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Louisiana Tech 48 at Louisiana 20

UL
2014 · Week 2 · Sep 6, 2014 · Cajun Field
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Win probability · UL
modelUL aheadLT aheadconfidence bandkey playUL scoreLT score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDTDTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 14:54 · Logan McPherson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 15
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offensePregame priorScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ seconds remainingScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+57.0+28.50−28.5−57.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 54Home team on offense−1.0Pregame prior+29.4Score differential−1.2Garbage-time factor+0.1Score diff ÷ seconds remaining+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−0.7
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:33: Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +9.6 pts (now 35%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  2. FG · Q2 0:10: Jonathan Barnes 28 yd FG GOOD — LT win probability +4.2 pts (now 42%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 14:11: Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 78 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +16.0 pts (now 58%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 3:45: Terrance Broadway pass intercepted for a TD Xavier Woods return for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +18.2 pts (now 90%) (top driver: UL has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 13:32: Kenneth Dixon run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK) — LT win probability +3.2 pts (now 99%) (top driver: LT has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UL made the numbers' call on 4 of 9LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 8
  1. Q1 11:10UL 4th & 4 at LT 34, tied
    Close callKicked a field goal · 84.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    84.6%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    84.5%−0.1
    47% to make
    Punt
    84.4%−0.1
    average punt
  2. Q1 9:17LT 4th & 1 at UL 44, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    16.3%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    16.1%−0.3
    27% to make
    Punt
    16.2%−0.2
    average punt
  3. Q1 9:13UL 4th & 6 at UL 49, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 83.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.8%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    83.8%
    average punt
  4. Q1 8:18LT 4th & 15 at LT 10, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 16.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    16.1%−0.2
    15% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    16.3%
    average punt
  5. Q1 6:23UL 4th & 8 at LT 35, tied
    Close callPunted · 83.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    83.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    83.0%−<0.1
    45% to make
    PuntTheir call
    82.9%−0.1
    average punt
  6. Q2 14:54LT 4th & 5 at UL 49, tied
    Close callPunted · 20.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    20.2%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    20.2%−<0.1
    average punt
  7. Q2 12:27UL 4th & 1 at LT 39, tied
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 80.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    80.2%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    79.4%−0.8
    36% to make
    Punt
    79.5%−0.8
    average punt
  8. Q2 2:28UL 4th & 5 at UL 39, down 7
    Close callPunted · 63.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.0%
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    62.7%−0.3
    average punt
  9. Q2 0:10LT 4th & 11 at UL 11, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 41.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.4%−1.3
    22% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    41.6%
    87% to make
    Punt
    36.9%−4.7
    average punt
  10. Q3 12:16LT 4th & 6 at LT 48, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 62.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    63.2%−0.2
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    63.3%
    average punt
  11. Q3 10:14UL 4th & 5 at UL 25, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.7%−0.9
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    35.6%
    average punt
  12. Q3 8:39LT 4th & 8 at UL 41, up 17
    Close callPunted · 69.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    70.0%
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    68.4%−1.5
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    69.4%−0.5
    average punt
  13. Q3 3:45UL 4th & 8 at LT 45, down 24
    Close callWent for it · 9.8% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    10.0%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    9.1%−1.2
    25% to make
    Punt
    10.3%
    average punt
  14. Q3 2:22LT 4th & 1 at UL 46, up 24
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 93.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    93.4%
    70% to convert
    Field goal
    92.0%−1.4
    23% to make
    Punt
    92.5%−0.9
    average punt
  15. Q4 11:03LT 4th & 5 at UL 25, up 31
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.1%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.1%−<0.1
    66% to make
    Punt
    98.7%−0.4
    average punt
  16. Q4 0:47UL 4th & 5 at LT 16, down 34
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%−<0.1
    81% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
  17. Q4 0:00UL 4th & 4 at LT 4, down 34
    Close callWent for it · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    0.1%
    93% to make
    Punt
    0.1%−<0.1
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UL made the numbers' call on 1 of 2LT made the numbers' call on 5 of 6
  1. Q1 4:25LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    19.7%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    19.7%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q2 14:54UL Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    79.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    79.6%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q2 4:33LT Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    32.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    32.7%−0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q3 14:11LT Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    56.8%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    56.7%−0.2
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 3:45LT Touchdown, up 23 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    92.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    92.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q4 13:32LT Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 9:34UL Touchdown, down 28 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.7%
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 4:56LT Touchdown, up 33 before the try
    Close callKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    99.8%−<0.1
    97% to make
    Go for two
    99.8%
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
ULDrive 1MISSED FG
12 plays · 50 yds · 3:5087% → 86%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+10
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 10 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+4
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 6
OWN 30
+5
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 5 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 1
OWN 35
+8
87.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaLaf 43Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 43
0
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete, broken up by Tony JohnsonSimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 43
+17
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 17 yds to the LaTch 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 40
0
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete, broken up by Beau FitteSimilar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 10
OPP 40
+6
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Alonzo Harris for 6 yds to the LaTch 34Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 4
OPP 34
0
87.0%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Al Riles, broken up by Xavier WoodsSimilar
Q1 11:10
4TH & 4
OPP 34
+51
86.1%
Hunter Stover 51 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 2DOWNS
8 plays · 21 yds · 1:5314% → 15%
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+13
85.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 13 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 10
OWN 47
-5
85.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Darrell Brown) to the LaTch 42Similar
Q1 11:10
1ST & 15
OWN 42
+13
85.8%
Cody Sokol run for 13 yds to the LaLaf 45Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 2
OPP 45
-15
85.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, personal foul (Darrell Brown) to the LaTch 40Similar
Q1 11:10
2ND & 17
OWN 40
0
85.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Trent Taylor LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start ( Yards) declinedSimilar
Q1 11:10
3RD & 17
OWN 40
+16
85.9%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 16 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q1 9:17
4TH & 1
OPP 44
-1
85.3%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0086% → 85%
Q1 9:13
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
85.7%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q1 9:13
2ND & 6
OWN 49
0
85.8%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Nick ByrneSimilar
Q1 9:13
3RD & 6
OWN 49
0
85.6%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jamal RobinsonSimilar
Q1 9:13
4TH & 6
OWN 49
0
85.4%
Daniel Cadona punt for 36 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · -5 yds · 0:0015% → 15%
Q1 8:18
1ST & 10
OWN 15
-4
85.1%
Tevin King run for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 11Similar
Q1 8:18
2ND & 14
OWN 11
+3
85.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 3 yds to the LaTch 14Similar
Q1 8:18
3RD & 11
OWN 14
-4
85.2%
Cody Sokol sacked by Kevin Fouquier and Chris Prater for a loss of 4 yards to the LaTch 10Similar
Q1 8:18
4TH & 15
OWN 10
0
85.3%
Logan McPherson punt for 43 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 18 yds · 0:0085% → 85%
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+16
85.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 16 yds to the LaTch 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:23
1ST & 10
OPP 37
0
85.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q1 6:23
2ND & 10
OPP 37
-2
85.0%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaTch 39Similar
Q1 6:23
3RD & 12
OPP 39
+4
84.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 4 yds to the LaTch 35Similar
Q1 6:23
4TH & 8
OPP 35
0
84.7%
Daniel Cadona punt for 34 yds, downed at the LaTch 1Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 6TD
1 play · 99 yds · 0:0018% → 18%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 1
+99
81.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 99 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 7TD
11 plays · 80 yds · 4:3182% → 84%
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+4
81.5%
Elijah McGuire run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 24Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 6
OWN 24
+8
81.6%
Terrance Broadway run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+9
81.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 1
OWN 41
+4
82.1%
Terrance Broadway run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+2
82.0%
Terrance Broadway run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 47Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 8
OWN 47
+5
82.1%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Nick Byrne for 5 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q1 4:25
3RD & 3
OPP 48
+33
82.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 33 yds to the LaTch 15 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 15
+7
82.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 7 yds to the LaTch 8Similar
Q1 4:25
2ND & 3
OPP 8
+2
82.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 2 yds to the LaTch 6Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 1
OPP 6
+6
83.5%
Alonzo Harris run for 6 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 8PUNT
9 plays · 26 yds · 0:0018% → 19%
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
81.8%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+5
81.8%
Blake Martin run for 5 yds to the LaTch 30Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+6
81.8%
SOKOL, Cody right side pass incomplete to TAYLOR, Trent, PENALTY UL pass interference (Walker, Tracy) 6 yards to the LATECH36, 1ST DOWN LATECH, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+10
81.5%
Blake Martin run for 10 yds to the LaTch 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:54
1ST & 10
OWN 46
0
80.9%
Blake Martin run for no gain to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 14:54
2ND & 10
OWN 46
+5
81.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 5 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 14:54
3RD & 5
OPP 49
0
80.9%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q2 14:54
4TH & 5
OPP 49
0
81.5%
Logan McPherson punt for 34 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 15Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 9DOWNS
8 plays · 46 yds · 0:0082% → 82%
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 15
+19
81.7%
Alonzo Harris run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
81.9%
Terrance Broadway run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+1
82.6%
Elijah McGuire run for 1 yd to the LaLaf 40Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 4
OWN 40
+12
82.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jamal Robinson for 12 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 12:27
1ST & 10
OPP 48
-10
82.9%
Terrance Broadway sacked by Devon McKinney for a loss of 10 yards to the LaLaf 42Similar
Q2 12:27
2ND & 20
OWN 42
+12
81.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Torrey Pierce for 12 yds to the LaTch 46Similar
Q2 12:27
3RD & 8
OPP 46
+7
82.5%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 7 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q2 12:27
4TH & 1
OPP 39
0
82.3%
Alonzo Harris run for no gain to the LaTch 39Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 10TD
11 plays · 61 yds · 3:5822% → 35%
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+3
78.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q2 8:31
2ND & 7
OWN 42
-5
77.5%
Kenneth Dixon run for a loss of 5 yards to the LaTch 37Similar
Q2 8:31
3RD & 12
OWN 37
+19
79.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Trent Taylor for 19 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 10
OPP 44
-5
77.3%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Darrell Brown) to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q2 8:31
1ST & 15
OPP 49
+11
78.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 11 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 4
OPP 38
+12
74.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 12 yds to the LaLaf 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:18
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+4
73.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 6:18
2ND & 6
OPP 22
0
73.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for no gain to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q2 6:18
3RD & 6
OPP 22
+6
74.4%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 6 yds to the LaLaf 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+16
64.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 19 yds · 2:0567% → 67%
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+14
67.3%
Terrance Broadway run for 14 yds to the LaLaf 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 34
-2
67.8%
Elijah McGuire run for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 32Similar
Q2 4:33
2ND & 12
OWN 32
+3
67.3%
Terrance Broadway run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 35Similar
Q2 4:33
3RD & 9
OWN 35
+4
66.9%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Effrem Reed for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q2 2:28
4TH & 5
OWN 39
0
66.5%
Daniel Cadona punt for 51 yds, fair catch by Trent Taylor at the LaTch 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 12FG
11 plays · 79 yds · 2:0835% → 42%
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+5
65.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 5 yds to the LaTch 15Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 5
OWN 15
0
65.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Kenneth DixonSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 5
OWN 15
-5
65.8%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Trent Taylor) to the LaTch 10Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 10
OWN 10
+55
66.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 55 yds to the LaLaf 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
61.1%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 7 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 3
OPP 28
0
61.0%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q2 2:18
3RD & 3
OPP 28
+19
61.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 19 yds to the LaLaf 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:18
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
-6
61.0%
Cody Sokol run for a loss of 6 yards to the LaLaf 16 Cody Sokol fumbled, forced by Taboris Lee, recovered by LaTch Cody SokolSimilar
Q2 2:18
2ND & 0
OPP 16
+5
60.5%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Blake Martin for 5 yds to the LaLaf 11Similar
Q2 2:18
3RD & GOAL
OPP 11
0
61.7%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Blake MartinSimilar
Q2 0:10
4TH & GOAL
OPP 11
+28
57.6%
Jonathan Barnes 28 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 13END OF HALF
2 plays · 2 yds · 0:0059% → 59%
Q2 0:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+2
59.1%
Elijah McGuire run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 14TD
3 plays · 79 yds · 0:4942% → 58%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+1
58.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 22Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 9
OWN 22
+78
41.8%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 78 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 15FUMBLE
6 plays · 25 yds · 0:0044% → 47%
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
43.9%
Terrance Broadway run for no gain to the LaLaf 31Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+8
43.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 8 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 14:11
3RD & 2
OWN 39
+13
45.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 13 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:11
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+6
46.5%
Alonzo Harris run for 6 yds to the LaTch 42Similar
Q3 14:11
2ND & 4
OPP 42
+1
47.0%
Alonzo Harris run for 1 yd to the LaTch 44 Alonzo Harris fumbled, forced by Tony Johnson, recovered by LaTch Le'Vander LigginsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 16PUNT
4 plays · 4 yds · 0:0064% → 62%
Q3 12:16
1ST & 10
OWN 44
-6
36.3%
Cody Sokol sacked by Justin Hamilton for a loss of 6 yards to the LaTch 38Similar
Q3 12:16
2ND & 16
OWN 38
+7
37.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 7 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 12:16
3RD & 9
OWN 45
+3
37.0%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Kenneth Dixon for 3 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 12:16
4TH & 6
OWN 48
0
38.2%
Logan McPherson punt for 32 yds, fair catch by Elijah McGuire at the LaLaf 20Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 17PUNT
4 plays · 5 yds · 0:0036% → 35%
Q3 10:14
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
35.6%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Elijah McGuireSimilar
Q3 10:14
2ND & 10
OWN 20
+6
35.4%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Elijah McGuire for 6 yds to the LaLaf 26Similar
Q3 10:14
3RD & 4
OWN 26
-1
35.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for a loss of 1 yard to the LaLaf 25Similar
Q3 10:14
4TH & 5
OWN 25
0
35.3%
Daniel Cadona punt for 41 yds , Trent Taylor returns for no gain to the LaTch 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 18PUNT
9 plays · 25 yds · 0:0069% → 69%
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 34
+5
31.3%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 5 yds to the LaTch 39Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 5
OWN 39
+5
30.0%
Kenneth Dixon run for 5 yds to the LaTch 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+4
29.7%
Kenneth Dixon run for 4 yds to the LaTch 48Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 6
OWN 48
+9
29.7%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for 9 yds to the LaLaf 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OPP 43
+4
29.5%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 39Similar
Q3 8:39
2ND & 6
OPP 39
+5
29.0%
Jarred Craft run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 34Similar
Q3 8:39
3RD & 1
OPP 34
-2
29.2%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Paul Turner for a loss of 2 yards to the LaLaf 36Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 3
OPP 36
-5
31.7%
LOUISIANA TECH Penalty, false start (Paul Turner) to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q3 8:39
4TH & 8
OPP 41
0
31.4%
Logan McPherson punt for 41 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 19INT TD
4 plays · 11 yds · 1:2527% → 10%
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+8
27.2%
Elijah McGuire run for 8 yds to the LaLaf 28Similar
Q3 5:10
2ND & 2
OWN 28
+3
28.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 5:10
1ST & 10
OWN 31
0
27.7%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Al RilesSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OWN 31
+46
9.6%
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted for a TD Xavier Woods return for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 20DOWNS
6 plays · 16 yds · 0:0010% → 10%
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+14
9.8%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 14 yds to the LaTch 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 3:45
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
10.3%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Gabe FuselierSimilar
Q3 3:45
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+2
10.3%
Terrance Broadway run for 2 yds to the LaTch 45Similar
Q3 3:45
3RD & 8
OPP 45
0
10.2%
Terrance Broadway pass incomplete to Jared JohnsonSimilar
Q3 3:45
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
10.1%
Terrance Broadway pass incompleteSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 21TD
9 plays · 55 yds · 3:5094% → 99%
Q3 2:22
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+4
5.7%
Blake Martin run for 4 yds to the LaTch 49Similar
Q3 2:22
2ND & 6
OWN 49
+2
5.7%
Blake Martin run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 49Similar
Q3 2:22
3RD & 4
OPP 49
+3
5.7%
Blake Martin run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 46Similar
Q3 2:22
4TH & 1
OPP 46
+2
6.4%
Cody Sokol run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+3
4.4%
Kenneth Dixon run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 41Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 7
OPP 41
0
4.4%
Cody Sokol pass incompleteSimilar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 7
OPP 41
+9
4.5%
Cody Sokol run for 9 yds to the LaLaf 32 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 32
0
4.3%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Paul TurnerSimilar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 10
OPP 32
+32
1.2%
Kenneth Dixon run for 32 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 22FUMBLE
3 plays · 6 yds · 0:001% → 1%
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 24
+5
1.2%
Terrance Broadway run for 5 yds to the LaLaf 29Similar
Q4 13:32
2ND & 5
OWN 29
+4
1.2%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Larry Pettis for 4 yds Larry Pettis fumbled, forced by Le'Vander Liggins, recovered by LaTch Lloyd GroganSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 23FG
5 plays · 5 yds · 1:4799% → 99%
Q4 12:50
1ST & 10
OPP 30
0
1.1%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 12:50
2ND & 10
OPP 30
0
1.1%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaLaf 30Similar
Q4 12:50
3RD & 10
OPP 30
0
1.1%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Marcus GainesSimilar
Q4 12:50
4TH & 10
OPP 30
+5
1.3%
BARNES,Jonathan field goal attempt from 47 BLOCKED, recovered by UL Johnson, Trae at UL35 (blocked by Tovell, Dominique), PENALTY UL offside (Trim, Corey) 5 yards to the UL25, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 11:03
4TH & 5
OPP 25
+42
0.8%
Jonathan Barnes 42 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 24TD
5 plays · 39 yds · 1:291% → 1%
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
0.6%
Alonzo Harris run for 3 yds to the LaTch 36Similar
Q4 11:03
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+9
0.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Jared Johnson for 9 yds to the LaTch 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:03
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
0.6%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Al Riles for 7 yds to the LaTch 20Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 3
OPP 20
+20
0.7%
Terrance Broadway pass complete to Effrem Reed for 20 yds for a TD, (Hunter Stover KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
LTDrive 25TD
12 plays · 75 yds · 4:3899% → 100%
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
0.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 1 yd to the LaTch 26Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+23
0.6%
Kenneth Dixon run for 23 yds to the LaTch 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OWN 49
+7
0.6%
Jarred Craft run for 7 yds to the LaLaf 44Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 3
OPP 44
+4
0.5%
Jarred Craft run for 4 yds to the LaLaf 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 40
+2
0.6%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 38Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 8
OPP 38
0
0.6%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling GriffinSimilar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 8
OPP 38
+15
0.6%
Cody Sokol pass incomplete to Sterling Griffin, broken up by Jevante Watson for a 1ST down UL LAFAYETTE Penalty, unsportsmanlike conduct (James Butler) to the LaLaf 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:34
1ST & 10
OPP 23
0
0.6%
Jarred Craft run for no gain to the LaLaf 23Similar
Q4 9:34
2ND & 10
OPP 23
+3
0.6%
Jarred Craft run for 3 yds to the LaLaf 20Similar
Q4 9:34
3RD & 7
OPP 20
+18
0.6%
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 18 yds to the LaLaf 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
0.2%
Jarred Craft run for 2 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
ULDrive 26TD
18 plays · 84 yds · 4:560% → 0%
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
0.2%
Torrey Pierce run for 2 yds to the LaLaf 18Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 8
OWN 18
+4
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to C.J. Bates for 4 yds to the LaLaf 22Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 4
OWN 22
+30
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 30 yds to the LaTch 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+7
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 7 yds to the LaTch 41Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 3
OPP 41
-10
0.2%
Reed, Effrem rush off of the right side for 6 yards to the LATECH35, PENALTY UL holding (Horst, Grant) 10 yards to the UL49, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 13
OWN 49
+8
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Larry Pettis for 8 yds to the LaTch 43Similar
Q4 4:56
3RD & 5
OPP 43
+5
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 5 yds to the LaTch 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 38
+17
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to C.J. Bates for 17 yds to the LaTch 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 21
-1
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Al Riles for a loss of 1 yard to the LaTch 22Similar
Q4 4:56
2ND & 11
OPP 22
+6
0.2%
Brooks Haack pass complete to C.J. Bates for 6 yds to the LaTch 16Similar
Q4 0:47
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
0.1%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Gabe Fuselier, broken up by Lloyd GroganSimilar
Q4 0:47
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+7
0.1%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 7 yds to the LaTch 9 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 0:47
1ST & GOAL
OPP 9
+5
0.1%
Brooks Haack run for 5 yds to the LaTch 4Similar
Q4 0:47
2ND & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jared Johnson, broken up by Secdrick CooperSimilar
Q4 0:47
3RD & GOAL
OPP 4
0
0.1%
Brooks Haack pass incomplete to Jared JohnsonSimilar
Q4 0:00
4TH & GOAL
OPP 4
+4
0.1%
Brooks Haack pass complete to Gabe Fuselier for 4 yds for a TDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q3 3:45
Terrance Broadway pass intercepted for a TD Xavier Woods return for 46 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-18.2
TD · Q3 14:11
Cody Sokol pass complete to Sterling Griffin for 78 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-16
TD · Q2 4:33
Cody Sokol pass complete to Hunter Lee for 16 yds for a TD, (Jonathan Barnes KICK)
-9.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com