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RICE

Rice 17 at Notre Dame 48

ND
2014 · Week 1 · Aug 30, 2014 · Notre Dame Stadium
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Win probability · ND
modelND aheadRICE aheadconfidence bandkey playND scoreRICE score
0%25%50%75%100%Q1Q2Q3Q4TDTDTDFGTDTDFGTDFGTDTDEnd of GameFG-1.8ND 85.4%James Hairston 33 yd FG GOODAWAY 10 - HOME 14 · Q2 5:51
What if? - hover the chart or a play below, then change how it went
Q2 5:51 · James Hairston 33 yd FG GOOD
Driver values - Δ win prob, pts
Pregame priorHome team on offenseScore differentialGarbage-time factorBlowout marginScore diff ÷ offense timeouts
+42.5+21.30−21.3−42.5Q1Q2Q3Q4Play 69Pregame prior+29.3Home team on offense+0.9Score differential+0.3Garbage-time factor−0.1Blowout margin+0.5Score diff ÷ offense timeouts+0.2
This game in five plays
  1. TD · Q1 2:13: Zach Wright 26 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick) — RICE win probability +2.0 pts (now 13%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  2. TD · Q1 2:01: Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 75 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +2.1 pts (now 90%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  3. FG · Q2 5:51: James Hairston 33 yd FG GOOD — RICE win probability +1.8 pts (now 15%) (top driver: RICE has the ball).
  4. TD · Q2 2:33: Everett Golson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +4.5 pts (now 91%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
  5. TD · Q2 0:05: Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 53 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK) — ND win probability +3.3 pts (now 94%) (top driver: ND has the ball).
Was that the right call?

Each option's modeled win probability for the team making the call, from the score, clock and field position before the play. Gaps under one point are close calls. How this works

Fourth downs
ND made the numbers' call on 3 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 6 of 8
  1. Q1 13:07ND 4th & 11 at ND 36, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 89.3% before the snap
    Go for it
    89.2%−0.1
    26% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    89.3%
    average punt
  2. Q1 11:28RICE 4th & 8 at RICE 28, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.1%−0.1
    33% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.2%
    average punt
  3. Q1 10:40ND 4th & 4 at midfield, tied
    Close callPunted · 88.6% before the snap
    Go for it
    88.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    88.6%−0.1
    average punt
  4. Q1 9:06RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 26, tied
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 11.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    11.8%−<0.1
    47% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    11.8%
    average punt
  5. Q1 0:22RICE 4th & 5 at RICE 30, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.2% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.2%−0.1
    41% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.3%
    average punt
  6. Q2 13:27ND 4th & 2 at RICE 22, up 7
    Close callKicked a field goal · 87.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    87.4%
    57% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    87.2%−0.2
    72% to make
    Punt
    85.7%−1.7
    average punt
  7. Q2 11:22RICE 4th & 7 at RICE 25, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 12.7% before the snap
    Go for it
    12.6%−0.2
    35% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    12.8%
    average punt
  8. Q2 9:20ND 4th & 16 at ND 45, up 7
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 86.0% before the snap
    Go for it
    85.4%−0.9
    16% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    86.3%
    average punt
  9. Q2 5:51RICE 4th & 5 at ND 16, down 7
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 14.4% before the snap
    Go for it
    14.0%−0.2
    39% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    14.1%
    81% to make
    Punt
    11.0%−3.1
    average punt
  10. Q3 9:57RICE 4th & 4 at ND 28, down 18
    Close callKicked a field goal · 5.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    5.7%
    48% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    5.4%−0.3
    60% to make
    Punt
    2.2%−3.5
    average punt
  11. Q3 4:07ND 4th & 6 at RICE 18, up 18
    Agrees with the numbersKicked a field goal · 96.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    95.9%−0.1
    38% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    96.1%
    79% to make
    Punt
    94.6%−1.5
    average punt
  12. Q3 2:40RICE 4th & 4 at RICE 31, down 21
    Close callWent for it · 2.1% before the snap
    Go for itTheir call
    2.2%−0.2
    48% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    Punt
    2.4%
    average punt
  13. Q4 12:48RICE 4th & 6 at ND 48, down 28
    Agrees with the numbersPunted · 0.1% before the snap
    Go for it
    0.2%−<0.1
    40% to convert
    Field goal
    Out of range
    PuntTheir call
    0.2%
    average punt
  14. Q4 7:47ND 4th & 3 at RICE 11, up 28
    Close callKicked a field goal · 99.9% before the snap
    Go for it
    99.9%
    50% to convert
    Field goalTheir call
    99.8%−0.1
    87% to make
    Punt
    99.4%−0.5
    average punt
After touchdowns: kick or go for two?
ND made the numbers' call on 6 of 6RICE made the numbers' call on 2 of 2
  1. Q1 6:02ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.3%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.3%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  2. Q1 2:13RICE Touchdown, down 1 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    14.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    14.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  3. Q1 2:01ND Touchdown, up 6 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    87.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    87.4%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  4. Q2 2:33ND Touchdown, up 10 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    88.2%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    88.1%−0.1
    45% to convert
  5. Q2 0:05ND Touchdown, up 17 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    93.4%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    93.4%−0.1
    45% to convert
  6. Q3 0:17ND Touchdown, up 27 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.1%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
  7. Q4 4:57RICE Touchdown, down 25 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    0.6%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    0.4%−0.2
    45% to convert
  8. Q4 3:32ND Touchdown, up 30 before the try
    Agrees with the numbersKicked · made
    KickTheir call
    100.0%
    97% to make
    Go for two
    100.0%−<0.1
    45% to convert
Play by play - hover to pin the curve, click to jump
Download drive chart
NDDrive 1PUNT
5 plays · -1 yds · 1:3892% → 92%
Q1 14:45
1ST & 10
OWN 37
0
92.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for no gain to the NDame 37Similar
Q1 14:15
2ND & 10
OWN 37
+4
91.9%
Cam McDaniel run for 4 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q1 13:41
3RD & 6
OWN 41
-5
91.8%
Cam McDaniel run for a loss of 5 yards to the NDame 36Similar
Q1 13:07
4TH & 11
OWN 36
0
91.6%
Kyle Brindza punt for 39 yds, fair catch by Bryce Callahan at the Rice 25Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 2PUNT
4 plays · 2 yds · 1:338% → 9%
Q1 13:01
1ST & 10
OWN 26
0
91.6%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q1 12:50
2ND & 10
OWN 26
+2
91.6%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 12:15
3RD & 8
OWN 28
0
91.4%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the Rice 28Similar
Q1 11:28
4TH & 8
OWN 28
+24
91.3%
James Farrimond punt for 52 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 24 yds to the NDame 44Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 3PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 0:3891% → 91%
Q1 11:18
1ST & 10
OWN 44
+6
91.3%
Tarean Folston run for 6 yds to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 11:00
2ND & 4
50
0
91.2%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q1 10:49
3RD & 4
50
0
91.2%
Everett Golson run for no gain to the 50 yard lineSimilar
Q1 10:40
4TH & 4
50
0
91.0%
Kyle Brindza punt for 50 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 4PUNT
4 plays · 6 yds · 1:249% → 9%
Q1 10:30
1ST & 10
OWN 20
0
90.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 20Similar
Q1 9:58
2ND & 10
OWN 20
0
90.8%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q1 9:48
3RD & 10
OWN 20
+6
90.8%
Darik Dillard run for 6 yds to the Rice 26Similar
Q1 9:06
4TH & 4
OWN 26
+25
90.6%
James Farrimond punt for 46 yds , Cody Riggs returns for 25 yds to the Rice 47Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 5TD
7 plays · 47 yds · 2:5891% → 91%
Q1 9:00
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+5
90.7%
Greg Bryant run for 5 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q1 8:43
2ND & 5
OPP 42
+2
90.6%
Everett Golson run for 2 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q1 8:00
3RD & 3
OPP 40
+14
90.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 14 yds to the Rice 26 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 7:30
1ST & 10
OPP 26
+7
90.4%
Greg Bryant run for 7 yds to the Rice 19Similar
Q1 7:00
2ND & 3
OPP 19
+5
90.2%
Greg Bryant run for 5 yds to the Rice 14 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 6:35
1ST & 10
OPP 14
+3
90.2%
Greg Bryant run for 3 yds to the Rice 11Similar
Q1 6:02
2ND & 7
OPP 11
+11
91.1%
Everett Golson run for 11 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 6TD
9 plays · 65 yds · 3:429% → 13%
Q1 5:55
1ST & 10
OWN 35
+1
90.7%
Jowan Davis run for 1 yd to the Rice 36Similar
Q1 5:17
2ND & 9
OWN 36
+3
90.5%
Driphus Jackson run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q1 4:45
3RD & 6
OWN 39
+30
90.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 30 yds to the NDame 31 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 4:15
1ST & 10
OPP 31
0
89.9%
Darik Dillard run for no gain to the NDame 31Similar
Q1 3:34
2ND & 10
OPP 31
+13
89.7%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Zach Wright for 13 yds to the NDame 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q1 3:00
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
89.5%
Jowan Davis run for 3 yds to the NDame 15Similar
Q1 2:50
2ND & 7
OPP 15
-11
89.4%
Driphus Jackson run for a loss of 1 yard to the NDame 16 RICE Penalty, Offensive Holding (-10 Yards) to the NDame 26Similar
Q1 2:13
2ND & 18
OPP 26
+26
87.4%
Zach Wright 26 Yd pass from Driphus Jackson (James Hairston Kick)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 7TD
2 plays · 75 yds · 0:0090% → 90%
Q1 2:01
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+75
90.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 75 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 8PUNT
6 plays · 5 yds · 1:3310% → 10%
Q1 1:55
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
89.9%
Jowan Davis run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q1 1:21
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
90.1%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach WrightSimilar
Q1 1:00
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+6
90.2%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 6 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q1 0:22
4TH & 5
OWN 30
+10
90.2%
James Farrimond punt for 67 yds , Greg Bryant returns for 10 yds to the NDame 13Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 9MISSED FG
7 plays · 65 yds · 1:3390% → 90%
Q1 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 13
+9
90.0%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 9 yds to the NDame 22Similar
Q2 14:55
2ND & 1
OWN 22
+23
90.0%
Cam McDaniel run for 23 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:35
1ST & 10
OWN 45
+25
90.3%
Everett Golson pass complete to Corey Robinson for 25 yds to the Rice 30 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 14:22
1ST & 10
OPP 30
+2
90.5%
Everett Golson run for 2 yds to the Rice 28Similar
Q2 13:50
2ND & 8
OPP 28
+6
90.4%
Cam McDaniel run for 6 yds to the Rice 22Similar
Q2 13:32
3RD & 2
OPP 22
0
90.2%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben Koyack, broken up by Gabe BakerSimilar
Q2 13:27
4TH & 2
OPP 22
+39
89.9%
Kyle Brindza 39 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 10PUNT
6 plays · 3 yds · 1:5311% → 10%
Q2 13:15
1ST & 10
OWN 22
+3
89.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Jowan Davis for 3 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 12:44
2ND & 7
OWN 25
-5
89.4%
RICE Penalty, Illegal Formation (-5 Yards) to the Rice 20Similar
Q2 12:16
2ND & 12
OWN 20
0
89.5%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q2 12:14
3RD & 12
OWN 20
-5
89.7%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (Driphus Jackson) to the Rice 15Similar
Q2 12:05
3RD & 17
OWN 15
+10
89.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 10 yds to the Rice 25Similar
Q2 11:22
4TH & 7
OWN 25
+18
89.6%
James Farrimond punt for 42 yds , Greg Bryant returns for 18 yds to the Rice 49Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 11PUNT
5 plays · -6 yds · 1:5190% → 89%
Q2 11:11
1ST & 10
OPP 49
+7
89.9%
Everett Golson run for 7 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q2 10:25
2ND & 3
OPP 42
-5
89.9%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Nick Martin) to the Rice 47Similar
Q2 10:15
2ND & 8
OPP 47
-8
89.8%
Everett Golson sacked by Zach Patt for a loss of 8 yards to the NDame 45Similar
Q2 9:29
3RD & 16
OWN 45
0
89.0%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to C.J. ProsiseSimilar
Q2 9:20
4TH & 16
OWN 45
0
88.6%
Kyle Brindza punt for 55 yds for a touchbackSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 12FG
10 plays · 64 yds · 3:1911% → 15%
Q2 9:10
1ST & 10
OWN 20
+19
88.9%
Driphus Jackson run for 19 yds to the Rice 39 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 8:54
1ST & 10
OWN 39
0
88.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Mario HullSimilar
Q2 8:42
2ND & 10
OWN 39
+2
88.5%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Dennis Parks for 2 yds to the Rice 41Similar
Q2 8:11
3RD & 8
OWN 41
+12
88.7%
Driphus Jackson run for 12 yds to the NDame 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:44
1ST & 10
OPP 47
+26
87.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Luke Turner for 26 yds to the NDame 21 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 7:16
1ST & 10
OPP 21
+5
87.2%
Driphus Jackson run for 5 yds to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 7:00
2ND & 5
OPP 16
0
87.1%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 6:20
3RD & 5
OPP 16
0
87.2%
Driphus Jackson run for no gain to the NDame 16Similar
Q2 5:51
4TH & 5
OPP 16
+33
85.4%
James Hairston 33 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 13TD
9 plays · 86 yds · 3:0286% → 91%
Q2 5:35
1ST & 10
OWN 14
+13
85.8%
Greg Bryant run for 13 yds to the NDame 27 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 5:00
1ST & 10
OWN 27
+32
85.8%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 32 yds to the Rice 41 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:40
1ST & 10
OPP 41
+12
86.7%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 12 yds to the Rice 29 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 29
+13
86.7%
Greg Bryant run for 13 yds to the Rice 16 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q2 3:23
1ST & 10
OPP 16
+2
86.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 2 yds to the Rice 14Similar
Q2 2:41
2ND & 8
OPP 14
0
86.4%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q2 2:33
3RD & 8
OPP 14
+14
90.6%
Everett Golson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 14TD
2 plays · 53 yds · 0:0991% → 94%
Q2 0:14
1ST & 10
OWN 47
0
90.8%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to William FullerSimilar
Q2 0:05
2ND & 10
OWN 47
+53
94.1%
Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 53 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 15END OF HALF
2 plays · -2 yds · 0:007% → 7%
Q2 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-2
93.5%
TEAM run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 23Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 16MISSED FG
13 plays · 47 yds · 5:036% → 5%
Q3 15:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-5
93.9%
RICE Penalty, Delay of Game (Driphus Jackson) to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 14:52
1ST & 15
OWN 20
+7
94.0%
Jowan Davis run for 7 yds to the Rice 27Similar
Q3 14:20
2ND & 8
OWN 27
+4
94.0%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 14:00
3RD & 4
OWN 31
+12
93.8%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 12 yds to the Rice 43 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 13:25
1ST & 10
OWN 43
-4
93.6%
Driphus Jackson sacked by Romeo Okwara for a loss of 4 yards to the Rice 39Similar
Q3 13:00
2ND & 14
OWN 39
+16
94.1%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darrion Pollard for 16 yds to the NDame 45 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 12:30
1ST & 10
OPP 45
+4
93.2%
Brandon Hamilton run for 4 yds to the NDame 41Similar
Q3 12:00
2ND & 6
OPP 41
+7
93.4%
Brandon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the NDame 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 11:17
1ST & 10
OPP 34
+6
93.0%
Jowan Davis run for 6 yds to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 10:45
2ND & 4
OPP 28
0
92.9%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the NDame 28Similar
Q3 10:02
3RD & 4
OPP 28
0
94.4%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Dennis ParksSimilar
Q3 9:57
4TH & 4
OPP 28
+47
94.7%
James Hairston 47 yd FG MISSEDSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 17FG
14 plays · 53 yds · 5:4396% → 97%
Q3 9:50
1ST & 10
OWN 29
+3
96.1%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the NDame 32Similar
Q3 9:17
2ND & 7
OWN 32
0
96.2%
Everett Golson pass incompleteSimilar
Q3 9:00
3RD & 7
OWN 32
+8
96.1%
Everett Golson run for 8 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:39
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+12
96.4%
Tarean Folston run for 12 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 8:12
1ST & 10
OPP 48
+8
96.5%
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 8 yds to the Rice 40Similar
Q3 7:45
2ND & 2
OPP 40
-2
96.5%
Cam McDaniel run for a loss of 2 yards to the Rice 42Similar
Q3 7:22
3RD & 4
OPP 42
+8
96.4%
Everett Golson pass complete to Chris Brown for 8 yds to the Rice 34 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:53
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
96.6%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Corey RobinsonSimilar
Q3 6:50
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+12
96.5%
Cam McDaniel run for 12 yds to the Rice 22 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 6:17
1ST & 10
OPP 22
+7
96.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Cam McDaniel for 7 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q3 5:48
2ND & 3
OPP 15
-5
96.6%
NOTRE DAME Penalty, False Start (Nick Martin) to the Rice 20Similar
Q3 5:18
2ND & 8
OPP 20
+2
96.7%
Cam McDaniel run for 2 yds to the Rice 18Similar
Q3 4:45
3RD & 6
OPP 18
0
96.7%
Cam McDaniel run for no gain to the Rice 18Similar
Q3 4:07
4TH & 6
OPP 18
+36
97.4%
Kyle Brindza 36 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 18DOWNS
5 plays · 9 yds · 1:202% → 2%
Q3 4:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
-1
97.9%
Luke Turner run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 24Similar
Q3 3:25
2ND & 11
OWN 24
0
98.0%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Robby Wells IIISimilar
Q3 3:13
3RD & 11
OWN 24
+7
98.1%
Driphus Jackson run for 7 yds to the Rice 31Similar
Q3 2:40
4TH & 4
OWN 31
+3
98.0%
Luke Turner run for 3 yds to the Rice 34Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 19TD
6 plays · 34 yds · 2:1998% → 100%
Q3 2:36
1ST & 10
OPP 34
0
98.4%
Everett Golson pass incomplete to Ben KoyackSimilar
Q3 2:30
2ND & 10
OPP 34
+1
98.4%
Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the Rice 33Similar
Q3 1:58
3RD & 9
OPP 33
+22
98.6%
Everett Golson pass complete to Amir Carlisle for 22 yds to the Rice 11 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q3 1:27
1ST & 10
OPP 11
+8
98.7%
Greg Bryant run for 8 yds to the Rice 3Similar
Q3 0:50
2ND & 2
OPP 3
-1
98.8%
Everett Golson run for a loss of 1 yard to the Rice 4Similar
Q3 0:17
3RD & 3
OPP 4
+4
99.8%
Everett Golson run for 4 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 20PUNT
9 plays · 27 yds · 2:120% → 0%
Q3 0:00
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+11
99.8%
Driphus Jackson run for 11 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 14:55
1ST & 10
OWN 36
0
99.8%
Jowan Davis run for no gain to the Rice 36Similar
Q4 14:16
2ND & 10
OWN 36
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Darrion PollardSimilar
Q4 14:00
3RD & 10
OWN 36
+12
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass complete to Darik Dillard for 12 yds to the Rice 48 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 13:32
1ST & 10
OWN 48
+4
99.9%
Darik Dillard run for 4 yds to the NDame 48Similar
Q4 13:03
2ND & 6
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Jowan DavisSimilar
Q4 12:58
3RD & 6
OPP 48
0
99.9%
Driphus Jackson pass incomplete to Zach Wright, broken up by Elijah ShumateSimilar
Q4 12:48
4TH & 6
OPP 48
+3
99.9%
James Farrimond punt for 34 yds , Greg Bryant returns for 3 yds to the NDame 17Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 21FG
9 plays · 72 yds · 4:53100% → 100%
Q4 12:40
1ST & 10
OWN 17
+4
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 4 yds to the NDame 21Similar
Q4 11:57
2ND & 6
OWN 21
+19
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 19 yds to the NDame 40 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 11:25
1ST & 10
OWN 40
+4
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 4 yds to the NDame 44Similar
Q4 10:48
2ND & 6
OWN 44
+10
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 10 yds to the Rice 46 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 10:11
1ST & 10
OPP 46
+28
99.9%
Everett Golson pass complete to Ben Koyack for 28 yds to the Rice 18 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 9:38
1ST & 10
OPP 18
+3
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Rice 15Similar
Q4 9:00
2ND & 7
OPP 15
+3
99.9%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Rice 12Similar
Q4 8:20
3RD & 4
OPP 12
+1
99.9%
Everett Golson run for 1 yd to the Rice 11Similar
Q4 7:47
4TH & 3
OPP 11
+29
99.9%
Kyle Brindza 29 yd FG GOODSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 22TD
7 plays · 75 yds · 2:370% → 1%
Q4 7:34
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+5
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 5 yds to the Rice 30Similar
Q4 7:10
2ND & 5
OWN 30
+4
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 4 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 6:34
3RD & 1
OWN 34
+2
99.9%
Jowan Davis run for 2 yds to the Rice 36 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 5:58
1ST & 10
OWN 36
+6
99.9%
Brandon Hamilton run for 6 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 5:30
2ND & 4
OWN 42
+5
99.9%
Brandon Hamilton run for 5 yds to the Rice 47 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:57
1ST & 10
OWN 47
+53
99.4%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to James Mayden for 53 yds for a TD, (James Hairston KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 23TD
4 plays · 75 yds · 1:1399% → 100%
Q4 4:45
1ST & 10
OWN 25
+56
99.4%
Malik Zaire run for 56 yds to the Rice 19 for a 1ST downSimilar
Q4 4:00
1ST & 10
OPP 19
+2
99.5%
Malik Zaire run for 2 yds to the Rice 17Similar
Q4 3:32
2ND & 8
OPP 17
+17
99.9%
Greg Bryant run for 17 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
RICEDrive 24FUMBLE
5 plays · 12 yds · 1:210% → 0%
Q4 3:23
1ST & 10
OWN 32
-5
100.0%
RICE Penalty, False Start (Peter Godber) to the Rice 27Similar
Q4 3:15
1ST & 15
OWN 27
+7
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for 7 yds to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 2:36
2ND & 8
OWN 34
0
100.0%
Brandon Hamilton run for no gain to the Rice 34Similar
Q4 2:02
3RD & 8
OWN 34
+10
100.0%
Tyler Stehling pass complete to Cameron Decell for 10 yds Cameron Decell fumbled, forced by Devin Butler, recovered by NDame Nicky BarattiSimilar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
NDDrive 25END OF HALF
3 plays · 7 yds · 1:55100% → 100%
Q4 1:55
1ST & 10
OPP 44
+2
100.0%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the Rice 42Similar
Q4 1:20
2ND & 8
OPP 42
+3
100.0%
Tarean Folston run for 3 yds to the Rice 39Similar
Q4 0:00
3RD & 5
OPP 39
+2
100.0%
Tarean Folston run for 2 yds to the Rice 37Similar
own 0own 2550opp 25opp 0
Biggest swings
TD · Q2 2:33
Everett Golson run for 14 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+4.5
TD · Q2 0:05
Everett Golson pass complete to C.J. Prosise for 53 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+3.3
TD · Q1 2:01
Everett Golson pass complete to William Fuller for 75 yds for a TD, (Kyle Brindza KICK)
+2.1
YardLine · model v10Model estimate - not betting advice · Data provided by CollegeFootballData.com