar
Q2 12:25
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
74.3%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the Rice 1Similar
Q2 8:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
66.6%
Carlos Harris run for 1 yd for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11DOWNS
10 plays · 38 yds · 2:5767% → 65%
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
67.2%
Brandon Hamilton run for 12 yds to the Rice 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
67.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q2 8:26
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
68.5%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 8:26
3RD & 7
OWN 40
+14
67.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 14 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:26
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.5%
Brandon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q2 5:29
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
66.4%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 5 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 5:29
3RD & 2
OPP 38
+1
66.3%
Luke Turner run for 1 yd to the NoTex 37Similar
Q2 5:29
4TH & 1
OPP 37
0
65.3%
Brandon Hamilton run for no gain to the NoTex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q2 4:04
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
60.2%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q2 4:04
2ND & 5
OWN 42
+3
59.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q2 4:04
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-1
59.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 44Similar
Q2 4:04
4TH & 3
OWN 44
+20
60.7%
Blake Macek punt for 47 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for 20 yds to the Rice 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:2161% → 60%
Q2 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
60.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis Parks, broken up by James JonesSimilar
Q2 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
60.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 2:08
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+5
59.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q2 1:47
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
59.8%
James Farrimond punt for 33 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for no gain to the NoTex 33 Darvin Kidsy fumbled, recovered by NoTex Darvin KidsySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14DOWNS
10 plays · -3 yds · 1:3542% → 42%
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+18
57.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 18 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Reggie PegramSimilar
Q2 1:38
2ND & 10
OPP 49
0
55.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by Christian CovingtonSimilar
Q2 1:38
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+16
56.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to John Chelf for 16 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-11
54.0%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Christian Covington and Zach Patt for a loss of 11 yards to the Rice 44Similar
Q2 0:41
2ND & 21
OPP 44
0
54.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q2 0:41
3RD & 21
OPP 44
-10
55.8%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Dylan Klare for a loss of 10 yards to the NoTex 46Similar
Q2 0:03
4TH & 31
OWN 46
-16
58.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 16 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16FG
4 plays · 8 yds · 2:1863% → 65%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
63.1%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the NoTex 17Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+7
63.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 7 yds to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 10
0
61.7%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 12:42
4TH & 2
OPP 10
+27
65.0%
James Farrimond 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17INT TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:1238% → 29%
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
62.1%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+26
61.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 11 yds to the Rice 38 for a 1ST down RICE Penalty, personal foul (James Radcliffe) to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
59.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for no gain to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 12:42
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+6
59.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 6 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 4
OPP 41
+60
70.8%
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pollard return for 60 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18PUNT
12 plays · 34 yds · 0:0027% → 27%
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
73.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 12 yds to the NoTex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+5
72.5%
PEGRAM, Reggie rush for 4 yards to the NT41 (McGASKEY, Tabar), PENALTY RICE offside 5 yards to the NT42, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 5
OWN 42
+1
70.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 43Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 4
OWN 43
-4
70.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Reggie Pegram for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+8
72.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+6
70.7%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 6 yds to the Rice 47Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 4
OPP 47
+4
70.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
70.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q3 10:30
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
70.4%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete, broken up by Malcolm HillSimilar
Q3 10:30
3RD & 8
OPP 41
0
70.8%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Malcolm HillSimilar
Q3 10:30
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
72.9%
Blake Macek punt for 40 yds, downed at the Rice 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 19PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0074% → 72%
Q3 6:47
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
73.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q3 6:47
2ND & 10
OWN 1
0
73.4%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 1Similar
Q3 6:47
3RD & 10
OWN 1
0
72.2%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q3 6:47
4TH & 10
OWN 1
0
71.6%
James Farrimond punt for 54 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · -11 yds · 0:0031% → 26%
Q3 5:45
1ST & 10
OWN 45
0
69.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 5:45
2ND & 10
OWN 45
-11
70.0%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Christian Covington for a loss of 11 yards to the NoTex 34Similar
Q3 5:45
3RD & 21
OWN 34
0
73.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q3 5:45
4TH & 21
OWN 34
+2
74.2%
Blake Macek punt for 47 yds , Bryce Callahan returns for 2 yds to the Rice 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 21TD
12 plays · 79 yds · 5:3973% → 88%
Q3 4:40
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
73.1%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 22Similar
Q3 4:40
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+8
72.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 8 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q3 4:40
3RD & 1
OWN 30
+2
73.3%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+3
72.4%
Brandon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Rice 35Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OWN 35
+11
72.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 11 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+13
74.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 13 yds to the NoTex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
75.7%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q3 2:35
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+11
75.6%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 11 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+20
76.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jordan Taylor for 20 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+6
76.1%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
88.3%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 14 yds · 0:0013% → 12%
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
86.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 24Similar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
87.2%
Andrew McNulty pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+15
87.9%
MCNULTY, Andrew pass incomplete, PENALTY RICE pass interference (CALLAHAN, Bryce) 15 yards to the NT39, 1ST DOWN NT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:01
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
84.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius Terrell, broken up by Julius WhiteSimilar
Q4 14:01
2ND & 10
OWN 39
0
85.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Bryce CallahanSimilar
Q4 14:01
3RD & 10
OWN 39
0
86.6%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 14:01
4TH & 10
OWN 39
0
87.9%
Blake Macek punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Mario Hull at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 23FG
13 plays · 69 yds · 5:1088% → 96%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
87.5%
Brandon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+3
87.8%
Brandon Hamilton run for 3 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
87.8%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+2
88.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 5
OWN 40
+15
88.3%
JACKSON, Driphu pass incomplete, PENALTY NT roughing passer (POLK, Chad) 15 yards to the NT45, 1ST DOWN RICE, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
89.5%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the NoTex 41Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 6
OPP 41
0
89.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jordan TaylorSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+31
88.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cameron Decell for 31 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:48
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
89.6%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the NoTex 6Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 10:48
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
89.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Luke TurnerSimilar
Q4 7:40
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
96.3%
James Farrimond 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
93.1%
Andrew McNulty run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 22Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
93.3%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Reggie PegramSimilar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+7
93.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 7 yds to the NoTex 29 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, face mask (0 yards) (NA) declinedSimilar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
93.4%
Blake Macek punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 25TD
10 plays · 73 yds · 5:4297% → 100%
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
96.7%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 30
+4
96.7%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 3
OWN 34
+8
96.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 8 yds to the Rice 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
97.0%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 7
OWN 45
+5
97.0%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 6:41
3RD & 2
50
+3
96.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
97.0%
Darik Dillard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 6:41
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+35
97.0%
Darik Dillard run for 35 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:41
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
97.0%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 26DOWNS
8 plays · 5 yds · 0:271% → 1%
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 9 yds to the NoTex 34Similar
Q4 0:59
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+4
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Reggie Pegram for 4 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:59
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
99.4%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 6 yds to the NoTex 44Similar
Q4 0:32
2ND & 4
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q4 0:32
3RD & 4
OWN 44
0
99.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q4 0:32
4TH & 4
OWN 44
-14
99.5%
Andrew McNulty sacked by Grant Peterson for a loss of 14 yards to the NoTex 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 27Uncategorized
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 30
-2
99.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NoTex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 14:01
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
+12.3
TD · Q3 10:30
Andrew McNulty pass intercepted for a TD Ryan Pollard return for 60 yds for a TD, (James Farrimond KICK)
+11.2
FG · Q4 7:40
James Farrimond 23 yd FG GOOD
+7.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com