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UNT

North Texas 21 at UAB 56

UAB
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadUNT aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreUNT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Hunter Mullins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Carlos Harris at the UAB 49
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialPregame priorBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 153Home team on offense+31.9Score differential+27.8Pregame prior+2.7Blowout margin+14.6Garbage-time factor+11.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+13.4
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 12:54: D.J. Vinson 4 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Ty Long Kick) — UAB win probability +9.9 pts (now 82%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:48: Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +7.8 pts (now 93%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:12: Antoinne Jimmerson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +9.1 pts (now 16%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 4:45: Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +4.9 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 1:05: Dajon Williams pass complete to Marcus Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +6.0 pts (now 10%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00UAB 4th & 6 at UAB 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 59.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.5%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 13:42UNT 4th & 11 at UAB 45, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−0.1
    27% to convert
    Field goal
    40.4%−0.1
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 11:46UAB 4th & 3 at UAB 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 59.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    59.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 5:50UNT 4th & 17 at UNT 42, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 33.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.8%−1.4
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 2:35UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 46, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    69.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    66.7%−2.8
    23% to make
    Punt
    67.7%−1.7
    average punt
  6. Q2 12:48UNT 4th & 18 at UNT 12, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    17.3%−2.1
    12% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.4%
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:05UNT 4th & 3 at UAB 12, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.3%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    3.9%−0.3
    86% to make
    Punt
    -3.3%−7.5
    average punt
  8. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 22, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 9.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.3%−1.8
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    10.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 12:35UAB 4th & 4 at UNT 39, up 21
    Close callPunted · 92.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    92.2%−0.6
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    92.3%−0.5
    average punt
  10. Q3 5:36UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 1, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.2%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    98.8%−0.4
    94% to make
    Punt
    97.8%−1.4
    average punt
  11. Q3 0:51UNT 4th & 4 at UAB 4, down 42
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.4%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.1%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 15:00UAB 4th & 10 at UAB 4, up 42
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%−0.2
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
  13. Q4 13:09UAB 4th & 1 at UNT 40, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.7% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.5%−0.2
    34% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.2
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:50UAB 4th & 11 at UNT 30, up 35
    Close callWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    99.9%
    56% to make
    Punt
    99.8%−0.1
    average punt
  15. Q4 2:32UNT 4th & 10 at UAB 23, down 35
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    70% to make
    Punt
    -0.0%−0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 8 of 8UNT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 6:49UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 6:37UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 12:54UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    82.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    82.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 7:48UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:12UNT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    12.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    11.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 4:45UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q2 1:05UNT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    9.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    8.9%−0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q3 8:33UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q3 5:36UAB Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  10. Q3 4:01UAB Touchdown, up 41 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  11. Q4 13:17UNT Touchdown, down 36 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UABDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+18
61.0%
Jordan Howard run for 18 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+1
61.0%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 33
+3
61.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 3 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 36
0
61.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 36
+3
61.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 38 yds , Darvin Kidsy returns for 3 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
6 plays · 26 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+11
61.0%
Dajon Williams run for 11 yds to the NoTex 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+16
60.9%
Erick Evans run for 16 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
60.9%
Dajon Williams run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 13:42
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+3
60.9%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darius Terrell for 3 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q1 13:42
3RD & 11
OPP 45
0
60.9%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:42
4TH & 11
OPP 45
0
61.0%
Blake Macek punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 36 yds · 0:0061% → 61%
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+8
61.0%
Cody Clements run for 8 yds to the UAB 21Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 2
OWN 21
+4
61.1%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
61.1%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+15
61.1%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to STAPLES, Jamari, PENALTY NT pass interference (JONES, James) 15 yards to the UAB42, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:46
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
61.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q1 11:46
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+5
61.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 11:46
3RD & 3
OWN 49
0
61.3%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 11:46
4TH & 3
OWN 49
0
61.1%
Hunter Mullins punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Darvin Kidsy at the NoTex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4FUMBLE RETURN TD
9 plays · 31 yds · 2:2639% → 37%
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
61.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 10Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+14
60.9%
Dajon Williams run for 14 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+6
60.9%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Marcus Smith for 6 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 4
OWN 30
+5
60.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
60.7%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+18
60.8%
Erick Evans run for 18 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
60.3%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:15
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
60.3%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Erick EvansSimilar
Q1 6:49
3RD & 10
OPP 47
-43
63.4%
Jontavious Morris 43 Yd Fumble Return (Ty Long Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 5INT TD
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+22
66.9%
Dajon Williams pass intercepted for a TD Lamarcus Farmer return for 22 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
14 plays · 17 yds · 0:4733% → 33%
Q1 6:37
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
66.9%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 6:37
2ND & 7
OWN 28
-1
66.8%
Reggie Pegram run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 27Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+11
67.2%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Antoinne Jimmerson for 11 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
66.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+5
66.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 5 yds to the NoTex 47Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 1
OWN 47
+2
66.2%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:50
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
66.3%
Dajon Williams run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 5:50
2ND & 10
OWN 49
+8
66.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 2
OPP 43
-10
65.9%
PEGRAM, Reggie rush for 2 yards to the UAB41 (GANUS, Jake), PENALTY NT holding 10 yards to the NT47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 5:50
3RD & 12
OWN 47
0
66.8%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete, broken up by Diaheem WatkinsSimilar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 12
OWN 47
-5
67.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 42Similar
Q1 5:50
4TH & 17
OWN 42
+16
67.3%
Eric Keena punt for 47 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 16 yds to the UAB 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 7TD
16 plays · 73 yds · 4:4169% → 82%
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
69.4%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+12
69.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 12 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
70.2%
Jordan Howard run for 7 yds to the NoTex 48Similar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+2
70.3%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 1
OPP 46
0
69.8%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the NoTex 46Similar
Q1 2:35
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
69.4%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the NoTex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
70.3%
Cody Clements pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 2:35
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+9
70.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 9 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 2:35
3RD & 1
OPP 35
+3
69.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+6
72.0%
Cody Clements run for 6 yds to the NoTex 26Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 26
+7
72.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
72.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Darius Powell for 8 yds to the NoTex 11Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+2
72.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
72.1%
Cody Clements run for 6 yds to the NoTex 3Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
72.1%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 12:54
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.9%
D.J. Vinson 4 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Ty Long Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q2 12:48
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
81.0%
Dajon Williams run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 12:48
2ND & 13
OWN 17
-9
81.3%
Dajon Williams sacked by Chris Rabb for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 8Similar
Q2 12:48
3RD & 22
OWN 8
+4
81.7%
Dajon Williams pass complete to John Chelf for 4 yds to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 12:48
4TH & 18
OWN 12
+17
81.4%
Eric Keena punt for 71 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 17 yds to the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 9TD
8 plays · 66 yds · 2:2985% → 93%
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
84.6%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 10
OWN 34
+43
84.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 43 yds to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
85.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 1 yd to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 10:17
2ND & 9
OPP 22
-1
85.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 23Similar
Q2 10:17
3RD & 10
OPP 23
+16
84.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 16 yds to the NoTex 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
-5
84.7%
UAB Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the NoTex 12Similar
Q2 10:17
1ST & GOAL
OPP 12
0
85.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Maudrecus HumphreySimilar
Q2 7:48
2ND & GOAL
OPP 12
+12
93.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 2:297% → 16%
Q2 7:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
93.5%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 7:41
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
93.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Antoinne JimmersonSimilar
Q2 7:41
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+28
93.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carlos Harris for 28 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-4
93.3%
Dajon Williams sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 6:41
2ND & 14
OPP 48
+8
94.0%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 8 yds to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 6:41
3RD & 6
OPP 40
+13
93.1%
Dajon Williams run for 13 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:12
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
84.0%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 11TD
3 plays · 77 yds · 0:2290% → 95%
Q2 5:07
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+75
90.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 75 yds to the NoTex 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
94.9%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12TD
16 plays · 79 yds · 3:335% → 10%
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+4
95.1%
Carlos Harris run for 4 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 6
OWN 25
+31
94.7%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 31 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
94.4%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 44
+12
94.5%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darius Terrell for 12 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
94.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 4:38
2ND & 10
OPP 32
-8
94.1%
Dajon Williams sacked by Shaq Jones for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 40Similar
Q2 4:38
3RD & 18
OPP 40
+21
94.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 21 yds to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 19
-1
94.0%
Carlos Harris run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 1:42
2ND & 11
OPP 20
+6
97.1%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darius Terrell for 6 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 1:21
3RD & 5
OPP 14
+2
97.0%
Dajon Williams run for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 3
OPP 12
+12
89.9%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Marcus Smith for 12 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 13END OF HALF
3 plays · -4 yds · 0:0093% → 93%
Q2 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 23Similar
Q2 0:56
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-2
93.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
90.7%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 27
-8
90.7%
Dajon Williams sacked by Jake Ganus for a loss of 8 yards to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 19
+3
91.0%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 22
+5
90.9%
Eric Keena punt for 43 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 5 yds to the UAB 27 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAB 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 15PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+5
93.5%
Cody Clements run for 5 yds to the UAB 35Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OWN 35
+5
93.6%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the UAB 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-3
93.7%
Cody Clements sacked by Sir Calvin Wallace for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 37Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 13
OWN 37
+18
93.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 18 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:35
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+5
93.8%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 12:35
2ND & 5
OPP 40
-1
93.8%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 41Similar
Q3 12:35
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+2
93.7%
Cody Clements run for 2 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 12:35
4TH & 4
OPP 39
0
93.2%
Hunter Mullins punt for 36 yds, downed at the NoTex 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16INT TD
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:326% → 1%
Q3 9:05
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+2
94.3%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 2 yds to the NoTex 5Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 5
+9
99.1%
Dajon Williams pass intercepted for a TD Darius Williams return for 9 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 17FUMBLE
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
99.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 7 yds to the NoTex 32Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+6
99.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 6 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+2
99.0%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q3 8:33
2ND & 8
OWN 40
-5
99.0%
Dajon Williams run for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 31 Dajon Williams fumbled, forced by Alonzo McGee, recovered by UAB Lamarcus FarmerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
7 plays · 31 yds · 1:2899% → 99%
Q3 7:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
99.3%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & 6
OPP 27
+17
99.3%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 17 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
99.3%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q3 7:04
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
99.3%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 7:04
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.3%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the NoTex 1Similar
Q3 5:36
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.4%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 19FUMBLE
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+19
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 19 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+8
99.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 8 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 2
OPP 39
+7
99.4%
Erick Evans run for 7 yds to the UAB 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:29
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+5
99.4%
Erick Evans run for 5 yds to the UAB 27Similar
Q3 5:29
2ND & 5
OPP 27
+1
99.3%
Erick Evans run for 1 yd to the UAB 26 Erick Evans fumbled, forced by Harris Gaston, recovered by UAB Shaq JonesSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20TD
1 play · 74 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+74
99.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 74 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 21DOWNS
10 plays · 77 yds · 3:080% → 0%
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
99.6%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 19Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+17
99.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 17 yds to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+17
99.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Darius Terrell for 17 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+43
99.6%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 43 yds to the UAB 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.4%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 3:59
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.5%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the UAB 4Similar
Q3 3:59
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.5%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 0:51
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
99.7%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Darius Terrell, broken up by Rolan MilliganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:48100% → 100%
Q3 0:48
1ST & 10
OWN 4
+4
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 8Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 8
-4
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 4 yards to the UAB 4Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 4
0
99.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 10
OWN 4
0
99.8%
Hunter Mullins punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Carlos Harris at the UAB 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 23TD
3 plays · 49 yds · 0:560% → 0%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
99.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 7 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-2
99.8%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 13:17
3RD & 5
OPP 44
+44
99.8%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 44 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24DOWNS
19 plays · 54 yds · 8:19100% → 100%
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 17Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
99.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+20
99.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamari Staples for 20 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
99.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Darius Powell for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+6
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 3
OWN 44
+7
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+4
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 6
OPP 45
+5
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 1
OPP 40
0
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the NoTex 40Similar
Q4 13:09
4TH & 1
OPP 40
+1
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:09
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+2
99.8%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 2 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 13:09
2ND & 8
OPP 37
+1
99.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Nolen Smith for 1 yd to the NoTex 36Similar
Q4 13:09
3RD & 7
OPP 36
+7
99.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Quincy Perdue for 7 yds to the NoTex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+2
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 2 yds to the NoTex 27Similar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 8
OPP 27
-4
99.9%
Myles McKee sacked by Calvin Minor for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 31Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 12
OPP 31
+1
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for 1 yd to the NoTex 30Similar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 11
OPP 30
-1
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25DOWNS
9 plays · 46 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+4
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 4 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 6
OWN 35
+12
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Turner Smiley for 12 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+11
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 11 yds to the UAB 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to Carlos Harris for 9 yds to the UAB 33Similar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+10
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass complete to John Chelf for 10 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:32
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 2:32
2ND & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete, broken up by Derek SlaughterSimilar
Q4 2:32
3RD & 10
OPP 23
0
100.0%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to John ChelfSimilar
Q4 2:32
4TH & 10
OPP 23
0
99.9%
Andrew McNulty pass incomplete to Carl Caldwell, broken up by Jimmy JeanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 26END OF GAME
1 play · -2 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:45
1ST & 10
OWN 23
-2
100.0%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 12:54
D.J. Vinson 4 Yd pass from Cody Clements (Ty Long Kick)
+9.9
TD · Q2 5:12
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 27 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)
-9.1
TD · Q2 7:48
Cody Clements pass complete to Jordan Howard for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+7.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com