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LT

Louisiana Tech 42 at North Texas 21

UNT
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 11, 2014 · DATCU Stadium
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Win probability · UNT
modelUNT aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUNT scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q1 2:53 · Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 34
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsPregame priorScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 35Home team on offense+0.1Score differential−0.2Garbage-time factor−0.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.1Pregame prior+4.6Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 10:55: Cody Sokol pass complete to Josh Gaston for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +6.5 pts (now 53%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 7:45: Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +9.9 pts (now 65%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q2 2:32: Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +12.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 7:22: Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK) — LT win probability +17.0 pts (now 97%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 4:15: Josh Greer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK) — UNT win probability +4.6 pts (now 8%) (top driver: UNT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNT made the numbers' call on 11 of 12LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00LT 4th & 12 at LT 29, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.9%−0.1
    22% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:17UNT 4th & 8 at UNT 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 61.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.9%
    average punt
  3. Q1 7:54LT 4th & 1 at UNT 29, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 38.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    38.7%
    71% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.3%−0.4
    58% to make
    Punt
    37.6%−1.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 7:54UNT 4th & 1 at UNT 38, tied
    Close callPunted · 61.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    61.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.6%−0.2
    average punt
  5. Q1 5:27LT 4th & 11 at LT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.7%−0.3
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.0%
    average punt
  6. Q1 2:53UNT 4th & 19 at UNT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.9%−1.1
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    61.0%
    average punt
  7. Q1 0:03LT 4th & 14 at LT 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 38.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.8
    18% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    38.5%
    average punt
  8. Q2 15:00UNT 4th & 7 at UNT 22, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    60.3%−0.5
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    60.8%
    average punt
  9. Q2 10:55UNT 4th & 3 at UNT 22, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 52.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.8%−0.3
    51% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.1%
    average punt
  10. Q2 7:45UNT 4th & 19 at UNT 15, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    39.0%−1.8
    10% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:32UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 48, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 26.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    25.6%−0.1
    29% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    25.7%
    average punt
  12. Q3 15:00UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 24, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 22.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−1.6
    17% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    22.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 7:22UNT 4th & 2 at UNT 49, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    4.4%
    56% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.3%−0.1
    average punt
  14. Q3 1:46UNT 4th & 10 at UNT 28, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.5%−0.1
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.6%
    average punt
  15. Q4 15:00LT 4th & 3 at UNT 45, up 28
    Close callPunted · 98.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    98.9%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    98.7%−0.2
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    98.8%−0.1
    average punt
  16. Q4 12:59UNT 4th & 14 at UNT 47, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.5%−0.1
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.6%
    average punt
  17. Q4 10:07LT 4th & 6 at LT 28, up 35
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.5%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%
    average punt
  18. Q4 8:02UNT 4th & 3 at LT 6, down 35
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.3%
    46% to convert
    Field goal
    0.3%−<0.1
    91% to make
    Punt
    0.0%−0.3
    average punt
  19. Q4 3:38LT 4th & 4 at LT 31, up 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.7%−0.1
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.8%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNT made the numbers' call on 2 of 3LT made the numbers' call on 6 of 6
  1. Q2 10:55LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 7:45LT Touchdown, up 13 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:32LT Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    73.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    73.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 7:22LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    96.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    96.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 4:15UNT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    6.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    6.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:46LT Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 12:59LT Touchdown, up 34 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:38UNT Touchdown, down 29 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  9. Q4 0:34UNT Touchdown, down 22 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.6%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
LTDrive 1PUNT
8 plays · 10 yds · 0:0044% → 44%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
-3
55.8%
Cody Sokol run for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 16Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 13
OWN 16
+6
55.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 6 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
+9
55.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 9 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-2
55.8%
Cody Sokol sacked by Jarrian Roberts for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 29Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 12
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter LeeSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 12
OWN 29
0
55.8%
Logan McPherson punt for 45 yds, downed at the NoTex 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 12:17
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
56.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Marcus SmithSimilar
Q1 12:17
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+5
56.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 31Similar
Q1 12:17
3RD & 5
OWN 31
-3
55.9%
Josh Greer pass complete to Reggie Pegram for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q1 12:17
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+19
55.8%
Eric Keena punt for 40 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 19 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 3MISSED FG
6 plays · 20 yds · 2:5244% → 44%
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
55.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for no gain to the NoTex 49Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+11
55.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 11 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:46
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+3
55.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q1 10:46
2ND & 7
OPP 35
+5
55.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 5 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q1 10:46
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+1
55.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the NoTex 29Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 1
OPP 29
+46
55.7%
Kyle Fischer 46 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0056% → 56%
Q1 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+4
56.3%
Reggie Pegram run for 4 yds to the NoTex 33Similar
Q1 7:54
2ND & 6
OWN 33
+1
56.4%
Reggie Pegram run for 1 yd to the NoTex 34Similar
Q1 7:54
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+4
56.1%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 4 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q1 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 38
0
56.2%
Eric Keena punt for 42 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 5PUNT
9 plays · 10 yds · 0:3344% → 43%
Q1 6:00
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
56.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds to the LaTch 22Similar
Q1 6:00
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+5
56.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, encroachment (N/A) to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 3
OWN 27
+1
56.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 28Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 2
OWN 28
+3
56.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:27
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
56.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul Turner, broken up by Kenny BuyersSimilar
Q1 5:27
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+4
56.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 5:27
3RD & 6
OWN 35
-5
56.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 5:27
4TH & 11
OWN 30
0
57.1%
Logan McPherson punt for 39 yds, downed at the NoTex 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 6PUNT
4 plays · -9 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 2:53
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-19
57.2%
TEAM run for a loss of 19 yards to the NoTex 12Similar
Q1 2:53
2ND & 29
OWN 12
+7
56.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 7 yds to the NoTex 19Similar
Q1 2:53
3RD & 22
OWN 19
+3
56.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q1 2:53
4TH & 19
OWN 22
0
56.1%
Eric Keena punt for 44 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -4 yds · 0:5344% → 43%
Q1 0:56
1ST & 10
OWN 34
0
55.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Cody Sokol, broken up by Alexander LincolnSimilar
Q1 0:56
2ND & 10
OWN 34
-7
56.1%
Cody Sokol sacked by Malik Dilonga for a loss of 7 yards to the LaTch 27Similar
Q1 0:56
3RD & 17
OWN 27
+3
56.8%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q1 0:03
4TH & 14
OWN 30
+10
56.9%
Logan McPherson punt for 51 yds , Carlos Harris returns for 10 yds to the NoTex 40 NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the NoTex 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 3 yds · 0:0057% → 56%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+3
56.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 3 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 22
0
56.7%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 22
0
56.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 22
+2
55.6%
Blake Macek punt for 40 yds , Trent Taylor returns for 2 yds to the LaTch 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 9TD
10 plays · 60 yds · 3:1246% → 53%
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OWN 40
0
54.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 10
OWN 40
-1
54.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 11
OWN 39
+23
55.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 23 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+8
53.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 8 yds to the NoTex 30Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & 2
OPP 30
0
53.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Kenneth Dixon, broken up by Malik DilongaSimilar
Q2 14:07
3RD & 2
OPP 30
+5
53.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 5 yds to the NoTex 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+15
53.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 15 yds to the NoTex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:07
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+6
53.1%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the NoTex 4Similar
Q2 14:07
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
53.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter LeeSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
46.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Josh Gaston for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:0048% → 47%
Q2 10:55
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+2
48.1%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 2 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 10:55
2ND & 8
OWN 17
0
48.2%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carl Caldwell, broken up by Terrell PinsonSimilar
Q2 10:55
3RD & 8
OWN 17
+5
47.4%
Josh Greer pass complete to Antoinne Jimmerson for 5 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 10:55
4TH & 3
OWN 22
0
47.2%
Blake Macek punt for 45 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 11TD
5 plays · 67 yds · 1:4853% → 65%
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+15
47.0%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Defensive pass interference (James Jones) to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+14
46.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 14 yds to the NoTex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+14
45.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 14 yds to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:33
1ST & 10
OPP 24
-4
45.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 4 yards to the NoTex 28Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 14
OPP 28
+28
35.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 12PUNT
6 plays · 6 yds · 0:0036% → 36%
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 9
+15
36.1%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the NoTex 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:45
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-9
36.5%
Josh Greer sacked by Xavier Woods for a loss of 9 yards to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 7:45
2ND & 19
OWN 15
0
36.3%
Reggie Pegram run for no gain to the NoTex 15Similar
Q2 7:45
3RD & 19
OWN 15
0
36.1%
Josh Greer pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 7:45
4TH & 19
OWN 15
0
36.1%
Blake Macek punt for 38 yds, downed at the LaTch 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 13TD
8 plays · 53 yds · 3:2566% → 79%
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+10
33.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 10 yds to the NoTex 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 43
0
33.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Hunter LeeSimilar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 10
OPP 43
-10
33.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Offensive holding (Joseph Brunson) to the LaTch 47Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 20
OWN 47
+30
34.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 15 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 38 for a 1ST down NORTH TEXAS Penalty, personal foul (Sir Calvin Wallace) to the NoTex 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:57
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+6
33.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the NoTex 17Similar
Q2 5:57
2ND & 4
OPP 17
0
33.5%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent TaylorSimilar
Q2 5:57
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+12
33.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 12 yds to the NoTex 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
21.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 28 yds · 0:0023% → 24%
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
23.1%
Reggie Pegram run for 2 yds to the NoTex 22Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+3
23.0%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 3 yds to the NoTex 25Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 5
OWN 25
+5
23.0%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, Defensive pass interference (Le'Vander Liggins) to the NoTex 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+8
23.3%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 8 yds to the NoTex 38Similar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 2
OWN 38
+1
24.4%
Josh Greer pass complete to Reggie Pegram for 1 yd to the NoTex 39Similar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 1
OWN 39
+9
24.1%
Jarrod Lynn run for 9 yds to the NoTex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
25.0%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q2 2:32
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
24.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carl Caldwell, broken up by Adairius BarnesSimilar
Q2 2:32
3RD & 10
OWN 48
0
24.2%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carl CaldwellSimilar
Q2 2:32
4TH & 10
OWN 48
0
24.0%
Blake Macek punt for 38 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 14Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 15END OF HALF
1 play · 5 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 0:29
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+5
17.9%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 16PUNT
7 plays · -4 yds · 0:0020% → 20%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-10
20.3%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, Offensive holding (Cyril Lemon) to the NoTex 18Similar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 20
OWN 18
+11
20.0%
Jeffrey Wilson run for 11 yds to the NoTex 29Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 29
-5
20.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Antonio Johnson) to the NoTex 24Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 24
0
19.9%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos Harris, broken up by Vernon ButlerSimilar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 14
OWN 24
0
19.8%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin KidsySimilar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 14
OWN 24
0
19.8%
Blake Macek punt for 35 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the LaTch 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 17INT
3 plays · 16 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+14
15.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 14 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:16
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+2
14.9%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the NoTex 43Similar
Q3 13:16
2ND & 8
OPP 43
0
14.9%
Cody Sokol pass intercepted Sheldon Wade return for no gain to the NoTex 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 18FUMBLE
11 plays · 53 yds · 0:0018% → 20%
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 10
0
18.1%
Jeffrey Wilson run for no gain to the NoTex 10Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 10
OWN 10
+1
17.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 1 yd to the NoTex 11Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 11
+25
17.8%
Josh Greer pass complete to Marcus Smith for 10 yds Marcus Smith fumbled, forced by Xavier Woods, recovered by NoTex Carlos Harris for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (15 Yards) to the NoTex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
18.7%
Josh Greer pass complete to Antoinne Jimmerson for 3 yds to the NoTex 39Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+6
19.0%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 6 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+2
19.6%
Josh Greer run for 2 yds to the NoTex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+1
19.8%
Erick Evans run for 1 yd to the NoTex 48Similar
Q3 12:07
2ND & 9
OWN 48
0
19.7%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 12:07
3RD & 9
OWN 48
+9
19.3%
Josh Greer pass complete to Darius Terrell for 9 yds to the LaTch 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+61
20.2%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 6 yds Carl Caldwell fumbled, forced by Terrell Pinson, recovered by LaTch Terrell Pinson , return for 61 yds to the NoTex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 19TD
1 play · 2 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q3 7:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
3.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 20TD
9 plays · 59 yds · 3:074% → 8%
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+5
3.6%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 5 yds to the NoTex 46Similar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 5
OWN 46
+3
3.4%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 3 yds to the NoTex 49Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 2
OWN 49
0
3.4%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carlos HarrisSimilar
Q3 7:22
4TH & 2
OWN 49
+23
3.4%
Josh Greer pass complete to Carlos Harris for 23 yds to the LaTch 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
3.9%
Antoinne Jimmerson run for 12 yds to the LaTch 16 Antoinne Jimmerson fumbled, forced by Kentrell Brice, recovered by NoTex Antoinne Jimmerson for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
0
3.8%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
Q3 7:22
2ND & 10
OPP 16
+11
3.7%
Reggie Pegram run for 11 yds to the LaTch 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+5
8.3%
Josh Greer run for 5 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
7 plays · 71 yds · 2:2995% → 98%
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+15
4.8%
Tevin King run for 15 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+2
4.6%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q3 4:15
2ND & 8
OWN 46
+8
4.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 8 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+19
4.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 19 yds to the NoTex 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+6
4.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for 6 yds to the NoTex 21Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 4
OPP 21
+21
2.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 21 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 1:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
0
1.4%
Josh Greer run for no gain to the NoTex 28Similar
Q3 1:46
2ND & 10
OWN 28
0
1.3%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Carl CaldwellSimilar
Q3 1:46
3RD & 10
OWN 28
0
1.3%
Josh Greer pass incomplete to Darvin Kidsy, broken up by Bryson AbrahamSimilar
Q3 1:46
4TH & 10
OWN 28
0
1.3%
Blake Macek punt for 52 yds, downed at the LaTch 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23PUNT
6 plays · 35 yds · 0:4398% → 99%
Q3 0:43
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
2.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+25
1.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Tevin King for 25 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 48
-2
0.9%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 46Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 12
OWN 46
+9
0.9%
Jarred Craft run for 9 yds to the NoTex 45Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 45
0
0.8%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q4 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 45
0
1.0%
Gerald Shouse punt for 33 yds , TEAM returns for no gain to the NoTex 12 TEAM fumbled, recovered by LaTch Beau FitteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 24TD
1 play · 12 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
0.5%
Trent Taylor 12 Yd pass from Cody Sokol (Kyle Fischer Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 25PUNT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 12:59
4TH & 14
OWN 47
0
0.4%
Blake Macek punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 13Similar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OWN 28
-3
0.4%
Erick Evans run for a loss of 3 yards to the NoTex 25Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 13
OWN 25
+10
0.4%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 10 yds to the NoTex 35Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 3
OWN 35
+16
0.4%
Erick Evans run for 16 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 12:59
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+1
0.4%
Erick Evans run for 1 yd to the LaTch 48Similar
Q4 12:59
2ND & 9
OPP 48
-5
0.4%
Dajon Williams sacked by Deldrick Canty for a loss of 5 yards to the NoTex 47Similar
Q4 12:59
3RD & 14
OWN 47
0
0.4%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Darius TerrellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 15 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+11
0.4%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 11 yds to the LaTch 24 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:07
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-1
0.4%
Jarred Craft run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 23Similar
Q4 10:07
2ND & 11
OWN 23
+5
0.4%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaTch 28Similar
Q4 10:07
3RD & 6
OWN 28
0
0.4%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete to Conner SmithSimilar
Q4 10:07
4TH & 6
OWN 28
+42
0.4%
Logan McPherson punt for 42 yds , Carlos Harris returns for a loss of 1 yard to the NoTex 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 27TD
9 plays · 71 yds · 4:240% → 0%
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
0.2%
Erick Evans run for 8 yds to the NoTex 37Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 2
OWN 37
+1
0.2%
Erick Evans run for 1 yd to the NoTex 38Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 1
OWN 38
+7
0.2%
Erick Evans run for 7 yds to the NoTex 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+42
0.2%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Carl Caldwell for 28 yds to the NORTHTEXAS 27 for a 1ST down LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, roughing passer (N/A) to the LaTch 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:02
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+3
0.2%
Dajon Williams run for 3 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 8:02
2ND & 7
OPP 10
0
0.2%
Erick Evans run for no gain to the LaTch 10Similar
Q4 8:02
3RD & 7
OPP 10
+4
0.2%
Dajon Williams run for 4 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q4 8:02
4TH & 3
OPP 6
+3
0.2%
Dajon Williams run for 3 yds to the LaTch 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 3:38
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
0.1%
A. Jimmerson run for 3 yds for a TD, (T. Moore KICK), (T. Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 28PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 3:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+9
0.2%
Ryan Higgins pass complete to Carlos Henderson for 9 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q4 3:38
2ND & 1
OWN 34
-3
0.2%
Taylor Burch pass complete to Carlos Henderson for a loss of 3 yards to the LaTch 31Similar
Q4 3:38
3RD & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Ryan Higgins pass incomplete, broken up by Chad PolkSimilar
Q4 3:38
4TH & 4
OWN 31
0
0.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NoTex 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNTDrive 29TD
7 plays · 64 yds · 1:220% → 1%
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
0.1%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Darvin Kidsy for 10 yds to the NoTex 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+27
0.1%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Turner Smiley for 27 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 27
0
0.1%
Dajon Williams pass incomplete to Turner SmileySimilar
Q4 1:56
2ND & 10
OPP 27
+23
0.1%
Dajon Williams pass complete to Turner Smiley for 23 yds to the LaTch 4 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:56
1ST & 0
OPP 4
-5
0.1%
NORTH TEXAS Penalty, false start (Shawn McKinney) to the LaTch 9Similar
Q4 0:34
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+9
0.8%
Erick Evans run for 9 yds for a TD, (Trevor Moore KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 5 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:34
1ST & 10
OWN 5
+5
0.4%
Marlon Seets run for 5 yds to the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 7:22
Kenneth Dixon run for 2 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
-17
TD · Q2 2:32
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
-12.5
TD · Q2 7:45
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 28 yds for a TD, (Kyle Fischer KICK)
-9.9
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com