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RICE

Rice 10 at Texas A&M 38

TA&M
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Kyle Field
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Win probability · TA&M
modelTA&M aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playTA&M scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDFGFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 6:12 · James Farrimond punt for 31 yds, downed at the TexAM 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+47.5+23.80−23.8−47.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 75Pregame prior+37.0Home team on offense+4.6Score differential+0.7Blowout margin+0.6Garbage-time factor−0.2Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.3
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 13:44: Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.1 pts (now 97%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 11:59: Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK) — RICE win probability +1.4 pts (now 5%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 3:30: Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.0 pts (now 96%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 13:26: Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 20 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +2.6 pts (now 99%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 5:24: Tra Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK) — TA&M win probability +1.3 pts (now 100%) (top driver: TA&M has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
TA&M made the numbers' call on 3 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 7 of 9
  1. Q1 11:36RICE 4th & 6 at RICE 47, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 4.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.3%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    4.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:03TA&M 4th & 27 at TA&M 3, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 95.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.3%−0.3
    5% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    95.6%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:26RICE 4th & 1 at TA&M 4, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.3%
    65% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.1%−0.2
    93% to make
    Punt
    4.6%−0.6
    average punt
  4. Q2 14:54RICE 4th & 3 at TA&M 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 6.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    6.2%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    6.1%−0.1
    56% to make
    Punt
    5.9%−0.3
    average punt
  5. Q2 10:42TA&M 4th & 11 at TA&M 24, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 92.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.7%−0.4
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    93.1%
    average punt
  6. Q2 6:12RICE 4th & 5 at TA&M 40, down 7
    Close callPunted · 7.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    7.9%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    7.6%−0.3
    34% to make
    PuntTheir call
    7.6%−0.3
    average punt
  7. Q2 0:01RICE 4th & 10 at TA&M 31, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 5.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.4%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.5%
    54% to make
    Punt
    5.3%−0.2
    average punt
  8. Q3 8:58TA&M 4th & 5 at RICE 49, up 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 98.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    98.2%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:57RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 36, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.9%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.0%
    average punt
  10. Q3 0:39RICE 4th & 5 at TA&M 16, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    0.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  11. Q4 14:44TA&M 4th & 4 at RICE 29, up 25
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    58% to make
    Punt
    99.0%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 7:38RICE 4th & 17 at RICE 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−0.1
    14% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  13. Q4 6:29TA&M 4th & 2 at TA&M 28, up 28
    Close callPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q4 4:52RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 45, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
TA&M made the numbers' call on 5 of 5RICE made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 3:36TA&M Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 13:44TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 11:59RICE Touchdown, down 8 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 3:30TA&M Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    94.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    94.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 13:26TA&M Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 5:24TA&M Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
RICEDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 29 yds · 3:193% → 3%
Q1 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+4
97.5%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q1 14:50
2ND & 6
OWN 22
+5
97.5%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q1 14:30
3RD & 1
OWN 27
+16
97.5%
Darik Dillard run for 16 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:30
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+3
97.3%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 46Similar
Q1 12:49
2ND & 7
OWN 46
+3
97.2%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q1 12:05
3RD & 4
OWN 49
+3
97.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 3 yds to the TexAM 48Similar
Q1 11:44
4TH & 1
OPP 48
-5
97.1%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 47Similar
Q1 11:36
4TH & 6
OWN 47
0
97.1%
James Farrimond punt for 53 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · -17 yds · 0:2797% → 97%
Q1 11:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
97.1%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q1 11:25
2ND & 10
OWN 20
-17
97.0%
Kenny Hill sacked by Dylan Klare for a loss of 17 yards to the TexAM 3 TEXAS A&M Penalty, Intentional Grounding (Kenny Hill) to the TexAM 3Similar
Q1 11:25
3RD & 27
OWN 3
0
97.0%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 11:03
4TH & 27
OWN 3
0
96.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 37 yds, downed at the TexAM 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 3MISSED FG
8 plays · 36 yds · 3:343% → 4%
Q1 11:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+15
96.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 15 yds to the TexAM 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:50
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+2
96.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 2 yds to the TexAM 23Similar
Q1 10:00
2ND & 8
OPP 23
+7
96.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 7 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q1 9:50
3RD & 1
OPP 16
+3
96.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 3 yds to the TexAM 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 9:24
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+4
96.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 9Similar
Q1 8:41
2ND & 6
OPP 9
+4
96.4%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the TexAM 5Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 2
OPP 5
+1
96.3%
Darik Dillard run for 1 yd to the TexAM 4Similar
Q1 7:26
4TH & 1
OPP 4
+22
96.2%
James Hairston 22 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 4TD
15 plays · 80 yds · 3:4496% → 97%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+6
96.3%
Tra Carson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 26Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 4
OWN 26
+4
96.3%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the TexAM 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:00
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
96.2%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:35
2ND & 10
OWN 30
+4
96.1%
Brandon Williams run for 4 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q1 6:25
3RD & 6
OWN 34
+6
96.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 6 yds to the TexAM 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:15
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+1
96.2%
Brandon Williams run for 1 yd to the TexAM 41Similar
Q1 5:46
2ND & 9
OWN 41
+13
96.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 13 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:30
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+3
96.1%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 3 yds to the Rice 43Similar
Q1 5:08
2ND & 7
OPP 43
+5
96.0%
RICE Penalty, Defensive Offside (5 Yards) to the Rice 38Similar
Q1 4:54
2ND & 2
OPP 38
+6
96.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for 6 yds to the Rice 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:31
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+4
95.9%
Tra Carson run for 4 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 4:05
2ND & 6
OPP 28
+7
95.9%
Kenny Hill run for 7 yds to the Rice 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+7
95.8%
Tra Carson run for 7 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q1 3:36
2ND & 3
OPP 14
+14
96.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 14 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 5DOWNS
10 plays · 44 yds · 3:364% → 4%
Q1 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.2%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+3
96.1%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q1 2:16
3RD & 2
OWN 33
+18
96.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 18 yds to the TexAM 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:58
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+12
95.9%
Jowan Davis run for 12 yds to the TexAM 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:30
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+4
95.8%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the TexAM 33Similar
Q1 1:15
2ND & 6
OPP 33
-2
95.7%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 35Similar
Q1 0:00
3RD & 8
OPP 35
+5
95.6%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the TexAM 30Similar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 3
OPP 30
-1
95.7%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 1 yard to the TexAM 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 6TD
6 plays · 69 yds · 0:5896% → 97%
Q2 14:42
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
95.8%
Brandon Williams run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 29Similar
Q2 14:29
2ND & 12
OWN 29
+13
95.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 13 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:18
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
95.9%
Brandon Williams run for 27 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:04
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Sabian HolmesSimilar
Q2 13:56
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+18
95.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 18 yds to the Rice 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:44
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+13
97.0%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 13 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 7TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 1:354% → 5%
Q2 13:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
96.5%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Rice 32Similar
Q2 13:21
2ND & 3
OWN 32
0
96.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q2 13:14
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+17
96.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 17 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:47
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+15
96.4%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (Zaycoven Henderson) to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:11
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
96.2%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the TexAM 35Similar
Q2 11:59
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+35
94.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:0395% → 95%
Q2 11:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
95.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Trey Williams for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 23Similar
Q2 11:45
2ND & 12
OWN 23
+1
95.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 1 yd to the TexAM 24Similar
Q2 11:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
95.0%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 10:42
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+56
94.8%
Drew Kaser punt for 46 yds, downed at the TEXASAM 30 RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 9PUNT
11 plays · 40 yds · 4:235% → 6%
Q2 10:35
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
95.2%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q2 10:30
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+10
95.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 10 yds to the Rice 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
95.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 9:30
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+12
95.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 12 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:00
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
94.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 4 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q2 8:45
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+6
94.5%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+6
94.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the TexAM 39Similar
Q2 7:02
2ND & 4
OPP 39
-2
94.1%
Darik Dillard run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 6:27
3RD & 6
OPP 41
+1
93.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 40Similar
Q2 6:12
4TH & 5
OPP 40
0
94.0%
James Farrimond punt for 31 yds, downed at the TexAM 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 10TD
8 plays · 91 yds · 2:2994% → 96%
Q2 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+1
94.4%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd to the TexAM 10Similar
Q2 5:38
2ND & 9
OWN 10
+3
94.3%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 13Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 6
OWN 13
+11
94.0%
Kenny Hill run for 11 yds to the TexAM 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
94.2%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+7
94.2%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 7 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q2 3:59
2ND & 3
OWN 41
0
94.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q2 3:54
3RD & 3
OWN 41
+11
94.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 11 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:30
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
96.3%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 11MISSED FG
16 plays · 44 yds · 3:194% → 4%
Q2 3:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
96.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q2 3:02
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
95.9%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 31Similar
Q2 2:19
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+5
96.1%
Darik Dillard run for 5 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:50
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+20
96.0%
Driphus Jackson run for 20 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:38
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-11
95.5%
RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-11 Yards) to the Rice 45Similar
Q2 1:15
1ST & 21
OWN 45
0
96.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 1:12
2ND & 21
OWN 45
-5
96.0%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (-5 Yards) to the Rice 40Similar
Q2 0:49
2ND & 26
OWN 40
+18
96.0%
Darik Dillard run for 18 yds to the TexAM 42Similar
Q2 0:36
3RD & 8
OPP 42
+11
95.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 11 yds to the TexAM 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
95.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 0:25
2ND & 10
OPP 31
0
95.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 10
OPP 31
-5
95.5%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 36Similar
Q2 0:04
4TH & 15
OPP 36
+5
95.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Substitution Infraction (5 Yards) to the TexAM 31Similar
Q2 0:01
4TH & 10
OPP 31
+63
95.8%
James Hairston 48 Yard Field Goal MissedSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · -2 yds · 0:0096% → 96%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
-2
96.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 13TD
6 plays · 74 yds · 1:0496% → 99%
Q3 14:30
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-2
95.7%
Kenny Hill sacked by Brian Nordstrom for a loss of 2 yards to the TexAM 24Similar
Q3 14:22
2ND & 12
OWN 24
+12
95.7%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 12 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:08
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
95.7%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 41Similar
Q3 13:35
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+39
95.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Speedy Noil for 39 yds to the Rice 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:26
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+20
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 20 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 14PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 2:202% → 2%
Q3 13:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
98.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 19 yds to the Rice 44 RICE Penalty, Personal Foul (Bryce Reeves) to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 12:25
1ST & 6
OWN 29
+7
97.9%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:02
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
98.0%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 11:20
2ND & 8
OWN 38
0
98.1%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 38Similar
Q3 10:50
3RD & 8
OWN 38
0
98.1%
James Farrimond punt for 26 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 15PUNT
7 plays · 15 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Josh ReynoldsSimilar
Q3 10:36
2ND & 10
OWN 36
+10
98.5%
Tra Carson run for 10 yds to the TexAM 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:22
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-15
98.6%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Personal Foul (-15 Yards) to the TexAM 31Similar
Q3 9:45
1ST & 25
OWN 31
+3
98.5%
Tra Carson run for 3 yds to the TexAM 34Similar
Q3 9:45
2ND & 22
OWN 34
0
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:10
3RD & 22
OWN 34
+17
98.5%
Tra Carson run for 17 yds to the Rice 49Similar
Q3 8:58
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
98.5%
Drew Kaser punt for 49 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · 16 yds · 2:332% → 2%
Q3 8:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 3 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q3 8:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+6
98.3%
Driphus Jackson run for 6 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q3 7:33
3RD & 1
OWN 29
+2
98.3%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:01
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+2
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 2 yds to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 6:45
2ND & 8
OWN 33
0
98.3%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 8
OWN 33
+3
98.3%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the Rice 36Similar
Q3 5:57
4TH & 5
OWN 36
0
98.3%
James Farrimond punt for 43 yds, downed at the TexAM 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 17TD
2 plays · 79 yds · 0:2499% → 100%
Q3 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+39
98.5%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 39 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:24
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.8%
Tra Carson run for 1 yd for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18FG
12 plays · 66 yds · 4:210% → 1%
Q3 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+8
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 8 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q3 4:28
2ND & 2
OWN 26
+14
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 14 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:56
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+15
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 15 yds to the TexAM 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:21
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q3 2:55
2ND & 8
OPP 43
+8
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darrion Pollard for 8 yds to the TexAM 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:45
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+14
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 14 yds to the TexAM 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:05
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+2
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the TexAM 19Similar
Q3 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 19
+3
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 3 yds to the TexAM 16Similar
Q3 1:15
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
99.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 0:39
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
99.3%
James Hairston 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 19FG
7 plays · 50 yds · 0:43100% → 100%
Q3 0:27
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+30
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Edward Pope for 30 yds to the Rice 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:15
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+14
99.6%
Brandon Williams run for 14 yds to the Rice 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 6 yds to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 14:54
2ND & 4
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Edward PopeSimilar
Q4 14:49
3RD & 4
OPP 29
0
99.6%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Frank IheanachoSimilar
Q4 14:44
4TH & 4
OPP 29
+47
99.9%
Josh Lambo 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
16 plays · 38 yds · 6:440% → 0%
Q4 14:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 5 yds to the Rice 16Similar
Q4 14:00
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q4 13:20
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+10
99.9%
TEXAS A&M Penalty, Defensive Holding (10 Yards) to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-5
99.9%
Brandon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the Rice 39 RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the Rice 29Similar
Q4 12:30
1ST & 15
OWN 29
-2
99.9%
Brandon Hamilton run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 11:26
2ND & 17
OWN 27
+11
99.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 11 yds to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 10:51
3RD & 6
OWN 38
+7
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Temi Alaka for 7 yds to the Rice 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:08
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+3
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the Rice 48Similar
Q4 9:26
2ND & 7
OWN 48
+8
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 8 yds to the TexAM 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 8:57
2ND & 10
OPP 44
0
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the TexAM 44Similar
Q4 8:00
3RD & 10
OPP 44
-7
99.9%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Myles Garrett for a loss of 7 yards to the Rice 49Similar
Q4 7:38
4TH & 17
OWN 49
0
99.9%
James Farrimond punt for 51 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 21PUNT
4 plays · 8 yds · 0:58100% → 100%
Q4 7:27
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Trey Williams run for 5 yds to the TexAM 25Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 25
0
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass incomplete to Ricky Seals-JonesSimilar
Q4 6:58
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Kenny Hill pass complete to Ricky Seals-Jones for 3 yds to the TexAM 28Similar
Q4 6:29
4TH & 2
OWN 28
0
99.9%
Drew Kaser punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22PUNT
6 plays · 13 yds · 1:290% → 0%
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+11
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Cole Hunt for 11 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-5
99.9%
RICE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rice 38Similar
Q4 6:21
1ST & 15
OWN 38
0
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 6:00
2ND & 15
OWN 38
+7
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 7 yds to the Rice 45Similar
Q4 5:50
3RD & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:52
4TH & 8
OWN 45
0
100.0%
James Farrimond punt for 31 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the TexAM 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TA&MDrive 23INT
4 plays · 21 yds · 0:56100% → 100%
Q4 4:41
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
100.0%
James White run for 3 yds to the TexAM 27Similar
Q4 4:20
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+9
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass complete to Malcome Kennedy for 9 yds to the TexAM 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:06
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
100.0%
James White run for 9 yds to the TexAM 45Similar
Q4 3:45
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
100.0%
Kyle Allen pass intercepted Malcolm Hill return for no gain to the Rice 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24END OF HALF
10 plays · 46 yds · 3:300% → 0%
Q4 3:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+7
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the Rice 23Similar
Q4 3:05
2ND & 3
OWN 23
-1
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 22Similar
Q4 2:25
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+5
100.0%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the Rice 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:04
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 7 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 1:45
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+6
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the Rice 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:22
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass incomplete to James MaydenSimilar
Q4 1:11
2ND & 10
OWN 40
+18
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Brandon Hamilton for 18 yds to the TexAM 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:40
1ST & 10
OPP 42
-5
100.0%
Tyler Stehling sacked by Myles Garrett and Qualen Cunningham for a loss of 5 yards to the TexAM 47Similar
Q4 0:10
2ND & 15
OPP 47
+4
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 4 yds to the TexAM 43Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 11
OPP 43
+5
100.0%
Tyler Stehling run for 5 yds to the TexAM 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 13:26
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 20 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+2.6
TD · Q2 3:30
Kenny Hill pass complete to Josh Reynolds for 48 yds for a TD, (Josh Lambo KICK)
+2
TD · Q2 11:59
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Mario Hull for 35 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)
-1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com