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UAB

UAB 22 at Middle Tennessee 34

MTSU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadUAB aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreUAB score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 9:53 · Cody Clements sacked by T.T. Barber for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 23
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialBlowout margin
+28.0+14.00−14.0−28.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 130Home team on offense+2.9Pregame prior+3.0Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.3Score differential+0.2Blowout margin+0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:05: Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clements failed ) — UAB win probability +10.1 pts (now 49%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 3:50: Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +9.8 pts (now 70%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:31: Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +22.6 pts (now 53%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 11:00: Reggie Whatley run for 67 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed ) — MTSU win probability +25.5 pts (now 78%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:08: Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 30 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK) — MTSU win probability +5.0 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 8 of 11UAB made the numbers' call on 9 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 34, tied
    Close callPunted · 56.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:16UAB 4th & 8 at MTSU 8, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.1%
    90% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:16MTSU 4th & 26 at MTSU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.1%−0.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.0%
    average punt
  4. Q1 1:11UAB 4th & 9 at MTSU 24, down 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.9%−0.3
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.2%
    68% to make
    Punt
    38.8%−2.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 11:34UAB 4th & 7 at MTSU 15, down 8
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 34.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.0%−0.5
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    34.5%
    83% to make
    Punt
    29.7%−4.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 11:34MTSU 4th & 15 at MTSU 20, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 58.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    57.4%−1.4
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    58.8%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:16UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 45, down 6
    Close callPunted · 35.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%−0.3
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:45MTSU 4th & 3 at UAB 49, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 68.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    68.1%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    67.6%−0.5
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 36, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 14:07MTSU 4th & 18 at MTSU 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.7%−3.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.8%
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:38UAB 4th & 16 at UAB 24, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    29.8%−3.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 11:14MTSU 4th & 7 at MTSU 28, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 67.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.4%−1.4
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.8%
    average punt
  13. Q3 9:53UAB 4th & 2 at MTSU 31, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    32.3%−2.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    30.6%−3.8
    average punt
  14. Q3 9:53UAB 4th & 3 at MTSU 21, down 6
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    34.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    33.7%−0.8
    74% to make
    Punt
    25.0%−9.5
    average punt
  15. Q3 7:05MTSU 4th & 11 at midfield, up 6
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 69.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    69.1%−1.4
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    70.4%
    average punt
  16. Q3 1:31MTSU 4th & 4 at MTSU 31, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    50.1%−1.6
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.7%
    average punt
  17. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 37, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 49.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−1.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 14:47MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 38, down 1
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.1 ptsPunted · 51.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.2%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%−4.1
    average punt
  19. Q4 13:36UAB 4th & 8 at UAB 29, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    48.2%−2.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 9:59MTSU 4th & 3 at UAB 36, up 5
    Numbers favored go for it by 4.2 ptsPunted · 76.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    77.0%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−3.6
    42% to make
    PuntTheir call
    72.8%−4.2
    average punt
  21. Q4 5:39MTSU 4th & 1 at UAB 38, up 5
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 84.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    84.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    77.9%−6.1
    38% to make
    Punt
    77.8%−6.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4UAB made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:37MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 0:25MTSU Touchdown, up 7 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 3:50MTSU Touchdown, up 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    64.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    64.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 1:31UAB Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.0%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 2:08MTSU Touchdown, up 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
MTSUDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
57.3%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+8
57.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+1
57.3%
Shane Tucker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
57.3%
Zachary Lopez punt for 29 yds , Devon Brown returns for no gain to the UAB 35 Devon Brown fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Trey WaffordSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2TD
3 plays · 35 yds · 1:0358% → 59%
Q1 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+4
57.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for 4 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q1 13:40
2ND & 6
OPP 31
+30
57.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 30 yds to the UAB 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
58.6%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3FG
17 plays · 57 yds · 5:2142% → 42%
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
58.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+8
58.0%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
58.0%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 4
OPP 43
+6
58.0%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-10
58.0%
VINSON, D.J. rush for 6 yards to the MT31, out-of-bounds (WALKER, Xavier), PENALTY UAB holding (HENDERSON, Tris) 10 yards to the MT47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 20
OPP 47
+8
58.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+17
58.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 17 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+1
57.9%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & 9
OPP 21
+15
57.9%
Jordan Howard run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:37
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+2
57.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 4Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
-5
57.9%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 9Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
57.9%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass complete to HUMPHREY, Maudr for 7 yards to the MT2 (BYARD, Kevin), PENALTY MT offside (JONES, Jahmal) 5 yards to the MT4, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 12:37
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
57.9%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-5
58.0%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q1 12:37
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
-2
58.0%
Cody Clements sacked by Shubert Bastien for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
58.5%
Ty Long 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4PUNT
9 plays · -1 yds · 0:0059% → 58%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
58.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
58.7%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+12
58.3%
Austin Grammer run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
59.1%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 8
OWN 42
-5
59.1%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 13
OWN 37
-6
58.7%
Austin Grammer sacked by Rolan Milligan for a loss of 6 yards to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 19
OWN 31
-7
58.3%
Austin Grammer sacked by Rolan Milligan for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 7:16
4TH & 26
OWN 24
+10
58.0%
Sean O'Kane punt for 23 yds , Lamarcus Farmer returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 5FG
8 plays · 13 yds · 2:3242% → 41%
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+9
58.2%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 1
OPP 28
+3
57.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
57.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 3:43
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
57.7%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-5
58.1%
UAB Penalty, false start (Maudrecus Humphrey) to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 3:43
3RD & 9
OPP 24
0
58.3%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q1 1:11
4TH & 9
OPP 24
+42
58.2%
Ty Long 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
Q1 1:11
1ST & GOAL
OWN 35
+15
58.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Trey Wafford) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
4 plays · 80 yds · 0:4659% → 64%
Q1 1:11
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
58.8%
Jordan Parker run for no gain to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+15
58.7%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to HENRY, Marcus, PENALTY UAB pass interference (SLAUGHTER, Dere) 15 yards to the MT35, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+65
63.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Chris Perkins for 65 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7FG
13 plays · 50 yds · 3:5136% → 41%
Q1 0:25
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.8%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 0:25
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+7
64.1%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 42
+15
63.4%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to HUMPHREY, Maudr (LUCKETT, C.), QB hurry by RHODES, Steven, PENALTY MT personal foul (WAFFORD, Trey) 15 yards to the MT43, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
62.9%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+8
62.7%
Cody Clements run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+1
62.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 29
+3
62.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 26
+8
62.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 8 yds to the MTnSt 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+1
62.0%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 17
+2
62.0%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 15
0
62.8%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 7
OPP 15
+32
59.5%
Ty Long 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -5 yds · 0:0060% → 59%
Q2 11:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
60.4%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Marcus HenrySimilar
Q2 11:34
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
60.2%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
59.4%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 10
OWN 25
-5
58.9%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 11:34
4TH & 15
OWN 20
0
58.9%
Zachary Lopez punt for 55 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:5939% → 49%
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+15
60.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 15 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, Defensive offside (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
59.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 1
OPP 40
+8
58.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 8 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+2
57.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+7
58.7%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+9
58.3%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 8
OPP 30
+7
57.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 1
OPP 23
+2
58.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+6
58.3%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+7
57.5%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q2 11:04
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
57.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 4 yds to the MTnSt 17Similar
Q2 11:04
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+3
57.5%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
51.0%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clements failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10TD
7 plays · 59 yds · 2:1558% → 70%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
58.2%
Shane Tucker run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 1
50
+13
58.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 13 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+34
59.0%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 34 yds to the UAB 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
-3
60.2%
Austin Grammer run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 6Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+4
60.1%
Austin Grammer run for 4 yds to the UAB 2Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
69.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 24 yds · 2:3432% → 33%
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+7
67.7%
Josh Magee run for 7 yds to the UAB 28Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 3
OWN 28
+1
66.6%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the UAB 29Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 29
+10
67.5%
Cody Clements run for 10 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-5
66.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 3:50
1ST & 15
OWN 34
+10
67.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 10 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 3:50
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+3
65.4%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q2 3:50
3RD & 2
OWN 47
-2
65.5%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q2 1:16
4TH & 4
OWN 45
0
67.4%
Hunter Mullins punt for 35 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12DOWNS
7 plays · 31 yds · 0:2468% → 68%
Q2 1:09
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+9
68.2%
Reggie Whatley run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q2 1:09
2ND & 1
OWN 29
+15
69.3%
Reggie Whatley run for 15 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-1
69.7%
Reggie Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 0:45
2ND & 11
OWN 43
0
68.6%
Austin Grammer run for no gain to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q2 0:45
3RD & 11
OWN 43
+8
67.5%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 0:45
4TH & 3
OPP 49
0
68.1%
Austin Grammer pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0035% → 33%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+4
65.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 4 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 36
0
64.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
65.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh Magee, broken up by Khari BurkeSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+28
66.8%
Hunter Mullins punt for 43 yds, downed at the MIDDLETENN 21 UAB Penalty, personal foul (NA) to the MTnSt 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0070% → 67%
Q3 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-7
69.8%
Austin Grammer sacked by Chris Walton for a loss of 7 yards to the MTnSt 29Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 17
OWN 29
-5
68.5%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (NA) to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q3 14:07
2ND & 22
OWN 24
+4
68.5%
Reggie Whatley run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 14:07
3RD & 18
OWN 28
0
67.5%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Demetrius FrazierSimilar
Q3 14:07
4TH & 18
OWN 28
+3
66.5%
Zachary Lopez punt for 45 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 3 yds to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · -6 yds · 0:0034% → 31%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
66.1%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 33
-9
65.7%
Cody Clements sacked by Shaquille Huff for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 24Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 16
OWN 24
0
68.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kennard Backman, broken up by Jared SingletarySimilar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 16
OWN 24
+10
68.7%
Hunter Mullins punt for 61 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for 10 yds to the MTnSt 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0069% → 67%
Q3 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
69.4%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 11:14
2ND & 4
OWN 31
-3
70.3%
Jeremiah Bryson run for a loss of 3 yards to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q3 11:14
3RD & 7
OWN 28
0
68.3%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin Clarke, broken up by Robert MondieSimilar
Q3 11:14
4TH & 7
OWN 28
0
67.2%
Zachary Lopez punt for 23 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 17DOWNS
9 plays · 28 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+12
64.2%
Jamarcus Nelson run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+4
63.8%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 6
OPP 35
+2
61.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+2
63.5%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 2
OPP 31
+3
65.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 3 yds to the MTnSt 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+2
61.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 8
OPP 26
+5
61.9%
Cody Clements run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 21Similar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 3
OPP 21
0
63.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kennard Backman, broken up by Jimal McBrideSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 3
OPP 21
-2
65.2%
Cody Clements sacked by T.T. Barber for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
7 plays · 27 yds · 0:0071% → 69%
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+15
70.8%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to CLARKE, Devin, PENALTY UAB pass interference (FARMER, Lamarcu) 15 yards to the MT38, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+9
72.3%
Austin Grammer run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 1
OWN 47
+4
73.4%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the UAB 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:05
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-9
73.5%
Austin Grammer sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 9 yards to the MTnSt 44 Austin Grammer fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Austin Grammer , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q3 7:05
2ND & 17
OWN 44
+6
71.5%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 7:05
3RD & 11
50
0
71.1%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin Clarke, broken up by Lamarcus FarmerSimilar
Q3 7:05
4TH & 11
50
0
69.3%
Zachary Lopez punt for 24 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 19TD
9 plays · 74 yds · 2:4632% → 53%
Q3 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
68.2%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+3
72.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 3 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q3 3:43
3RD & 3
OWN 33
+6
72.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 6 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-10
71.6%
HOWARD, Jordan rush for 26 yards to the MT35 (LUCKETT, C.), PENALTY UAB holding (NAUMANN, Hayden) 10 yards to the UAB29, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 20
OWN 29
0
73.5%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the UAB 29Similar
Q3 3:43
2ND & 20
OWN 29
+25
73.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 25 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:43
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
69.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 43Similar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+43
46.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q3 1:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
52.4%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q3 1:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+6
52.1%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the MTnSt 31Similar
Q3 1:31
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
51.6%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin ClarkeSimilar
Q3 1:31
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+2
50.9%
Sean O'Kane punt for 38 yds , Lamarcus Farmer returns for 2 yds to the UAB 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:3750% → 49%
Q3 0:37
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
50.0%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q3 0:37
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
47.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 42
-5
46.3%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the UAB 37Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 37
0
48.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamari Staples, broken up by Khari BurkeSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 37
0
51.2%
Hunter Mullins punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Ed'Marques Batties at the MTnSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 54%
Q4 14:47
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
52.9%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Marcus HenrySimilar
Q4 14:47
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
52.0%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Tyler BarronSimilar
Q4 14:47
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+9
50.1%
Austin Grammer run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 38Similar
Q4 14:47
4TH & 1
OWN 38
+1
53.9%
Sean O'Kane punt for 48 yds , Lamarcus Farmer returns for 1 yd to the UAB 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0051% → 48%
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+4
49.5%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 6
OWN 19
+8
49.3%
Jordan Howard run for 8 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:36
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+3
48.8%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 13:36
2ND & 7
OWN 30
-1
48.1%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 13:36
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
50.2%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Nyiakki HeightSimilar
Q4 13:36
4TH & 8
OWN 29
0
52.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 41 yds , Ed'Marques Batties returns for no gain to the MTnSt 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24TD
2 plays · 70 yds · 0:3152% → 78%
Q4 11:31
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
52.4%
Reggie Whatley run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 7
OWN 33
+67
77.9%
Reggie Whatley run for 67 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed )Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25INT
4 plays · 29 yds · 0:0025% → 30%
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
74.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 9 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q4 11:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+20
71.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 5 yds to the MTnSt 39 for a 1ST down MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (Steve Rhodes) to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+24
69.9%
Ty Long pass intercepted T.T. Barber return for 24 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 0:0080% → 79%
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+7
80.0%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the UAB 47Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 3
OPP 47
+4
81.1%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the UAB 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:59
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
80.8%
Shane Tucker run for 5 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 9:59
2ND & 5
OPP 38
+2
81.1%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 9:59
3RD & 3
OPP 36
0
80.4%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 9:59
4TH & 3
OPP 36
0
78.7%
Sean O'Kane punt for 36 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27INT
3 plays · -6 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q4 6:45
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
79.7%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 6:45
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-3
80.2%
Cody Clements sacked by Jimal McBride for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 14Similar
Q4 6:45
3RD & 16
OWN 14
0
81.3%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Kevin Byard return for no gain to the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28TD
9 plays · 47 yds · 3:3187% → 98%
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+4
87.4%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 6
OPP 43
+4
87.7%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q4 5:39
3RD & 2
OPP 39
+1
87.2%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 5:39
4TH & 1
OPP 38
+7
85.8%
Austin Grammer run for 7 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:39
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
88.6%
Austin Grammer run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 12
OPP 33
-5
88.0%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Daniel Stephens) to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 5:39
2ND & 17
OPP 38
+8
86.7%
Shane Tucker run for 8 yds to the UAB 30Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 9
OPP 30
+30
97.5%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 30 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 29END OF GAME
11 plays · 35 yds · 1:462% → 2%
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
97.7%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Josh MageeSimilar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+2
97.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 8
OWN 12
+12
97.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Nyiakki Height for 12 yds to the UAB 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-5
97.7%
Cody Clements sacked by Leighton Gasque for a loss of 5 yards to the UAB 19Similar
Q4 2:08
2ND & 15
OWN 19
+6
97.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 6 yds to the UAB 25Similar
Q4 2:08
3RD & 9
OWN 25
+9
97.7%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+11
97.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 11 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
97.4%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q4 0:22
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-9
97.8%
Jeremiah Briscoe sacked by Chris Hale for a loss of 9 yards to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 11:00
Reggie Whatley run for 67 yds for a TD, (Austin Grammer failed )
+25.5
TD · Q3 1:31
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 43 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
-22.6
TD · Q2 6:05
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd for a TD, (Cody Clements failed )
-10.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com