Try the model
URI

Rhode Island 7 at Marshall 48

MRSH
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Joan C. Edwards Stadium
Speed4x
View as
Download image
Win probability · MRSH
modelMRSH aheadURI aheadconfidence bandkey playMRSH scoreURI score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDFGTDTDTDTDTDTDFGEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 15:00 · Anthony DiPaula punt for 35 yds , Donquell Green returns for 5 yds to the RIsld 48 Donquell Green fumbled, forced by Tim Wienclaw, recovered by RIsld Hunter Eubanks
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginGarbage-time factor
+49.5+24.80−24.8−49.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 47Pregame prior+44.5Home team on offense+2.8Score differential+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.6Blowout margin+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1
This game in five plays
  1. FG · Q2 2:22: Justin Haig 25 yd FG GOOD — URI win probability +0.1 pts (now 4%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 0:36: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 10:00: Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +1.5 pts (now 99%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:42: Steward Butler run for 39 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK) — MRSH win probability +0.7 pts (now 100%) (top driver: MRSH has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
MRSH made the numbers' call on 4 of 6URI made the numbers' call on 11 of 13
  1. Q1 15:00URI 4th & 17 at URI 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.1%−0.2
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 12:51URI 4th & 7 at MRSH 49, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.3%−<0.1
    37% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.3%
    average punt
  3. Q1 8:31MRSH 4th & 8 at URI 29, up 7
    Close callWent for it · 98.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    98.4%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    98.4%
    58% to make
    Punt
    98.1%−0.3
    average punt
  4. Q1 6:51URI 4th & 9 at MRSH 44, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    1.8%−<0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    1.7%−0.1
    27% to make
    PuntTheir call
    1.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 1:36MRSH 4th & 9 at MRSH 22, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 97.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    97.5%−0.1
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    97.6%
    average punt
  6. Q2 15:00URI 4th & 7 at URI 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 2.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.4%−0.1
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    2.5%
    average punt
  7. Q2 13:58URI 4th & 4 at MRSH 46, down 7
    Close callPunted · 2.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    2.8%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    2.7%−0.2
    23% to make
    PuntTheir call
    2.8%−<0.1
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:17URI 4th & 15 at URI 29, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.0%−0.2
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.2%
    average punt
  9. Q2 7:35MRSH 4th & 1 at URI 1, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 96.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    96.4%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    96.2%−0.3
    94% to make
    Punt
    95.4%−1.0
    average punt
  10. Q2 4:33URI 4th & 4 at URI 7, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.8%
    average punt
  11. Q2 2:22MRSH 4th & 8 at URI 8, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 95.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.1%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    95.2%
    90% to make
    Punt
    94.1%−1.1
    average punt
  12. Q2 1:25URI 4th & 7 at URI 28, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 3.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    3.8%−0.2
    36% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    3.9%
    average punt
  13. Q3 10:00URI 4th & 13 at URI 22, down 24
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 1.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.9%−0.3
    19% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    1.2%
    average punt
  14. Q3 6:42URI 4th & 5 at URI 30, down 31
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  15. Q4 12:03URI 4th & 3 at MRSH 3, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    44% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−0.1
    93% to make
    Punt
    -0.3%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 10:12URI 4th & 8 at URI 27, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.0%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
  17. Q4 8:46MRSH 4th & 11 at URI 49, up 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    100.0%
    average punt
  18. Q4 4:01MRSH 4th & 3 at URI 5, up 38
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    45% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.9%−0.1
    92% to make
    Punt
    99.5%−0.5
    average punt
  19. Q4 0:56URI 4th & 8 at MRSH 44, down 41
    Close callWent for it · 0.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.0%−<0.1
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    0.0%−<0.1
    27% to make
    Punt
    0.0%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
MRSH made the numbers' call on 6 of 6URI made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 12:51MRSH Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    98.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    98.8%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 0:36MRSH Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    97.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    97.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q3 10:00MRSH Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 6:42MRSH Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 1:57MRSH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 12:03URI Touchdown, down 32 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 10:12MRSH Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
URIDrive 1PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 18
-5
99.1%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, delay of game (N/A) to the RIsld 13Similar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 15
OWN 13
0
99.1%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Robbie Jackson for no gain to the RIsld 13Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 15
OWN 13
-2
99.1%
Lyle McCombs run for a loss of 2 yards to the RIsld 11Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 17
OWN 11
0
99.1%
Mack Lowrie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 15:00
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
99.1%
TEAM puntSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 2TD
3 plays · 54 yds · 0:4499% → 99%
Q1 13:35
1ST & 10
OWN 46
+3
99.0%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 13:35
2ND & 7
OWN 49
+39
99.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 39 yds to the RIsld 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
99.0%
Devon Johnson run for 12 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 3PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.0%
Mack Lowrie run for 3 yds to the RIsld 28Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+7
99.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Phadrae White for 7 yds to the RIsld 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+3
99.0%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the RIsld 38Similar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 7
OWN 38
+10
99.0%
Lyle McCombs run for 10 yds to the RIsld 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 12:51
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+2
99.0%
Mack Lowrie run for 2 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 12:51
2ND & 8
50
-2
99.0%
Mack Lowrie run for a loss of 2 yards to the RIsld 48Similar
Q1 12:51
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+3
99.0%
Mack Lowrie run for 3 yds to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 12:51
4TH & 7
OPP 49
0
99.0%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 37 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 4DOWNS
6 plays · 59 yds · 0:0099% → 99%
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+30
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 30 yds to the Marsh 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+27
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 27 yds to the RIsld 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+2
98.8%
Remi Watson run for 2 yds to the RIsld 29Similar
Q1 8:31
2ND & 8
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 8:31
3RD & 8
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q1 8:31
4TH & 8
OPP 29
0
98.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 5PUNT
13 plays · 27 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+8
98.6%
Lyle McCombs run for 8 yds to the RIsld 37Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 2
OWN 37
-1
98.6%
Lyle McCombs run for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 36Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 3
OWN 36
+7
98.6%
Mack Lowrie run for 7 yds to the RIsld 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
98.6%
Mack Lowrie pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 10
OWN 43
+2
98.6%
Lyle McCombs run for 2 yds to the RIsld 45Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 8
OWN 45
+10
98.6%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Phadrae White for 10 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:51
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-4
98.6%
Lyle McCombs run for a loss of 4 yards to the Marsh 49Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 14
OPP 49
+5
98.6%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Jarquez Samuel) to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 6:51
2ND & 9
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Lyle McCombs run for no gain to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 9
OPP 44
+5
98.6%
Lowrie pass complete to McKeeman for 7 yards to the MARSHALL37 (HOLMES, J.), PENALTY MARSHALL offside (MYERS, R.) 5 yards to the MARSHALL39, NO PLAY.Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 4
OPP 39
-5
98.6%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, false start (N/A) to the Marsh 44Similar
Q1 6:51
3RD & 9
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to Jawaun WynnSimilar
Q1 6:51
4TH & 9
OPP 44
0
98.6%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 43 yds, downed at the Marsh 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 6PUNT
5 plays · 21 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+20
98.1%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 20 yds to the Marsh 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 1:36
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+3
98.1%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the Marsh 24Similar
Q1 1:36
2ND & 7
OWN 24
-1
98.1%
Devon Johnson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 22 Devon Johnson fumbled, forced by Tim Wienclaw, recovered by Marsh Devon JohnsonSimilar
Q1 1:36
3RD & 9
OWN 22
0
98.1%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Angelo Jean-LouisSimilar
Q1 1:36
4TH & 9
OWN 22
+51
98.1%
Tyler Williams punt for 51 yds , Lyle McCombs returns for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 26Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 7PUNT
5 plays · -10 yds · 0:072% → 2%
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 26
-13
97.9%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the RIsld 13Similar
Q1 0:07
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-4
97.9%
Lyle McCombs run for a loss of 4 yards to the RIsld 9Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 14
OWN 9
+7
98.0%
Mack Lowrie run for 7 yds to the RIsld 16Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 7
OWN 16
0
98.0%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to Robbie Jackson, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 7
OWN 16
+5
98.0%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 35 yds , Donquell Green returns for 5 yds to the RIsld 48 Donquell Green fumbled, forced by Tim Wienclaw, recovered by RIsld Hunter EubanksSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 8PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 13:58
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+1
97.7%
Lyle McCombs run for 1 yd to the RIsld 49Similar
Q2 13:58
2ND & 9
OWN 49
+3
97.7%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the Marsh 48Similar
Q2 13:58
3RD & 6
OPP 48
+2
97.7%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Robbie Jackson for 2 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q2 13:58
4TH & 4
OPP 46
0
97.7%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 38 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 9FUMBLE
8 plays · 63 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+6
97.6%
Remi Watson run for 6 yds to the Marsh 14Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 4
OWN 14
+2
97.6%
Rakeem Cato run for 2 yds to the Marsh 16Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 2
OWN 16
+20
97.5%
Remi Watson run for 20 yds to the Marsh 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+5
97.7%
Devon Johnson run for 5 yds to the Marsh 41Similar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 5
OWN 41
+4
97.7%
Devon Johnson run for 4 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
Q2 12:07
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+15
97.7%
Devon Johnson run for 15 yds to the RIsld 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:07
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
97.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 12:07
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+5
97.7%
Remi Watson run for 5 yds to the RIsld 34 Remi Watson fumbled, forced by Andrew Bose, recovered by RIsld Rondell Lane , return for 5 yds to the RIsld 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 10PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:003% → 3%
Q2 9:17
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-4
97.1%
Harold Cooper run for a loss of 4 yards to the RIsld 30Similar
Q2 9:17
2ND & 14
OWN 30
-1
97.2%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Harold Cooper for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 29Similar
Q2 9:17
3RD & 15
OWN 29
0
97.3%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 9:17
4TH & 15
OWN 29
+2
97.3%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 41 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 32 , Tommy Shuler returns for 2 yds to the Marsh 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 11DOWNS
7 plays · 67 yds · 0:0097% → 97%
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+13
97.1%
Devon Johnson run for 13 yds to the Marsh 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
-10
97.2%
JOHNSON, Devon rush for 2 yards to the MARSHALL47 (Wienclaw;Howard), PENALTY MARSHALL holding (FROHNAPFEL, E.) 10 yards to the MARSHALL35, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 7:35
1ST & 20
OWN 35
+64
97.0%
Devon Johnson run for 64 yds to the RIsld 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
-3
97.3%
Rakeem Cato run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 4 Rakeem Cato fumbled, recovered by Marsh Rakeem CatoSimilar
Q2 7:35
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
+3
97.3%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the RIsld 1Similar
Q2 7:35
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte Allen, broken up by Abdul IbrahimSimilar
Q2 7:35
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
0
97.1%
Devon Johnson run for no gain to the RIsld 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 12PUNT
5 plays · 6 yds · 1:113% → 3%
Q2 5:44
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+1
96.6%
Markey Clarke run for 1 yd to the RIsld 2Similar
Q2 5:44
2ND & 9
OWN 2
+3
96.7%
Markey Clarke run for 3 yds to the RIsld 5Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 6
OWN 5
+2
96.5%
Markey Clarke run for 2 yds to the RIsld 7Similar
Q2 4:33
4TH & 4
OWN 7
+8
96.6%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 47 yds , Tommy Shuler returns for 8 yds to the RIsld 46Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 13FG
5 plays · 38 yds · 1:1797% → 96%
Q2 3:39
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+36
96.6%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 36 yds to the RIsld 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:39
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
0
96.6%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Eric FrohnapfelSimilar
Q2 3:39
2ND & GOAL
OPP 10
+2
96.6%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the RIsld 8Similar
Q2 3:39
3RD & GOAL
OPP 8
0
96.5%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 2:22
4TH & GOAL
OPP 8
+25
96.4%
Justin Haig 25 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 14PUNT
9 plays · 3 yds · 0:574% → 3%
Q2 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
96.4%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, delay of game (Mack Lowrie) to the RIsld 20Similar
Q2 2:22
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+3
96.4%
Mack Lowrie run for 3 yds to the RIsld 23Similar
Q2 1:34
2ND & 12
OWN 23
-1
96.6%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Robbie Jackson for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 22Similar
Q2 1:30
3RD & 13
OWN 22
+6
96.6%
Lyle McCombs run for 6 yds to the RIsld 28 RHODE ISLAND Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q2 1:25
4TH & 7
OWN 28
+7
96.6%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 40 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the Marsh 24 , Tommy Shuler returns for 7 yds to the Marsh 35 MARSHALL Penalty, personal foul (N/A) to the Marsh 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 15TD
6 plays · 76 yds · 0:4297% → 99%
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 10
OWN 24
0
96.8%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 1:18
3RD & 10
OWN 24
+24
96.7%
Rakeem Cato run for 24 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 1:18
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+8
97.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 8 yds to the RIsld 44Similar
Q2 1:18
2ND & 2
OPP 44
+17
97.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 17 yds to the RIsld 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+27
98.5%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 16END OF HALF
2 plays · -1 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q2 0:36
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 24Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 17FUMBLE
7 plays · 72 yds · 0:0098% → 98%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+12
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 12 yds to the Marsh 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+12
97.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 12 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
50
+6
98.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Demetrius Evans for 6 yds to the RIsld 44Similar
Q3 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 44
+2
98.0%
Devon Johnson run for 2 yds to the RIsld 42Similar
Q3 15:00
3RD & 2
OPP 42
+3
97.9%
Devon Johnson run for 3 yds to the RIsld 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+33
98.0%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 33 yds Davonte Allen fumbled, forced by Donovan Walker, recovered by RIsld Tim WienclawSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 18INT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:002% → 2%
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+6
97.8%
Markey Clarke run for 6 yds to the RIsld 8Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 4
OWN 8
+5
97.9%
Markey Clarke run for 5 yds to the RIsld 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:14
1ST & 10
OWN 13
-1
97.7%
Mack Lowrie run for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 12Similar
Q3 13:14
2ND & 11
OWN 12
+19
97.8%
Mack Lowrie pass intercepted Taj Letman return for 19 yds to the RIsld 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 19TD
5 plays · 15 yds · 1:3598% → 99%
Q3 11:35
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+5
97.7%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the RIsld 10Similar
Q3 11:35
2ND & 5
OPP 10
+5
97.7%
Steward Butler run for 5 yds to the RIsld 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:35
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
97.7%
Steward Butler run for 2 yds to the RIsld 3Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · -3 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q3 10:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
98.9%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, delay of game (Mack Lowrie) to the RIsld 20Similar
Q3 10:00
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+5
98.9%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Justin Favreau for 5 yds to the RIsld 25Similar
Q3 10:00
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+3
98.9%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the RIsld 28Similar
Q3 10:00
3RD & 7
OWN 28
-6
98.9%
Mack Lowrie sacked by Gary Thompson for a loss of 6 yards to the RIsld 22Similar
Q3 10:00
4TH & 13
OWN 22
0
99.0%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 40 yds, downed at the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 21TD
6 plays · 62 yds · 1:1599% → 100%
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
99.2%
Steward Butler run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+6
99.2%
Steward Butler run for 6 yds to the Marsh 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 7:57
1ST & 10
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Davonte AllenSimilar
Q3 7:57
2ND & 10
OWN 48
0
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy Shuler, broken up by Isaiah HillSimilar
Q3 7:57
3RD & 10
OWN 48
+13
99.2%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 13 yds to the RIsld 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+39
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 39 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 22PUNT
5 plays · 5 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 6:42
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.8%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Lyle McCombs for 5 yds to the RIsld 30Similar
Q3 6:42
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Mack Lowrie pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 6:42
3RD & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to Robbie Jackson, broken up by Corey TindalSimilar
Q3 6:42
4TH & 5
OWN 30
0
99.8%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 34 yds, downed at the Marsh 36Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 23TD
13 plays · 64 yds · 4:07100% → 100%
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+19
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Demetrius Evans for 19 yds to the RIsld 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 45
-5
99.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, false start (Chris Jasperse) to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 15
50
+10
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 10 yds to the RIsld 40Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 5
OPP 40
+17
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 17 yds to the RIsld 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+8
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 8 yds to the RIsld 15Similar
Q3 6:04
2ND & 2
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 3 yds to the RIsld 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:04
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 3:10
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd to the RIsld 11Similar
Q3 3:10
3RD & 9
OPP 11
+10
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 10 yds to the RIsld 1 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:10
1ST & GOAL
OPP 1
0
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass incomplete to Tommy ShulerSimilar
Q3 1:57
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.9%
Steward Butler run for 1 yd for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 24TD
14 plays · 75 yds · 4:540% → 0%
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+3
99.9%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the RIsld 28Similar
Q3 1:57
2ND & 7
OWN 28
+3
99.9%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the RIsld 31Similar
Q3 1:57
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+10
99.9%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Phadrae White for 10 yds to the RIsld 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+15
99.9%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Phadrae White for 15 yds to the Marsh 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+25
99.9%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Lyle McCombs for 25 yds to the Marsh 19 for a 1ST down MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive holding ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:57
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+6
99.9%
Mack Lowrie run for 6 yds to the Marsh 13Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 4
OPP 13
+1
99.9%
Mack Lowrie run for 1 yd to the Marsh 12Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 3
OPP 12
+3
99.9%
Lyle McCombs run for 3 yds to the Marsh 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+2
99.9%
Markey Clarke run for 2 yds to the Marsh 7Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 0
OPP 7
+4
99.9%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Joe Massaquoi) to the Marsh 3Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete, broken up by Joe MassaquoiSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
Markey Clarke run for no gain to the Marsh 3Similar
Q4 12:03
4TH & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Charlie McKeeman for 3 yds for a TD, (Dylan Smith KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 25TD
5 plays · 75 yds · 1:51100% → 100%
Q4 12:03
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 5 yds to the Marsh 30Similar
Q4 12:03
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+1
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Davonte Allen for 1 yd to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 12:03
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+6
99.9%
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Craig Wilkins for 6 yds to the Marsh 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+63
99.9%
Rakeem Cato run for 63 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 26PUNT
5 plays · 2 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 10:12
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
100.0%
Lyle McCombs run for 5 yds to the RIsld 30Similar
Q4 10:12
2ND & 5
OWN 30
0
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to Phadrae WhiteSimilar
Q4 10:12
3RD & 5
OWN 30
-3
100.0%
Mack Lowrie run for a loss of 3 yards to the RIsld 27Similar
Q4 10:12
4TH & 8
OWN 27
0
100.0%
Anthony DiPaula punt for 56 yds, downed at the Marsh 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 27PUNT
10 plays · 34 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 17
-1
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for a loss of 1 yard to the Marsh 16Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 11
OWN 16
+12
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Justin Hunt for 12 yds to the Marsh 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+3
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for 3 yds to the Marsh 31Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 7
OWN 31
+8
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for 8 yds to the Marsh 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+7
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Josh Knight for 7 yds to the Marsh 46Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 3
OWN 46
+6
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass complete to Ryan Yurachek for 6 yds to the RIsld 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 8:46
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-1
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe run for a loss of 1 yard to the RIsld 49Similar
Q4 8:46
2ND & 11
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to Justin Hunt MARSHALL Penalty, Offensive holding ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q4 8:46
3RD & 11
OPP 49
0
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for no gain to the RIsld 49Similar
Q4 8:46
4TH & 11
OPP 49
0
99.9%
Tyler Williams punt for 37 yds , Davidson Barthelmy returns for no gain to the RIsld 12 Davidson Barthelmy fumbled, recovered by Marsh Rodney AllenSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 28FG
5 plays · 7 yds · 0:49100% → 100%
Q4 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 12
0
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 4:50
2ND & 10
OPP 12
+2
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe run for 2 yds to the RIsld 10Similar
Q4 4:50
3RD & 8
OPP 10
0
100.0%
Gunnar Holcombe pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 4:50
4TH & 8
OPP 10
+5
100.0%
RHODE ISLAND Penalty, (5 Yards) to the RIsld 5Similar
Q4 4:01
4TH & 3
OPP 5
+22
100.0%
Justin Haig 22 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
URIDrive 29DOWNS
11 plays · 42 yds · 3:050% → 0%
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+1
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Lyle McCombs for 1 yd to the RIsld 21Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 9
OWN 21
+6
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Ezra Holmes for 6 yds to the RIsld 27Similar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+15
100.0%
Lowrie pass incomplete to Jackson, PENALTY MARSHALL pass interference (MANNING, D.) 15 yards to the URI42, 1ST DOWN URI, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OWN 42
+7
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Robbie Jackson for 7 yds to the RIsld 49Similar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 3
OWN 49
+5
100.0%
MARSHALL Penalty, Defensive offside (Jerome Dews) to the Marsh 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:01
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass incomplete to Robbie JacksonSimilar
Q4 4:01
2ND & 10
OPP 46
-9
100.0%
Mack Lowrie sacked by Joe Massaquoi for a loss of 9 yards to the RIsld 45 Mack Lowrie fumbled, recovered by RIsld Shaban Dika , return for 0 yardsSimilar
Q4 4:01
3RD & 19
OWN 45
+11
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Phadrae White for 11 yds to the Marsh 44Similar
Q4 0:56
4TH & 8
OPP 44
+6
100.0%
Mack Lowrie pass complete to Harold Cooper for 6 yds to the Marsh 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
MRSHDrive 30END OF GAME
2 plays · 7 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 0:50
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+4
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for 4 yds to the Marsh 42Similar
Q4 0:50
2ND & 6
OWN 42
+3
100.0%
Brandon Byrd run for 3 yds to the Marsh 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 0:36
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Tommy Shuler for 27 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q3 10:00
Rakeem Cato pass complete to Angelo Jean-Louis for 3 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+1.5
TD · Q3 6:42
Steward Butler run for 39 yds for a TD, (Justin Haig KICK)
+0.7
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com