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TROY

Troy 10 at UAB 48

UAB
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Legion Field
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Win probability · UAB
modelUAB aheadTROY aheadconfidence bandkey playUAB scoreTROY score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDFGTDTDFGTDEnd of Game
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 0:33 · Brandon Silvers pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 5 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST down
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Home team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorScore diff ÷ offense timeoutsBlowout marginPregame prior
+36.5+18.30−18.3−36.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 90Home team on offense+10.7Score differential+4.6Garbage-time factor+2.1Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+3.8Blowout margin+0.9Pregame prior+2.5
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 4:33: Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +3.8 pts (now 61%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  2. TD · Q2 6:54: Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 18 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +12.5 pts (now 79%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 0:00: Ryan Kay 47 yd FG GOOD — TROY win probability +6.5 pts (now 21%) (top driver: TROY has the ball).
  4. TD · Q3 6:46: Jordan Howard run for 55 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +10.3 pts (now 95%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
  5. TD · Q3 1:23: Cody Clements run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK) — UAB win probability +3.1 pts (now 100%) (top driver: UAB has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
UAB made the numbers' call on 2 of 3TROY made the numbers' call on 8 of 10
  1. Q1 4:33TROY 4th & 9 at TROY 26, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 40.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    40.1%−0.4
    30% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    40.5%
    average punt
  2. Q1 0:38UAB 4th & 14 at TROY 17, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 60.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    58.9%−1.0
    17% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    59.9%
    80% to make
    Punt
    56.7%−3.2
    average punt
  3. Q2 15:00TROY 4th & 22 at UAB 41, down 10
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 37.5% before the snap
    Go for it
    36.8%−1.0
    8% to convert
    Field goal
    37.6%−0.2
    32% to make
    PuntTheir call
    37.8%
    average punt
  4. Q2 3:07TROY 4th & 2 at UAB 12, down 17
    Numbers favored go for it by 1.6 ptsKicked a field goal · 22.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.9%
    56% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    20.2%−1.6
    86% to make
    Punt
    12.2%−9.7
    average punt
  5. Q2 3:07UAB 4th & 17 at UAB 13, up 17
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 80.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    76.7%−4.6
    13% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    81.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 0:33TROY 4th & 1 at UAB 32, down 17
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    21.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    20.6%−0.5
    51% to make
    Punt
    17.8%−3.3
    average punt
  7. Q3 14:33TROY 4th & 5 at TROY 43, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 21.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    21.0%−0.3
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    21.4%
    average punt
  8. Q3 10:54TROY 4th & 8 at UAB 45, down 14
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 19.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    19.3%−0.3
    34% to convert
    Field goal
    18.1%−1.4
    25% to make
    PuntTheir call
    19.6%
    average punt
  9. Q3 5:01TROY 4th & 1 at TROY 34, down 21
    Agrees with the numbersWent for it · 4.5% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    5.1%
    71% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    4.5%−0.6
    average punt
  10. Q3 1:17TROY 4th & 10 at TROY 23, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−0.3
    28% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.4%
    average punt
  11. Q4 11:15UAB 4th & 5 at TROY 31, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.8% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.8%
    41% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.7%−<0.1
    54% to make
    Punt
    99.7%−0.1
    average punt
  12. Q4 11:15TROY 4th & 12 at TROY 48, down 31
    Close callWent for it · 0.2% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    0.1%−0.1
    23% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    0.2%
    average punt
  13. Q4 5:52TROY 4th & 6 at TROY 29, down 38
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.1%−<0.1
    39% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.1%
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
UAB made the numbers' call on 6 of 6TROY made the numbers' call on 1 of 1
  1. Q1 13:31TROY Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    46.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    46.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 8:51UAB Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    55.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    54.9%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 4:33UAB Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    58.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    58.5%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 6:54UAB Touchdown, up 16 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    75.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    75.2%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q3 6:46UAB Touchdown, up 20 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    95.5%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    95.5%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 1:23UAB Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.1%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 5:52UAB Touchdown, up 37 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
TROYDrive 1TD
6 plays · 75 yds · 1:2945% → 46%
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
55.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 41 yds to the UAB 34 for a 1ST down UAB Penalty, personal foul (Harris Gaston) to the UAB 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+7
55.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 7 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q1 15:00
2ND & 3
OPP 12
+10
55.0%
Brandon Burks run for 10 yds to the UAB 2 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 15:00
1ST & GOAL
OPP 2
+1
55.0%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the UAB 1Similar
Q1 13:31
2ND & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
54.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ryan Kay KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 2TD
14 plays · 69 yds · 4:3255% → 56%
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+8
54.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for 8 yds to the UAB 39Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 2
OWN 39
+12
54.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 12 yds to the Troy 49 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+6
54.8%
Jordan Howard run for 6 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 4
OPP 43
0
54.8%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 4
OPP 43
+14
54.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Tristan Henderson for 14 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+16
54.9%
Jordan Howard run for 16 yds to the Troy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & 10
OPP 13
+1
54.9%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Troy 12Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & 9
OPP 12
+6
54.9%
Cody Clements pass complete to Gerald Everett for 6 yds to the Troy 6Similar
Q1 13:23
3RD & 3
OPP 6
+3
54.8%
Jordan Howard run for 3 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 13:23
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
+1
54.9%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Troy 2Similar
Q1 13:23
2ND & GOAL
OPP 2
0
54.9%
Jordan Howard run for no gain to the Troy 2Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & GOAL
OPP 2
+2
56.1%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 3FUMBLE
7 plays · 17 yds · 0:0045% → 45%
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
55.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Bryan Holmes for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
55.2%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Burks for 4 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+3
55.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the Troy 37 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 8:51
1ST & 10
OWN 37
+1
55.1%
Jordan Chunn run for 1 yd to the Troy 38Similar
Q1 8:51
2ND & 9
OWN 38
+7
55.1%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to B.J. Chitty for 7 yds to the Troy 45Similar
Q1 8:51
3RD & 2
OWN 45
-2
54.9%
Jordan Chunn run for a loss of 2 yards to the Troy 42 Jordan Chunn fumbled, forced by Jake Ganus, recovered by UAB Kalen JacksonSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 4TD
6 plays · 42 yds · 0:4957% → 61%
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+9
56.7%
Jordan Howard run for 9 yds to the Troy 33Similar
Q1 5:22
2ND & 1
OPP 33
+5
56.9%
Cody Clements run for 5 yds to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+12
56.9%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the Troy 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+11
56.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 11 yds to the Troy 5 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 5:22
1ST & GOAL
OPP 5
+2
56.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Troy 3Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
60.7%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 5PUNT
5 plays · 1 yds · 0:0041% → 40%
Q1 4:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
59.5%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q1 4:33
2ND & 9
OWN 26
0
59.5%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Chandler Worthy, broken up by Jimmy JeanSimilar
Q1 4:33
3RD & 9
OWN 26
0
59.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q1 4:33
4TH & 9
OWN 26
+21
60.2%
Ryan Kay punt for 50 yds , Jamarcus Nelson returns for 21 yds to the UAB 45Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 6FG
10 plays · 38 yds · 3:0361% → 61%
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+11
60.9%
Jordan Howard run for 11 yds to the Troy 44 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+1
61.1%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd to the Troy 43Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 9
OPP 43
+15
61.0%
Cody Clements pass complete to Tristan Henderson for no gain to the Troy 43 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, personal foul (Tyler Roberts) to the Troy 28 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 28
+3
61.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 7
OPP 25
+3
61.2%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the Troy 22Similar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 4
OPP 22
+9
60.8%
Cody Clements run for 9 yds to the Troy 13 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:41
1ST & 10
OPP 13
-4
61.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to D.J. Vinson for a loss of 4 yards to the Troy 17Similar
Q1 3:41
2ND & 14
OPP 17
0
61.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q1 3:41
3RD & 14
OPP 17
0
60.3%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Gerald EverettSimilar
Q1 0:38
4TH & 14
OPP 17
+34
61.2%
Ty Long 34 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 7PUNT
15 plays · 34 yds · 0:3838% → 37%
Q1 0:38
1ST & 10
OWN 25
0
61.8%
Brandon Silvers run for no gain to the Troy 25Similar
Q1 0:38
2ND & 10
OWN 25
+10
62.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for 10 yds to the Troy 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 35
0
61.6%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 10
OWN 35
-10
61.9%
Khary Franklin run for no gain to the Troy 35 TROY Penalty, Offensive holding (N/A) to the Troy 25Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 20
OWN 25
+10
62.4%
Brandon Silvers run for 10 yds to the Troy 35Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 10
OWN 35
+12
62.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Emanuel Thompson for 12 yds to the Troy 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+5
60.9%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the UAB 48Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 5
OPP 48
+4
60.7%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Trey Page for 4 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 1
OPP 44
+5
60.5%
Jordan Chunn run for 5 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 39
+10
60.7%
Brandon Silvers run for 10 yds to the UAB 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
-6
59.8%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 6 yards to the UAB 35Similar
Q2 15:00
2ND & 16
OPP 35
+1
60.7%
Khary Franklin run for 1 yd to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 15:00
3RD & 15
OPP 34
-7
61.7%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Chris Walton for a loss of 7 yards to the UAB 41Similar
Q2 15:00
4TH & 22
OPP 41
0
62.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 22 yds, downed at the UAB 19Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 8TD
7 plays · 81 yds · 2:2664% → 79%
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 19
+16
64.4%
Jordan Howard run for 16 yds to the UAB 35 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OWN 35
-1
64.7%
Jamarcus Nelson run for a loss of 1 yard to the UAB 34Similar
Q2 9:20
2ND & 11
OWN 34
+20
64.4%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 20 yds to the Troy 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+13
66.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Maudrecus Humphrey for 13 yds to the Troy 33 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 33
+10
66.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 10 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 9:20
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+5
66.3%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q2 6:54
2ND & 5
OPP 18
+18
78.8%
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 18 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 9MISSED FG
10 plays · 52 yds · 3:3725% → 24%
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+3
75.4%
Brandon Burks run for 3 yds to the Troy 39Similar
Q2 6:44
2ND & 7
OWN 39
+3
75.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 3 yds to the Troy 42Similar
Q2 6:44
3RD & 4
OWN 42
+27
75.3%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Clark Quisenberry for 27 yds to the UAB 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 6:44
1ST & 10
OPP 31
+11
73.2%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 11 yds to the UAB 20 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:06
1ST & 10
OPP 20
+1
74.2%
Brandon Burks run for 1 yd to the UAB 19Similar
Q2 5:06
2ND & 9
OPP 19
+5
74.2%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 5 yds to the UAB 14Similar
Q2 5:06
3RD & 4
OPP 14
+2
74.8%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 2 yds to the UAB 12Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 2
OPP 12
+29
76.3%
Ryan Kay 29 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 10PUNT
5 plays · -7 yds · 0:0085% → 84%
Q2 3:07
1ST & 10
OWN 20
-3
84.6%
Jordan Howard run for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 17Similar
Q2 3:07
2ND & 13
OWN 17
0
84.5%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Jamarcus NelsonSimilar
Q2 3:07
3RD & 13
OWN 17
+1
84.0%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd to the UAB 18Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 12
OWN 18
-5
83.5%
UAB Penalty, delay of game (N/A) to the UAB 13Similar
Q2 3:07
4TH & 17
OWN 13
+2
83.9%
Hunter Mullins punt for 45 yds , Bryan Holmes returns for 2 yds to the UAB 15 UAB Penalty, personal foul (Kennard Backman) to the UAB 41Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 11FG
11 plays · 11 yds · 1:2523% → 21%
Q2 1:25
1ST & 10
OPP 41
-8
76.9%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Diaheem Watkins for a loss of 8 yards to the UAB 49Similar
Q2 1:25
2ND & 18
OPP 49
+5
80.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Bryan Holmes for 5 yds to the UAB 44Similar
Q2 1:25
3RD & 13
OPP 44
+12
79.5%
Brandon Burks run for 12 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q2 0:33
4TH & 1
OPP 32
+5
77.4%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Chandler Worthy for 5 yds to the UAB 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 0:33
1ST & 10
OPP 27
+7
76.6%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Brandon Brooks for 7 yds to the UAB 20Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 3
OPP 20
-10
77.4%
Silvers, B. pass complete to Flakes, Andre for 12 yards to the UAB8 (WILLIAMS, Dariu;JONES, Calvin), PENALTY TROY holding (Lassiter, Tyler) 10 yards to the UAB30, NO PLAY.Similar
Q2 0:16
2ND & 13
OPP 30
0
79.1%
TEAM pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 0:00
3RD & 13
OPP 30
+47
79.5%
Ryan Kay 47 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 12FUMBLE
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:0080% → 80%
Q3 14:49
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+34
80.1%
Cody Clements pass complete to Jamarcus Nelson for 34 yds Jamarcus Nelson fumbled, forced by Jacquez Young, recovered by Troy Tyler RobertsSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 13PUNT
8 plays · 32 yds · 0:0021% → 21%
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 11
+5
79.3%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 16Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 16
+9
79.3%
TEAM pass complete to B.J. Chitty for 9 yds to the Troy 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
79.2%
Brandon Burks run for 5 yds to the Troy 30Similar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+8
78.2%
Khary Franklin run for 8 yds to the Troy 38 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 14:33
1ST & 10
OWN 38
0
78.1%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Chandler WorthySimilar
Q3 14:33
2ND & 10
OWN 38
+5
78.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Bryan Holmes for 5 yds to the Troy 43Similar
Q3 14:33
3RD & 5
OWN 43
0
78.2%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Brandon BrooksSimilar
Q3 14:33
4TH & 5
OWN 43
0
79.0%
Ryan Kay punt for 45 yds, downed at the UAB 12Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 14INT
3 plays · 29 yds · 0:0082% → 83%
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 12
+27
81.8%
Jordan Howard run for 27 yds to the UAB 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:56
1ST & 10
OWN 39
+2
82.6%
Jordan Howard run for 2 yds to the UAB 41Similar
Q3 11:56
2ND & 8
OWN 41
+28
82.7%
Cody Clements pass intercepted Montres Kitchens return for 28 yds to the UAB 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 15PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 0:0021% → 19%
Q3 10:54
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+2
79.3%
Brandon Silvers run for 2 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 10:54
2ND & 8
OPP 45
+3
79.3%
Jordan Chunn run for 3 yds to the UAB 42Similar
Q3 10:54
3RD & 5
OPP 42
-3
79.5%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Khary Franklin for a loss of 3 yards to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 10:54
4TH & 8
OPP 45
0
80.8%
Ryan Kay punt for 35 yds, downed at the UAB 10Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 16TD
7 plays · 90 yds · 2:2484% → 95%
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 10
+3
84.1%
Cody Clements run for 3 yds to the UAB 13Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 7
OWN 13
+12
84.0%
Jordan Howard run for 12 yds to the UAB 25 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+7
84.2%
Cody Clements pass complete to Nyiakki Height for 7 yds to the UAB 32Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 3
OWN 32
+4
84.4%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the UAB 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+9
84.4%
D.J. Vinson run for 9 yds to the UAB 45Similar
Q3 9:10
2ND & 1
OWN 45
0
85.0%
Cody Clements pass incomplete to Kennard BackmanSimilar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 1
OWN 45
+55
95.2%
Jordan Howard run for 55 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 17DOWNS
6 plays · 9 yds · 1:456% → 5%
Q3 6:46
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+1
94.4%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 1 yd to the Troy 26Similar
Q3 6:46
2ND & 9
OWN 26
+1
94.4%
Dontreal Pruitt run for 1 yd to the Troy 27Similar
Q3 6:46
3RD & 8
OWN 27
+7
94.5%
Dontreal Pruitt pass complete to Brandon Burks for 7 yds to the Troy 34Similar
Q3 5:01
4TH & 1
OWN 34
0
95.0%
Jordan Chunn run for no gain to the Troy 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 18TD
8 plays · 34 yds · 3:3397% → 100%
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+2
96.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the Troy 32Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 8
OPP 32
+9
96.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 9 yds to the Troy 23 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & 10
OPP 23
+1
96.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the Troy 22Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & 9
OPP 22
+5
96.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the Troy 17Similar
Q3 4:56
3RD & 4
OPP 17
+7
96.5%
Cody Clements run for 7 yds to the Troy 10 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 4:56
1ST & GOAL
OPP 10
+4
96.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the Troy 6Similar
Q3 4:56
2ND & GOAL
OPP 6
+5
96.5%
D.J. Vinson run for 5 yds to the Troy 1Similar
Q3 1:23
3RD & GOAL
OPP 1
+1
99.6%
Cody Clements run for 1 yd for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 19PUNT
5 plays · 0 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q3 1:17
1ST & 10
OWN 23
0
99.6%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 1:17
2ND & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Khary Franklin run for no gain to the Troy 23Similar
Q3 1:17
3RD & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Dontreal Pruitt pass incomplete to N/ASimilar
Q3 1:17
4TH & 10
OWN 23
0
99.7%
Ryan Kay punt for 48 yds, punt out-of-bounds at the UAB 29Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 20FG
10 plays · 40 yds · 4:05100% → 100%
Q3 0:20
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+2
99.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 2 yds to the UAB 31Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 8
OWN 31
+10
99.6%
Cody Clements run for 10 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST down TROY Penalty, Defensive offside ( Yards) declined for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+1
99.6%
D.J. Vinson run for 1 yd to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OWN 42
0
99.6%
Cody Clements run for no gain to the UAB 42Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 9
OWN 42
+5
99.6%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass incomplete to STAPLES, Jamari, PENALTY TROY offside 5 yards to the UAB47, NO PLAY.Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 4
OWN 47
+17
99.6%
CLEMENTS, Cody pass complete to BACKMAN, Kennar for 2 yards to the UAB49 (Lewis, J.), PENALTY TROY personal foul 17 yards to the TROY36, 1ST DOWN UAB, NO PLAY. for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 15:00
1ST & 10
OPP 36
+1
99.7%
Jordan Howard run for 1 yd to the Troy 35Similar
Q4 15:00
2ND & 9
OPP 35
+4
99.7%
Jordan Howard run for 4 yds to the Troy 31Similar
Q4 15:00
3RD & 5
OPP 31
0
99.6%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the Troy 31Similar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 5
OPP 31
+49
99.8%
Ty Long 49 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 21DOWNS
6 plays · 17 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+25
99.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to K.D. Edenfield for 25 yds to the 50 yard line for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:15
1ST & 10
50
0
99.8%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan HolmesSimilar
Q4 11:15
2ND & 10
50
+7
99.8%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Jordan Chunn for 7 yds to the UAB 43Similar
Q4 11:15
3RD & 3
OPP 43
-3
99.8%
Brandon Silvers run for a loss of 3 yards to the Troy 48 Brandon Silvers fumbled, recovered by Troy Brandon SilversSimilar
Q4 11:15
4TH & 12
OWN 48
-6
99.8%
Brandon Silvers sacked by Kalen Jackson for a loss of 6 yards to the Troy 42Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 22TD
9 plays · 42 yds · 3:40100% → 100%
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 42
+6
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 6 yds to the Troy 36Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 4
OPP 36
0
99.8%
Jeremiah Briscoe pass incomplete to Jamarcus Nelson, broken up by Jacquez YoungSimilar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 4
OPP 36
+18
99.8%
D.J. Vinson run for 18 yds to the Troy 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+4
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 4 yds to the Troy 14Similar
Q4 9:32
2ND & 6
OPP 14
+3
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds to the Troy 11Similar
Q4 9:32
3RD & 3
OPP 11
+8
99.8%
Jeremiah Briscoe run for 8 yds to the Troy 3 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:32
1ST & GOAL
OPP 3
0
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for no gain to the Troy 3Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & GOAL
OPP 3
+3
99.9%
D.J. Vinson run for 3 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 23PUNT
5 plays · 4 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 5:52
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+4
99.9%
Tim Longmire run for 4 yds to the Troy 29Similar
Q4 5:52
2ND & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Tim Longmire run for no gain to the Troy 29Similar
Q4 5:52
3RD & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Brandon Silvers pass incomplete to Bryan Holmes, broken up by Kelton BrackettSimilar
Q4 5:52
4TH & 6
OWN 29
0
99.9%
Ryan Kay punt for 40 yds, fair catch by Jamarcus Nelson at the UAB 31Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
UABDrive 24PUNT
4 plays · 10 yds · 0:00100% → 100%
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 31
+5
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 5 yds to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 4:32
2ND & 5
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for no gain to the UAB 36Similar
Q4 4:32
3RD & 5
OWN 36
+5
99.9%
Ja'Won Arrington run for 5 yds to the UAB 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:32
1ST & 10
OWN 41
+9
99.9%
Hunter Mullins punt for 52 yds , Teddy Ruben returns for 9 yds to the Troy 16Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
TROYDrive 25END OF GAME
3 plays · 13 yds · 0:000% → 0%
Q4 2:06
1ST & 10
OWN 16
+2
100.0%
Tim Longmire run for 2 yds to the Troy 18Similar
Q4 2:06
2ND & 8
OWN 18
-1
100.0%
Tim Longmire run for a loss of 1 yard to the Troy 17Similar
Q4 2:06
3RD & 9
OWN 17
+12
100.0%
Brandon Silvers pass complete to Tim Longmire for 12 yds to the Troy 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 6:54
Cody Clements pass complete to Kennard Backman for 18 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+12.5
TD · Q3 6:46
Jordan Howard run for 55 yds for a TD, (Ty Long KICK)
+10.3
FG · Q2 0:00
Ryan Kay 47 yd FG GOOD
-6.5
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com