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FAU

Florida Atlantic 19 at Wyoming 20

WYO
2014 · Week 4 · Sep 20, 2014 · War Memorial Stadium
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Win probability · WYO
modelWYO aheadFAU aheadconfidence bandkey playWYO scoreFAU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGFGFGTDFGTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 10:18 · Ethan Wood punt for 58 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for 65 yds to the Wyom 14
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore differentialScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+19.5+9.80−9.8−19.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 98Home team on offense+3.9Pregame prior+2.5Garbage-time factor+2.6Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Score differential+0.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q3 8:56: Jaquez Johnson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK) — FAU win probability +21.6 pts (now 58%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  2. FG · Q3 0:58: Greg Joseph 43 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +8.2 pts (now 68%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  3. TD · Q4 14:56: D.J. May run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK) — WYO win probability +24.3 pts (now 68%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
  4. FG · Q4 8:14: Greg Joseph 33 yd FG GOOD — FAU win probability +16.3 pts (now 58%) (top driver: FAU has the ball).
  5. FG · Q4 0:15: Stuart Williams 18 yd FG GOOD — WYO win probability +53.7 pts (now 88%) (top driver: WYO has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
WYO made the numbers' call on 7 of 10FAU made the numbers' call on 6 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00FAU 4th & 5 at WYO 43, tied
    Close callPunted · 39.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    39.2%−0.1
    28% to make
    PuntTheir call
    39.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 2:55FAU 4th & 1 at WYO 16, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 36.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    35.3%−0.7
    81% to make
    Punt
    33.1%−2.9
    average punt
  3. Q1 2:55WYO 4th & 2 at WYO 44, up 4
    Close callPunted · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.3%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:56WYO 4th & 8 at FAU 33, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 62.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    62.2%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    62.2%
    49% to make
    Punt
    61.8%−0.4
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:56FAU 4th & 4 at WYO 41, down 7
    Close callPunted · 35.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    35.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    34.7%−0.9
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    34.9%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:19WYO 4th & 8 at WYO 29, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.5%−0.5
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%
    average punt
  7. Q2 7:24FAU 4th & 12 at WYO 39, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 31.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    30.9%−0.2
    24% to convert
    Field goal
    31.1%−0.1
    36% to make
    PuntTheir call
    31.1%
    average punt
  8. Q2 0:20FAU 4th & 3 at WYO 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 32.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    31.0%−1.1
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    32.1%
    85% to make
    Punt
    26.4%−5.7
    average punt
  9. Q3 15:00WYO 4th & 4 at WYO 31, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 63.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    64.0%−0.8
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    64.8%
    average punt
  10. Q3 13:22FAU 4th & 4 at WYO 44, down 4
    Close callPunted · 37.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.4%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    35.2%−2.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    36.5%−0.9
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:18WYO 4th & 9 at WYO 21, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    65.1%−2.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    67.2%
    average punt
  12. Q3 6:52WYO 4th & 24 at WYO 20, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 47.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.8%−5.3
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    49.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 0:58FAU 4th & 10 at WYO 26, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 54.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.3%−2.0
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    54.4%
    64% to make
    Punt
    42.0%−12.3
    average punt
  14. Q4 14:56FAU 4th & 9 at FAU 22, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.2%−3.9
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    36.1%
    average punt
  15. Q4 13:49WYO 4th & 10 at WYO 27, up 1
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.2%−3.6
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%
    average punt
  16. Q4 8:14FAU 4th & 9 at WYO 16, down 1
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 40.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.3%−5.2
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    42.5%
    81% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−16.0
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:14WYO 4th & 6 at WYO 49, down 2
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 50.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    47.8%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    46.3%−1.6
    average punt
  18. Q4 3:15FAU 4th & 6 at FAU 19, up 2
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 65.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−3.8
    38% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.6%
    average punt
  19. Q4 2:16WYO 4th & 22 at WYO 11, down 2
    Numbers favored punt by 4.1 ptsWent for it · 36.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.7%−4.1
    7% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    25.8%
    average punt
  20. Q4 0:15WYO 4th & 1 at FAU 1, down 2
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−23.2
    59% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    74.9%
    94% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−63.9
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
WYO made the numbers' call on 2 of 2FAU made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 7:22WYO Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    63.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    63.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q3 8:56FAU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    49.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    49.1%−0.2
    45% to convert
  3. Q4 14:56WYO Touchdown, tied before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.9%−0.3
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
FAUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 20 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
56.1%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 38
-1
56.1%
Jay Warren run for a loss of 1 yard to the FlAtl 37Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 37
+15
56.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 15 yds to the Wyom 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-5
56.1%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the FlAtl 47Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 47
+8
56.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Alex Deleon for 8 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 45
+2
56.1%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 43
0
56.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Lucky WhiteheadSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 5
OPP 43
0
56.1%
Ryan Rickel punt for 43 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 2TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 4:0356% → 60%
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+40
56.4%
Shaun Wick run for 40 yds to the FlAtl 39 Shaun Wick fumbled, forced by D'Joun Smith, recovered by Wyom N/A for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+12
56.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 12 yds to the FlAtl 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+3
56.9%
D.J. May run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 24Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 24
+4
56.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jalen Claiborne for 4 yds to the FlAtl 20Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 3
OPP 20
+3
56.8%
D.J. May run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:25
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
56.9%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 14Similar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 7
OPP 14
+13
56.9%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 13 yds to the FlAtl 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
60.3%
Shaun Wick run for 1 yd for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 3FG
13 plays · 59 yds · 4:2741% → 42%
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
59.4%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the FlAtl 28Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 7
OWN 28
0
59.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Lucky WhiteheadSimilar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 7
OWN 28
+7
59.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 7 yds to the FlAtl 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+15
59.2%
JOHNSON, Jaquez pass incomplete to STOSHAK, Jenson, PENALTY WY pass interference (PRIESTER,Robert) 15 yards to the 50 yardline, 1ST DOWN FAU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
50
+7
58.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 7 yds to the Wyom 43Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 3
OPP 43
+3
58.5%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the Wyom 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
58.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Alex DeleonSimilar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+15
58.6%
Jay Warren run for 15 yds to the Wyom 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+7
58.2%
Jay Warren run for 7 yds to the Wyom 18Similar
Q1 7:22
2ND & 3
OPP 18
+2
58.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 2 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 7:22
3RD & 1
OPP 16
0
58.6%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the Wyom 16Similar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 1
OPP 16
+32
57.7%
Greg Joseph 32 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 4PUNT
6 plays · 19 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
58.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 11 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-2
58.9%
Dominic Rufran run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 34Similar
Q1 2:55
2ND & 12
OWN 34
+10
58.4%
D.J. May run for 10 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q1 2:55
3RD & 2
OWN 44
0
59.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Shaun Wick, broken up by Andrae KirkSimilar
Q1 2:55
4TH & 2
OWN 44
+2
58.5%
Ethan Wood punt for 41 yds , Cre'von LeBlanc returns for 2 yds to the FlAtl 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 5FUMBLE
1 play · 18 yds · 0:0041% → 41%
Q1 0:53
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+18
58.6%
Lucky Whitehead run for 18 yds to the FlAtl 35 Lucky Whitehead fumbled, forced by Robert Priester, recovered by Wyom Patrick MertensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 6FG
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:4960% → 62%
Q1 0:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
60.3%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 33Similar
Q1 0:45
2ND & 8
OPP 33
0
60.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q1 0:45
3RD & 8
OPP 33
0
59.8%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 8
OPP 33
+50
62.3%
Stuart Williams 50 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 7PUNT
11 plays · 34 yds · 0:0038% → 39%
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
61.9%
Greg Hankerson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 1
OWN 34
0
60.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Greg Hankerson for no gain to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
61.5%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
61.4%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 41Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+12
60.7%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 12 yds to the Wyom 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+3
60.4%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q2 14:56
2ND & 7
OPP 44
+3
60.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Alex Deleon for 3 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 4
OPP 41
-5
60.6%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 46Similar
Q2 14:56
3RD & 9
OPP 46
+5
61.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 5 yds to the Wyom 41Similar
Q2 14:56
4TH & 4
OPP 41
0
61.2%
Ryan Rickel punt for 39 yds, downed at the Wyom 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:0064% → 63%
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 2
-1
64.0%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-1 Yards) to the Wyom 1Similar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 11
OWN 1
+14
64.0%
D.J. May run for 14 yds to the Wyom 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
64.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic Rufran, broken up by Christian MilsteadSimilar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+8
64.0%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to J.D. Krill for 8 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 2
OWN 23
+4
63.6%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Wyom 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+1
64.4%
Brian Hill run for 1 yd to the Wyom 28Similar
Q2 10:19
2ND & 9
OWN 28
+1
64.3%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 1 yd to the Wyom 29Similar
Q2 10:19
3RD & 8
OWN 29
0
63.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic Rufran, broken up by Derek ButcherSimilar
Q2 10:19
4TH & 8
OWN 29
+21
62.8%
Ethan Wood punt for 43 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for 21 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 9PUNT
7 plays · 12 yds · 0:0037% → 34%
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OWN 49
0
63.5%
Tony Moore run for no gain to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OWN 49
0
64.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 10
OWN 49
+14
64.7%
Tony Moore run for 14 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:24
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
63.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:24
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-2
63.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 39 Jaquez Johnson fumbled, recovered by FlAtl Jaquez JohnsonSimilar
Q2 7:24
3RD & 12
OPP 39
0
64.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 7:24
4TH & 12
OPP 39
0
66.1%
Ryan Rickel punt for 39 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 10FUMBLE
6 plays · 14 yds · 0:0067% → 69%
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
67.2%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Jake Maulhardt for 6 yds to the Wyom 26Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 4
OWN 26
0
67.4%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q2 5:18
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+4
66.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to D.J. May for 4 yds to the Wyom 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+12
67.3%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 12 yds to the Wyom 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+3
68.7%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 45Similar
Q2 5:18
2ND & 7
OWN 45
-8
68.9%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Andrae Kirk for a loss of 8 yards to the Wyom 34 Colby Kirkegaard fumbled, recovered by FlAtl David Lozandier , return for 0 yardsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 11FG
5 plays · 21 yds · 2:3237% → 41%
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+14
63.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to William Dukes for 14 yds to the Wyom 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:52
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+3
62.7%
Lucky Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Wyom 17Similar
Q2 2:52
2ND & 7
OPP 17
-2
62.7%
Henry Bussey run for a loss of 2 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q2 2:52
3RD & 9
OPP 19
+6
64.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 6 yds to the Wyom 13Similar
Q2 0:20
4TH & 3
OPP 13
+30
59.0%
Greg Joseph 30 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 12END OF HALF
2 plays · 8 yds · 0:0062% → 62%
Q2 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
62.4%
Shaun Wick run for 8 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 13PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0063% → 61%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
62.8%
Colby Kirkegaard run for 3 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
62.8%
Shaun Wick run for 3 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
62.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen Claiborne, broken up by Andrae KirkSimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+5
61.2%
Ethan Wood punt for 49 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for 5 yds to the FlAtl 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 14PUNT
8 plays · 31 yds · 0:0038% → 40%
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
62.2%
Jay Warren run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 32Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+2
60.1%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the FlAtl 34Similar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+5
61.2%
Jay Warren run for 5 yds to the FlAtl 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+11
60.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Alex Deleon for 11 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:22
1ST & 10
50
+3
58.6%
Lucky Whitehead run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q3 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 47
0
58.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson Stoshak, broken up by Tim KamanaSimilar
Q3 13:22
3RD & 7
OPP 47
+3
59.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 44Similar
Q3 13:22
4TH & 4
OPP 44
0
60.5%
Ryan Rickel punt for 44 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0066% → 64%
Q3 10:18
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
66.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 1 yd to the Wyom 21Similar
Q3 10:18
2ND & 9
OWN 21
0
65.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to D.J. MaySimilar
Q3 10:18
3RD & 9
OWN 21
0
64.7%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Dominic RufranSimilar
Q3 10:18
4TH & 9
OWN 21
+65
63.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 58 yds , Lucky Whitehead returns for 65 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 16TD
1 play · 14 yds · 0:0058% → 58%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
42.3%
Jaquez Johnson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Greg Joseph KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 17PUNT
13 plays · -5 yds · 2:0449% → 44%
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
49.0%
D.J. May run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q3 8:56
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+6
49.2%
D.J. May run for 6 yds to the Wyom 33Similar
Q3 8:56
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+3
50.1%
D.J. May run for 3 yds to the Wyom 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
-15
50.3%
WYOMING Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (Jake Maulhardt) to the Wyom 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+9
48.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 9 yds to the Wyom 30Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 1
OWN 30
+4
49.4%
D.J. May run for 4 yds to the Wyom 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:52
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
47.3%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the Wyom 34Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-5
46.9%
WYOMING Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Wyom 29Similar
Q3 6:52
2ND & 15
OWN 29
+2
45.9%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q3 6:52
3RD & 13
OWN 31
-11
44.5%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 11 yards to the Wyom 20Similar
Q3 6:52
4TH & 24
OWN 20
0
43.6%
Ethan Wood punt for 40 yds, downed at the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 18FG
11 plays · 34 yds · 3:1160% → 68%
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
40.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 44Similar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+4
40.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 48Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 2
OWN 48
+15
40.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Marcus Cunningham for 15 yds to the Wyom 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
39.4%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Lucky WhiteheadSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+9
39.5%
Jay Warren run for 9 yds to the Wyom 28Similar
Q3 4:09
3RD & 1
OPP 28
+2
38.9%
Jay Warren run for 2 yds to the Wyom 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:09
1ST & 10
OPP 26
0
37.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jenson StoshakSimilar
Q3 4:09
2ND & 10
OPP 26
0
38.0%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 1:08
3RD & 10
OPP 26
0
40.2%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Alex DeleonSimilar
Q3 0:58
4TH & 10
OPP 26
+43
32.1%
Greg Joseph 43 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 19TD
5 plays · 71 yds · 1:0237% → 68%
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+41
37.1%
Shaun Wick run for 41 yds to the FlAtl 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+18
44.1%
D.J. May run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 23 for a 1ST down FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, personal foul (11 Yards) to the FlAtl 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:58
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+7
44.1%
D.J. May run for 7 yds to the FlAtl 5Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 5
+5
68.4%
D.J. May run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 20PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0040% → 36%
Q4 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
60.4%
Jay Warren run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 22Similar
Q4 14:56
2ND & 9
OWN 22
0
60.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to Jay WarrenSimilar
Q4 14:56
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
62.6%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to William DukesSimilar
Q4 14:56
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+7
64.3%
Dalton Schomp punt for 58 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 7 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0063% → 59%
Q4 13:49
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+2
62.5%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 29Similar
Q4 13:49
2ND & 8
OWN 29
+2
62.4%
Shaun Wick run for 2 yds to the Wyom 31Similar
Q4 13:49
3RD & 6
OWN 31
-4
61.3%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Haiden Nagel for a loss of 4 yards to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 13:49
4TH & 10
OWN 27
0
58.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 33 yds, downed at the FlAtl 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 22FG
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:4343% → 58%
Q4 11:57
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
57.3%
Jaquez Johnson pass incomplete to William DukesSimilar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+9
58.4%
Jay Warren run for 9 yds to the FlAtl 49Similar
Q4 11:57
3RD & 1
OWN 49
+1
56.2%
Jaquez Johnson run for 1 yd to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
50
+3
56.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 3 yds to the Wyom 47Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 47
+30
56.8%
Jay Warren run for 30 yds to the Wyom 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:41
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+3
54.1%
Jay Warren run for 3 yds to the Wyom 14Similar
Q4 10:41
2ND & 7
OPP 14
-5
54.1%
Jaquez Johnson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Wyom 19Similar
Q4 10:41
3RD & 12
OPP 19
+3
58.1%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Lucky Whitehead for 3 yds to the Wyom 16Similar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 9
OPP 16
+33
41.8%
Greg Joseph 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 23PUNT
8 plays · 24 yds · 0:0052% → 52%
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
51.6%
Tanner Gentry run for 2 yds to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 8
OWN 27
0
52.2%
D.J. May run for no gain to the Wyom 27Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+18
49.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Tanner Gentry for 18 yds to the Wyom 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:14
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+5
56.3%
Shaun Wick run for 5 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q4 8:14
2ND & 5
50
-1
57.5%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by David Lozandier for a loss of 1 yard to the Wyom 49Similar
Q4 8:14
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
55.3%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Christian MilsteadSimilar
Q4 8:14
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
51.9%
Ethan Wood punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the FlAtl 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 24PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 1:2964% → 66%
Q4 4:44
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
36.0%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 15Similar
Q4 4:44
2ND & 10
OWN 15
+4
36.6%
Jaquez Johnson run for 4 yds to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q4 4:44
3RD & 6
OWN 19
0
37.8%
Jay Warren run for no gain to the FlAtl 19Similar
Q4 3:15
4TH & 6
OWN 19
+2
34.4%
Dalton Schomp punt for 60 yds , Jalen Claiborne returns for 2 yds to the Wyom 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 25DOWNS
5 plays · -12 yds · 0:4337% → 33%
Q4 2:59
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
36.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner GentrySimilar
Q4 2:59
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
36.1%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Jalen ClaiborneSimilar
Q4 2:59
3RD & 10
OWN 23
-12
34.5%
Colby Kirkegaard sacked by Trey Hendrickson for a loss of 12 yards to the Wyom 11Similar
Q4 2:16
4TH & 22
OWN 11
0
32.9%
Colby Kirkegaard pass incomplete to Tanner Gentry, broken up by Christian MilsteadSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 26FUMBLE
1 play · 3 yds · 0:0081% → 81%
Q4 2:09
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
18.9%
Jaquez Johnson run for 2 yds to the Wyom 8 Jaquez Johnson fumbled, forced by Mark Nzeocha, recovered by Wyom Jordan StantonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WYODrive 27FG
7 plays · 91 yds · 1:5036% → 88%
Q4 2:05
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+88
35.5%
Colby Kirkegaard pass complete to Dominic Rufran for 88 yds to the FlAtl 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:05
1ST & 0
OPP 4
+2
51.9%
FLA ATLANTIC Penalty, face mask (2 yards) (2 Yards) to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 2:05
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
0
47.7%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 2:05
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
47.0%
Shaun Wick run for no gain to the FlAtl 2Similar
Q4 0:49
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
34.1%
D.J. May run for 1 yd to the FlAtl 1Similar
Q4 0:15
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
+18
87.9%
Stuart Williams 18 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
FAUDrive 28FUMBLE
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:0025% → 25%
Q4 0:15
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+9
74.9%
Jaquez Johnson pass complete to Jenson Stoshak for 9 yds to the FlAtl 32 lat. to Lucky Whitehead for a loss of 3 yards Lucky Whitehead fumbled, recovered by Wyom Patrick MertensSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
FG · Q4 0:15
Stuart Williams 18 yd FG GOOD
+53.7
End of Game · Final
Game over.
+25.1
TD · Q4 14:56
D.J. May run for 5 yds for a TD, (Stuart Williams KICK)
+24.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com