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NWST

Northwestern State 30 at Louisiana Tech 27

LT
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · Joe Aillet Stadium
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Win probability · LT
modelLT aheadNWST aheadconfidence bandkey playLT scoreNWST score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 13:42 · Kenneth Dixon punt for 47 yds , Ed Eagan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 2
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseGarbage-time factorScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsTime remaining
+45.5+22.80−22.8−45.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 141Pregame prior+15.1Home team on offense+5.8Garbage-time factor+3.2Score differential+0.8Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.7Time remaining−0.8
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 4:20: Garrett Atzenweiler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK) — NWST win probability +12.7 pts (now 24%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  2. TD · Q4 13:42: Garrett Atzenweiler run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK) — NWST win probability +14.9 pts (now 27%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  3. TD · Q4 4:20: De'Mard Llorens run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK) — NWST win probability +27.1 pts (now 37%) (top driver: Deficit strained by the offense's own timeouts).
  4. FG · Q4 1:05: Chris Moore 29 yd FG GOOD — NWST win probability +25.8 pts (now 55%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:00: Chris Moore 47 yd FG GOOD — NWST win probability +36.2 pts (now 95%) (top driver: NWST has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 5NWST made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 12:18NWST 4th & 4 at NWST 43, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    7.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 6:29LT 4th & 10 at NWST 21, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 92.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.0%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%
    74% to make
    Punt
    91.6%−0.5
    average punt
  3. Q1 4:32LT 4th & 7 at LT 40, up 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 91.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    91.8%−0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    91.9%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00NWST 4th & 6 at NWST 47, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    8.9%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.9%
    average punt
  5. Q2 6:15NWST 4th & 8 at LT 24, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 10.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.7%−0.2
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    9.9%
    68% to make
    Punt
    8.0%−1.9
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:07LT 4th & 10 at NWST 27, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 88.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.1%−0.9
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    88.0%
    62% to make
    Punt
    86.3%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q3 15:00NWST 4th & 9 at LT 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 10.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    10.5%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    10.5%
    47% to make
    PuntTheir call
    10.4%−0.1
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:59NWST 4th & 1 at LT 45, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 10.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    11.0%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−2.7
    25% to make
    Punt
    9.3%−1.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:20LT 4th & 4 at NWST 33, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.1%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    79.0%−1.1
    49% to make
    Punt
    78.1%−2.0
    average punt
  10. Q4 15:00NWST 4th & 13 at NWST 22, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 8.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.6%−2.0
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    9.6%
    average punt
  11. Q4 13:42LT 4th & 13 at midfield, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 77.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.8%−2.3
    21% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    79.1%
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:35NWST 4th & 1 at LT 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    8.3%−1.6
    83% to make
    Punt
    3.3%−6.6
    average punt
  13. Q4 1:05NWST 4th & 8 at LT 12, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 26.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.9%−19.1
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    36.0%
    86% to make
    Punt
    7.8%−28.2
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
LT made the numbers' call on 3 of 3NWST made the numbers' call on 3 of 3
  1. Q1 12:18LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 4:20NWST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 1:04LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    90.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    90.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q4 13:42NWST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    22.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    22.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q4 8:35LT Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    91.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    91.7%−0.3
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 4:20NWST Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    18.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    17.7%−0.6
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1TD
7 plays · 65 yds · 2:4295% → 95%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+4
95.3%
Tevin King run for 4 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 39
+11
95.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+4
95.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the NWSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OPP 46
0
95.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the NWSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 6
OPP 46
+8
95.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 8 yds to the NWSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+38
95.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 38 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 2PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
95.0%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Zach White for 3 yds to the NWSt 28Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+5
95.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NWSt 33Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 2
OWN 33
+4
94.9%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 4 yds to the NWSt 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+3
94.9%
Zach Adkins run for 3 yds to the NWSt 40Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 7
OWN 40
+5
94.9%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, offside defense (5 Yards) to the NWSt 45Similar
Q1 12:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
0
94.9%
De'Mard Llorens run for no gain to the NWSt 45Similar
Q1 12:18
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
94.9%
De'Mard Llorens run for a loss of 2 yards to the NWSt 43Similar
Q1 12:18
4TH & 4
OWN 43
0
95.0%
Andy Wickman punt for 26 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3FG
9 plays · 48 yds · 2:5395% → 94%
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+20
94.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 20 yds to the NWSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+18
94.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 18 yds to the NWSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+10
94.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 10 yds to the NWSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
94.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 9:22
2ND & 10
OPP 21
0
94.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter Lee, broken up by Damon MedcafeSimilar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 10
OPP 21
-15
94.4%
SOKOL, Cody pass complete to DIXON,Kenneth for 21 yards to the NWLA0, clock 07:30, PENALTY LATECH pass interference (SOKOL, Cody) 15 yards to the NWLA36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 25
OPP 36
-4
94.3%
SOKOL, Cody pass complete to LEE, Hunter for 6 yards to the NWLA30 (Poullard, Dariu), PENALTY LATECH illegal block 4 yards to the NWLA40, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 7:30
3RD & 29
OPP 40
+19
94.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 19 yds to the NWSt 21Similar
Q1 6:29
4TH & 10
OPP 21
+38
94.2%
Jonathan Barnes 38 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 4INT
6 plays · 15 yds · 0:006% → 6%
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+9
93.9%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Tuff McClain for 9 yds to the LaTch 38Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 1
OPP 38
+3
93.9%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 3 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:29
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+3
93.9%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 3 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q1 6:29
2ND & 7
OPP 32
0
93.8%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 6:29
3RD & 7
OPP 32
+15
94.0%
Zach Adkins pass intercepted Xavier Woods return for 15 yds to the LaTch 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0094% → 94%
Q1 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
94.1%
Blake Martin run for 2 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 4:32
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+1
94.2%
Blake Martin run for 1 yd to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 4:32
3RD & 7
OWN 40
0
94.0%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:32
4TH & 7
OWN 40
0
93.9%
Logan McPherson punt for 46 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 6PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 3:036% → 7%
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 14
0
93.7%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Garrett AtzenweilerSimilar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 10
OWN 14
+1
93.7%
Daniel Taylor run for 1 yd to the NWSt 15Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 9
OWN 15
-1
93.8%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Daniel Taylor for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 14Similar
Q1 3:03
4TH & 10
OWN 14
+15
93.9%
Wickman, Andy punt 44 yards to the LATECH42, fair catch by TAYLOR, Trent, PENALTY LATECH roughing the kicker (PREWITT, Jabari) 15 yards to the NWLA29, 1ST DOWN NWLA, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:03
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
93.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Bryant Mitchell for 2 yds to the NWSt 31Similar
Q1 3:03
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+5
93.6%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 5 yds to the NWSt 36Similar
Q1 3:03
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
93.6%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 7 yds to the NWSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+1
93.0%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 1 yd to the NWSt 44Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 44
0
93.0%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Tuff McClain, broken up by Le'Vander LigginsSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 44
+3
93.1%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Tuff McClain for 3 yds to the NWSt 47Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
93.2%
Andy Wickman punt for 48 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7INT
10 plays · 52 yds · 0:4093% → 93%
Q2 13:31
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+1
92.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 1 yd to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 13:31
2ND & 9
OWN 6
0
92.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Adam JonesSimilar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 0
0
92.9%
SOKOL, Cody rush for 4 yards to the LATECH10 (Simon, Deon), PENALTY LATECH illegal block off-setting, PENALTY NWLA holding off-setting, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 9
OWN 6
+28
92.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 28 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
93.1%
Cody Sokol sacked by Deon Simon for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+30
93.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 30 yds to the NWSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+2
93.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the NWSt 36Similar
Q2 12:51
2ND & 8
OPP 36
-7
93.4%
Cody Sokol sacked by Wilbur Myers for a loss of 7 yards to the NWSt 43Similar
Q2 12:51
3RD & 15
OPP 43
0
93.1%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Rico Albert return for no gain to the NWSt 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 8FG
10 plays · 47 yds · 3:307% → 8%
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
92.8%
Zach Adkins run for 2 yds to the NWSt 31Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+12
92.8%
Zach Adkins run for 12 yds to the NWSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+16
92.6%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 16 yds to the LaTch 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+9
92.3%
Zach Adkins run for 9 yds to the LaTch 32Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 1
OPP 32
+6
92.0%
De'Mard Llorens run for 6 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:45
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-3
92.0%
De'Mard Llorens run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q2 9:45
2ND & 13
OPP 29
+5
92.3%
De'Mard Llorens run for 5 yds to the LaTch 24Similar
Q2 6:28
3RD & 8
OPP 24
0
92.3%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Garrett Atzenweiler, broken up by Andre TaylorSimilar
Q2 6:15
4TH & 8
OPP 24
+41
91.7%
Chris Moore 41 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9FG
17 plays · 66 yds · 6:0892% → 92%
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 7
-2
91.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 5Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 12
OWN 5
+3
91.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 3 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q2 6:15
3RD & 9
OWN 8
+15
91.7%
NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, personal foul (Marion Chapman) to the LaTch 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+7
92.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 7 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 6:15
2ND & 3
OWN 30
+22
92.2%
Cody Sokol run for 22 yds to the NWSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:15
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
92.5%
Ryan Higgins run for 8 yds to the NWSt 40Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 40
+2
92.1%
Marlon Seets run for 2 yds to the NWSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
92.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 8 yds to the NWSt 30Similar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 2
OPP 30
+1
92.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the NWSt 29Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 1
OPP 29
+2
92.0%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the NWSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:29
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
92.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 3:29
2ND & 10
OPP 27
0
92.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Rico AlbertSimilar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 10
OPP 27
-10
91.9%
SOKOL, Cody pass complete to LEE, Hunter for 25 yards to the NWLA2, PENALTY LATECH holding (CARTER, Tre) 10 yards to the NWLA37, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 3:29
3RD & 20
OPP 37
+10
91.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 10 yds to the NWSt 27Similar
Q2 0:07
4TH & 10
OPP 27
+44
92.1%
Jonathan Barnes 44 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 10END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
92.1%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 11PUNT
10 plays · 40 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+3
91.0%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 3 yds to the NWSt 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 29
+3
90.8%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 3 yds to the NWSt 32Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 32
+16
91.0%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Cody Jones for 16 yds to the NWSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
90.3%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Ed Eagan, broken up by Houston BatesSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+17
90.4%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Zach White for 17 yds to the LaTch 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
89.6%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 1 yd to the LaTch 34Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
89.6%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Ed EaganSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 9
OPP 34
0
90.2%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Cody JonesSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 34
0
91.0%
Zach Adkins punt for 34 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12INT
7 plays · 32 yds · 0:0091% → 92%
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
91.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 5 yds to the LaTch 25Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+9
91.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 9 yds to the LaTch 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
91.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+15
91.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Ricky Jones for 15 yds to the NWSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:47
2ND & 9
OPP 48
0
91.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Ricky JonesSimilar
Q3 11:47
3RD & 9
OPP 48
+17
91.5%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Adam Jones return for 17 yds to the NWSt 46Similar
Q3 11:47
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
91.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the NWSt 48Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 13TD
13 plays · 54 yds · 4:3910% → 24%
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
89.9%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Cody JonesSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+9
90.1%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 9 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OPP 45
0
89.5%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Ed EaganSimilar
Q3 8:59
4TH & 1
OPP 45
+1
90.4%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
89.7%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 4 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+1
89.4%
De'Mard Llorens run for 1 yd to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+14
89.8%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 14 yds to the LaTch 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
88.9%
Llorens, De'Mar rush for 5 yards to the LATECH20 (BRICE, Kentrell), PENALTY NWLA holding 10 yards to the LATECH35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 20
OPP 35
0
89.4%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to De'Mard LlorensSimilar
Q3 8:59
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+19
89.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Tuff McClain for 19 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q3 8:59
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+1
89.5%
Zach Adkins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:59
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+11
88.9%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Bryant Mitchell for 11 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
76.2%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 4 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
11 plays · 60 yds · 3:1683% → 92%
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
82.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 9 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+2
83.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the NWSt 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+10
83.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 10 yds to the NWSt 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 39
0
83.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 39
+6
83.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the NWSt 33Similar
Q3 4:20
3RD & 4
OPP 33
0
83.4%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q3 4:20
4TH & 4
OPP 33
+9
81.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 9 yds to the NWSt 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
84.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor, broken up by Shakeir RyanSimilar
Q3 4:20
2ND & 10
OPP 24
+21
84.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 21 yds to the NWSt 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
92.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 15PUNT
5 plays · -3 yds · 1:0410% → 8%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
90.1%
Zach Adkins sacked by Nick Thomason for a loss of 2 yards to the NWSt 23Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-5
90.2%
Zach Adkins sacked by Vernon Butler and Aaron Brown for a loss of 5 yards to the NWSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 18
+4
91.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Daniel Taylor for 4 yds to the NWSt 22Similar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
92.0%
Andy Wickman punt for 43 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 27 Trent Taylor fumbled, recovered by NWSt Imoan ClaiborneSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 16TD
2 plays · 27 yds · 0:2912% → 27%
Q4 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+19
87.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Shakeir Ryan for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST down to Ed Eagan for 19 yds to the LaTch 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+10
72.9%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 10 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17PUNT
8 plays · 20 yds · 0:0081% → 79%
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
80.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 12 yds to the LaTch 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+11
82.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the NWSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-5
83.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Darrell Brown) to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 13:42
1ST & 15
OWN 48
+7
81.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 7 yds to the NWSt 45Similar
Q4 13:42
2ND & 8
OPP 45
-5
83.3%
Cody Sokol sacked by Marion Chapman for a loss of 5 yards to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 13:42
3RD & 13
50
0
80.6%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Carlos HendersonSimilar
Q4 13:42
4TH & 13
50
+47
79.1%
Kenneth Dixon punt for 47 yds , Ed Eagan returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NWSt 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 18INT
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0023% → 23%
Q4 10:43
1ST & 10
OWN 2
0
77.3%
Zach Adkins pass intercepted Kentrell Brice return for no gain to the NWSt 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
6 plays · 38 yds · 2:0083% → 93%
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
82.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 17 yds to the NWSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+6
83.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the NWSt 15Similar
Q4 10:35
2ND & 4
OPP 15
+3
83.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the NWSt 12Similar
Q4 10:35
3RD & 1
OPP 12
+3
82.3%
Marlon Seets run for 3 yds to the NWSt 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+4
83.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the NWSt 5Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
92.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 20TD
12 plays · 58 yds · 4:159% → 37%
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+2
90.6%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 2 yds to the NWSt 44Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 8
OWN 44
+20
90.5%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Tuff McClain for 20 yds to the LaTch 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
89.8%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for no gain to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 36
+5
89.9%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 5 yds to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 5
OPP 31
+7
89.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 7 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:35
1ST & 10
OPP 24
0
88.7%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Bryant Mitchell, broken up by Le'Vander LigginsSimilar
Q4 8:35
2ND & 10
OPP 24
-1
89.2%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 25Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 11
OPP 25
-5
90.3%
NORTHWESTERN ST Penalty, false start (Pace Murphy) to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 8:35
3RD & 16
OPP 30
+15
91.2%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Ed Eagan for 15 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q4 8:35
4TH & 1
OPP 15
+1
90.5%
Zach Adkins run for 1 yd to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
63.3%
De'Mard Llorens run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21FUMBLE
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q4 4:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
79.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 29Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+5
80.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 4:20
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
80.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 35 Kenneth Dixon fumbled, forced by Marion Chapman, recovered by NWSt Marion ChapmanSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 22FG
8 plays · 23 yds · 1:4035% → 55%
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
-3
64.9%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 13
OPP 38
+24
69.3%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Zach White for 9 yds to the LaTch 29 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Conner Smith) to the LaTch 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+1
64.0%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 1 yd to the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 2:45
2ND & 9
OPP 13
+3
64.0%
Garrett Atzenweiler run for 3 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 1:15
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-2
65.4%
Zach Adkins sacked by Vernon Butler and Tony Johnson for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 12Similar
Q4 1:05
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
45.1%
Chris Moore 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23INT
2 plays · 0 yds · 0:0057% → 57%
Q4 1:05
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
57.0%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Adam Jones return for no gain to the NWSt 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NWSTDrive 24FG
8 plays · 21 yds · 0:5257% → 95%
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+13
42.7%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Cody Jones for 13 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:52
1ST & 10
OPP 38
0
40.6%
Zach Adkins pass incomplete to Cody JonesSimilar
Q4 0:52
2ND & 10
OPP 38
+12
40.9%
Zach Adkins pass complete to Cody Jones for 12 yds to the LaTch 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-4
36.6%
Zach Adkins run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
Q4 0:00
2ND & 14
OPP 30
+47
4.6%
Chris Moore 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:00
Chris Moore 47 yd FG GOOD
-36.2
TD · Q4 4:20
De'Mard Llorens run for 14 yds for a TD, (Chris Moore KICK)
-27.1
FG · Q4 1:05
Chris Moore 29 yd FG GOOD
-25.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com