Try the model
AAMU

Alabama A&M 14 at UAB 41

UAB
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Legion Field
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadAAMU aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreAAMU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 15:00 · Nick Carden punt for 44 yds , Lamarcus Farmer returns for 17 yds to the UAB 48 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAB 32
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+49.0+24.50−24.5−49.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 177Pregame prior+21.8Home team on offense+32.7Score differential+31.6Blowout margin+14.7Garbage-time factor+8.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+5.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 6:27: D.J. Vinson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +2.5 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 1:02: D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +1.1 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 12:45: D.J. Vinson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +1.8 pts (now 97%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 8:10: Ja'Won Arrington run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodney Morris failed), (Gerald Everett failed) — UAB win probability +2.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:47: D.J. Vinson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +1.0 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 7 of 8AAMU made the numbers' call on 10 of 10
  1. Q1 15:00AAMU 4th & 12 at UAB 48, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:55UAB 4th & 19 at AAMU 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.4%−0.1
    11% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:46AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 27, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:47UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.0%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.0%
    average punt
  5. Q1 3:06UAB 4th & 7 at UAB 20, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.0%−<0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 3:06UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 26, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.7%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.9%
    average punt
  7. Q1 2:03AAMU 4th & 7 at AAMU 29, up 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.1
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.7%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00UAB 4th & 9 at UAB 38, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 94.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    94.4%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    94.5%
    average punt
  9. Q2 9:27UAB 4th & 1 at AAMU 13, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    92.8%−0.5
    85% to make
    Punt
    91.3%−2.1
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:55AAMU 4th & 9 at AAMU 14, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.5%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.0%
    average punt
  11. Q2 6:27AAMU 4th & 24 at AAMU 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 6.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.6%−0.7
    6% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    6.3%
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:02AAMU 4th & 10 at AAMU 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.6%−0.5
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.1%
    average punt
  13. Q3 12:38AAMU 4th & 16 at AAMU 30, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.1%−0.4
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.6%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:32AAMU 4th & 2 at UAB 39, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    1.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    1.0%−0.4
    36% to make
    Punt
    1.0%−0.4
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00AAMU 4th & 21 at AAMU 31, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    -0.1%−0.3
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  16. Q4 11:14UAB 4th & 4 at UAB 38, up 27
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 9:31AAMU 4th & 10 at AAMU 36, down 27
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  18. Q4 7:40UAB 4th & 1 at AAMU 8, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.9%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    99.8%−0.2
    90% to make
    Punt
    99.3%−0.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 5 of 5
  1. Q2 11:56UAB Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 6:27UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 1:02UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:45UAB Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:47UAB Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
AAMUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
98.6%
Jaymason Lee pass complete to Tevin McKenzie for 5 yds to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
98.6%
Jaymason Lee run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+1
98.6%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+19
98.6%
Jaymason Lee pass complete to Montaurius Smith for 19 yds to the UAB 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
-2
98.6%
Harvey Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 48Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OPP 48
0
98.6%
Nick Carden punt for a loss of 5 yards, punt out-of-bounds at the AlaAM 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2PUNT
8 plays · 3 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.5%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 48Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 11
OPP 48
+8
98.5%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 8 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+5
98.5%
Jordan Howard run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:55
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+1
98.5%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q1 12:55
2ND & 9
OPP 34
0
98.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 12:55
3RD & 9
OPP 34
-6
98.5%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 6 yards to the AlaAM 39 Cody Clements fumbled, forced by Germaine Calmes, recovered by UAB N/ASimilar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 14
OPP 39
-5
98.5%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (Cody Clements) to the AlaAM 44Similar
Q1 12:55
4TH & 19
OPP 44
0
98.5%
Hunter Mullins punt for 33 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 3PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+4
98.2%
Bryan Brower run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 6
OWN 15
0
98.2%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Montaurius Smith, broken up by Lamarcus FarmerSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 6
OWN 15
+11
98.2%
Jaymason Lee run for 11 yds to the AlaAM 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+1
98.2%
Jaymason Lee run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 9
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 9
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q1 10:46
4TH & 9
OWN 27
0
98.2%
Nick Carden punt for 27 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 8:47
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
98.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 8:47
2ND & 7
OWN 49
0
98.0%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the UAB 49Similar
Q1 8:47
3RD & 7
OWN 49
-2
98.0%
Cody Clements sacked by Ricky Clarke and Diondre Lewis for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 47Similar
Q1 8:47
4TH & 9
OWN 47
0
98.0%
Hunter Mullins punt for 37 yds, downed at the AlaAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 5INT
9 plays · 71 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+47
97.7%
Jaymason Lee pass complete to Justin Jackson for 47 yds to the UAB 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
97.6%
Jaymason Lee pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 37
+14
97.6%
Jaymason Lee run for 14 yds to the UAB 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+3
97.6%
Bryan Brower run for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 7
OPP 20
+6
97.6%
Bryan Brower run for 6 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 1
OPP 14
+1
97.6%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the UAB 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:58
1ST & 10
OPP 13
0
97.6%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q1 6:58
2ND & 10
OPP 13
0
97.6%
Brandon Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:58
3RD & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.7%
Brandon Wells pass intercepted Bobby Baker return for 13 yds to the UAB 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6PUNT RETURN TD
4 plays · 3 yds · 1:1997% → 96%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+3
97.3%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 7
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Tristan Henderson for no gain to the UAB 20Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 7
OWN 20
0
97.3%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete, broken up by Anthony LanierSimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 7
OWN 20
+77
96.4%
Hunter Mullins punt for 57 yds , Rashad Anderson returns for 77 yds for a TD, (Cea Diaz-Ramon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q1 3:06
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
95.8%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 29Similar
Q1 3:06
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-3
95.8%
Cody Clements run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 26Similar
Q1 3:06
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 3:06
4TH & 9
OWN 26
0
95.8%
Hunter Mullins punt for 48 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the AlaAM 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 9PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:005% → 5%
Q1 2:03
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+2
95.3%
Brandon Wells run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q1 2:03
2ND & 8
OWN 28
+1
95.3%
Brandon Wells run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q1 2:03
3RD & 7
OWN 29
0
95.3%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q1 2:03
4TH & 7
OWN 29
0
95.4%
Nick Carden punt for 34 yds, downed at the UAB 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:3995% → 95%
Q1 0:39
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
94.9%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the UAB 37Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+1
94.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the UAB 38Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 38
0
94.6%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 9
OWN 38
+15
94.5%
Hunter Mullins punt for 37 yds , Rashad Anderson returns for 15 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 11TD
2 plays · 60 yds · 0:356% → 7%
Q2 14:16
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+3
93.7%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 3 yds to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 7
OWN 43
+57
93.3%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 57 yds for a TD, (Cea Diaz-Ramon KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12TD
8 plays · 75 yds · 1:4594% → 95%
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
93.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
50
-1
94.1%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 11
OWN 49
+24
94.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 24 yds to the AlaAM 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+15
94.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 23 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, personal foul (Conrad Johnson) to the AlaAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:41
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
94.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 7Similar
Q2 13:41
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+6
94.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the AlaAM 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.1%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 13INT
11 plays · 42 yds · 2:056% → 7%
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
94.5%
UAB Penalty, Defensive offside (5 Yards) to the AlaAM 10Similar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 5
OWN 10
-1
94.4%
Bryan Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 6
OWN 9
0
94.5%
Brandon Wells pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 6
OWN 9
+23
94.6%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Montaurius Smith for 23 yds to the AlaAM 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
94.2%
Wells, Brandon rush for 5 yards to the AAMU37, out-of-bounds (FARMER, Lamarcu), PENALTY AAMU offside 5 yards to the AAMU27, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 11:47
1ST & 15
OWN 27
0
94.3%
Brandon Wells run for no gain to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 11:47
2ND & 15
OWN 27
+7
94.4%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Montaurius Smith for 7 yds to the AlaAM 34Similar
Q2 11:47
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+13
94.3%
Brandon Wells run for 13 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:42
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+33
92.6%
Brandon Wells pass intercepted Lamarcus Farmer return for 48 yds to the UAB 5 ALABAMA A&M Penalty, personal foul (-15 Yards) to the AlaAM 22Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0094% → 93%
Q2 9:27
1ST & 10
OPP 22
-3
93.7%
D.J. Vinson run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q2 9:27
2ND & 13
OPP 25
+12
93.6%
Cody Clements run for 12 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q2 9:27
3RD & 1
OPP 13
0
93.5%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q2 9:27
4TH & 1
OPP 13
0
93.2%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the AlaAM 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 1 yds · 0:008% → 8%
Q2 7:55
1ST & 10
OWN 13
0
91.7%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Montaurius SmithSimilar
Q2 7:55
2ND & 10
OWN 13
+1
91.8%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 14Similar
Q2 7:55
3RD & 9
OWN 14
0
92.0%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Justin JacksonSimilar
Q2 7:55
4TH & 9
OWN 14
0
92.2%
Nick Carden punt for 36 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the 50 yard lineSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
3 plays · 50 yds · 0:4392% → 95%
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
50
+21
91.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 21 yds to the AlaAM 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:10
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
92.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 24Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+24
94.7%
D.J. Vinson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 17PUNT
6 plays · -14 yds · 0:007% → 6%
Q2 6:27
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+2
93.3%
Montaurius Smith run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 8
OWN 27
-5
93.2%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 22Similar
Q2 6:27
2ND & 13
OWN 22
0
93.4%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 13
OWN 22
-11
93.6%
Brandon Wells sacked by Chris Rabb for a loss of 11 yards to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q2 6:27
4TH & 24
OWN 11
0
93.8%
Nick Carden punt for 55 yds, downed at the UAB 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
13 plays · 66 yds · 3:5394% → 95%
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+2
93.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 36
+8
93.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 8 yds to the UAB 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
94.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 2 yds to the UAB 46Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+2
94.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 6
OWN 48
+16
93.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Josh Magee for 16 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kennard Backman, broken up by Tevin McKenzieSimilar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 10
OPP 36
0
94.1%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Quincy PerdueSimilar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 10
OPP 36
+19
93.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Nyiakki Height for 19 yds to the AlaAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+1
94.3%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 16Similar
Q2 4:55
2ND & 9
OPP 16
+5
94.3%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 11Similar
Q2 4:55
3RD & 4
OPP 11
+5
94.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:55
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
94.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 1Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
95.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 0 yds · 0:006% → 5%
Q2 1:02
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
94.5%
Bryan Brower run for no gain to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q2 1:02
2ND & 10
OWN 25
0
94.6%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Tevin McKenzie, broken up by Derek SlaughterSimilar
Q2 1:02
3RD & 10
OWN 25
0
94.8%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:02
4TH & 10
OWN 25
0
95.0%
Nick Carden punt for 52 yds, downed at the UAB 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20END OF HALF
4 plays · 30 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+30
94.6%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Gerald Everett for 30 yds to the AlaAM 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
95.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:14
2ND & 10
OPP 47
0
95.1%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Gerald Everett UAB Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 21TD
11 plays · 63 yds · 2:0795% → 97%
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+2
94.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 2 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 8
OWN 39
+2
94.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 2 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 14:52
3RD & 6
OWN 41
+11
94.6%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 11 yds to the AlaAM 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
94.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Darius Powell for 7 yds to the AlaAM 41Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 3
OPP 41
+7
95.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Darius Powell for 7 yds to the AlaAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+9
95.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Collin Lisa for 9 yds to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 1
OPP 25
+3
95.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+5
95.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Nyiakki Height for 5 yds to the AlaAM 17Similar
Q3 14:52
2ND & 5
OPP 17
+5
95.0%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:45
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
96.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 22PUNT
9 plays · 18 yds · 0:004% → 3%
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+3
96.5%
Bryan Brower run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 7
OWN 15
+9
96.5%
Bryan Brower run for 9 yds to the AlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+12
96.4%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Montaurius Smith for 12 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:38
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
96.2%
Bryan Brower run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 40Similar
Q3 12:38
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+3
96.1%
Harvey Harris run for 3 yds to the AlaAM 43Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 3
OWN 43
-10
96.0%
Harris, Harvey rush for 9 yards to the UAB48 (GASTON, Harris), PENALTY AAMU holding 10 yards to the AAMU33, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 12:38
3RD & 13
OWN 33
-3
96.5%
Brandon Wells sacked by James Banks for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 30Similar
Q3 12:38
4TH & 16
OWN 30
+10
96.6%
Nick Carden punt for 40 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 10 yds to the UAB 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 23TD
4 plays · 60 yds · 1:1097% → 99%
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+2
96.7%
Cody Clements run for 2 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 9:20
2ND & 8
OWN 42
+25
96.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 25 yds to the AlaAM 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+19
96.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 4 yds to the AlaAM 29 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, roughing passer (Germaine Calmes) to the AlaAM 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:10
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+14
98.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodney Morris failed), (Gerald Everett failed)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 24DOWNS
7 plays · 34 yds · 1:311% → 2%
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+28
98.7%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Jonathan Dorsey for 28 yds to the UAB 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:03
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
98.6%
Bryan Brower run for no gain to the UAB 47Similar
Q3 8:03
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-1
98.6%
Byran Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 48Similar
Q3 8:03
3RD & 11
OPP 48
+9
98.7%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Lorenzo Jackson for 9 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q3 6:32
4TH & 2
OPP 39
-2
98.5%
Harvey Harris run for a loss of 2 yards to the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 25TD
5 plays · 59 yds · 1:3799% → 100%
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+4
98.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 6:24
2ND & 6
OWN 45
+4
98.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the UAB 49Similar
Q3 6:24
3RD & 2
OWN 49
+5
98.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:24
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+33
98.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 33 yds to the AlaAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 26INT
8 plays · 30 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.8%
Bryan Brower run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 6
OWN 29
-4
99.8%
Brandon Wells sacked by Derek Slaughter for a loss of 4 yards to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 10
OWN 25
+15
99.8%
Wells, Brandon sacked for loss of 5 yards to the AAMU20 (WALTON, Chris), PENALTY UAB personal foul (MILLIGAN, Rolan) 15 yards to the AAMU40, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OWN 40
-2
99.8%
Bryan Brower run for a loss of 2 yards to the AlaAM 38Similar
Q3 4:47
2ND & 12
OWN 38
+7
99.8%
Bryan Brower run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 45Similar
Q3 4:47
3RD & 5
OWN 45
+10
99.8%
Harvey Harris run for 10 yds to the UAB 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:47
1ST & 10
OPP 45
0
99.8%
Brandon Wells pass intercepted Calvin Jones return for no gain to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 27INT
6 plays · 40 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 2 yds to the UAB 34Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Quincy PerdueSimilar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+46
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Gerald Everett for 31 yds to the ALABAMAAM 35 for a 1ST down ALABAMA A&M Penalty, face mask (15 yards) (15 Yards) to the AlaAM 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:10
1ST & 10
OPP 20
-7
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe sacked by Jawanza Vickers and David Dagrin for a loss of 7 yards to the AlaAM 27Similar
Q3 2:10
2ND & 17
OPP 27
-1
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass complete to Nyiakki Height for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 28Similar
Q3 2:10
3RD & 18
OPP 28
0
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass intercepted Justin Lucas return for no gain to the AlaAM 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 28PUNT
11 plays · 21 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 10
-1
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 9
-5
99.9%
ALABAMA A&M Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the AlaAM 4Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 16
OWN 4
+1
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 5Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 15
OWN 5
+10
99.9%
Wells, Brandon pass intercepted by JEAN, Jimmy at the AAMU28, JEAN, Jimmy return to the AAMU8, out-of-bounds, PENALTY UAB holding (PETTY, Jordan) 10 yards to the AAMU15, 1ST DOWN AAMU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for no gain to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 15
0
99.9%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 15
+27
99.9%
Brandon Wells pass complete to Devone Johnson for 27 yds to the AlaAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 42
-3
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for a loss of 3 yards to the AlaAM 39Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 39
-8
99.9%
Brandon Wells sacked by Jake Ganus for a loss of 8 yards to the AlaAM 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 21
OWN 31
0
99.9%
Brandon Wells pass incomplete to Devone JohnsonSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 21
OWN 31
+17
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 44 yds , Lamarcus Farmer returns for 17 yds to the UAB 48 UAB Penalty, Offensive holding (10 Yards) to the UAB 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 29PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 11:14
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-3
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 29Similar
Q4 11:14
2ND & 13
OWN 29
+3
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 3 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q4 11:14
3RD & 10
OWN 32
+6
99.9%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for 6 yds to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 11:14
4TH & 4
OWN 38
0
99.9%
Hunter Mullins punt for 46 yds, fair catch by Rashad Anderson at the AlaAM 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 30PUNT
6 plays · 20 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 16
0
99.9%
Chris Leachman pass incomplete to Harvey HarrisSimilar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 16
+20
99.9%
Chris Leachman pass complete to Octayvius Miles for 20 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:31
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Chris Leachman run for no gain to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q4 9:31
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Chris Leachman run for no gain to the AlaAM 36Similar
Q4 9:31
3RD & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Chris Leachman pass incomplete to O'Darius WilliamsSimilar
Q4 9:31
4TH & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Nick Carden punt for 25 yds, fair catch by Josh Magee at the UAB 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 31DOWNS
7 plays · 52 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 38Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 11
OWN 38
+19
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for 19 yds to the AlaAM 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+26
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for 26 yds to the AlaAM 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 7:40
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+2
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 15Similar
Q4 7:40
2ND & 8
OPP 15
+2
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for 2 yds to the AlaAM 13Similar
Q4 7:40
3RD & 6
OPP 13
+5
99.9%
Cody Clements run for 5 yds to the AlaAM 8Similar
Q4 7:40
4TH & 1
OPP 8
-1
99.9%
Marcus Reaves run for a loss of 1 yard to the AlaAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
AAMUDrive 32END OF GAME
5 plays · 28 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
100.0%
Bryan Brower run for 15 yds to the AlaAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+1
100.0%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 25Similar
Q4 3:11
2ND & 9
OWN 25
+4
100.0%
Bryan Brower run for 4 yds to the AlaAM 29Similar
Q4 3:11
3RD & 5
OWN 29
+7
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for 7 yds to the AlaAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:11
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+1
99.9%
Bryan Brower run for 1 yd to the AlaAM 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:27
D.J. Vinson run for 24 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q3 8:10
Ja'Won Arrington run for 14 yds for a TD, (Rodney Morris failed), (Gerald Everett failed)
+2.2
TD · Q3 12:45
D.J. Vinson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+1.8
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com