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WKU

Western Kentucky 38 at Florida Atlantic 45

FAU
2014 · Week 8 · Oct 18, 2014 · FAU Stadium
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Win probability · FAU
modelFAU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playFAU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGTDTDEnd of GameTD-12.3FAU 21.2%Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD,(Garrett Schwettman KICK)AWAY 24 - HOME 7 · Q2 3:24
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 3:24 · Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+26.5+13.30−13.3−26.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 83Home team on offense−17.9Pregame prior−5.9Score differential−8.1Garbage-time factor−4.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−1.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:24: Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +12.3 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 8:05: Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +18.6 pts (now 48%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  3. TD · Q3 2:13: Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +14.3 pts (now 80%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  4. TD · Q4 2:18: Greg Howell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +32.2 pts (now 64%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 1:23: Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 61 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +36.8 pts (now 95%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
FAU made the numbers' call on 7 of 10WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 6
  1. Q1 13:17FAU 4th & 10 at FAU 12, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 43.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.3%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 7:37WKU 4th & 7 at FAU 27, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 57.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    57.7%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    57.7%
    62% to make
    Punt
    56.5%−1.3
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55WKU 4th & 2 at FAU 24, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 58.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    58.4%−0.4
    68% to make
    Punt
    56.2%−2.6
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:55FAU 4th & 4 at FAU 41, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    40.4%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    40.5%
    average punt
  5. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 4 at WKU 37, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 39.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.6
    40% to make
    Punt
    39.1%−0.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00FAU 4th & 6 at WKU 29, down 10
    Close callWent for it · 39.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    39.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    39.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.3%−2.0
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:21FAU 4th & 7 at WKU 18, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.0%−0.4
    35% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    37.3%
    79% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−3.4
    average punt
  8. Q2 8:07FAU 4th & 8 at WKU 29, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.8%−0.2
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.9%
    58% to make
    Punt
    33.2%−2.7
    average punt
  9. Q2 3:24WKU 4th & 1 at FAU 1, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    65.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    64.1%−1.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    61.1%−4.4
    average punt
  10. Q3 15:00FAU 4th & 3 at WKU 38, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 24.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    24.7%
    53% to convert
    Field goal
    23.3%−1.4
    38% to make
    Punt
    23.7%−1.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 11:44WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 16, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 68.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.6%−2.0
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    68.6%
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:52FAU 4th & 3 at WKU 16, down 10
    Close callKicked a field goal · 21.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    21.0%−0.3
    81% to make
    Punt
    13.2%−8.1
    average punt
  13. Q4 11:52WKU 4th & 9 at FAU 42, up 7
    Close callPunted · 76.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.2%
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    75.1%−1.1
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    76.1%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 10:09FAU 4th & 2 at WKU 28, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 28.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    28.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    26.0%−2.6
    60% to make
    Punt
    14.8%−13.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:18WKU 4th & 6 at WKU 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 45.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−0.7
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    42.6%
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:23FAU 4th & 1 at WKU 18, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    93.0%−0.1
    79% to make
    Punt
    90.1%−3.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 6WKU made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q1 13:17WKU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 11:39WKU Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 7:37FAU Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    42.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    42.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:24WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:56FAU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    31.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    31.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:12WKU Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    77.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    77.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q3 11:44FAU Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    30.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    30.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:05FAU Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    44.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    44.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 2:13WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.8%−0.2
    45% to convert
  10. Q4 2:18FAU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    48.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    47.8%−0.9
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 1:23FAU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    86.5%−1.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:4361% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
39.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
39.5%
Anthony Wales run for 7 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
39.5%
Anthony Wales run for 2 yds to the WKent 37Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+13
39.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 13 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
50
+50
39.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 50 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0040% → 39%
Q1 13:17
1ST & 10
OWN 12
0
39.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
2ND & 10
OWN 12
0
39.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 10
OWN 12
-6
39.4%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass complete to WHITEHEAD, Luck for 12 yards to the FAU24, out-of-bounds, PENALTY FAU holding (DEBEOR, Dillon) 6 yards to the FAU6, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 13:17
3RD & 16
OWN 6
+6
39.4%
Tony Moore run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 12Similar
Q1 13:17
4TH & 10
OWN 12
+22
39.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 40 yds , Kylen Towner returns for 22 yds to the FlAtl 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3TD
1 play · 30 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+30
38.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 30 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 4TD
10 plays · 64 yds · 4:0238% → 40%
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
38.4%
Tony Moore run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 40Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+15
38.5%
Tony Moore run for 15 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
38.6%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+2
38.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+14
38.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Tony Moore for 14 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:39
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
38.7%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 11:39
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+5
38.6%
Greg Howell run for 5 yds to the WKent 22Similar
Q1 11:39
3RD & 5
OPP 22
+11
38.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Martese Jackson for 11 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
40.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 11 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5DOWNS
8 plays · 50 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+14
38.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 14 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+16
38.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 16 yds to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+15
38.2%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the FlAtl 45 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Damian Parms) to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:37
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
38.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q1 7:37
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
38.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 7:37
3RD & 10
OPP 30
+3
38.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 3 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 7:37
4TH & 7
OPP 27
+2
38.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 2 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 6FUMBLE
2 plays · 16 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 5:25
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q1 5:25
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+9
38.9%
Greg Howell run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 42 Greg Howell fumbled, forced by Dejon Brown, recovered by WKent Marcus WardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7FG
7 plays · 18 yds · 2:1862% → 62%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+1
37.8%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 41
0
37.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel German, broken up by Sharrod NeasmanSimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 9
OPP 41
+9
38.0%
Brandon Doughty run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
37.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 5 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 5
OPP 27
0
37.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel GermanSimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 5
OPP 27
+3
37.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 2
OPP 24
+42
37.6%
Garrett Schwettman 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 8MISSED FG
21 plays · 57 yds · 6:3437% → 35%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
37.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
37.5%
Tony Moore run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+2
37.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
37.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Martese JacksonSimilar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 10
OWN 35
0
37.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Martese Jackson, broken up by Tanner ReevesSimilar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+6
37.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 6 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 4
OWN 41
+16
37.2%
Dalton Schomp pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 16 yds to the WKent 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
38.5%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass complete to DUKES, William for 2 yards to the WKU41, out-of-bounds (JOHNSON, L.), PENALTY WKU offside (PRIDE, Marquez) 5 yards to the WKU38, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 5
OPP 38
+1
37.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Greg Hankerson for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 37
0
37.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to William DukesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 37
0
37.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 4
OPP 37
+4
36.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 4 yds to the WKent 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
38.1%
Tony Moore run for no gain to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+4
38.1%
Tony Moore run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 29
0
37.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OPP 29
+8
36.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Derek Moise for 8 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
38.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Derek Moise, broken up by Cam ThomasSimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
38.1%
Tony Moore run for 2 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 19
+1
37.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Alex Deleon for 1 yd to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 11:21
4TH & 7
OPP 18
+34
35.3%
Greg Joseph 34 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9INT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:0064% → 64%
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
36.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
36.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel GermanSimilar
Q2 11:21
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+10
37.1%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to NORRIS, N., PENALTY FAU holding (SMITH, D'Joun) 10 yards to the WKU30, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
36.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 11:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
0
35.9%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Matt Solt return for no gain to the WKent 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 10MISSED FG
5 plays · 13 yds · 2:2436% → 34%
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
36.4%
Tony Moore run for 11 yds to the WKent 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
-2
37.2%
Tony Moore run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 10:31
2ND & 12
OPP 33
0
36.8%
Tony Moore run for no gain to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 10:31
3RD & 12
OPP 33
+4
35.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q2 8:07
4TH & 8
OPP 29
+46
33.5%
Greg Joseph 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
12 plays · 71 yds · 4:4366% → 79%
Q2 8:07
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+16
33.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 16 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+7
33.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 7 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 3
OPP 45
-2
32.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & 5
OPP 47
+7
33.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 7 yds to the FlAtl 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+16
32.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 16 yds to the FlAtl 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+4
32.7%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & 6
OPP 20
+16
32.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 16 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:07
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
33.9%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q2 8:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
-11
32.7%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Trevon Coley for a loss of 11 yards to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q2 8:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 15
-6
32.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Joe Henry for a loss of 6 yards to the FlAtl 21Similar
Q2 8:07
3RD & GOAL
OPP 21
+20
33.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Anthony Wales for 20 yds to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q2 3:24
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
21.2%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 12TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:2823% → 33%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
23.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
24.2%
Greg Howell run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+17
24.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 17 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
25.4%
Greg Howell run for 14 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
25.9%
Greg Howell run for 4 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+2
26.1%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q2 1:17
3RD & 4
OPP 26
+25
24.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 25 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
33.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13TD
8 plays · 72 yds · 0:4470% → 84%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+19
29.6%
Leon Allen run for 19 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+8
28.4%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 45Similar
Q2 0:35
2ND & 2
OPP 45
+15
28.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 15 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:35
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+8
28.2%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q2 0:12
2ND & 2
OPP 22
+22
16.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 22 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14END OF HALF
3 plays · 23 yds · 0:0022% → 25%
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
22.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Alex DeleonSimilar
Q2 0:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
0
24.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Kalib Woods, broken up by Ricardo SinghSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 15TD
9 plays · 79 yds · 3:1621% → 32%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+6
20.5%
Greg Howell run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 27
+15
21.1%
Greg Howell run for 15 yds to the FlAtl 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+13
22.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Cunningham for 13 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+7
22.7%
Greg Howell run for 7 yds to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 38
+1
23.0%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the WKent 37Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 37
-1
22.9%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 38Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 38
+18
22.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Martese Jackson for 18 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
31.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 20 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 16PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0071% → 70%
Q3 11:44
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
28.7%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by D'Joun SmithSimilar
Q3 11:44
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+1
29.1%
Brandon Doughty run for 1 yd to the WKent 17Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 9
OWN 17
-5
29.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Ray) to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 11:44
3RD & 14
OWN 12
+4
29.8%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q3 11:44
4TH & 10
OWN 16
-2
30.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 37 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for a loss of 2 yards to the FlAtl 14 FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, illegal block (Grant Helm) to the FlAtl 35Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 17TD
4 plays · 65 yds · 1:3928% → 48%
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
27.6%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 9:44
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+17
28.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 17 yds to the WKent 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:44
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+44
29.8%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 44 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
48.4%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 18TD
19 plays · 75 yds · 5:5260% → 80%
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+10
40.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
39.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 5 yds to the WKent 40Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+3
37.9%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 43Similar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+7
38.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 7 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
50
+2
37.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 8
OPP 48
0
37.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Cre'von LeBlancSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 8
OPP 48
+10
38.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 10 yds to the FlAtl 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+5
37.3%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 5
OPP 33
0
35.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNeal, broken up by Sharrod NeasmanSimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 5
OPP 33
+5
37.7%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
35.8%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+10
35.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 10 yds to the FlAtl 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:05
1ST & 10
OPP 15
0
35.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Cre'von LeBlancSimilar
Q3 8:05
2ND & 10
OPP 15
0
35.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q3 8:05
3RD & 10
OPP 15
-1
37.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 16Similar
Q3 2:42
4TH & 11
OPP 16
+8
39.4%
SCHWETTMAN, G. field goal attempt from 33 GOOD, clock 02:42, PENALTY FAU roughing the kicker (SMITH, D'Joun) 8 yards to the FAU8, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
+6
34.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
20.1%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 19FG
13 plays · 54 yds · 5:2123% → 30%
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
22.9%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 2:13
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+6
23.0%
Greg Howell run for 6 yds to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q3 2:13
3RD & 2
OWN 38
+13
23.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to William Dukes for 13 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
25.5%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Derek Moise for 14 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:13
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
27.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 7 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+2
26.3%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the WKent 26Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 26
+3
24.7%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the WKent 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 23
-10
26.3%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass complete to WHITEHEAD, Luck for 15 yards to the WKU8 (BROWN, Dejon), PENALTY FAU holding (GOLD, Joe) 10 yards to the WKU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 20
OPP 33
+9
25.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 9 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OPP 24
+8
26.2%
Martese Jackson run for 8 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 16
0
24.7%
Jaquez Johnson run for no gain to the WKent 16Similar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 3
OPP 16
+32
29.6%
Greg Joseph 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 20PUNT
7 plays · 28 yds · 0:0077% → 77%
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OWN 30
-1
23.2%
Kylen Towner run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 11
OWN 29
+28
24.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 28 yds to the FlAtl 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:52
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
20.6%
Anthony Wales run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 42Similar
Q4 11:52
2ND & 9
OPP 42
0
20.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Raekwon WilliamsSimilar
Q4 11:52
3RD & 9
OPP 42
0
21.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas NorrisSimilar
Q4 11:52
4TH & 9
OPP 42
0
23.4%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 38 yds, downed at the FlAtl 4Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 21TD
14 plays · 96 yds · 7:5125% → 64%
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+3
24.5%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 7Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 7
OWN 7
+3
24.4%
Greg Howell run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 10Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 4
OWN 10
+40
23.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 40 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
50
+2
29.5%
Greg Howell run for 2 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 8
OPP 48
+12
30.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 12 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 36
-1
30.2%
Martese Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the WKent 37Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 11
OPP 37
+6
29.7%
Jaquez Johnson run for 6 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+3
29.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 3 yds to the WKent 28Similar
Q4 10:09
4TH & 2
OPP 28
+7
27.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 7 yds to the WKent 21 for a 1ST down WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, Defensive offside (NA) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+4
32.1%
Martese Jackson run for 4 yds to the WKent 17Similar
Q4 10:09
2ND & 6
OPP 17
+2
32.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the WKent 15Similar
Q4 10:09
3RD & 4
OPP 15
+10
29.9%
Greg Howell run for 10 yds to the WKent 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:09
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+1
32.1%
Greg Howell run for 1 yd to the WKent 4Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
64.4%
Greg Howell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0051% → 47%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
49.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 4 yds to the WKent 29Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
48.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared Dangerfield, broken up by Andrae KirkSimilar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
50.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q4 2:18
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
53.3%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 23TD
2 plays · 64 yds · 0:1658% → 95%
Q4 1:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
58.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Kalib Woods for 3 yds to the FlAtl 39Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+61
95.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 61 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 24FUMBLE
3 plays · -5 yds · 0:0013% → 11%
Q4 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-7
87.3%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Trevon Coley for a loss of 7 yards to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 1:23
2ND & 17
OWN 25
-3
88.8%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 27 Brandon Doughty fumbled, forced by D'Joun Smith, recovered by FlAtl Trevon Coley , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 25Uncategorized
8 plays · 17 yds · 0:1796% → 97%
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+2
95.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q4 0:34
2ND & 8
OPP 25
+6
96.5%
Tony Moore run for 6 yds to the WKent 19Similar
Q4 0:29
3RD & 2
OPP 19
+1
96.9%
Tony Moore run for 1 yd to the WKent 18Similar
Q4 0:23
4TH & 1
OPP 18
+8
96.5%
Jaquez Johnson run for 8 yds to the WKent 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 1:23
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 61 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+36.8
TD · Q4 2:18
Greg Howell run for 4 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+32.2
TD · Q3 8:05
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)
+18.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com