Try the model
UTEP

UTEP 3 at Louisiana Tech 55

LT
2014 · Week 6 · Oct 4, 2014 · Joe Aillet Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDFGFGTDFGTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 15:00 · Mike Ruggles punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 18 yds to the LaTch 47
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 5Home team on offense+0.0Pregame prior+31.1Score differential+0.0Blowout margin+0.0Garbage-time factor+0.0Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.0
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:42: Cody Sokol run for 32 yds for a TD (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +4.1 pts (now 85%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 9:39: Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 69 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +6.8 pts (now 92%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 5:08: Le'Vander Liggins 54 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jonathan Barnes Kick) — LT win probability +6.7 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 0:22: Jay Mattox 36 yd FG GOOD — UTEP win probability +10.9 pts (now 14%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  5. FG · Q3 9:07: Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +1.3 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5UTEP made the numbers' call on 7 of 8
  1. Q1 15:00UTEP 4th & 3 at UTEP 29, tied
    Close callPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    19.0%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:59UTEP 4th & 20 at UTEP 9, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 18.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    18.7%−0.2
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    18.9%
    average punt
  3. Q2 5:08UTEP 4th & 10 at LT 10, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.9%−0.5
    24% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    7.4%
    88% to make
    Punt
    4.2%−3.2
    average punt
  4. Q2 0:22UTEP 4th & 3 at LT 18, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 2.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.6
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    2.5%
    79% to make
    Punt
    -1.4%−3.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 0:05LT 4th & 3 at LT 36, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.0%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    95.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q3 15:00LT 4th & 1 at UTEP 39, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.5%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    95.4%−1.2
    36% to make
    Punt
    95.6%−1.0
    average punt
  7. Q3 9:07LT 4th & 13 at UTEP 28, up 25
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.6%−0.5
    20% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.1%
    60% to make
    Punt
    96.4%−1.7
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:47UTEP 4th & 9 at UTEP 21, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:47LT 4th & 7 at UTEP 22, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%
    72% to make
    Punt
    99.1%−0.4
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00UTEP 4th & 26 at UTEP 25, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.2
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  11. Q4 10:10LT 4th & 8 at UTEP 24, up 45
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 10:10UTEP 4th & 19 at UTEP 15, down 45
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.0%−0.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:20UTEP 4th & 7 at UTEP 33, down 52
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 7 of 7
  1. Q1 9:59LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:42LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    84.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    84.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 9:39LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 5:08LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 8:47LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:28LT Touchdown, up 44 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 3:20LT Touchdown, up 51 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+6
81.1%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 4
OWN 28
-6
81.1%
Jameill Showers sacked by Aaron Brown for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 22
+7
81.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jaquan White for 7 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OWN 29
+18
81.1%
Mike Ruggles punt for 42 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 18 yds to the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 2:4181% → 81%
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+2
80.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 8
OWN 49
+15
80.7%
Cody Sokol run for 15 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+3
80.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 7
OPP 33
0
80.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:40
3RD & 7
OPP 33
+14
80.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 14 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:40
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+8
80.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 12:40
2ND & 2
OPP 11
+7
80.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the UTEP 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 8 yds · 0:0019% → 19%
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+2
80.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 3Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 8
OPP 0
+16
80.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for 16 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:59
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-1
80.9%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 18Similar
Q1 9:59
2ND & 11
OWN 18
-13
80.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 13 yards to the UTEP 5Similar
Q1 9:59
3RD & 24
OWN 5
+4
81.1%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 9Similar
Q1 9:59
4TH & 20
OWN 9
+3
81.1%
Mike Ruggles punt for 54 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 3 yds to the LaTch 12 LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, illegal block (N/A) to the LaTch 30Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4INT
8 plays · 45 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
80.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+27
80.9%
Carlos Henderson run for 27 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+4
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 6
OPP 37
+5
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 1
OPP 32
+6
81.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:21
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
81.4%
Tevin King run for 7 yds to the UTEP 19Similar
Q1 6:21
2ND & 3
OPP 19
-1
81.4%
Tevin King run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 20Similar
Q1 6:21
3RD & 4
OPP 20
-5
81.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Joseph Brunson) to the UTEP 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5INT
6 plays · 25 yds · 1:5520% → 20%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
80.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for no gain to the UTEP 1Similar
Q1 1:55
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+1
80.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 1 yd to the UTEP 2Similar
Q1 1:55
3RD & 9
OWN 2
+23
80.8%
Aaron Jones run for 23 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
80.3%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-1
80.1%
Nathan Jeffery run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 26Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 26
+2
80.5%
Jameill Showers pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
2 plays · 33 yds · 0:3581% → 85%
Q2 14:17
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+1
81.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 9
OPP 32
+32
85.4%
Cody Sokol run for 32 yds for a TD (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7INT
7 plays · 49 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 14
-5
83.9%
Jameill Showers run for a loss of 5 yards to the UTEP 9Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 15
OWN 9
+1
84.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 10Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 14
OWN 10
+53
84.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 53 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
83.3%
Autrey Golden run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 13:42
2ND & 12
OPP 39
+2
83.6%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 13:42
3RD & 10
OPP 37
+8
83.6%
Jameill Showers pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for 8 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8TD
2 plays · 71 yds · 0:3086% → 92%
Q2 10:09
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
85.6%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+69
92.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 69 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9MISSED FG TD
14 plays · 57 yds · 4:319% → 3%
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-3
91.0%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 13
OWN 30
0
91.3%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & 13
OWN 30
+13
91.4%
Autrey Golden run for 13 yds to the UTEP 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+21
90.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Malcolm Trail for 21 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
90.6%
Autrey Golden run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+11
90.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 11 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-5
90.2%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (-5 Yards) to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 9:39
1ST & 15
OPP 30
0
90.6%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Malcolm TrailSimilar
Q2 9:39
2ND & 15
OPP 30
+20
90.7%
Aaron Jones run for 10 yds to the LaTch 20 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (C.J. Cleveland) to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.2%
Aaron Jones run for no gain to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 9:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 9:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 10
0
90.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey Golden, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q2 5:08
4TH & GOAL
OPP 10
+54
97.4%
Le'Vander Liggins 54 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jonathan Barnes Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 10FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 4:383% → 14%
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
97.0%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 1
OWN 38
0
96.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for no gain to the UTEP 38Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+3
96.6%
Jameill Showers run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
96.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+6
96.9%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+13
96.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Josh Bell for 13 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
96.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 15 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
96.5%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 1 yd to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 5:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+4
96.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 4 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q2 5:00
3RD & 5
OPP 20
+2
96.5%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jaquan White for 2 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q2 0:22
4TH & 3
OPP 18
+36
86.2%
Jay Mattox 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 7 yds · 1:0795% → 97%
Q2 1:12
3RD & 10
OWN 29
+7
94.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q2 0:22
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 0:22
2ND & 10
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q2 0:05
4TH & 3
OWN 36
0
96.6%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FG
17 plays · 41 yds · 5:5397% → 99%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
96.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the LaTch 31Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+21
96.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 21 yds to the UTEP 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
97.0%
Cody Sokol run for 8 yds to the UTEP 40Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+1
96.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 39
0
96.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the UTEP 39Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 39
+2
96.6%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
97.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 33
0
97.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 33
+5
97.0%
SOKOL, Cody pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Trent, PENALTY UTEP offside 5 yards to the UTEP28, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+3
96.9%
Cody Sokol run for no gain to the UTEP 25 Cody Sokol fumbled, recovered by LaTch Cody Sokol for a 1ST down , return for 3 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
98.3%
DIXON,Kenneth rush for no gain to the UTEP25, clock 09:53, PENALTY LATECH holding (CARTER, Tre) 10 yards to the UTEP35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 9:53
1ST & 20
OPP 35
+2
98.3%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q3 9:53
2ND & 18
OPP 33
0
98.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q3 9:53
3RD & 18
OPP 33
0
98.2%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q3 9:53
4TH & 18
OPP 33
+5
98.0%
UTEP Penalty, substitution infraction (5 Yards) to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 9:07
4TH & 13
OPP 28
+45
99.4%
Jonathan Barnes 45 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 13FUMBLE
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 9:07
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
99.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for no gain Eric Tomlinson fumbled, forced by Tony Johnson, recovered by LaTch Houston Bates , return for 12 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
1 play · 20 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
99.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 20 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
99.4%
Nathan Jeffery run for no gain to the UTEP 20Similar
Q3 8:47
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+1
99.4%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 21Similar
Q3 8:47
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
99.4%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q3 8:47
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+21
99.5%
Mike Ruggles punt for 44 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 21 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16FG
5 plays · 22 yds · 1:48100% → 100%
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+19
99.5%
Marcus Gaines run for 19 yds to the UTEP 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:35
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
99.5%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the UTEP 23Similar
Q3 7:35
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+1
99.5%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 7:35
3RD & 7
OPP 22
0
99.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 5:47
4TH & 7
OPP 22
+39
99.6%
Jonathan Barnes 39 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 17FUMBLE
6 plays · 29 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
99.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 22Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+9
99.7%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:47
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+1
99.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 5:47
2ND & 9
OWN 32
+5
99.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the UTEP 37Similar
Q3 5:47
3RD & 4
OWN 37
+13
99.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 13 yds Aaron Jones fumbled, forced by Kentrell Brice, recovered by LaTch Tyler Porter , return to the 50 yard line , return for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18TD
4 plays · 50 yds · 1:19100% → 100%
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
50
+31
99.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 31 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:47
1ST & 10
OPP 19
0
99.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q3 2:47
2ND & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18Similar
Q3 1:28
3RD & 9
OPP 18
+18
99.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Marcus Gaines for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 19PUNT
8 plays · -4 yds · 1:280% → 0%
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+9
99.8%
Jameill Showers run for 9 yds to the UTEP 38Similar
Q3 1:28
2ND & 1
OWN 38
+3
99.8%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:28
1ST & 10
OWN 41
-7
99.8%
Jameill Showers sacked by Secdrick Cooper for a loss of 7 yards to the UTEP 34Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 17
OWN 34
-4
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 30
-5
99.9%
UTEP Penalty, false start (Will Hernandez) to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 26
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Eric TomlinsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 26
OWN 25
+18
99.9%
Mike Ruggles punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 45 , Trent Taylor returns for 18 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 20MISSED FG
7 plays · 31 yds · 3:31100% → 100%
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+7
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 7 yds to the UTEP 48Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 3
OPP 48
+22
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 22 yds to the UTEP 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+1
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 25Similar
Q4 13:41
2ND & 9
OPP 25
+1
99.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the UTEP 24Similar
Q4 10:22
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
99.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
99.9%
Jonathan Barnes 41 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:10
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+2
99.9%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 26Similar
Q4 10:10
2ND & 8
OWN 26
0
99.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 10:10
3RD & 8
OWN 26
-11
99.9%
Jameill Showers sacked by Deldrick Canty for a loss of 11 yards to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 10:10
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Mike Ruggles punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 22TD
8 plays · 61 yds · 5:08100% → 100%
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+5
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 44Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 5
OWN 44
+5
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+14
99.9%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Hunter Lee for 14 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+7
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q4 8:28
2ND & 3
OPP 30
+1
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UTEP 29Similar
Q4 8:28
3RD & 2
OPP 29
+10
99.9%
Taylor Burch run for 10 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:28
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+1
99.9%
Jarred Craft run for 1 yd to the UTEP 18Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 9
OPP 18
+18
100.0%
Jarred Craft run for 18 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
100.0%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the UTEP 33Similar
Q4 3:20
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Jarrad ShawSimilar
Q4 3:20
3RD & 7
OWN 33
0
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Aaron Jones, broken up by Mike SchrangSimilar
Q4 3:20
4TH & 7
OWN 33
+2
100.0%
Mike Ruggles punt for 52 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 17 , Trent Taylor returns for 2 yds to the LaTch 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24FUMBLE
2 plays · 4 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
100.0%
Tevin King run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 2:17
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+5
100.0%
Tevin King run for 5 yds to the LaTch 21 Tevin King fumbled, forced by Roy Robertson-Harris, recovered by UTEP Wesley MillerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 25INT
3 plays · 3 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-2
100.0%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 1:18
2ND & 12
OPP 23
+5
100.0%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the LaTch 18Similar
Q4 1:18
3RD & 7
OPP 18
+7
100.0%
Jameill Showers pass intercepted Colby Brown return for 7 yds to the LaTch 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q2 0:22
Jay Mattox 36 yd FG GOOD
-10.9
TD · Q2 9:39
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 69 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
+6.8
TD · Q2 5:08
Le'Vander Liggins 54 Yd Return of Blocked Field Goal (Jonathan Barnes Kick)
+6.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com