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WKU

Western Kentucky 47 at Middle Tennessee 50

MTSU
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Johnny "Red" Floyd Stadium
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Win probability · MTSU
modelMTSU aheadWKU aheadconfidence bandkey playMTSU scoreWKU score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTDFGTDTDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGFGTDTDFGFGFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q4 14:13 · Garrett Schwettman 37 yd FG MISSED
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseTime remainingGarbage-time factorScore differentialDefense timeoutsOffense timeouts
+28.5+14.30−14.3−28.5Q1Q2Q3Q4OTPlay 158Home team on offense−4.1Time remaining−1.4Garbage-time factor+0.1Score differential−3.8Defense timeouts+0.1Offense timeouts−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q4 9:25: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 19 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +30.9 pts (now 56%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  2. TD · OT 0:00: Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK) — WKU win probability +42.0 pts (now 79%) (top driver: WKU has the ball).
  3. TD · OT 0:00: Austin Grammer 1 Yd Run (Cody Clark Kick) — MTSU win probability +34.3 pts (now 62%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  4. FG · OT 0:00: Garrett Schwettman 36 Yd Field Goal — WKU win probability +32.8 pts (now 50%) (top driver: defense timeouts not recorded for this play).
  5. TD · OT 0:00: Ed'Marques Batties 25 Yd pass from Austin Grammer — MTSU win probability +58.5 pts (now 85%) (top driver: MTSU has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 8WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 7
  1. Q1 15:00WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 44, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.8%
    52% to convert
    Field goal
    45.6%−0.2
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.7%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:01MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 20, tied
    Close callPunted · 54.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    54.4%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    54.3%−0.1
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:19WKU 4th & 4 at MTSU 47, tied
    Close callPunted · 45.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    45.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    45.5%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 2:23WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 3, down 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.3%
    44% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    40.8%−0.5
    93% to make
    Punt
    37.7%−3.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 14:31MTSU 4th & 11 at MTSU 24, up 4
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 56.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    55.9%−1.0
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    56.9%
    average punt
  6. Q2 10:38MTSU 4th & 2 at MTSU 35, down 3
    Close callPunted · 52.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.8%
    57% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    52.2%−0.6
    average punt
  7. Q2 1:58MTSU 4th & 9 at WKU 19, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 39.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    37.8%−0.6
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    38.4%
    77% to make
    Punt
    34.0%−4.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 11:22WKU 4th & 10 at WKU 30, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 44.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    43.2%−1.7
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    44.8%
    average punt
  9. Q3 10:03MTSU 4th & 6 at WKU 45, tied
    Close callPunted · 57.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    55.9%−2.3
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    57.9%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q3 6:30WKU 4th & 1 at MTSU 1, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 48.6% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    47.5%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    43.1%−4.5
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.2%−16.3
    average punt
  11. Q3 2:02MTSU 4th & 3 at MTSU 8, tied
    Close callPunted · 52.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    53.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    53.4%−0.5
    average punt
  12. Q4 14:13WKU 4th & 3 at MTSU 20, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.3 ptsKicked a field goal · 49.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    49.6%
    51% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    48.3%−1.3
    75% to make
    Punt
    33.9%−15.7
    average punt
  13. Q4 9:25MTSU 4th & 1 at MTSU 41, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 57.9% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    58.7%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    54.0%−4.6
    average punt
  14. Q4 2:29MTSU 4th & 8 at WKU 12, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 59.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    52.9%−2.7
    30% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    55.7%
    86% to make
    Punt
    26.5%−29.2
    average punt
  15. Q4 0:20WKU 4th & 2 at MTSU 6, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 27.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.2%−17.8
    52% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    39.1%
    91% to make
    Punt
    8.4%−30.7
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MTSU made the numbers' call on 4 of 4WKU made the numbers' call on 3 of 4
  1. Q1 7:20MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    57.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    57.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 1:23MTSU Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    62.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    62.0%−0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 14:31WKU Touchdown, down 5 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    43.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    43.3%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 10:38WKU Touchdown, up 2 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 5:51WKU Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q2 0:13MTSU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    52.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    52.6%−0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 11:37MTSU Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    76.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.9%−0.7
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 9:25WKU Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    41.0%−0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    41.1%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
WKUDrive 1PUNT
9 plays · 32 yds · 0:0048% → 48%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+3
52.2%
Leon Allen run for 3 yds to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 27
+6
52.2%
Leon Allen run for 6 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+1
52.2%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+15
52.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 15 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+5
52.2%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 46Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 46
+2
52.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 2 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 44
0
52.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 3
OPP 44
0
52.2%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 33 yds, downed at the MTnSt 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 52%
Q1 12:01
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
52.7%
Jordan Parker run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 16Similar
Q1 12:01
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+3
52.7%
Jordan Parker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
Q1 12:01
3RD & 2
OWN 19
+1
52.5%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q1 12:01
4TH & 1
OWN 20
0
52.4%
Zachary Lopez punt for 54 yds, downed at the WKent 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 3PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:0047% → 47%
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+6
52.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 4
OWN 32
+15
52.5%
Leon Allen run for 15 yds to the WKent 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:19
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
52.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 10:19
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+9
52.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 9 yds to the MTnSt 44Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 1
OPP 44
-15
52.3%
WALES, Anthony rush for no gain to the MT44 (BURKE, Khari), PENALTY WKU illegal cut (50) 15 yards to the WKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
3RD & 16
OWN 41
+7
52.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 7 yds to the WKent 48Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 9
OWN 48
+5
52.9%
OCCHIPINTI, J. punt 31 yards to the MT21, BATTIES, E. return to the MT29, out-of-bounds (DOWLING, Nolan), PENALTY MT offside (BROWN, Chris) 5 yards to the MT47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 10:19
4TH & 4
OPP 47
0
52.6%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 14 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 4TD
2 plays · 67 yds · 0:3353% → 57%
Q1 7:53
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+8
53.2%
Austin Grammer run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 2
OWN 41
+59
56.8%
Austin Grammer run for 59 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 5FG
19 plays · 84 yds · 4:5744% → 45%
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-12
56.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the WKent 13Similar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+5
56.1%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 18
0
56.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Joel GermanSimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 18
+9
56.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 9 yds to the WKent 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+5
56.0%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 5
OWN 32
0
55.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 5
OWN 32
-5
56.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the WKent 27Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & 10
OWN 27
+29
56.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 29 yds to the MTnSt 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+4
55.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 40
+6
55.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 6 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+4
54.9%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 30Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 6
OPP 30
+8
54.8%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+9
54.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 9 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q1 7:20
2ND & 1
OPP 13
+5
54.8%
Leon Allen run for 5 yds to the MTnSt 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:20
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
0
54.8%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q1 7:20
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
54.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 5 yds to the MTnSt 3Similar
Q1 7:20
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
55.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 2:23
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+20
54.6%
Garrett Schwettman 20 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 6TD
5 plays · 65 yds · 1:0056% → 61%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+2
55.5%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 37Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 37
+4
55.7%
Austin Grammer run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q1 2:23
3RD & 4
OWN 41
+52
55.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Shane Tucker for 52 yds to the WKent 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
61.2%
Jordan Parker run for 7 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 7TD
8 plays · 78 yds · 1:5240% → 46%
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
60.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nacarius Fant for 3 yds to the WKent 25Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 7
OWN 25
+13
60.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 13 yds to the WKent 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:23
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+6
59.8%
Anthony Wales run for 6 yds to the WKent 44Similar
Q1 1:23
2ND & 4
OWN 44
-5
59.4%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (N/A) to the WKent 39Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 39
0
60.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Anthony WalesSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 39
+14
61.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 14 yds to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+47
54.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 47 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · -1 yds · 0:0056% → 55%
Q2 14:31
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
56.0%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 10
OWN 25
-5
55.8%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Josh Chester) to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q2 14:31
2ND & 15
OWN 20
+4
55.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for 4 yds to the MTnSt 24Similar
Q2 14:31
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
55.1%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q2 14:31
4TH & 11
OWN 24
+8
54.7%
Zachary Lopez punt for 45 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the WKent 24 , Kylen Towner returns for 8 yds to the WKent 32 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, personal foul (Nicholas Norris) to the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 9TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 2:4444% → 51%
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
56.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNeal, broken up by Khari BurkeSimilar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 10
OWN 24
+28
56.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 28 yds to the MTnSt 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+1
54.4%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 47Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 9
OPP 47
+26
54.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 26 yds to the MTnSt 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+3
53.6%
Anthony Wales run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 13:22
2ND & 7
OPP 18
+4
53.6%
Anthony Wales run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 14Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 3
OPP 14
+14
49.3%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 14 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · 8 yds · 0:0052% → 51%
Q2 10:38
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+7
51.8%
Jordan Parker run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 34Similar
Q2 10:38
2ND & 3
OWN 34
+1
53.1%
Jordan Parker run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 35Similar
Q2 10:38
3RD & 2
OWN 35
0
52.3%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Jordan ParkerSimilar
Q2 10:38
4TH & 2
OWN 35
0
50.9%
Zachary Lopez punt for 41 yds, fair catch by Kylen Towner at the WKent 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 11TD
7 plays · 76 yds · 3:1849% → 62%
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OWN 24
-2
50.6%
Kylen Towner run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 22Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 12
OWN 22
-4
50.9%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Jimal McBride for a loss of 4 yards to the WKent 18Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 16
OWN 18
+67
51.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 67 yds to the MTnSt 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:09
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+2
48.0%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q2 9:09
2ND & 8
OPP 13
+3
48.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 3 yds to the MTnSt 10Similar
Q2 9:09
3RD & 5
OPP 10
+8
48.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Joel German for 8 yds to the MTnSt 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
38.4%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 12FG
14 plays · 64 yds · 3:5340% → 43%
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+1
39.6%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 9
OWN 18
+16
39.6%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Christian Collis for 16 yds to the MTnSt 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+8
40.1%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 8 yds to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 2
OWN 42
+4
41.3%
Shane Tucker run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
41.2%
TEAM run for no gain to the MTnSt 43 TEAM fumbled, recovered by MTnSt Austin GrammerSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 13
OWN 43
0
40.2%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 13
OWN 43
+22
39.3%
Austin Grammer run for 22 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+2
42.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the WKent 33Similar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 8
OPP 33
+13
42.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Ed'Marques Batties for 13 yds to the WKent 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:51
1ST & 10
OPP 20
0
42.9%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques BattiesSimilar
Q2 5:51
2ND & 10
OPP 20
0
42.9%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 5:51
3RD & 10
OPP 20
+1
41.6%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the WKent 19Similar
Q2 1:58
4TH & 9
OPP 19
+37
42.6%
Cody Clark 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 13INT
3 plays · 0 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q2 1:58
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
39.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q2 1:58
2ND & 10
OWN 26
0
39.7%
Brandon Doughty pass intercepted Jared Singletary return for no gain to the MTnSt 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 14TD
9 plays · 54 yds · 1:2744% → 59%
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+9
43.6%
Shane Tucker run for 9 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 1
OPP 45
+6
44.9%
Shane Tucker run for 6 yds to the WKent 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
44.8%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the WKent 36Similar
Q2 1:40
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+11
44.9%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Devin Clarke for 11 yds to the WKent 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:40
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+9
46.3%
Reggie Whatley run for 9 yds to the WKent 16Similar
Q2 0:23
2ND & 1
OPP 16
+5
44.9%
Austin Grammer run for 5 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+11
59.3%
Austin Grammer run for 11 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 15END OF HALF
3 plays · 15 yds · 0:0050% → 53%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+15
49.6%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the MTnSt 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
47.2%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 16PUNT
11 plays · 15 yds · 0:0056% → 54%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+13
55.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 13 yds to the MTnSt 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+3
57.1%
Austin Grammer run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 7
OWN 41
+9
58.0%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 9 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+14
58.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 14 yds to the WKent 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
59.0%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
59.6%
Jordan Parker run for 4 yds to the WKent 31Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-10
58.6%
GRAMMER, Austin pass complete to CLARKE, Devin for 16 yards to the WKU15 (THOMAS, Cam), PENALTY MT holding (ANDERSON, I.) 10 yards to the WKU41, NO PLAY.Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 41
+6
56.0%
Austin Grammer run for 6 yds to the WKent 35Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 9
OPP 35
-25
55.2%
MIDDLE TENN Penalty, false start (Adam Stickel) to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 15:00
4TH & 34
OWN 40
0
53.7%
Zachary Lopez punt for 49 yds, fair catch by Willie McNeal at the WKent 11Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 17PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 0:0047% → 45%
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+1
52.7%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the WKent 12Similar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 9
OWN 12
+6
53.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 6 yds to the WKent 18Similar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 3
OWN 18
+12
53.7%
DOUGHTY, B. pass incomplete to DANGERFIELD, J., dropped pass (SINGLETARY, J.), PENALTY MT pass interference (SINGLETARY, J.) 12 yards to the WKU30, 1ST DOWN WKU, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:22
1ST & 10
OWN 30
0
52.0%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane Grant, broken up by Kevin ByardSimilar
Q3 11:22
2ND & 10
OWN 30
0
52.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q3 11:22
3RD & 10
OWN 30
0
53.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Nicholas Norris, broken up by Khari BurkeSimilar
Q3 11:22
4TH & 10
OWN 30
0
54.8%
Joseph Occhipinti punt for 46 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the MTnSt 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 31 yds · 0:0056% → 57%
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+9
55.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Christian Collis for 9 yds to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 1
OWN 33
0
57.8%
Reggie Whatley run for no gain to the MTnSt 33Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+3
56.3%
Shane Tucker run for 3 yds to the MTnSt 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
56.9%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 40Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+11
58.5%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for 11 yds to the WKent 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:03
1ST & 10
OPP 49
-2
59.5%
Jordan Parker run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 49Similar
Q3 10:03
2ND & 12
OWN 49
+2
57.4%
Austin Grammer run for 2 yds to the WKent 49Similar
Q3 10:03
3RD & 10
OPP 49
+4
56.8%
Austin Grammer run for 4 yds to the WKent 45Similar
Q3 10:03
4TH & 6
OPP 45
0
56.6%
Zachary Lopez punt for 29 yds, fair catch by Willie McNeal at the WKent 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 19DOWNS
12 plays · 83 yds · 0:0047% → 50%
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+4
52.6%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 20Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 6
OWN 20
+4
52.8%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the WKent 24Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 2
OWN 24
+33
53.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 33 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+1
48.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Taywan Taylor for 1 yd to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 9
OPP 42
+20
48.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Tyler Higbee for 20 yds to the MTnSt 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
46.8%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 15Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & 3
OPP 15
+2
46.8%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 13Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+7
48.4%
Leon Allen run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:30
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
46.8%
Leon Allen run for 1 yd to the MTnSt 5Similar
Q3 6:30
2ND & GOAL
OPP 5
+4
46.8%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q3 6:30
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
48.4%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the MTnSt 1Similar
Q3 6:30
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
50.4%
Leon Allen run for no gain to the MTnSt 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 20PUNT
4 plays · 7 yds · 0:0055% → 52%
Q3 2:02
1ST & 10
OWN 1
0
55.2%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Ed'Marques Batties, broken up by Prince Charles IworahSimilar
Q3 2:02
2ND & 10
OWN 1
+7
55.0%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 8Similar
Q3 2:02
3RD & 3
OWN 8
0
53.1%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin ClarkeSimilar
Q3 2:02
4TH & 3
OWN 8
-3
52.2%
Zachary Lopez punt for 43 yds , Willie McNeal returns for a loss of 3 yards to the WKent 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 21MISSED FG
6 plays · 34 yds · 1:5152% → 50%
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OWN 46
-10
48.2%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for no gain to the WKent 46 WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, illegal block (-10 Yards) to the WKent 36Similar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 20
OWN 36
+37
51.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 37 yds to the MTnSt 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:04
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+4
45.6%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q3 1:04
2ND & 6
OPP 23
+5
45.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 5 yds to the MTnSt 18Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 18
-2
47.2%
Leon Allen run for a loss of 2 yards to the MTnSt 20Similar
Q4 14:13
4TH & 3
OPP 20
+37
50.0%
Garrett Schwettman 37 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 22TD
8 plays · 80 yds · 2:3656% → 85%
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+12
56.4%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Jeremiah Bryson for 12 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+22
57.2%
Shane Tucker run for 22 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+14
61.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 14 yds to the WKent 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 32
+9
63.0%
Reggie Whatley run for 9 yds to the WKent 23Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 1
OPP 23
+12
63.0%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 12 yds to the WKent 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:13
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+2
63.0%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 2 yds to the WKent 9Similar
Q4 14:13
2ND & 8
OPP 9
+7
63.0%
Shane Tucker run for 7 yds to the WKent 2Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 1
OPP 2
+2
85.0%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds for a TD, (Cody Clark KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 23TD
10 plays · 65 yds · 2:1221% → 56%
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
78.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+11
78.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Nicholas Norris for 11 yds to the WKent 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+12
76.7%
Leon Allen run for 12 yds to the MTnSt 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+11
75.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 11 yds to the MTnSt 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:37
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+8
73.7%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 8 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 2
OPP 23
-5
73.1%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Brandon Ray) to the MTnSt 28Similar
Q4 11:37
2ND & 7
OPP 28
+5
73.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 5 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 11:37
3RD & 2
OPP 23
+4
75.2%
Leon Allen run for 4 yds to the MTnSt 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
44.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 19 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 24FG
21 plays · 68 yds · 6:5656% → 85%
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+3
56.3%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 3 yds to the MTnSt 23Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+3
56.2%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 3 yds to the MTnSt 26Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 4
OWN 26
+6
55.1%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Christian Collis for 6 yds to the MTnSt 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+7
57.2%
Reggie Whatley run for 7 yds to the MTnSt 39Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 3
OWN 39
+2
60.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 1
OWN 41
0
59.3%
Austin Grammer run for no gain to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 9:25
4TH & 1
OWN 41
+2
56.9%
Austin Grammer run for 2 yds to the MTnSt 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-1
60.4%
Reggie Whatley run for a loss of 1 yard to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 11
OWN 42
0
58.3%
Reggie Whatley run for no gain to the MTnSt 42Similar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 11
OWN 42
+15
56.1%
GRAMMER, Austin pass incomplete to HENRY, Marcus, PENALTY WKU pass interference (JOHNSON, L.) 15 yards to the WKU43, 1ST DOWN MT, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+2
62.1%
Shane Tucker run for 2 yds to the WKent 41Similar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 8
OPP 41
0
62.1%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Shane Tucker, broken up by Nick HoltSimilar
Q4 9:25
3RD & 8
OPP 41
+13
61.0%
Austin Grammer run for 13 yds to the WKent 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+14
63.5%
Jeremiah Bryson run for 14 yds to the WKent 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:25
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.5%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Devin ClarkeSimilar
Q4 9:25
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+4
63.5%
Austin Grammer run for 4 yds to the WKent 10Similar
Q4 2:40
3RD & 6
OPP 10
-2
61.9%
Reggie Whatley run for a loss of 2 yards to the WKent 12Similar
Q4 2:29
4TH & 8
OPP 12
+29
84.7%
Cody Clark 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 25FG
17 plays · 70 yds · 2:0927% → 56%
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+8
73.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 8 yds to the WKent 32Similar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 2
OWN 32
+1
69.6%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Leon Allen for 1 yd to the WKent 33Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 1
OWN 33
+2
71.3%
Leon Allen run for 2 yds to the WKent 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
71.6%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OWN 35
+15
72.1%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 15 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
50
0
66.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Jared DangerfieldSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
50
+9
68.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Antwane Grant for 9 yds to the MTnSt 41Similar
Q4 2:29
3RD & 1
OPP 41
+8
65.7%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:29
1ST & 10
OPP 33
0
64.1%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
Q4 2:29
2ND & 10
OPP 33
+19
64.4%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 19 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:39
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
63.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNealSimilar
Q4 0:39
2ND & 10
OPP 14
0
63.3%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Mitchell HenrySimilar
Q4 0:39
3RD & 10
OPP 14
+8
68.9%
Leon Allen run for 8 yds to the MTnSt 6Similar
Q4 0:20
4TH & 2
OPP 6
+24
43.6%
Garrett Schwettman 24 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · -1 yds · 0:1359% → 63%
Q4 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+14
58.6%
Reggie Whatley run for 14 yds to the WKent 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:07
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-15
62.8%
Austin Grammer sacked by Tanner Reeves for a loss of 15 yards to the MTnSt 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 27TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0079% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
20.8%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 28TD
8 plays · 25 yds · 0:0028% → 62%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+1
28.1%
Austin Grammer run for 1 yd to the WKent 24Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 9
OPP 24
+5
27.7%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Christian Collis for 5 yds to the WKent 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
25.6%
Austin Grammer pass incomplete to Shane TuckerSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+18
22.8%
Austin Grammer pass complete to Marcus Henry for 18 yds to the WKent 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.8%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
0
28.1%
Shane Tucker run for no gain to the WKent 1Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
62.3%
Austin Grammer 1 Yd Run (Cody Clark Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 29FG
4 plays · 0 yds · 0:0065% → 79%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+5
64.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 5 yds to the WKent 20Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 5
OPP 20
+1
64.7%
Reggie Whatley run for 1 yd to the WKent 19Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
-6
62.4%
Austin Grammer sacked by Nick Holt for a loss of 6 yards to the WKent 25Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 10
OPP 25
+42
78.6%
Cody Clark 42 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 30FG
5 plays · 6 yds · 0:0029% → 50%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+6
70.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 6 yds to the MTnSt 19Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 4
OPP 19
0
70.9%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Leon Allen, broken up by Leighton GasqueSimilar
OT 0:00
3RD & 4
OPP 19
0
76.4%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Willie McNeal, broken up by Shaquille HuffSimilar
OT 0:00
4TH & 4
OPP 19
+36
49.6%
Garrett Schwettman 36 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
WKUDrive 31FG
7 plays · 15 yds · 0:0060% → 74%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
-10
40.5%
Brandon Doughty sacked by Leighton Gasque for a loss of 10 yards to the MTnSt 35Similar
OT 0:00
2ND & 20
OPP 35
+21
44.9%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Jared Dangerfield for 21 yds to the MTnSt 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 14
0
40.5%
Brandon Doughty pass incomplete to Antwane GrantSimilar
OT 0:00
2ND & 10
OPP 14
+5
40.5%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 5 yds to the MTnSt 9Similar
OT 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 9
+4
43.0%
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Willie McNeal for 4 yds to the MTnSt 5Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 1
OPP 5
-5
47.8%
WESTRN KENTUCKY Penalty, false start (Cameron Clemmons) to the MTnSt 10Similar
OT 0:00
4TH & 6
OPP 10
+27
26.1%
Garrett Schwettman 27 Yd Field GoalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MTSUDrive 32TD
1 play · 25 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
OT 0:00
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
84.6%
Ed'Marques Batties 25 Yd pass from Austin GrammerSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · OT 0:00
Ed'Marques Batties 25 Yd pass from Austin Grammer
+58.5
TD · OT 0:00
Brandon Doughty pass complete to Mitchell Henry for 25 yds for a TD, (Garrett Schwettman KICK)
-42
TD · OT 0:00
Austin Grammer 1 Yd Run (Cody Clark Kick)
+34.3
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com