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UTEP

UTEP 31 at New Mexico 24

UNM
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · University Stadium (NM)
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Win probability · UNM
modelUNM aheadUTEP aheadconfidence bandkey playUNM scoreUTEP score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 2:20 · Jameill Showers punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 9
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsScore diff ÷ seconds remaining
+37.0+18.50−18.5−37.0Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 78Pregame prior+10.4Home team on offense−18.6Score differential−8.4Garbage-time factor−5.4Score diff ÷ offense timeouts−2.7Score diff ÷ seconds remaining−0.6
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q2 4:50: Aaron Jones run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +13.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
  2. TD · Q3 9:24: Teriyon Gipson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +6.5 pts (now 43%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  3. TD · Q3 1:56: Cole Gautsche run for 51 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK) — UNM win probability +21.8 pts (now 56%) (top driver: Game still competitive relative to time left).
  4. FG · Q4 8:10: Zack Rogers 35 yd FG GOOD — UNM win probability +6.6 pts (now 63%) (top driver: UNM has the ball).
  5. TD · Q4 2:18: Aaron Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK) — UTEP win probability +32.4 pts (now 92%) (top driver: UTEP has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UNM made the numbers' call on 5 of 6UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 7
  1. Q1 11:16UNM 4th & 9 at UNM 42, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 66.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    66.3%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    66.4%
    average punt
  2. Q1 8:48UTEP 4th & 8 at UTEP 10, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 34.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    34.6%−0.1
    32% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    34.7%
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00UNM 4th & 1 at UTEP 20, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 61.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    61.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    59.8%−1.2
    75% to make
    Punt
    55.9%−5.1
    average punt
  4. Q2 7:59UTEP 4th & 5 at UNM 5, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 46.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.3%−<0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    46.3%
    92% to make
    Punt
    40.7%−5.6
    average punt
  5. Q2 7:54UNM 4th & 1 at UNM 34, down 10
    Close callPunted · 50.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    51.3%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    50.7%−0.6
    average punt
  6. Q2 4:50UNM 4th & 6 at UTEP 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 41.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    41.2%
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    40.9%−0.3
    51% to make
    Punt
    39.8%−1.4
    average punt
  7. Q2 2:20UTEP 4th & 5 at UNM 42, up 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.4 ptsPunted · 67.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    67.3%
    42% to convert
    Field goal
    65.9%−1.4
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    66.0%−1.4
    average punt
  8. Q3 14:56UNM 4th & 1 at UTEP 26, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 35.4% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    35.0%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    33.3%−1.7
    64% to make
    Punt
    29.0%−5.9
    average punt
  9. Q3 9:18UTEP 4th & 16 at UNM 37, up 10
    Close callPunted · 60.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    59.7%−1.6
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    61.4%
    40% to make
    PuntTheir call
    61.1%−0.3
    average punt
  10. Q4 13:26UTEP 4th & 1 at UNM 1, up 3
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 55.3% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    53.9%
    59% to convert
    Field goal
    47.3%−6.6
    94% to make
    Punt
    31.0%−22.8
    average punt
  11. Q4 8:10UNM 4th & 8 at UTEP 17, down 3
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 45.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    41.9%−5.5
    32% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    47.3%
    80% to make
    Punt
    30.5%−16.8
    average punt
  12. Q4 8:05UTEP 4th & 17 at UTEP 11, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 41.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    32.5%−11.1
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    43.6%
    average punt
  13. Q4 3:10UTEP 4th & 10 at UNM 42, tied
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsPunted · 48.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    46.7%
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    44.5%−2.2
    30% to make
    PuntTheir call
    45.1%−1.6
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UNM made the numbers' call on 3 of 3UTEP made the numbers' call on 4 of 4
  1. Q1 11:16UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    33.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    33.2%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 7:16UNM Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    67.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    67.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:25UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    36.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    36.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 4:50UTEP Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    59.9%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    59.8%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 9:24UNM Touchdown, down 11 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    37.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    37.2%−0.2
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:56UNM Touchdown, down 4 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    45.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    45.3%−0.2
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 2:18UTEP Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    81.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    80.8%−0.8
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
UTEPDrive 1TD
9 plays · 75 yds · 3:4431% → 33%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
69.3%
Jameill Showers run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+4
69.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 5
OWN 30
+9
69.3%
Jameill Showers run for 9 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 39
-1
69.3%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 38Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 11
OWN 38
0
69.3%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 15:00
3RD & 11
OWN 38
+25
69.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 25 yds to the NMex 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 37
+25
69.3%
Aaron Jones run for 25 yds to the NMex 12 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OPP 12
+12
67.1%
Aaron Jones run for 12 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 2PUNT
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
67.5%
David Anaya run for 4 yds to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 6
OWN 29
+12
67.6%
Carlos Wiggins run for 12 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 11:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
0
67.8%
Cole Gautsche pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 11:16
2ND & 10
OWN 41
0
67.7%
David Anaya run for no gain to the NMex 41Similar
Q1 11:16
3RD & 10
OWN 41
+1
67.5%
Cole Gautsche run for 1 yd to the NMex 42Similar
Q1 11:16
4TH & 9
OWN 42
0
67.4%
Zack Rogers punt for 50 ydsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0034% → 34%
Q1 8:48
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+3
66.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 3 yds to the UTEP 11Similar
Q1 8:48
2ND & 7
OWN 11
-1
66.1%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 10Similar
Q1 8:48
3RD & 8
OWN 10
0
66.2%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q1 8:48
4TH & 8
OWN 10
+1
66.4%
Mike Ruggles punt for 59 yds , Dameon Gamblin returns for 1 yd to the NMex 32Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 4TD
1 play · 68 yds · 0:0068% → 68%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 32
+68
68.1%
Cole Gautsche run for 68 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 5TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:5132% → 37%
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
67.9%
Aaron Jones run for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+11
67.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for 11 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST down NEW MEXICO Penalty, offside defense ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:16
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+6
67.4%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 6 yds to the UTEP 47Similar
Q1 7:16
2ND & 4
OWN 47
+1
67.3%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the UTEP 48Similar
Q1 7:16
3RD & 3
OWN 48
+4
67.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Aaron Jones for 4 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:25
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+48
62.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 48 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 6DOWNS
13 plays · 51 yds · 4:2164% → 62%
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 28
+1
63.9%
Cole Gautsche run for 1 yd to the NMex 29Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 9
OWN 29
+1
63.9%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 30Similar
Q1 4:21
3RD & 8
OWN 30
+8
63.5%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Marquis Bundy for 8 yds to the NMex 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 38
+10
64.2%
Teriyon Gipson run for 10 yds to the NMex 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+10
64.8%
Cole Gautsche run for 10 yds to the UTEP 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
65.0%
Cole Gautsche run for 14 yds to the UTEP 28 NEW MEXICO Penalty, illegal forward pass (Cole Gautsche) to the UTEP 33Similar
Q1 4:21
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+4
65.5%
Carlos Wiggins run for 4 yds to the UTEP 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
65.5%
UTEP Penalty, offside defense (N/A) to the UTEP 24Similar
Q1 4:21
1ST & 5
OPP 24
-3
65.5%
Cole Gautsche run for a loss of 3 yards to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 8
OPP 27
0
63.4%
Cole Gautsche pass incomplete to Dameon GamblinSimilar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 8
OPP 27
+7
62.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 1
OPP 20
-1
62.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 21Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 7FG
15 plays · 74 yds · 6:1540% → 47%
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 21
+8
60.3%
Aaron Jones run for 8 yds to the UTEP 29Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 2
OWN 29
+4
59.5%
Aaron Jones run for 4 yds to the UTEP 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OWN 33
0
59.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Josh BellSimilar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 10
OWN 33
+28
60.0%
Aaron Jones run for 28 yds to the NMex 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+3
58.8%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 7
OPP 36
+3
58.8%
Jeremiah Laufasa run for 3 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 4
OPP 33
+4
58.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+5
58.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 5 yds to the NMex 24Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & 5
OPP 24
+4
58.6%
Jameill Showers run for 4 yds to the NMex 20Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & 1
OPP 20
+10
58.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 10 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:14
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
58.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 4 yds to the NMex 6Similar
Q2 14:14
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+1
58.6%
Aaron Jones run for 1 yd to the NMex 5Similar
Q2 14:14
3RD & GOAL
OPP 5
0
58.9%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 7:59
4TH & GOAL
OPP 5
+23
52.8%
Jay Mattox 23 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 8PUNT
5 plays · 9 yds · 0:0053% → 53%
Q2 7:54
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+8
52.9%
Crusoe Gongbay run for 8 yds to the NMex 33Similar
Q2 7:54
2ND & 2
OWN 33
-1
53.8%
Cole Gautsche run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 32Similar
Q2 7:54
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+2
52.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for 2 yds to the NMex 34Similar
Q2 7:54
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
52.6%
Zack Rogers punt for 66 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 9TD
3 plays · 80 yds · 1:0248% → 63%
Q2 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+7
51.6%
Jameill Showers run for 7 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q2 5:52
2ND & 3
OWN 27
0
50.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 3
OWN 27
+73
37.2%
Aaron Jones run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 10DOWNS
7 plays · 37 yds · 0:0041% → 43%
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+26
40.8%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Carlos Wiggins for 26 yds to the UTEP 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+13
43.1%
Teriyon Gipson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:50
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+4
43.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 4 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 4:50
2ND & 6
OPP 32
+1
44.3%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the UTEP 31Similar
Q2 4:50
3RD & 5
OPP 31
-1
43.5%
Crusoe Gongbay run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 32Similar
Q2 4:50
4TH & 6
OPP 32
-6
42.5%
Cole Gautsche sacked by Nick Usher for a loss of 6 yards to the UTEP 38Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 11PUNT
7 plays · 20 yds · 0:0068% → 67%
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
32.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete, broken up by Paytron HightowerSimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+7
32.1%
Nathan Jeffery run for 7 yds to the UTEP 45Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 3
OWN 45
+8
32.2%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Autrey Golden for 8 yds to the NMex 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 2:20
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
31.5%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q2 2:20
2ND & 10
OPP 47
+5
31.6%
Nathan Jeffery run for 5 yds to the NMex 42Similar
Q2 2:20
3RD & 5
OPP 42
0
31.7%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian HamiltonSimilar
Q2 2:20
4TH & 5
OPP 42
0
32.9%
Jameill Showers punt for 33 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 12END OF HALF
1 play · 0 yds · 0:0033% → 33%
Q2 0:13
1ST & 10
OWN 9
0
33.2%
David Anaya run for no gain to the NMex 9Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 13TD
11 plays · 83 yds · 5:3232% → 43%
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+37
32.4%
Jhurell Pressley run for 37 yds to the UTEP 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 46
0
35.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for no gain to the UTEP 46Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 10
OPP 46
+2
35.0%
Cole Gautsche run for 2 yds to the UTEP 44Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 8
OPP 44
+9
34.7%
David Anaya run for 9 yds to the UTEP 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 35
+7
36.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 7 yds to the UTEP 28Similar
Q3 14:56
2ND & 3
OPP 28
+1
36.3%
Cole Gautsche run for 1 yd to the UTEP 27Similar
Q3 14:56
3RD & 2
OPP 27
+1
35.7%
Crusoe Gongbay run for 1 yd to the UTEP 26Similar
Q3 14:56
4TH & 1
OPP 26
+9
35.7%
Cole Gautsche run for 9 yds to the UTEP 17 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:56
1ST & 10
OPP 17
+4
36.3%
Cole Gautsche run for 4 yds to the UTEP 13Similar
Q3 9:24
2ND & 6
OPP 13
+13
42.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 13 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 14PUNT
11 plays · 33 yds · 0:0061% → 60%
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 30
+2
38.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 8
OWN 32
+9
38.6%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Eric Tomlinson for 9 yds to the UTEP 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
37.4%
Aaron Jones run for 9 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 1
50
+9
37.1%
Nathan Jeffery run for 9 yds to the NMex 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+5
37.3%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for 5 yds to the NMex 36Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 5
OPP 36
+5
37.1%
JEFFERY, Nathan rush for 3 yards to the NM33 (BOWERS, Brett;JOHNSON, Javarie), PENALTY NM offside defense (HUGHES, Garrett) 5 yards to the NM31, 1ST DOWN UTEP, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:18
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+6
36.8%
Nathan Jeffery run for 6 yds to the NMex 25Similar
Q3 9:18
2ND & 4
OPP 25
-12
36.7%
TEAM run for a loss of 12 yards to the NMex 37Similar
Q3 9:18
3RD & 16
OPP 37
0
38.8%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Aaron JonesSimilar
Q3 9:18
4TH & 16
OPP 37
0
40.1%
Jameill Showers punt for 29 yds, downed at the NMex 8Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 15TD
5 plays · 92 yds · 2:2231% → 56%
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 8
+2
31.1%
Cole Gautsche pass complete to Dameon Gamblin for 2 yds to the NMex 10Similar
Q3 4:18
2ND & 8
OWN 10
+16
31.3%
Jhurell Pressley run for 16 yds to the NMex 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 26
+18
32.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 18 yds to the NMex 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+5
33.7%
Teriyon Gipson run for 5 yds to the NMex 49Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 49
+51
55.5%
Cole Gautsche run for 51 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 16DOWNS
10 plays · 73 yds · 3:3052% → 54%
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
48.1%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Ian Hamilton for 5 yds to the UTEP 30Similar
Q3 1:56
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+7
47.0%
Aaron Jones run for 7 yds to the UTEP 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+34
46.7%
Aaron Jones run for 34 yds to the NMex 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:56
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+19
42.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 19 yds to the NMex 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+1
41.3%
Nathan Jeffery run for 1 yd to the NMex 9Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & GOAL
OPP 9
+6
41.3%
Aaron Jones run for 6 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & GOAL
OPP 3
+2
43.2%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 1Similar
Q4 13:26
4TH & GOAL
OPP 1
-1
45.7%
Nathan Jeffery run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 2Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 17FG
10 plays · 81 yds · 5:1250% → 63%
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 2
+1
50.0%
Teriyon Gipson run for 1 yd to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 9
OWN 3
+33
49.8%
Cole Gautsche run for 33 yds to the NMex 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+4
52.2%
Jhurell Pressley run for 4 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OWN 40
+21
55.0%
Jhurell Pressley run for 21 yds to the UTEP 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+7
56.5%
David Anaya run for 7 yds to the UTEP 32Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 3
OPP 32
+13
59.6%
Teriyon Gipson run for 13 yds to the UTEP 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:22
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+4
59.6%
Crusoe Gongbay run for 4 yds to the UTEP 15Similar
Q4 13:22
2ND & 6
OPP 15
-1
59.6%
Clayton Mitchem run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 13:22
3RD & 7
OPP 16
-1
56.7%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 1 yard to the UTEP 17Similar
Q4 8:10
4TH & 8
OPP 17
+35
63.3%
Zack Rogers 35 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 18PUNT
6 plays · -7 yds · 0:0045% → 41%
Q4 8:05
1ST & 10
OWN 18
+2
55.5%
Nathan Jeffery run for 2 yds to the UTEP 20Similar
Q4 8:05
2ND & 8
OWN 20
-4
55.6%
Aaron Jones run for a loss of 4 yards to the UTEP 16Similar
Q4 8:05
3RD & 12
OWN 16
0
57.7%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Ian Hamilton, broken up by Isaiah BrownSimilar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 12
OWN 16
-5
59.3%
UTEP Penalty, delay of game (-5 Yards) to the UTEP 11Similar
Q4 8:05
4TH & 17
OWN 11
0
59.3%
Mike Ruggles punt for 49 yds, downed at the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 19FUMBLE
4 plays · 20 yds · 0:0064% → 66%
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+29
63.5%
Carlos Wiggins run for 29 yds to the UTEP 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 6:28
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+4
67.9%
Clayton Mitchem run for 4 yds to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 6:28
2ND & 6
OPP 27
0
67.9%
Clayton Mitchem run for no gain to the UTEP 27Similar
Q4 6:28
3RD & 6
OPP 27
-12
65.8%
Jhurell Pressley run for a loss of 12 yards to the UTEP 40 Jhurell Pressley fumbled, recovered by UTEP Roy Robertson-HarrisSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 20PUNT
6 plays · 18 yds · 1:2351% → 50%
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+18
49.1%
Aaron Jones run for 18 yds to the NMex 42 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:33
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+2
46.7%
Aaron Jones run for 2 yds to the NMex 40Similar
Q4 4:33
2ND & 8
OPP 40
-2
46.8%
Jameill Showers pass complete to Jarrad Shaw for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 42Similar
Q4 3:10
3RD & 10
OPP 42
0
46.0%
Jameill Showers pass incomplete to Autrey GoldenSimilar
Q4 3:10
4TH & 10
OPP 42
+1
50.2%
Mikael Sroka punt for 37 yds , Dameon Gamblin returns for 1 yd to the NMex 6 Dameon Gamblin fumbled, recovered by UTEP LaQuintus DowellSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 21TD
2 plays · 6 yds · 0:4859% → 92%
Q4 3:06
1ST & GOAL
OPP 6
+3
40.9%
Nathan Jeffery run for 3 yds to the NMex 3Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
8.5%
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UNMDrive 22INT
8 plays · 19 yds · 0:4718% → 13%
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-3
18.4%
Teriyon Gipson run for a loss of 3 yards to the NMex 22Similar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 13
OWN 22
+10
17.9%
Clayton Mitchem pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 10 yds to the NMex 32Similar
Q4 2:18
3RD & 3
OWN 32
+21
18.8%
Clayton Mitchem pass complete to Jeric Magnant for 21 yds to the UTEP 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 2:18
1ST & 10
OPP 47
0
23.6%
Clayton Mitchem pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q4 2:18
2ND & 10
OPP 47
-9
23.0%
Clayton Mitchem sacked by Maurice Chavis for a loss of 9 yards to the NMex 44Similar
Q4 1:31
3RD & 19
OWN 44
+4
13.2%
Clayton Mitchem pass intercepted Adrian James return for 19 yds to the NEWMEXICO 37 NEW MEXICO Penalty, personal foul (Reno Henderson) to the NMex 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UTEPDrive 23END OF GAME
2 plays · -3 yds · 0:0095% → 95%
Q4 1:16
1ST & 10
OPP 37
-2
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the NMex 39Similar
Q4 1:16
2ND & 12
OPP 39
-1
4.8%
TEAM run for a loss of 1 yard to the NMex 40Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q4 2:18
Aaron Jones run for 3 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-32.4
TD · Q3 1:56
Cole Gautsche run for 51 yds for a TD, (Zack Rogers KICK)
+21.8
TD · Q2 4:50
Aaron Jones run for 73 yds for a TD, (Jay Mattox KICK)
-13.6
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com