Try the model
MRSH

Marshall 48 at Akron 17

AKR
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · InfoCision Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · AKR
modelAKR aheadMRSH aheadconfidence bandkey playAKR scoreMRSH score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDFGTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 8:27 · Kyle Pohl pass intercepted A.J. Leggett return for no gain to the Marsh 0
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.5+28.80−28.8−57.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 77Home team on offense−15.5Pregame prior−23.2Score differential−8.2Garbage-time factor−2.8Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.7Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:53: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 24 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.7 pts (now 84%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 14:52: Devon Johnson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.8 pts (now 88%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 10:16: Robert Stein 24 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +0.6 pts (now 87%) (top driver: AKR has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 8:14: Remi Watson run for 80 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.7 pts (now 90%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 12:42: Rakeem Cato run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +3.1 pts (now 98%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
AKR made the numbers' call on 7 of 9MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00AKR 4th & 10 at MRSH 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%−<0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    21.8%−<0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    21.9%
    average punt
  2. Q1 5:00MRSH 4th & 4 at AKR 7, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 76.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.5%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    76.4%−0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    74.7%−1.8
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:00AKR 4th & 10 at AKR 25, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 23.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    23.0%−0.2
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    23.2%
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:52MRSH 4th & 1 at AKR 22, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 82.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    82.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    80.8%−1.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    77.2%−4.9
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:16AKR 4th & 3 at MRSH 7, down 24
    Close callKicked a field goal · 14.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.4%
    46% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    13.8%−0.6
    91% to make
    Punt
    9.8%−4.5
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:27AKR 4th & 4 at MRSH 4, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 13.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    14.0%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    13.7%−0.3
    93% to make
    Punt
    11.1%−2.9
    average punt
  7. Q2 6:05MRSH 4th & 3 at MRSH 16, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.9%−<0.1
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  8. Q2 4:32AKR 4th & 9 at AKR 36, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    6.5%−0.1
    31% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 2:40MRSH 4th & 6 at MRSH 17, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.6%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    92.7%
    average punt
  10. Q2 1:05AKR 4th & 12 at MRSH 40, down 28
    Close callPunted · 4.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.1%−<0.1
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    4.2%
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    4.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  11. Q3 12:34AKR 4th & 3 at MRSH 28, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.4%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    2.3%−0.1
    60% to make
    Punt
    1.7%−0.6
    average punt
  12. Q3 4:26MRSH 4th & 6 at AKR 16, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−<0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    98.4%
    81% to make
    Punt
    98.0%−0.4
    average punt
  13. Q3 4:24AKR 4th & 25 at AKR 39, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.6%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  14. Q4 13:46MRSH 4th & 30 at MRSH 37, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.2%−0.2
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.4%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:43AKR 4th & 11 at AKR 32, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.3%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.5%
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:21MRSH 4th & 7 at MRSH 26, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
AKR made the numbers' call on 2 of 2MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q1 9:48MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    76.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:53MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    80.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:52MRSH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    85.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    85.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 8:14MRSH Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 12:42MRSH Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 8:03AKR Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:07MRSH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 1:36AKR Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AKRDrive 1PUNT
10 plays · 36 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+12
18.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Hakeem Lawrence for 12 yds to the Akron 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
18.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 3 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 40
-5
18.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 35Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 35
+15
18.1%
POHL, Kyle pass incomplete to SMITH, L.T., PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+11
18.1%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 11 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
18.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 39
0
18.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OPP 39
0
18.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 10
OPP 39
0
18.1%
Zach Paul punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
10 plays · 80 yds · 3:0481% → 81%
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
19.1%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+9
19.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 9 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
19.1%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete to SHULER, Tommy, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 10 yards to the MARSHALL41, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+18
19.0%
Devon Johnson run for 18 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+3
19.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 3 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 12:52
2ND & 7
OPP 38
+7
19.0%
Devon Johnson run for 7 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
18.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Devon Johnson for 10 yds to the Akron 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+10
18.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 10 yds to the Akron 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:52
1ST & 10
OPP 11
0
18.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler, broken up by John SenterSimilar
Q1 9:48
2ND & 10
OPP 11
+11
19.1%
Rakeem Cato run for 11 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 3FUMBLE
3 plays · 17 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+16
19.5%
Kyle Pohl run for 16 yds to the Akron 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:48
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
19.7%
Hakeem Lawrence run for no gain to the Akron 42 Hakeem Lawrence fumbled, forced by Arnold Blackmon, recovered by Marsh Antavis RoweSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4FG
12 plays · 35 yds · 4:1981% → 80%
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+4
19.2%
Remi Watson run for 4 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 6
OPP 38
0
19.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 9:19
3RD & 6
OPP 38
+10
19.3%
Remi Watson run for 10 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
19.2%
Rakeem Cato run for 3 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 9:19
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+2
19.2%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the Akron 23Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 5
OPP 23
-10
19.1%
JOHNSON, Devon rush for 7 yards to the AKRON16 (MORGAN, Devonte), PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the AKRON33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 15
OPP 33
+20
19.4%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 20 yds to the Akron 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
19.0%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Akron 10Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 7
OPP 10
+3
19.0%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Akron 7Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 7
0
19.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 4
OPP 7
+24
19.6%
Justin Haig 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 5PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:0020% → 19%
Q1 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
19.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
19.6%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 20Similar
Q1 5:00
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+5
19.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 5 yds to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 5:00
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
19.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Andrew PrattSimilar
Q1 5:00
4TH & 10
OWN 25
+25
19.4%
Zach Paul punt for 20 yds, downed at the Marsh 45 MARSHALL Penalty, sideline interference (5 Yards) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 1:1181% → 84%
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
50
+25
19.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 25 yds to the Akron 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:04
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
19.3%
Remi Watson run for 1 yd to the Akron 24Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+24
15.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 24 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 7INT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:0016% → 16%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Manny Morgan run for no gain to the Akron 25Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
16.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+5
16.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Akron 30Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+7
16.2%
Kyle Pohl pass intercepted Tiquan Lang return for 7 yds to the Akron 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8TD
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:0985% → 88%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+9
15.3%
Devon Johnson run for 9 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 1
OPP 39
0
15.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete, broken up by Nordly CapiSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 1
OPP 39
+8
15.3%
Devon Johnson run for 8 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
15.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 10
OPP 31
-15
15.3%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete to FROHNAPFEL, E. (EVANS, Dylan), PENALTY MARSHALL face mask 15 yards to the AKRON46, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 25
OPP 46
+5
15.4%
CATO, Rakeem pass complete to JEAN-LOUIS, A. for 11 yards to the AKRON35 (GIVENS, Kris), PENALTY AKRON offside 5 yards to the AKRON41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 2:01
2ND & 20
OPP 41
0
15.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q1 2:01
3RD & 20
OPP 41
+19
15.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 19 yds to the Akron 22Similar
Q2 14:52
4TH & 1
OPP 22
+22
11.7%
Devon Johnson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 9FG
11 plays · 68 yds · 4:3013% → 13%
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
12.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 11 yds to the Akron 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+22
13.1%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Keith Sconiers for 7 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
13.5%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 6 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 4
OPP 36
+12
13.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 12 yds to the Marsh 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 24
+7
13.7%
D.J. Jones run for 7 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 3
OPP 17
+3
13.7%
D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Marsh 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:46
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
13.7%
D.J. Jones run for 3 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 14:46
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+6
13.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 6 yds to the Marsh 5Similar
Q2 14:46
3RD & 1
OPP 5
-2
13.6%
D.J. Jones run for a loss of 2 yards to the Marsh 7Similar
Q2 10:16
4TH & 3
OPP 7
+24
13.0%
Robert Stein 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0089% → 89%
Q2 10:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
10.7%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted Kris Givens return for no gain to the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 11INT
6 plays · 32 yds · 1:3913% → 12%
Q2 10:06
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+32
13.0%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 32 yds to the Marsh 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
0
13.2%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to D.J. JonesSimilar
Q2 10:06
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+1
13.2%
D.J. Jones run for 1 yd to the Marsh 3Similar
Q2 10:06
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
-1
13.0%
Kyle Pohl run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 4Similar
Q2 8:27
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
0
12.0%
Kyle Pohl pass intercepted A.J. Leggett return for no gain to the Marsh 0Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12TD
1 play · 80 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+80
10.3%
Remi Watson run for 80 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 13FUMBLE
9 plays · 61 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+5
5.9%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 5 yds to the Akron 40Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 5
OWN 40
+14
5.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 14 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
6.2%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 9 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+6
5.9%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 6 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
6.3%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
6.1%
Kyle Pohl pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 8:14
3RD & 10
OWN 0
+13
5.5%
PENALTY MARSHALL offside 5 yards to the MARSHALL26, PENALTY MARSHALL personal foul 13 yards to the MARSHALL13, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:14
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+2
6.3%
Hakeem Lawrence run for 2 yds to the Marsh 9 Hakeem Lawrence fumbled, forced by James Rouse, recovered by Marsh Tiquan LangSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q2 6:05
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+2
9.9%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 6:05
2ND & 8
OWN 11
+5
10.0%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 6:05
3RD & 3
OWN 16
0
9.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q2 6:05
4TH & 3
OWN 16
0
10.0%
Tyler Williams punt for 49 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:005% → 4%
Q2 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+7
4.6%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 7 yds to the Akron 42Similar
Q2 4:32
2ND & 3
OWN 42
-6
4.4%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Joe Massaquoi for a loss of 6 yards to the Akron 36Similar
Q2 4:32
3RD & 9
OWN 36
0
4.3%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Keith SconiersSimilar
Q2 4:32
4TH & 9
OWN 36
+50
4.3%
Zach Paul punt for 50 yds , Hyleck Foster returns for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:2991% → 88%
Q2 3:09
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
9.3%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 3:09
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+4
9.3%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 17Similar
Q2 2:40
3RD & 6
OWN 17
0
11.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/A MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 2:40
4TH & 6
OWN 17
0
11.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 38 yds, downed at the Akron 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 17PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 1:185% → 3%
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
4.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 3 yds to the Akron 48Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 7
OWN 48
0
4.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 7
OWN 48
+14
4.5%
Kyle Pohl run for 14 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:23
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
4.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 10
OPP 38
-15
4.6%
POHL, Kyle pass complete to PRATT, Andrew for 21 yards to the MARSHALL17, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 2:23
2ND & 25
OWN 47
+8
4.7%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 8 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 17
OPP 45
+5
4.7%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the Marsh 40Similar
Q2 2:23
3RD & 12
OPP 40
0
4.5%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Fransohn BickleySimilar
Q2 1:05
4TH & 12
OPP 40
0
2.6%
Zach Paul punt for 40 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q2 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-1
5.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 19Similar
Q2 0:58
2ND & 11
OWN 19
-1
5.9%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 18Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
10 plays · 75 yds · 2:1894% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
5.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 9 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 1
OWN 34
+6
5.1%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
5.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+4
5.5%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 6
OWN 44
+12
5.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 12 yds to the Akron 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
5.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+21
5.3%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, personal foul (15 Yards) to the Akron 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+15
5.2%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete to SHULER, Tommy, PENALTY AKRON pass interference 15 yards to the AKRON13, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:42
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
2.0%
Rakeem Cato run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 20DOWNS
7 plays · 22 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
50
0
2.3%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 10
50
+15
2.2%
POHL, Kyle sacked for loss of 5 yards to the AKRON45 (DANIEL, Armonze), PENALTY MARSHALL face mask 15 yards to the MARSHALL35, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
2.4%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Fransohn Bickley for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q3 12:34
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
2.4%
Manny Morgan run for 2 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q3 12:34
3RD & 3
OPP 28
0
2.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q3 12:34
4TH & 3
OPP 28
0
2.4%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to Keith Sconiers, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21FG
15 plays · 56 yds · 6:2898% → 99%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
1.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+5
1.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 5 yds to the Marsh 36Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 2
OWN 36
+9
1.9%
Remi Watson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+9
1.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Justin Hunt for 9 yds to the Akron 46Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 1
OPP 46
-5
1.8%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OWN 49
-4
1.8%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Dylan Evans for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 45Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 10
OWN 45
+12
1.9%
Remi Watson run for 12 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
1.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 4 yds to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+8
1.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 8 yds to the Akron 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
1.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Justin Hunt for 11 yds to the Akron 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+4
1.8%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Akron 16Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 6
OPP 16
0
1.7%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:39
3RD & 6
OPP 16
0
0.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q3 4:26
4TH & 6
OPP 16
+33
1.1%
Justin Haig 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 22PUNT
8 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+6
0.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to Andrew Pratt for 6 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 4
OWN 45
+9
0.8%
Kyle Pohl pass complete to L.T. Smith for 9 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
0.9%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-5
0.8%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Akron 49Similar
Q3 4:24
2ND & 15
OWN 49
-10
0.8%
Kyle Pohl sacked by Ra'Shawde Myers for a loss of 10 yards to the Akron 39Similar
Q3 4:24
3RD & 25
OWN 39
0
0.7%
Kyle Pohl pass incomplete to D.J. JonesSimilar
Q3 4:24
4TH & 25
OWN 39
0
0.7%
Zach Paul punt for 61 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23PUNT
9 plays · 17 yds · 3:2899% → 99%
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
0.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 2 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q3 2:14
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
0.7%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
Q3 2:14
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+30
0.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 30 yds to the Akron 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:14
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+5
0.6%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Akron 38Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 38
-15
0.5%
CATO, Rakeem pass complete to FOSTER, Hyleck for 30 yards to the AKRON8, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference 15 yards to the MARSHALL47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 47
-6
0.5%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 6 yards to the Marsh 37 Devon Johnson fumbled, forced by Jatavis Brown, recovered by MarshSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 30
OWN 37
0
0.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Remi WatsonSimilar
Q4 13:46
4TH & 30
OWN 37
0
0.8%
Tyler Williams punt for 43 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Akron 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 12 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+13
0.3%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 13 yds to the Akron 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:43
1ST & 10
OWN 33
-1
0.3%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Akron 32Similar
Q4 13:43
2ND & 11
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q4 13:43
3RD & 11
OWN 32
0
0.3%
Tommy Woodson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 13:43
4TH & 11
OWN 32
+45
0.3%
Zach Paul punt for 35 yds, downed at the AKRON 33 MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the Marsh 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q4 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
0.6%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 12:21
2ND & 10
OWN 23
+3
0.6%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
Q4 12:21
3RD & 7
OWN 26
0
0.6%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Justin HuntSimilar
Q4 12:21
4TH & 7
OWN 26
+1
0.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 52 yds , Imani Davis returns for 1 yd to the Akron 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 26TD
11 plays · 77 yds · 3:120% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+3
0.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to N/A for 3 yds to the Akron 26Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 7
OWN 26
+5
0.2%
Manny Morgan run for 5 yds to the Akron 31Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 2
OWN 31
+5
0.2%
WOODSON, Tommy pass incomplete to TRAYLOR-BENN.,M, PENALTY MARSHALL offside 5 yards to the AKRON36, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
0.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Zach D'Orazio for 9 yds to the Akron 45Similar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 1
OWN 45
+8
0.2%
Manny Morgan run for 8 yds to the Marsh 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
0.2%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Zach D'OrazioSimilar
Q4 9:19
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+12
0.2%
Manny Morgan run for 12 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+15
0.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 15 yds to the Marsh 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:19
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+9
0.2%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 9 yds to the Marsh 11Similar
Q4 8:03
2ND & 1
OPP 11
+11
0.2%
Manny Morgan run for 11 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27TD
10 plays · 70 yds · 3:51100% → 100%
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
0.3%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 8 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 2
OWN 38
-7
0.3%
TEAM run for a loss of 7 yards to the Marsh 31 TEAM fumbled, recovered by Marsh N/ASimilar
Q4 7:58
3RD & 9
OWN 31
+18
0.3%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 18 yds to the Marsh 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+17
0.3%
Brandon Byrd run for 17 yds to the Akron 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
0.3%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Hyleck FosterSimilar
Q4 7:58
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+20
0.3%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Josh Knight for 6 yds to the Akron 28 for a 1ST down AKRON Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (14 Yards) to the Akron 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 10
OPP 14
-5
0.3%
MARSHALL Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the Akron 19Similar
Q4 7:58
1ST & 15
OPP 19
0
0.3%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Josh KnightSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 15
OPP 19
+19
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AKRDrive 28TD
12 plays · 80 yds · 2:310% → 0%
Q4 4:07
4TH & 16
OPP 34
+10
0.1%
WOODSON, Tommy pass incomplete to WOLF, Austin, PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the MARSHALL24, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 24
0
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Imani DavisSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+8
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 8 yds to the Akron 43Similar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 2
OWN 43
+10
0.1%
WOODSON, Tommy pass incomplete to DAVIS, Imani (GANT, Kendall), PENALTY MARSHALL holding 10 yards to the MARSHALL47, 1ST DOWN AKRON, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+19
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Imani Davis for 19 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:07
1ST & 10
OPP 28
0
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-BennettSimilar
Q4 4:07
2ND & 10
OPP 28
-1
0.1%
Manny Morgan run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 29Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 11
OPP 29
-5
0.1%
AKRON Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 34Similar
Q4 4:07
3RD & 16
OPP 34
0
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass incomplete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett, broken up by Rodney AllenSimilar
Q4 1:36
3RD & 10
OPP 24
+24
0.1%
Tommy Woodson pass complete to Mykel Traylor-Bennett for 24 yds for a TD, (Robert Stein KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 29END OF GAME
3 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:32
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 1:32
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
0.2%
Brandon Byrd run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 14:52
Devon Johnson run for 22 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-3.8
TD · Q1 2:53
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 24 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-3.7
TD · Q3 12:42
Rakeem Cato run for 13 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
-3.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com