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OHIO

Ohio 14 at Marshall 44

MRSH
2014 · Week 3 · Sep 13, 2014 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
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Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadOHIO aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreOHIO score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4FGTDTDFGTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q3 12:21 · Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 7
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialBlowout marginGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 117Pregame prior+23.4Home team on offense+28.3Score differential+23.4Blowout margin+11.8Garbage-time factor+7.3Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+4.0
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q1 8:35: Justin Haig 36 yd FG GOOD — OHIO win probability +0.5 pts (now 9%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 5:59: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.9 pts (now 91%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q1 2:23: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.0 pts (now 93%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. FG · Q2 8:59: Justin Haig 37 yd FG GOOD — MRSH win probability +1.4 pts (now 96%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 2:17: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +2.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 3 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 6 of 7
  1. Q1 8:35MRSH 4th & 8 at OHIO 19, tied
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 87.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.3%
    77% to make
    Punt
    86.8%−0.4
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:35OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 42, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.5%
    average punt
  3. Q1 5:59OHIO 4th & 20 at OHIO 15, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.6%−0.4
    9% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.0%
    average punt
  4. Q2 15:00OHIO 4th & 1 at OHIO 42, down 17
    Close callPunted · 9.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    9.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    8.7%−0.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 8:59MRSH 4th & 2 at OHIO 20, up 17
    Close callKicked a field goal · 92.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    92.5%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    92.1%−0.4
    75% to make
    Punt
    89.3%−3.2
    average punt
  6. Q2 8:59OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 45, down 20
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 5.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    4.9%−0.5
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    5.4%
    average punt
  7. Q3 12:21OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 45, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.7%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.8%
    average punt
  8. Q3 6:33MRSH 4th & 1 at MRSH 44, up 34
    Close callPunted · 99.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.6%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    99.5%−0.1
    average punt
  9. Q3 4:37OHIO 4th & 9 at OHIO 42, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.3%
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:24MRSH 4th & 1 at OHIO 33, up 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    99.8%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    99.7%−0.2
    49% to make
    Punt
    99.6%−0.2
    average punt
  11. Q4 3:25MRSH 4th & 8 at OHIO 17, up 27
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.4
    average punt
  12. Q4 3:25OHIO 4th & 11 at OHIO 24, down 30
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    25% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 5 of 5OHIO made the numbers' call on 1 of 2
  1. Q1 5:59MRSH Touchdown, up 9 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:23MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    89.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    89.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 2:17MRSH Touchdown, up 26 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 12:21MRSH Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:34MRSH Touchdown, up 40 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 6:33OHIO Touchdown, down 35 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:58OHIO Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
OHIODrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 84 yds · 4:318% → 9%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+53
92.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Chase Cochran for 53 yds to the Marsh 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+8
92.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 8 yds to the Marsh 25Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 2
OPP 25
+3
92.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+2
92.1%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Marsh 20Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+7
92.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 7 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 13
+8
92.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 8 yds to the Marsh 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
92.1%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 3
-5
92.1%
OHIO Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 8Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 8
+5
92.1%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Marsh 3Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
92.1%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 1 yd to the Marsh 2Similar
Q1 10:29
4TH & 0
OPP 2
+19
90.8%
Josiah Yazdani 19 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2FG
8 plays · 61 yds · 1:5491% → 91%
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+10
90.9%
Devon Johnson run for 10 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+3
90.9%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 33Similar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 7
OWN 33
0
90.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 7
OWN 33
+46
90.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 46 yds to the Ohio 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 10:29
1ST & 10
OPP 21
0
91.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete, broken up by Tarell BashamSimilar
Q1 10:29
2ND & 10
OPP 21
+2
91.1%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 19Similar
Q1 10:29
3RD & 8
OPP 19
0
91.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 8
OPP 19
+36
90.6%
Justin Haig 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 3PUNT
6 plays · 11 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+10
90.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 10 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:35
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
90.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Landon Smith, broken up by Tiquan LangSimilar
Q1 8:35
2ND & 10
OWN 41
+1
90.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Daz'mond Patterson for 1 yd to the Ohio 42Similar
Q1 8:35
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
90.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:35
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+5
90.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 37 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 5 yds to the Marsh 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4TD
3 plays · 74 yds · 1:0990% → 91%
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+13
90.2%
Devon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:08
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+36
90.3%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 36 yds to the Ohio 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OPP 25
+25
91.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 25 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 5PUNT
6 plays · -10 yds · 0:009% → 9%
Q1 5:59
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
90.7%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q1 5:59
4TH & 20
OWN 15
+7
91.0%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 53 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 39Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 5
OWN 30
-15
90.6%
OHIO Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (N/A) to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 5:59
2ND & 20
OWN 15
0
90.8%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Daz'mond PattersonSimilar
Q1 5:59
3RD & 20
OWN 15
0
90.9%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6TD
9 plays · 61 yds · 2:5091% → 93%
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+9
91.1%
Steward Butler run for 9 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 1
OWN 48
+3
91.2%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the Ohio 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 49
0
91.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 10
OPP 49
+16
91.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 16 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+17
91.2%
Steward Butler run for 17 yds to the Ohio 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:13
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+1
91.2%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 5:13
2ND & 9
OPP 15
0
91.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 5:13
3RD & 9
OPP 15
+9
91.1%
Rakeem Cato run for 9 yds to the Ohio 6 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 2:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+6
93.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 7PUNT
12 plays · 32 yds · 2:238% → 7%
Q1 2:23
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+2
92.5%
Derrius Vick run for 2 yds to the Ohio 12Similar
Q1 2:23
2ND & 8
OWN 12
+3
92.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 15Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 5
OWN 15
+7
92.5%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+2
92.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Landon Smith for 2 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q1 1:29
2ND & 8
OWN 24
+7
92.4%
Derrius Vick run for 7 yds to the Ohio 31Similar
Q1 1:29
3RD & 1
OWN 31
+2
92.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:29
1ST & 10
OWN 33
+5
92.3%
Derrius Vick run for 5 yds to the Ohio 38Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OWN 38
+2
92.6%
Tim Edmond run for 2 yds to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 3
OWN 40
+2
92.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 2 yds to the Ohio 42Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OWN 42
0
92.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Tommy Shuler at the Marsh 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 8FG
15 plays · 61 yds · 4:4193% → 96%
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
93.2%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 6
OWN 23
+8
93.2%
Steward Butler run for 8 yds to the Marsh 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OWN 31
-5
93.2%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (-5 Yards) to the Marsh 26Similar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 15
OWN 26
0
93.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 15
OWN 26
-10
93.1%
CATO, Rakeem rush for 6 yards to the MARSHALL32 (POLING, Quentin;PURDUM, Brandon), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (ADDISON, AJ) 10 yards to the MARSHALL16, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 25
OWN 16
-5
93.1%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Davonte Allen) to the Marsh 11Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 30
OWN 11
0
93.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler, broken up by Nathan CarpenterSimilar
Q2 13:40
3RD & 30
OWN 11
+61
93.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 61 yds to the Ohio 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 13:40
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
93.5%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 7
OPP 25
-10
93.5%
BUTLER, Steward rush for 4 yards to the OHIO21 (POLING, Quentin), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (SELBY, Michael) 10 yards to the OHIO35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 17
OPP 35
-5
93.4%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Ohio 40Similar
Q2 13:40
2ND & 22
OPP 40
-4
93.4%
Rakeem Cato sacked by Casey Sayles and Kurt Laseak for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 44Similar
Q2 9:44
3RD & 26
OPP 44
+24
94.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 24 yds to the Ohio 20Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 2
OPP 20
+37
95.5%
Justin Haig 37 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 9PUNT
8 plays · 27 yds · 0:004% → 4%
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+28
95.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 28 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:59
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
95.4%
A.J. Ouellette run for no gain to the Ohio 46Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 10
OWN 46
-5
95.5%
OHIO Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Ohio 41Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 15
OWN 41
-5
95.7%
OHIO Penalty, delay of game (Derrius Vick) to the Ohio 36Similar
Q2 8:59
2ND & 20
OWN 36
+9
95.7%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Brendan Cope for 9 yds to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 8:59
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
95.6%
Derrius Vick run for no gain to the Ohio 45Similar
Q2 8:59
4TH & 11
OWN 45
+22
95.7%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 39 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 22 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 10TD
9 plays · 62 yds · 3:3196% → 99%
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+5
96.3%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OWN 43
+5
96.3%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
96.4%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Craig WilkinsSimilar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 10
OWN 48
+2
96.3%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 8
50
+15
96.2%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete to JOHNSON, Devon, PENALTY OHIO pass interference (BROWN, Blair) 15 yards to the OHIO35, 1ST DOWN MARSHALL, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:48
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
96.4%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q2 5:48
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+2
96.4%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Ohio 28Similar
Q2 5:48
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+9
96.3%
Rakeem Cato run for 9 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+19
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 11INT
7 plays · 11 yds · 0:491% → 1%
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+6
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 6 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q2 2:17
2ND & 4
OWN 33
+5
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the Ohio 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:17
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete, broken up by Neville HewittSimilar
Q2 1:28
2ND & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Sebastian Smith, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
Q2 1:28
3RD & 10
OWN 38
0
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass intercepted Taj Letman return for no gain to the Marsh 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 12MISSED FG
7 plays · 41 yds · 1:1499% → 99%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+8
98.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 8 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OWN 45
+8
98.7%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 8 yds to the Ohio 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+21
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 21 yds to the Ohio 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
-10
98.8%
CATO, Rakeem pass incomplete to EVANS, D., QB hurry by MCLEOD, Cameron, PENALTY MARSHALL holding (JASPERSE, Chris) 10 yards to the OHIO36, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 20
OPP 36
0
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler, broken up by Devin JonesSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 20
OPP 36
+14
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 14 yds to the Ohio 22Similar
Q2 0:04
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+39
99.1%
Justin Haig 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 13END OF HALF
1 play · 12 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q2 0:04
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+12
99.1%
A.J. Ouellette run for 12 yds to the Ohio 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 14TD
8 plays · 71 yds · 2:3999% → 100%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 29
0
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 29
+5
99.2%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 34
+9
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Eric Frohnapfel for 9 yds to the Marsh 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
+11
99.2%
Steward Butler run for 11 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+11
99.2%
Steward Butler run for 11 yds to the Ohio 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+5
99.3%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the Ohio 30Similar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 5
OPP 30
+30
99.5%
Devon Johnson run for 30 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 15PUNT
6 plays · 10 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+11
99.4%
Derrius Vick run for 11 yds to the Ohio 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:21
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+4
99.4%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 4 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 12:21
2ND & 6
50
-5
99.3%
Daz'mond Patterson run for a loss of 5 yards to the Ohio 45Similar
Q3 12:21
3RD & 11
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Brendan Cope, broken up by Darryl RobertsSimilar
Q3 12:21
4TH & 11
OWN 45
0
99.4%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 7Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 16TD
4 plays · 93 yds · 1:11100% → 100%
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 7
+12
99.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 12 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 10:45
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+4
99.5%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 23Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 6
OWN 23
0
99.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 6
OWN 23
+77
99.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 77 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 17TD
11 plays · 75 yds · 3:010% → 0%
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+29
99.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 29 yds to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+9
99.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 9 yds to the Marsh 37Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 1
OPP 37
+2
99.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+6
99.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 6 yds to the Marsh 29Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 4
OPP 29
+6
99.6%
Derrius Vick run for 6 yds to the Marsh 23 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
99.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Troy Mangen for 5 yds to the Marsh 18Similar
Q3 9:34
2ND & 5
OPP 18
0
99.5%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to Chase Cochran, broken up by Antavis RoweSimilar
Q3 9:34
3RD & 5
OPP 18
+6
99.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Jordan Reid for 6 yds to the Marsh 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+5
99.6%
Daz'mond Patterson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 5
OPP 7
+7
99.6%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 18PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q3 6:33
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+6
99.7%
Devon Johnson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q3 6:33
2ND & 4
OWN 41
+2
99.7%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the Marsh 43Similar
Q3 6:33
3RD & 2
OWN 43
+1
99.7%
Devon Johnson run for 1 yd to the Marsh 44Similar
Q3 6:33
4TH & 1
OWN 44
0
99.7%
Tyler Williams punt for 56 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 19PUNT
6 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.8%
A.J. Ouellette run for 2 yds to the Ohio 23 A.J. Ouellette fumbled, forced by Armonze Daniel, recovered by Ohio Jake PruehsSimilar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 7
OWN 23
+18
99.8%
Derrius Vick pass complete to Ian Dixon for 18 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:37
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.7%
Derrius Vick run for 1 yd to the Ohio 42Similar
Q3 4:37
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:37
3RD & 9
OWN 42
0
99.7%
Derrius Vick pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 4:37
4TH & 9
OWN 42
+6
99.8%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 37 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 6 yds to the Marsh 27Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 20INT
7 plays · 64 yds · 2:40100% → 100%
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+8
99.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Justin Hunt for 8 yds to the Marsh 35Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 2
OWN 35
+5
99.8%
Rakeem Cato run for 5 yds to the Marsh 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+9
99.8%
Steward Butler run for 9 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q3 2:40
2ND & 1
OWN 49
+8
99.8%
Steward Butler run for 8 yds to the Ohio 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+35
99.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 35 yds to the Ohio 8 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 2:40
1ST & GOAL
OPP 8
-1
99.8%
Steward Butler run for a loss of 1 yard to the Ohio 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
0
99.8%
Rakeem Cato pass intercepted, touchback. Nathan Carpenter return for no gainSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 21FUMBLE
5 plays · 22 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+5
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 25Similar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 5
OWN 25
+7
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 7 yds to the Ohio 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+12
99.8%
JD Sprague pass complete to Sebastian Smith for 12 yds to the Ohio 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 44
0
99.8%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 14:55
2ND & 10
OWN 44
-4
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 4 yards to the Ohio 42 Dorian Brown fumbled, recovered by Marsh Neville HewittSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 22DOWNS
4 plays · 9 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 13:24
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+3
99.9%
Remi Watson run for 3 yds to the Ohio 39Similar
Q4 13:24
2ND & 7
OPP 39
+6
99.9%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 13:24
3RD & 1
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
Q4 13:24
4TH & 1
OPP 33
0
99.9%
Remi Watson run for no gain to the Ohio 33Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 23TD
9 plays · 67 yds · 1:500% → 0%
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OWN 33
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to A.J. OuelletteSimilar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 10
OWN 33
+15
99.9%
SPRAGUE, JD sacked for loss of 7 yards to the OHIO26 (MASSAQUOI, Joe), PENALTY MARSHALL face mask (MASSAQUOI, Joe) 15 yards to the OHIO48, 1ST DOWN OHIO, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+22
99.9%
A.J. Ouellette run for 22 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+12
99.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Ian Dixon for 12 yds to the Marsh 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:48
1ST & 10
OPP 18
0
99.9%
JD Sprague pass incomplete to Jordan ReidSimilar
Q4 11:48
2ND & 10
OPP 18
+6
99.9%
JD Sprague run for 6 yds to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 11:48
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+5
99.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to A.J. Ouellette for 5 yds to the Marsh 7 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & GOAL
OPP 7
+7
99.9%
JD Sprague pass complete to Ian Dixon for 7 yds for a TD, (Josiah Yazdani KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 24FG
14 plays · 60 yds · 6:33100% → 100%
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 23
+5
99.9%
Gunnar Holcombe run for 5 yds to the Marsh 28Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 5
OWN 28
+14
99.9%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 14 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OWN 42
0
99.9%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Deandre ReavesSimilar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 42
+2
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 8
OWN 44
+15
99.9%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Hyleck Foster for 15 yds to the Ohio 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+11
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 11 yds to the Ohio 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+11
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 11 yds to the Ohio 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:58
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 9:58
2ND & 8
OPP 17
-6
99.9%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Steward Butler for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 23Similar
Q4 9:58
3RD & 14
OPP 23
+1
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the Ohio 22Similar
Q4 3:30
4TH & 13
OPP 22
+5
99.9%
OHIO Penalty, Defensive offside (Kurt Laseak) to the Ohio 17Similar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+34
99.9%
Justin Haig 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
OHIODrive 25PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 3:25
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-6
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for a loss of 6 yards to the Ohio 19 Dorian Brown fumbled, forced by Armonze Daniel, recovered by Ohio Dorian BrownSimilar
Q4 3:25
2ND & 16
OWN 19
+5
99.9%
Dorian Brown run for 5 yds to the Ohio 24Similar
Q4 3:25
3RD & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Greg Windham pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 3:25
4TH & 11
OWN 24
0
99.9%
Mitch Bonnstetter punt for 56 yds, downed at the Marsh 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 26END OF GAME
4 plays · 14 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+2
99.9%
Brandon Byrd run for 2 yds to the Marsh 22Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 22
+8
99.9%
Brandon Byrd run for 8 yds to the Marsh 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 1:59
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
99.9%
Brandon Byrd run for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
Q4 1:59
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+2
99.9%
Brandon Byrd run for 2 yds to the Marsh 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:17
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 19 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+2.5
TD · Q1 2:23
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 6 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+2
FG · Q2 8:59
Justin Haig 37 yd FG GOOD
+1.4
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com