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FIU

Florida International 13 at UTSA 16

UTSA
2014 · Week 7 · Oct 11, 2014 · Alamodome
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Win probability · UTSA
modelUTSA aheadFIU aheadconfidence bandkey playUTSA scoreFIU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGFGFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 5:37 · Kristian Stern punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaIn 8
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+27.5+13.80−13.8−27.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 36Pregame prior+23.2Home team on offense+0.2Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 3:24: Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK) — FIU win probability +10.5 pts (now 47%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q4 11:03: Austin Taylor 24 yd FG GOOD — FIU win probability +11.1 pts (now 59%) (top driver: FIU has the ball).
  3. KEY PLAY · Q4 4:38: Treyvon Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44 — UTSA win probability +12.0 pts (now 44%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 1:54: Sean Ianno 27 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +26.9 pts (now 59%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:50: Sean Ianno 39 yd FG GOOD — UTSA win probability +30.8 pts (now 91%) (top driver: UTSA has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UTSA made the numbers' call on 7 of 10FIU made the numbers' call on 8 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00FIU 4th & 15 at FIU 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.0%−0.2
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.2%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:24UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.8%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.8%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40FIU 4th & 7 at FIU 43, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.3%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:30UTSA 4th & 1 at UTSA 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    80.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    80.0%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:37UTSA 4th & 11 at FIU 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 78.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    78.9%−0.2
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:11FIU 4th & 15 at UTSA 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    22.5%−0.7
    16% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    23.2%
    64% to make
    Punt
    21.4%−1.8
    average punt
  7. Q2 14:11UTSA 4th & 5 at UTSA 34, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 74.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.9%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    75.2%
    average punt
  8. Q2 11:10FIU 4th & 26 at FIU 6, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 25.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.3%−1.9
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:20UTSA 4th & 6 at FIU 40, down 3
    Close callPunted · 74.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    74.1%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    73.4%−0.7
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    73.7%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:30FIU 4th & 24 at FIU 36, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 28.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    26.3%−2.4
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    28.6%
    average punt
  11. Q3 14:06UTSA 4th & 16 at FIU 43, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 64.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.3%−1.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    63.9%−1.3
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    65.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 12:53FIU 4th & 9 at FIU 13, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    33.3%−1.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 8:08UTSA 4th & 2 at FIU 25, down 3
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 63.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.6%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.0%−1.6
    66% to make
    Punt
    53.3%−10.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 11:03FIU 4th & 7 at UTSA 7, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 42.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.9%−1.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.0%
    91% to make
    Punt
    22.4%−18.6
    average punt
  15. Q4 9:10UTSA 4th & 28 at FIU 46, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.8%−5.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    41.8%−2.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    43.9%
    average punt
  16. Q4 5:59FIU 4th & 5 at FIU 12, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.2%−5.4
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    65.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 1:54UTSA 4th & 10 at FIU 10, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.0%−15.3
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    45.3%
    88% to make
    Punt
    12.9%−32.4
    average punt
  18. Q4 0:50UTSA 4th & 6 at FIU 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    56.3%−4.8
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    61.1%
    72% to make
    Punt
    28.0%−33.0
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UTSA made the numbers' call on 1 of 1FIU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q2 3:24FIU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:39UTSA Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    65.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    65.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FIUDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 15 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+2
77.1%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 23
+4
77.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Fred Porter for 4 yds to the FlaIn 27Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 27
+14
77.1%
Alex Gardner run for 14 yds to the FlaIn 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
77.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+4
77.1%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 4 yds to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 45
-5
77.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (N/A) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 40
-5
77.1%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (N/A) to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 16
OWN 35
+1
77.1%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 36Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 15
OWN 36
0
77.1%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 40 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0076% → 76%
Q1 11:24
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
76.3%
Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Kam Jones for 5 yds to the TexSA 29Similar
Q1 11:24
2ND & 5
OWN 29
0
76.4%
Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:24
3RD & 5
OWN 29
0
76.2%
Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Kam JonesSimilar
Q1 11:24
4TH & 5
OWN 29
0
76.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Nate Leonard at the FlaIn 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0024% → 24%
Q1 10:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.8%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu SmithSimilar
Q1 10:40
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+3
75.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q1 10:40
3RD & 7
OWN 43
0
75.9%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Dominique RhymesSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 7
OWN 43
+9
76.1%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 47 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexSA 19 , Aaron Grubb returns for 9 yds to the TexSA 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 4PUNT
9 plays · 30 yds · 1:2776% → 76%
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 19
0
76.0%
Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Kam Jones, broken up by Richard LeonardSimilar
Q1 9:57
2ND & 10
OWN 19
+5
75.9%
Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Miles Lerch for 5 yds to the TexSA 24Similar
Q1 9:57
3RD & 5
OWN 24
+16
75.8%
Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Cole Hubble for 16 yds to the TexSA 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+5
76.2%
Bogenschutz middle pass incomplete to Hubble (Wint), PENALTY FIU offside defense (Perine) 5 yards to the UTSA45, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 5
OWN 45
-5
76.0%
Bogenschutz sideline pass complete to Williams for 55 yards to the FIU0, clock 08:30, PENALTY UTSA illegal formation (Walker) 5 yards to the UTSA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
75.8%
Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Miles Lerch, broken up by Jeremiah McKinnonSimilar
Q1 8:30
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+5
75.7%
Blake Bogenschutz pass complete to Brandon Armstrong for 5 yds to the TexSA 45Similar
Q1 8:30
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+4
75.8%
Blake Bogenschutz run for 4 yds to the TexSA 49Similar
Q1 8:30
4TH & 1
OWN 49
0
75.7%
Kristian Stern punt for 22 yds, downed at the FlaIn 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 5FUMBLE
5 plays · 17 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
74.9%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 7
OWN 32
+3
74.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q1 7:13
3RD & 4
OWN 35
+7
74.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 7 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:13
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
74.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn ColemanSimilar
Q1 7:13
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+4
74.7%
Alex McGough run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 46 Alex McGough fumbled, forced by Robert Singletary, recovered by TexSA Robert SingletarySimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:0076% → 75%
Q1 5:37
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-1
75.5%
Kam Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 5:37
2ND & 11
OPP 47
0
75.4%
Blake Bogenschutz run for no gain to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q1 5:37
3RD & 11
OPP 47
0
74.9%
Blake Bogenschutz pass incomplete to Aaron Grubb, broken up by Josh GlantonSimilar
Q1 5:37
4TH & 11
OPP 47
0
74.5%
Kristian Stern punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaIn 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 7INT
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0026% → 27%
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
74.4%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 8
OWN 10
0
74.3%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Fred PorterSimilar
Q1 4:22
3RD & 8
OWN 10
+14
74.6%
Alex McGough pass complete to Fred Porter for 14 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
74.2%
Alex McGough run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 32Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+6
73.7%
Anthon Samuel run for 6 yds to the FlaIn 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
73.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Fred Porter for 15 yds to the TexSA 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:22
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+1
73.3%
Alex McGough run for 1 yd to the TexSA 46Similar
Q1 4:22
2ND & 9
OPP 46
+15
73.3%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Michael Egwuagu return for 15 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 8FUMBLE
3 plays · -21 yds · 0:0075% → 74%
Q1 1:32
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
74.9%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 1:32
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
74.9%
Jarveon Williams run for no gain to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q1 1:32
3RD & 10
OPP 44
+14
74.2%
Austin Robinson sacked by Giovani Francois for 0 yards to the TexSA 21 Austin Robinson fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Denzell Perine , return for 0 yards , return for 14 yds to the TexSA 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 9FG
4 plays · -5 yds · 1:0429% → 29%
Q1 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-3
70.9%
Alex McGough sacked by Robert Singletary for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 13
OPP 24
-2
71.1%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexSA 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 26
0
72.1%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Fred Porter, broken up by Crosby Adams IIISimilar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 15
OPP 26
+43
71.2%
Austin Taylor 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 71%
Q2 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 29
-5
71.2%
TEXASSAN Penalty, false start (Cole Hubble) to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 14:11
1ST & 15
OWN 24
0
71.0%
David Glasco II run for no gain to the TexSA 24Similar
Q2 14:11
2ND & 15
OWN 24
+10
70.9%
Austin Robinson run for 10 yds to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 14:11
3RD & 5
OWN 34
0
70.8%
Austin Robinson run for no gain to the TexSA 34Similar
Q2 14:11
4TH & 5
OWN 34
0
70.6%
Kristian Stern punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -16 yds · 0:5530% → 29%
Q2 12:05
1ST & 10
OWN 22
0
69.7%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:05
2ND & 10
OWN 22
-6
69.8%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 6 yards to the FlaIn 4 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Jason Neill, recovered by FlaIn Alex GardnerSimilar
Q2 11:10
3RD & 28
OWN 4
+2
70.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 6Similar
Q2 11:10
4TH & 26
OWN 6
+10
71.4%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 48 yds , Aaron Grubb returns for 10 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:0072% → 71%
Q2 10:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-1
72.1%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 45Similar
Q2 10:20
2ND & 11
OPP 45
0
71.8%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Cole HubbleSimilar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 11
OPP 45
+5
70.7%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense (Michael Wakefield) to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 10:20
3RD & 6
OPP 40
0
71.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kenny Bias for no gain to the FlaIn 40Similar
Q2 10:20
4TH & 6
OPP 40
0
71.1%
Kristian Stern punt for 26 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 13PUNT
10 plays · 22 yds · 1:4631% → 31%
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+3
68.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 17Similar
Q2 9:16
2ND & 7
OWN 17
+7
68.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:16
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
68.7%
Anthon Samuel run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlaIn 23Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+27
67.9%
Anthon Samuel run for 12 yds to the FlaIn 35 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (Drew Douglas) to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:30
1ST & 10
50
+1
65.3%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 7:30
2ND & 9
OPP 49
+3
65.5%
Alex McGough pass complete to Anthon Samuel for 3 yds to the TexSA 46Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 6
OPP 46
-5
65.5%
FLORIDA INTL Penalty, false start (Anthon Samuel) to the FlaIn 49Similar
Q2 7:30
3RD & 11
OWN 49
-10
66.6%
Alex McGough sacked by Robert Singletary for a loss of 10 yards to the FlaIn 36 Alex McGough fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Aaron Nielsen , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q2 7:30
4TH & 24
OWN 36
-4
68.6%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 32 yds , Justin Chavez returns for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 28 Justin Chavez fumbled, recovered by FlaIn Niko GonzalezSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 14TD
4 plays · 28 yds · 1:3337% → 47%
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+8
63.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 8 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q2 4:57
2ND & 2
OPP 20
+4
63.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 4 yds to the TexSA 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:57
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
63.4%
Anthon Samuel run for 1 yd to the TexSA 15Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 9
OPP 15
+15
52.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 15 yds for a TD, (Austin Taylor KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 15TD
12 plays · 74 yds · 2:4556% → 68%
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
56.1%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 28Similar
Q2 3:24
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+9
56.1%
Brandon Armstrong run for 9 yds to the TexSA 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+18
56.4%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kam Jones for 18 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-6
58.0%
Austin Robinson run for 9 yds to the TexSA 36 TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the TexSA 49Similar
Q2 3:24
1ST & 16
OWN 49
+37
56.9%
Austin Robinson run for 37 yds to the FlaIn 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+4
56.8%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 4 yds to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q2 1:43
2ND & 6
OPP 10
+7
56.8%
Kam Jones run for 7 yds to the FlaIn 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:43
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
57.1%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 2Similar
Q2 0:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
68.3%
Jarveon Williams 2 Yd Run (Sean Ianno Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · 3 yds · 0:0039% → 39%
Q2 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
61.3%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 22 yds · 0:5463% → 59%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
63.2%
David Glasco II run for no gain to the TexSA 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+28
63.0%
Brandon Armstrong run for 28 yds to the TEXASSAN 37 for a 1ST down FLORIDA INTL Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:06
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
64.4%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Kenny HarrisonSimilar
Q3 14:06
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+2
64.1%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 35Similar
Q3 14:06
3RD & 8
OPP 35
-8
63.8%
Austin Robinson sacked by Josh Glanton for a loss of 8 yards to the FlaIn 43Similar
Q3 14:06
4TH & 16
OPP 43
0
59.2%
Kristian Stern punt for 31 yds, fair catch by Richard Leonard at the FlaIn 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 18PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 38%
Q3 12:53
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+1
59.2%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 13Similar
Q3 12:53
2ND & 9
OWN 13
0
59.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Fred Porter, broken up by Robert SingletarySimilar
Q3 12:53
3RD & 9
OWN 13
0
60.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Jonnu Smith, broken up by Bennett OkotchaSimilar
Q3 12:53
4TH & 9
OWN 13
-3
61.6%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 55 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 19FG
8 plays · 46 yds · 3:5059% → 67%
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
59.0%
Treyvon Williams run for 2 yds to the TexSA 31Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+2
59.0%
Austin Robinson run for 2 yds to the TexSA 33Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 6
OWN 33
+15
58.1%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Josiah Monroe for 15 yds to the TexSA 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+19
62.3%
Kam Jones run for 19 yds to the FlaIn 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:58
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+2
64.0%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 2 yds to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q3 11:58
2ND & 8
OPP 31
+5
64.0%
David Glasco II run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 26Similar
Q3 11:58
3RD & 3
OPP 26
+1
62.4%
Austin Robinson run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 8:08
4TH & 2
OPP 25
+42
67.4%
Sean Ianno 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 20FUMBLE
11 plays · 72 yds · 1:4638% → 46%
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
62.4%
Alex McGough run for no gain to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+12
62.8%
Alex McGough pass complete to Jonnu Smith for 12 yds to the FlaIn 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:08
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
60.9%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 39Similar
Q3 8:08
2ND & 8
OWN 39
0
60.0%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Alex GardnerSimilar
Q3 8:08
3RD & 8
OWN 39
+43
61.2%
Alex McGough pass complete to Glenn Coleman for 43 yds to the TexSA 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+9
54.8%
Alex Gardner run for 9 yds to the TexSA 9Similar
Q3 6:22
2ND & 1
OPP 9
+4
54.8%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the TexSA 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+3
54.8%
Alex Gardner run for 2 yds to the TexSA 3 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (Drew Douglas) to the TexSA 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
54.5%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the TexSA 3 Alex Gardner fumbled, forced by Triston Wade, recovered by TexSA Triston WadeSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 21FUMBLE
8 plays · 64 yds · 0:0063% → 68%
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 3
+4
63.1%
David Glasco II run for 4 yds to the TexSA 7Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 6
OWN 7
+4
62.8%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kam Jones for 4 yds to the TexSA 11Similar
Q3 4:55
3RD & 2
OWN 11
+6
62.0%
Austin Robinson run for 6 yds to the TexSA 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 17
0
64.0%
Treyvon Williams run for no gain to the TexSA 17Similar
Q3 4:55
2ND & 10
OWN 17
+13
63.5%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brandon Armstrong for 13 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+22
64.3%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kenny Bias for 22 yds to the FlaIn 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+12
68.3%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kenny Harrison for 12 yds to the FlaIn 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+2
68.4%
Brandon Armstrong run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 33 Brandon Armstrong fumbled, forced by Richard Leonard, recovered by FlaIn Richard LeonardSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 22FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 5:0043% → 59%
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+4
56.9%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 37Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 6
OWN 37
+8
55.7%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the FlaIn 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:03
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+8
54.4%
Alex Gardner run for 8 yds to the TexSA 47Similar
Q3 1:03
2ND & 2
OPP 47
+5
52.7%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dennis Turner for 5 yds Dennis Turner fumbled, forced by Crosby Adams III, recovered by FlaIn N/A for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
52.4%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the TexSA 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+4
52.4%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the TexSA 35Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 35
+5
52.0%
Alex Gardner run for 5 yds to the TexSA 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+3
50.6%
Alex Gardner run for a loss of 12 yards to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST down TEXASSAN Penalty, personal foul (Crosby Adams III) to the TexSA 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
50.0%
Alex Gardner run for 7 yds to the TexSA 20Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+13
50.0%
Alex McGough run for 13 yds to the TexSA 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+1
50.0%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the TexSA 6Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
50.0%
Alex Gardner run for 3 yds to the TexSA 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-4
52.0%
Alex McGough sacked by Robert Singletary for a loss of 4 yards to the TexSA 7Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 7
+24
40.9%
Austin Taylor 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 23PUNT
14 plays · 23 yds · 1:5346% → 36%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-3
45.7%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Kam Jones for a loss of 3 yards to the TexSA 28Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 13
OWN 28
+14
44.3%
Austin Robinson run for 14 yds to the TexSA 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+18
49.3%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Aaron Grubb for 18 yds to the FlaIn 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 40
-2
43.7%
Austin Robinson pass complete to N/A for a loss of 2 yards to the FlaIn 42Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 12
OPP 42
+14
41.0%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Cole Hubble for 14 yds to the FlaIn 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:10
1ST & 10
OPP 28
-3
45.8%
Austin Robinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the FlaIn 31Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 13
OPP 31
-10
44.2%
Robinson sideline pass complete to Glasco II for 13 yards to the FIU18 (Dyson), PENALTY UTSA holding (Walker) 10 yards to the FIU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
2ND & 23
OPP 41
0
40.5%
Austin Robinson pass incomplete to Brandon ArmstrongSimilar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 23
OPP 41
+5
38.5%
Robinson middle pass incomplete (Glanton), PENALTY FIU offside defense (Francois,G) 5 yards to the FIU36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
3RD & 18
OPP 36
-5
39.1%
Kam Jones run for a loss of 5 yards to the FlaIn 41Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 23
OPP 41
-5
35.9%
Stern punt 27 yards to the FIU14, fair catch by Leonard, PENALTY UTSA illegal participation (Brown) 5 yards to the FIU46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 9:10
4TH & 28
OPP 46
0
35.9%
Kristian Stern punt for 39 yds, downed at the FlaIn 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0071% → 68%
Q4 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+1
28.9%
Alex Gardner run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 8Similar
Q4 5:59
2ND & 9
OWN 8
0
29.5%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Glenn Coleman, broken up by Bennett OkotchaSimilar
Q4 5:59
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+4
30.9%
Alex Gardner run for 4 yds to the FlaIn 12Similar
Q4 5:59
4TH & 5
OWN 12
+9
32.0%
Jose Laphitzondo punt for 44 yds , Kenny Harrison returns for 9 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 25FG
8 plays · 37 yds · 2:4444% → 59%
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
44.0%
Treyvon Williams run for 3 yds to the FlaIn 44Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+27
43.9%
Austin Robinson pass complete to Brandon Armstrong for 27 yds to the FlaIn 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+13
46.5%
Austin Robinson run for 13 yds to the FlaIn 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
46.5%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 4:38
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
46.5%
Austin Robinson run for no gain to the FlaIn 3Similar
Q4 4:38
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-7
42.7%
David Glasco II run for a loss of 7 yards to the FlaIn 10Similar
Q4 1:54
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+27
59.4%
Sean Ianno 27 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTSADrive 27FG
6 plays · 4 yds · 0:5766% → 91%
Q4 1:47
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
66.2%
David Glasco II run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 25Similar
Q4 1:47
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
66.2%
Treyvon Williams run for 1 yd to the FlaIn 24Similar
Q4 1:01
3RD & 8
OPP 24
+2
63.0%
Treyvon Williams run for 2 yds to the FlaIn 22Similar
Q4 0:50
4TH & 6
OPP 22
+39
90.9%
Sean Ianno 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FIUDrive 28INT
6 plays · 24 yds · 0:0012% → 15%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
87.6%
Alex McGough pass incomplete to Akil Dan-FodioSimilar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+19
87.9%
Alex McGough pass complete to Dominique Rhymes for 19 yds to the FlaIn 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+5
84.9%
Alex McGough run for 5 yds to the FlaIn 47Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 5
OWN 47
0
83.4%
Team pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 0:50
3RD & 5
OWN 47
0
84.7%
Alex McGough pass intercepted Triston Wade return for no gain to the TexSA 3Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:50
Sean Ianno 39 yd FG GOOD
+30.8
FG · Q4 1:54
Sean Ianno 27 yd FG GOOD
+26.9
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+15.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com