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UTSA

UTSA 20 at Louisiana Tech 27

LT
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTSA aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTSA score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGFGTDFGFUMBLETDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:07 · David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+23.5+11.80−11.8−23.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 160Pregame prior+4.3Home team on offense+17.2Garbage-time factor+4.8Score differential+7.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.5Time remaining+2.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:44: Austin Robinson run for 53 yds for a TD, (Sean Ianno KICK) — UTSA win probability +9.7 pts (now 50%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  2. FUMBLE · Q3 11:33: Austin Robinson run for a loss of 12 yards Austin Robinson fumbled, recovered by LaTch Terrell Pinson , return for 2 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +14.0 pts (now 69%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 9:01: Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:18: Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.9 pts (now 93%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 11:17: Brady Jones pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 35 yds for a TD, (Sean Ianno KICK) — UTSA win probability +13.9 pts (now 24%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 11UTSA made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 7:57UTSA 4th & 6 at LT 6, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 33.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.1%−<0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    33.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    32.1%−1.0
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:57LT 4th & 6 at UTSA 42, down 3
    Close callPunted · 66.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−0.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.8%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 3:49UTSA 4th & 10 at UTSA 20, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.4%−0.4
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    33.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:19LT 4th & 8 at LT 32, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.8%−0.6
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00UTSA 4th & 8 at UTSA 21, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.0%−0.7
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.7%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:18LT 4th & 4 at UTSA 48, down 3
    Close callPunted · 64.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.4%−0.2
    average punt
  7. Q2 10:19LT 4th & 4 at UTSA 4, down 3
    Close callKicked a field goal · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    40% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    63.1%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    58.5%−5.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 6:32UTSA 4th & 21 at LT 24, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.9%−1.9
    8% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.8%
    68% to make
    Punt
    32.4%−4.4
    average punt
  9. Q2 6:32LT 4th & 14 at LT 33, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.6%−2.1
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 3:44LT 4th & 12 at LT 45, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%−1.5
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    51.1%
    average punt
  11. Q2 1:17UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 28, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 50.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.4%−0.7
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.1%
    average punt
  12. Q3 7:18UTSA 4th & 4 at UTSA 27, down 17
    Close callPunted · 8.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%−0.1
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:35LT 4th & 7 at LT 19, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.6
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.6%
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:50UTSA 4th & 6 at LT 10, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.5%−0.3
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.8%
    88% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−5.7
    average punt
  15. Q4 14:50LT 4th & 16 at LT 26, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.1%−2.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.3%
    average punt
  16. Q4 13:07UTSA 4th & 1 at LT 36, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    9.5%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    6.7%−2.8
    42% to make
    Punt
    6.1%−3.4
    average punt
  17. Q4 11:17LT 4th & 4 at UTSA 46, up 7
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 85.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    86.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    83.1%−3.4
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    85.2%−1.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 10:13UTSA 4th & 12 at UTSA 6, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 15.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.0%−2.3
    20% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    14.3%
    average punt
  19. Q4 6:00LT 4th & 2 at UTSA 35, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 89.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    89.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    87.8%−2.0
    45% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−3.0
    average punt
  20. Q4 3:08LT 4th & 6 at UTSA 23, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 93.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.4%−0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.5%
    70% to make
    Punt
    88.6%−3.9
    average punt
  21. Q4 3:08UTSA 4th & 10 at LT 33, down 7
    Close callWent for it · 13.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.3%−0.2
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    10.6%
    49% to make
    Punt
    7.4%−3.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 2 of 2UTSA made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q2 3:44UTSA Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    47.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 9:01LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 7:18LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 11:17UTSA Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTSADrive 1FG
14 plays · 73 yds · 7:0331% → 32%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
69.5%
Brady Jones run for 4 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+3
69.5%
David Glasco II run for 3 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 28
+9
69.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Trevor Stevens for 9 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+21
69.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Cole Hubble for 21 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
69.5%
Austin Robinson run for 1 yd to the LaTch 41Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 41
+4
69.5%
Austin Robinson run for 4 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 37
+17
69.5%
Tucker Carter pass complete to Marcellus Mack for 17 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+7
69.5%
Kenny Bias run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 15 Kenny Bias fumbled, recovered by TexSA Kenny Bias , return for 7 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 15
+8
69.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 8 yds to the LaTch 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-2
69.5%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 9Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+3
69.5%
Austin Robinson run for 3 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 6
0
69.5%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete TEXASSAN Penalty, illegal block (NA) declinedSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & GOAL
OPP 6
+23
67.6%
Sean Ianno 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2PUNT
11 plays · 25 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
67.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+4
68.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 1
OWN 42
+1
68.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
68.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
68.0%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+12
67.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 12 yds to the TexSA 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:57
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+1
68.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 7:57
2ND & 9
OPP 45
+3
68.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the TexSA 42Similar
Q1 7:57
3RD & 6
OPP 42
0
68.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q1 7:57
4TH & 6
OPP 42
0
68.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 42 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0034% → 33%
Q1 3:49
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
66.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 3:49
2ND & 6
OWN 24
0
66.5%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 3:49
3RD & 6
OWN 24
-4
66.9%
Brandon Armstrong run for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 3:49
4TH & 10
OWN 20
0
67.4%
Kristian Stern punt for 50 yds, downed at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0066% → 65%
Q1 2:19
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
65.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 2:19
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+2
65.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 2:19
3RD & 8
OWN 32
0
65.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q1 2:19
4TH & 8
OWN 32
+48
65.0%
Logan McPherson punt for 48 yds , Crosby Adams III returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:2035% → 34%
Q1 1:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+1
65.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 1 yd to the TexSA 20Similar
Q1 1:20
2ND & 9
OWN 20
-2
65.5%
Jarveon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 18Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 18
+3
65.3%
Austin Robinson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 8
OWN 21
0
65.7%
Kristian Stern punt for 49 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6PUNT
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:0065% → 65%
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+4
64.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 4 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 6
OWN 34
+4
65.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+8
65.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
66.2%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q2 14:18
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+6
65.5%
Jarred Craft run for 6 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
Q2 14:18
3RD & 4
OPP 48
0
66.3%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:18
4TH & 4
OPP 48
0
65.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 31 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 7INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 12:14
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+2
63.6%
Austin Robinson pass intercepted Nick Thomason return for 2 yds to the TexSA 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8FG
5 plays · 14 yds · 1:4867% → 67%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+11
66.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+4
66.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
66.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the TexSA 1Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
65.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 4Similar
Q2 10:19
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+21
67.1%
Jonathan Barnes 21 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 9MISSED FG
11 plays · 41 yds · 3:4735% → 36%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
64.7%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 4 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+2
63.8%
David Glasco II run for 2 yds to the TexSA 41Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+7
63.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Cole Hubble for 7 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
63.6%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny Harrison, broken up by Terrell PinsonSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+39
63.9%
Jarveon Williams run for 39 yds to the LATECH 13 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, OF (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
62.6%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OPP 13
-1
62.6%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 14Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 11
OPP 14
+5
63.6%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive offside (Tony Johnson) to the LaTch 9Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 6
OPP 9
-11
63.3%
Austin Robinson sacked by Houston Bates for a loss of 11 yards to the LaTch 24 Austin Robinson fumbled, , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 21
OPP 24
+41
63.8%
Sean Ianno 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10PUNT
8 plays · 9 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+13
65.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
-5
66.5%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Sterling Griffin) to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 15
OWN 32
-10
65.8%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete, PENALTY LATECH holding (BRUNSON, Joseph) 10 yards to the LATECH22, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 6:32
1ST & 25
OWN 22
+15
65.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 10
OWN 37
-15
66.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kenneth Dixon) to the LaTch 22Similar
Q2 6:32
2ND & 25
OWN 22
+11
65.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q2 6:32
3RD & 14
OWN 33
0
64.6%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Brian KingSimilar
Q2 6:32
4TH & 14
OWN 33
+12
64.1%
Logan McPherson punt for 31 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for 12 yds to the TexSA 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 11TD
2 plays · 52 yds · 0:3540% → 50%
Q2 4:19
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-1
60.1%
Austin Robinson pass complete to David Glasco II for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 47Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 11
OWN 47
+53
50.4%
Austin Robinson run for 53 yds for a TD, (Sean Ianno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+22
52.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 22 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:44
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-2
55.2%
Marlon Seets run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 45Similar
Q2 3:44
2ND & 12
OWN 45
0
53.7%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
3RD & 12
OWN 45
0
52.5%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 3:44
4TH & 12
OWN 45
+5
51.6%
Gerald Shouse punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 24 , Crosby Adams III returns for 5 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 13PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:1351% → 49%
Q2 2:30
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
49.5%
Brandon Armstrong run for 2 yds to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 2:30
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
49.3%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Cole Hubble, broken up by Le'Vander LigginsSimilar
Q2 2:30
3RD & 8
OWN 26
+3
50.5%
Austin Robinson run for 3 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q2 2:30
4TH & 5
OPP 0
0
48.7%
PENALTY UTSA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY LATECH unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:17
4TH & 5
OWN 28
0
51.3%
Kristian Stern punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14FG
14 plays · 54 yds · 1:0852% → 59%
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+21
52.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 6 yds to the TexSA 36 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, roughing passer (NA) to the TexSA 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-10
55.1%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete to LEE, Hunter, PENALTY LATECH holding (BELL, Mitchell) 10 yards to the LATECH41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:08
1ST & 20
OWN 41
+5
52.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 0:37
2ND & 15
OWN 46
+10
50.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 10 yds to the TexSA 44Similar
Q2 0:23
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+6
52.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 6 yds to the TexSA 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
52.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+22
52.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 22 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
54.5%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:06
2ND & 10
OPP 16
0
54.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 10
OPP 16
+33
59.3%
Jonathan Barnes 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15INT
10 plays · 50 yds · 0:0057% → 62%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+6
56.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 31
0
58.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
-5
56.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 26Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+26
55.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 11 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
60.2%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
58.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete, broken up by Robert SingletarySimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 11
OPP 49
+25
57.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 25 yds to the TexSA 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-1
61.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 25
0
61.7%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Triston Wade return for no gain to the TexSA 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 16FUMBLE TD
3 plays · -15 yds · 0:3646% → 31%
Q3 12:09
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-2
54.1%
Brady Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 15Similar
Q3 12:09
2ND & 12
OWN 15
0
54.7%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 11:33
3RD & 12
OWN 15
+2
68.7%
Austin Robinson run for a loss of 12 yards Austin Robinson fumbled, recovered by LaTch Terrell Pinson , return for 2 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17INT
7 plays · 24 yds · 0:0033% → 35%
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
67.1%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the TexSA 20Similar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+20
67.3%
Jarveon Williams run for 20 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
65.0%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 5 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 5
OWN 45
+5
64.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, substitution infraction (NA) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:33
1ST & 10
50
-1
63.7%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 49Similar
Q3 11:33
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+15
64.9%
Austin Robinson pass intercepted Terrell Pinson return for 15 yds to the TexSA 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 40 yds · 1:1771% → 82%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
71.2%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Eddie, PENALTY UTSA pass interference (Wade) 15 yards to the UTSA25, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OPP 25
0
72.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for no gain to the TexSA 25Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 10
OPP 25
+6
71.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 4
OPP 19
+19
81.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19INT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q3 9:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
80.3%
Tucker Carter pass incomplete to Brady JonesSimilar
Q3 9:01
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-1
80.5%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 24Similar
Q3 9:01
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+19
81.5%
Tucker Carter pass intercepted Terrell Pinson return for 19 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20TD
2 plays · 11 yds · 0:5283% → 93%
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
82.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 2
OPP 3
+3
92.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 7:18
1ST & 10
OWN 21
0
91.0%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Terrell PinsonSimilar
Q3 7:18
2ND & 10
OWN 21
+1
91.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexSA 22Similar
Q3 7:18
3RD & 9
OWN 22
+5
91.2%
Austin Robinson run for 5 yds to the TexSA 27Similar
Q3 7:18
4TH & 4
OWN 27
0
91.2%
Kristian Stern punt for 47 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 27 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal block (NA) to the LaTch 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q3 4:35
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+3
93.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
Q3 4:35
2ND & 7
OWN 19
0
93.0%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 4:35
3RD & 7
OWN 19
0
92.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter LeeSimilar
Q3 4:35
4TH & 7
OWN 19
+1
92.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 32 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for 1 yd to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23FG
13 plays · 40 yds · 4:108% → 10%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
92.2%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brady Jones for 6 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+6
91.8%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 6 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 38
-5
92.2%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (NA) to the LaTch 43Similar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 15
OPP 43
-5
92.3%
Brandon Armstrong run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 20
OPP 48
0
92.6%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for no gain to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 20
OPP 48
-10
92.8%
Robinson pass complete to Mack for 17 yards to the LATECH31 (COOPER,Secdrick), PENALTY UTSA holding (Harris) 10 yards to the UTSA42, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 4:00
3RD & 30
OWN 42
+31
92.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 31 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+5
91.1%
David Glasco II run for 5 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 5
OPP 22
+8
91.1%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 8 yds to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+2
91.1%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the LaTch 12Similar
Q3 4:00
2ND & 8
OPP 12
+2
91.1%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 10
0
93.4%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brady Jones, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
90.1%
Sean Ianno 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24PUNT
6 plays · -6 yds · 0:0093% → 92%
Q4 14:50
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
93.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 14:50
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+8
93.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 8 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 14:50
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
93.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 1
OWN 41
-15
92.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Kenneth Dixon) to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 14:50
4TH & 16
OWN 26
0
92.3%
Gerald Shouse punt for 19 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25TD
6 plays · 45 yds · 1:5010% → 24%
Q4 13:07
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
90.1%
Austin Robinson pass complete to David Glasco II for 7 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 13:07
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+2
89.6%
Brandon Armstrong run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 13:07
3RD & 1
OPP 36
0
89.7%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 1
OPP 0
0
90.0%
PENALTY UTSA unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, PENALTY LATECH unsportsmanlike conduct off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 13:07
4TH & 1
OPP 36
+1
90.4%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+35
76.5%
Brady Jones pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 35 yds for a TD, (Sean Ianno KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0087% → 86%
Q4 11:17
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+6
87.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q4 11:17
2ND & 4
OPP 46
0
87.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter Lee, broken up by Drew DouglasSimilar
Q4 11:17
3RD & 4
OPP 46
0
86.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter Lee, broken up by Codie BrooksSimilar
Q4 11:17
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
85.7%
Logan McPherson punt for 38 yds, fair catch by Kenny Harrison at the TexSA 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27PUNT
4 plays · -2 yds · 0:0018% → 16%
Q4 10:13
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+5
82.5%
Jarveon Williams run for 5 yds to the TexSA 13Similar
Q4 10:13
2ND & 5
OWN 13
-9
82.2%
Austin Robinson sacked by Vontarrius Dora for a loss of 9 yards to the TexSA 4Similar
Q4 10:13
3RD & 14
OWN 4
+2
83.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 6Similar
Q4 10:13
4TH & 12
OWN 6
+36
84.5%
Kristian Stern punt for 36 yds , Trent Taylor returns for a loss of 1 yard to the TexSA 43Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28MISSED FG
10 plays · 20 yds · 5:0189% → 92%
Q4 8:09
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+9
89.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q4 8:09
2ND & 1
OPP 34
-3
89.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 37Similar
Q4 8:09
3RD & 4
OPP 37
+2
88.4%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 6:00
4TH & 2
OPP 35
+8
88.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
90.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+2
90.5%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 6
OPP 23
+5
89.9%
CRAFT, Jarred rush for 2 yards to the UTSA21 (Singletary), PENALTY UTSA substitution infraction 5 yards to the UTSA18, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 6:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-5
89.9%
Cody Sokol run for a loss of 5 yards to the TexSA 23Similar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 6
OPP 23
+40
92.4%
Jonathan Barnes 40 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 29DOWNS
10 plays · 49 yds · 0:0013% → 15%
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+2
86.8%
Jarveon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 25Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 8
OWN 25
+14
86.9%
Austin Robinson run for 14 yds to the TexSA 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+18
83.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brady Jones for 18 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
82.6%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Jarveon Williams for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
81.0%
Robinson pass complete to Glasco II for 1 yard to the LATECH38 (PINSON, Terrell), PENALTY LATECH substitution infraction 5 yards to the LATECH34, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 1
OPP 34
+1
79.1%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the LaTch 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:08
1ST & 10
OPP 33
-2
80.1%
Austin Robinson sacked by DeAngelo Brooks for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 35Similar
Q4 3:08
2ND & 12
OPP 35
+2
81.1%
Brady Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 33Similar
Q4 3:08
3RD & 10
OPP 33
0
82.9%
Austin Robinson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 3:08
4TH & 10
OPP 33
+5
85.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 0:33
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-2
95.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FUMBLE · Q3 11:33
Austin Robinson run for a loss of 12 yards Austin Robinson fumbled, recovered by LaTch Terrell Pinson , return for 2 yds, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+14
TD · Q4 11:17
Brady Jones pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 35 yds for a TD, (Sean Ianno KICK)
-13.9
TD · Q3 9:01
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 19 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com